Core Viewpoint - The Central Economic Work Conference held on December 10-11 outlines the economic work for 2025 and sets the direction for 2026, emphasizing the importance of expanding domestic demand in the short term and strengthening internal capabilities in the medium to long term [1] Group 1: Macroeconomic Policy - The macroeconomic policy maintains a "more proactive and effective" tone, focusing on internal conditions and medium to long-term issues, with a shift in external environment assessment from "adverse" in 2024 to neutral in 2025 [1] - It is expected that the macroeconomic policy will continue the positive tone established in 2025 into 2026 [1] Group 2: Domestic Demand and Investment - The emphasis is on domestic demand, with clear strategies for investment and service consumption, aiming to "stop the decline and stabilize investment," while maintaining a stable narrow deficit ratio [1] - The use of new policy financial tools will continue to support investment, and reforms will be implemented to promote service consumption, stimulating demand through supply [1] Group 3: Social Stability - Ensuring stable livelihoods remains a priority, with measures in healthcare, education, employment, and medical care, indicating a focus on both the quantity and quality of supply to stabilize livelihoods [1] - The economic growth target for 2026 is expected to remain relatively stable, balancing growth stability and expectations [1] Group 4: Fiscal Policy - The fiscal policy will continue to be more proactive, maintaining necessary fiscal deficits, total debt scale, and expenditure levels, with the deficit ratio expected to remain stable in 2026 [2] - There will be a focus on standardizing tax incentives and fiscal subsidy policies, aiming to address local protectionism and "involution" competition [2] Group 5: Monetary Policy - The monetary policy will continue to adopt an "appropriately loose" stance, emphasizing the flexible and efficient use of various policy tools such as reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [2] - The shift from "timely" to "flexible and efficient" indicates a greater focus on the effectiveness of monetary policy, with an emphasis on both short-term and long-term adjustments to address structural and deep-seated economic issues [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that British American Tobacco (BTI.US) is expected to see accelerated growth in its new tobacco business in the second half of 2025, benefiting from a favorable industry environment and product lifecycle expansion [1] - The HNB (Heated Not Burned) segment is showing positive feedback for new products, with a goal for global expansion in 2026, despite a slight decline in market share for the Glo brand in 2025 due to competition [1] - The Glo Hilo product has achieved a 1% market share in Japan and is gaining traction in Poland and Italy, with expectations for stabilization and recovery in market share by 2026 [1] Group 2 - The vaping segment continues to benefit from an improved market environment, with a projected revenue increase in the second half of 2025, following a 13% year-on-year decline in the first half [2] - The Vuse brand has seen a 0.1 percentage point increase in market share, particularly in the U.S. where it rose by 0.7 percentage points, despite some growth being impacted by illegal vaping products in Canada [2] - The new oral tobacco product Velo Plus is expected to drive significant growth in the U.S. market, with a projected increase in market share by 9.2 percentage points to 15.6% and a global market share increase of 5.9 percentage points to 31.8% [2] Group 3 - Traditional cigarette operations remain stable, with a slight decline in market share of 0.1 percentage points, but a positive outlook for the second half of 2025 driven by improved conditions in the U.S. market [3] - The company anticipates a revenue and adjusted operating profit growth of approximately 2% for the fiscal year 2025, with accelerated growth in new tobacco revenue expected to achieve double-digit growth in the second half [3] - The company plans to increase its share buyback program to £1.3 billion in 2026, up from £1.1 billion in 2025 [3]

12月10日至11日召开的中央经济工作会议总结2025年经济工作，分析当前经济形势，部署2026年经济工 作。国泰海通策略首席分析师方奕在接受证券时报记者采访时指出，继2024年中央经济工作会议首次提 出资本市场改革后，此次会议再度明确提及资本市场，提出"持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革"，资本 市场改革目标和方向没有变，提高资本市场制度包容性、适应性，健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功 能是资本市场改革的重要方向。 方奕认为，后续政策核心将在于强化企业创新主体地位，推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合，完善科技 金融体系，推动财政、金融资源向科技创新项目集中，以及优化人才生态，制定一体推进教育科技人才 发展方案。 方奕认为，新一轮资本市场改革将主要聚焦围绕推动双创改革优化上市公司结构、深化并购重组改革、 加强投资者回报、营造"长钱长投"制度环境与提高中长期资金投资A股的规模和比重，扩大资本市场制 度型开放以及提升外资参与便利度等方面进一步展开。 在科技创新方面，"坚持创新驱动，加紧培育壮大新动能"这一理念体现了我国在新发展阶段对科技自立 自强和高质量发展的战略决心。方奕表示，当前科技创新正成为提升全要素生产率、优化供 ...

