新浪期货 根据交易所数据，截至7月31日收盘主力合约30年期国债期货2509,涨跌+0.57%,成交量13.09万手，持仓数据显示前20席 位呈现净多，差额头寸为1261手。 | | | | | 2025年7月31日30年期国债期货主力合约2509持仓数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 名次 会员名称 成交量(双边) | | 増減 | | 会员 持买单 | 增减 | 会员 | 持卖单 | | | ਹ | 中信期货 | 47,305 | -13,485 | 中信期货 | 18,713 | 28 | 国泰君安 | 14,342 | | | 2 | 东证期货 | 31,695 | -7,224 | 国泰君安 | 13,279 | 909 | 东证期货 | 12.262 | 1,209 | | 3 | 海通期货 | 24,770 | -5,914 | 东证期货 | 7,717 | -452 | 中信期货 | 11,279 | -451 | | 4 | 国泰君安 | 21,582 | -5,25 ...

Core Insights - The main focus of the article is on the trading performance and positioning of coking coal futures as of July 31, 2025, highlighting a decrease in trading volume and changes in long and short positions among major market participants [1][3][4]. Trading Performance - As of July 31, 2025, the main contract for coking coal (2509) experienced a decline of 4.93%, with a trading volume of 42,100 contracts, which is a decrease of 16,000 contracts from the previous day [1]. - The total trading volume for all coking coal contracts was 58,500 contracts, down by 16,000 contracts compared to the previous day [1]. Positioning Data - Among the top 20 positions, long positions totaled 30,100 contracts, an increase of 363 contracts from the previous day, while short positions totaled 36,500 contracts, a decrease of 957 contracts [1]. - The top three long positions were held by CITIC Futures (5,299 contracts), Guotai Junan (3,789 contracts), and Galaxy Futures (2,191 contracts) [1]. - The top three short positions were held by CITIC Futures (4,923 contracts), Wuchan Zhongda (4,374 contracts), and Huatai Futures (2,723 contracts) [1]. Changes in Long and Short Positions - The top three increases in long positions were from Huatai Futures (1,295 contracts, up by 270), Galaxy Futures (1,780 contracts, up by 226), and Yong'an Futures (1,469 contracts, up by 163) [1]. - The top three decreases in long positions were from Guotai Junan (2,187 contracts, down by 352), CITIC Futures (2,110 contracts, down by 290), and Haitong Futures (573 contracts, down by 89) [1]. - The top three increases in short positions were from Wuchan Zhongda (2,253 contracts, up by 83), Green Dahu (609 contracts, up by 79), and GF Futures (386 contracts, up by 72) [1]. - The top three decreases in short positions were from Fangzheng Zhongqi (1,677 contracts, down by 488), Guotai Junan (1,933 contracts, down by 139), and Huatai Futures (699 contracts, down by 129) [1].

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，根据映维网、JBD公众号，阿里自研的首款自研智能眼 镜"夸克AI眼镜"在WAIC 2025世界人工智能大会期间正式亮相，预计将在年内正式发布。政策面上， 《上海市下一代显示产业高质量发展行动方案》发布，其中《方案》提出，发展AI+AR、AI+MR等多 形态眼镜产品，鼓励下一代硅基微显示的产品模式与眼镜形态创新，加快推动全彩化、便携式智能眼镜 产品研发。看好大厂AI+AR眼镜密集发布催化及大模型多模态迭代对AI+AR眼镜交互能力的提升。 《上海市下一代显示产业高质量发展行动方案》(2026-2030年)于7月22日印发，《方案》提出，发展 AI+AR、AI+MR等多形态眼镜产品，聚焦轻量化、低功耗、高分辨率、大视场角等关键技术指标，推 动显示器件、波导镜片、核心芯片等关键部件迭代创新，持续提升产品性能，鼓励下一代硅基微显示的 产品模式与眼镜形态创新，加快推动全彩化、便携式智能眼镜产品研发。 全球AI眼镜出货量有望高速增长 Meta与雷朋联名的Rayban-MetaAI眼镜自2023年9月推出销量已突破200万台，25年Meta有望发布带显示 的AR眼镜；Rokid Gla ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the successful IPO of Hanhigh Group, a leading company in the home hardware industry, on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, raising a total of 617 million yuan with an oversubscription rate of 46.99% [1] - Hanhigh Group, founded in 2004, has evolved into a diversified innovative enterprise focusing on home hardware, offering a comprehensive high-end hardware solution for global users, and has won over 30 international design awards [3] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.78% in revenue and 61.83% in net profit from 2022 to 2024, indicating rapid growth in performance [3] Group 2 - Hanhigh Group is the first company to be listed on the main board of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange after the merger of Guotai Junan, showcasing the firm's capability in supporting the listing process [6] - Guotai Junan has successfully assisted multiple private enterprises in entering the capital market this year, demonstrating its commitment to supporting the high-quality development of the private economy [8] - The financial support provided by Guotai Junan to Hanhigh Group is part of a broader strategy to empower private enterprises and enhance their growth potential [8]

A股尾盘大金融板块跌势扩大，证券、保险方向领跌，中银证券跌超6%，中国人保、中国太保、中国 平安、中国人寿、中国银河、国泰海通等跌幅靠前。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，2015年的煤炭、2025年的多晶硅、光伏玻璃等行业跌至甚至 跌破现金成本仍然在生产。如果没有外部扰动因素，需要等到行业内标致性的头部企业出清出市场，行 业可能才至底部。该行认为当前煤炭行业已经走出过往"现金流压力下的囚徒困境"，从供给和需求两方 面看板块基本面或已经到达此轮周期底部，维持行业"增持"评级。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 从多晶硅、玻璃到2015年的煤炭：囚徒困境下的现金流博弈 1)供给侧改革后央国企成为行业主导(TOP50中央国企占比约85%份额);2)2021-2024年盈利大幅度改善， 行业负债率快速下降，基本已无偿债压力;3)政府具备技术监管手段及产能限制政策(安监局要求产能利 用率不能超过110%)，共同促进煤炭行业供给格局大幅度改善，已经"不一样"。从2025年4月港口价格 跌破650元/吨，全国出现大范围大规模的产量下降，就是印证了经济学原理"经济性导致的企业自发减 产"行为。 供需走出底部，国家能源局发声煤炭"反内卷" 该行认为2025Q1暖冬天气因素导致的总量需求不及预期已经过去，随着全社会用电总量的快速恢复，5 月开始电煤需求已经开始恢复1 ...

Group 1 - The company, New Point Software, has released a voluntary disclosure of its performance forecast for the first half of 2025, expecting a revenue of 670.28 million yuan, a decrease of 14.52% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be between -74.20 million yuan and -49.46 million yuan, indicating an increase in losses by 25.80 million yuan to 50.53 million yuan compared to the same period last year, with a year-on-year increase in loss margin of 109.02% to 213.52% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -122.10 million yuan and -81.40 million yuan, reflecting an increase in losses by 7.10 million yuan to 47.80 million yuan compared to the previous year, with a year-on-year increase in loss margin of 9.55% to 64.33% [1] Group 2 - New Point