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ● 担保对象及基本情况 ■ 1（本公告所述担保金额、担保余额及担保总额在计算时未包含浮动利率票据、债券、贷款等利息，浮 动利率利息需根据实际情况确定。本公告所载金额涉及汇率的，按2025年11月末美元兑换人民币中间 价、欧元兑换人民币中间价、港元兑换人民币中间价（1美元=7.0789元人民币、1欧元=8.2078元人民 币、1港元=0.90990元人民币）折算。） ● 累计担保情况 （一）基本情况 ■ ■ 一、担保情况概述 （一）担保的基本情况 国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称公司或本公司）境外全资子公司国泰海通金融控股有限公司（以 下简称国泰海通金融控股）的全资附属公司GUOTAI JUNAN HOLDINGS LIMITED（以下简称发行人或 被担保人）于2025年12月11日发行金额为5亿元的债券，此债券由国泰海通金融控股提供担保。 国泰海通金融控股作为担保人，为发行人本次发行项下的偿付义务提供无条件及不可撤销的保证担保， 担保范围包括债券本金、利息及交易 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lithium carbonate prices continue to rise, with the main contract increasing by 3.97%, approaching the 100,000 yuan mark, indicating strong market interest and trading activity [1] Group 1: Long Position Analysis - The top 20 long positions increased by 26,037 contracts to a total of 405,696 contracts, with Yong'an Futures leading by adding 6,551 contracts, bringing its total long position to 34,479 contracts [3] - Guotai Junan and Yide Futures also increased their positions by 4,097 contracts and 4,115 contracts, respectively, with total long positions reaching 96,472 contracts and 9,058 contracts [3] - Other firms like Zhongcai Futures, Nanhua Futures, Donghai Futures, and Shenyin Wanguo Futures also added to their long positions, indicating a strong consensus among long positions [3] Group 2: Short Position Analysis - The top 20 short positions increased by 23,012 contracts to a total of 503,438 contracts, with Dongzheng Futures and Citic Futures being the main contributors, adding 4,856 contracts and 3,597 contracts, respectively [4] - Other firms like Guotai Futures and Xinhai Futures also increased their short positions, indicating a defensive stance against the long positions [4] - Galaxy Futures increased both long and short positions, resulting in a net increase in short positions by 1,594 contracts, while Guangfa Futures reduced its net short position by 1,636 contracts [4] Group 3: Market Fundamentals - The current market focus is on the recovery pace of major manufacturers and the sustainability of off-season demand, with lithium ore recovery lagging behind expectations [5] - Despite a slight decline in passenger vehicle orders, strong performance in the energy storage and commercial vehicle sectors is supporting overall demand stability [5] - Domestic lithium carbonate production is expected to continue growing in December, although the overall increase will be limited, maintaining a tight supply-demand balance in the short term [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Mainline Technology, has submitted an application for a mainboard listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Cathay Pacific Securities acting as the sole sponsor [1] Company Overview - Mainline Technology is a Level 4 autonomous driving truck and solution provider, focusing on its self-developed autonomous driving system [1] - The company has created an integrated product ecosystem consisting of AiTruck (smart trucks), AiBox (smart terminals), and AiCloud (smart cloud services) [1] Business Strategy - The company's solutions are strategically deployed in three core business scenarios: Trunk Port (logistics hub), Trunk Pilot (highway logistics), and Trunk City (urban traffic) [1] - As of December 5, 2025, the company has delivered a total of 830 AiTrucks and 349 AiBoxes, with intention orders for 821 AiTrucks and 920 AiBoxes [1] Market Position - According to Frost & Sullivan, Mainline Technology is the largest Level 4 autonomous driving truck and solution provider in China for closed road scenarios, based on projected product sales revenue for 2024 [1] Industry Outlook - The market for autonomous driving solutions in commercial vehicles in China is rapidly developing, with the closed road scenario market expected to reach 26.2 billion RMB by 2030, while the open road scenario market is projected to reach 160.6 billion RMB during the same period, which is anticipated to be the core growth engine for the next decade [1]

Core Insights - The 3C supply chain is benefiting from the cyclical recovery of its industry and the accelerated penetration of AI at the edge, presenting growth opportunities [1][2] - The compatibility of the 3C supply chain with humanoid robots is high, and its specialized manufacturing model is expected to adapt well to the mass production phase of humanoid robots [1][2] Group 1 - The 3C supply chain is fully embracing humanoid robots due to rapid innovation and scalable manufacturing capabilities [2] - The development of humanoid robots is still in its early stages, but the ability of 3C manufacturers to innovate with new materials, processes, and structures allows for quick integration into the humanoid robot supply chain [2] - As humanoid robots enter mass production, the industry is expected to shift to a specialized manufacturing model of "components-modules-finished products," maintaining a strong competitive advantage for the 3C supply chain [2] Group 2 - The acceleration of AI at the edge injects new growth vitality into the 3C industry [2] - The overall 3C terminal market, represented by smartphones, is entering a recovery cycle, laying the foundation for industry growth [2] - Major industry players are driving the acceleration of AI at the edge, with Apple set to launch its edge AI assistant, Apple Intelligence, in October 2024, potentially triggering a new replacement cycle for its extensive terminal products [2] Group 3 - Companies like Meta are collaborating with Qualcomm to optimize the Llama model for Snapdragon chips, enabling smooth operation of 3B parameter models on smartphones [3] - Domestic company ByteDance has launched the Doubao AI smartphone assistant, showcasing smooth cross-app operation capabilities [3] - Major AI companies are competing for dominance in the smartphone edge market, while also pushing for rapid iterations of AI glasses and other wearable devices, which could bring additional growth to the overall industry [3] Group 4 - Catalysts for growth include the large-scale production of robots and the accelerated implementation of AI at the edge [4]

国泰海通12月11日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量12.50万股，成交金额228.50万元，大宗交易成交 价为18.28元，相对今日收盘价折价9.37%。该笔交易的买方营业部为中信证券（山东）有限责任公司青 岛西海岸新区庐山路证券营业部，卖方营业部为中信证券（山东）有限责任公司青岛西海岸新区庐山路 证券营业部。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，国泰海通今日收盘价为20.17元，下跌0.69%，日换手率为0.44%，成交额为 12.11亿元，全天主力资金净流出1.10亿元，近5日该股累计上涨5.11%，近5日资金合计净流出2.89亿 元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为73.17亿元，近5日减少6918.17万元，降幅为0.94%。 12月11日国泰海通大宗交易一览 据天眼查APP显示，国泰海通证券股份有限公司成立于1999年08月18日，注册资本1762892.5829万人民 币。（数据宝） | 成交 量 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当日收 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 额（万 | 格 | 盘折溢价 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | （ ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency," guiding the financial market to support high-quality development of the real economy [1] Group 1: Service to the Real Economy - The company focuses on serving the real economy as its foundational mission, implementing the "insurance + futures" model in agriculture with over 260 projects covering 24 provinces, involving 14 key agricultural products, and a total project amount exceeding 5.8 billion [2] - These projects have benefited over 560,000 farming households, providing price guarantees and contributing to the stability of primary product supply [2] - In the industrial sector, the company targets key industries like new energy and high-end manufacturing, offering personalized hedging solutions, with a 20% year-on-year increase in the number of clients served [2] Group 2: Reform and Innovation - The conference highlighted the need for reform and innovation to enhance development momentum, with the futures industry relying on product innovation and service upgrades [3] - The company actively engages in industry innovation, participating in the development of carbon emission rights and new energy materials derivatives, providing risk management tools for low-carbon transitions [3] - A comprehensive online and offline service system has been established, utilizing digital tools to lower the barriers for enterprises to participate in the futures market [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The company has built a comprehensive risk control system, emphasizing customer suitability management and strict regulatory compliance, with no major risk events reported throughout the year [4] - A monitoring system is in place to track abnormal trading behaviors, enhancing risk awareness among clients [4] - The company conducted over 350 investor education activities in 2025, reaching 120,000 investors, with 45% of activities focused on risk warnings for small and medium investors [4]

刚刚闭幕的中央经济工作会议，习近平总书记重要讲话明确提出了"稳中求进、提质增效"的工作总基 调，为金融市场服务实体经济高质量发展指明方向。作为资本市场重要组成部分，期货行业肩负发现价 格、管理风险、配置资源的核心使命。国泰君安期货紧跟国家战略部署，以实际行动践行会议精神，与 行业同仁凝聚正向力量，传递积极发展信号。 坚守初心使命 锚定服务实体经济本源 会议指出，要"着力推动高质量发展""防范化解重点领域风险"。国泰君安期货将服务实体经济作为立身 之本，在农业领域深耕"保险+期货"模式：截至目前，公司已开展"保险+期货"项目超过260个，覆盖全 国24个省级行政单位，涉及生猪、橡胶、棉花、苹果、白糖、鸡蛋等14个重要农产品品种，累计项目金 额超过58亿元。这些项目惠及的农户数量超过56万户次，为广大农民提供了坚实的价格保障，为保障国 家"米袋子"、"菜篮子"安全、稳定初级产品供给贡献了实实在在的"期货力量"。 在工业领域，国泰君安期货聚焦新能源、高端制造等重点产业链，为企业提供个性化套期保值方案，覆 盖原材料采购、生产运营到产品销售全周期风险对冲需求，全年服务实体企业客户数量同比增长20%。 针对中小微企业风险 ...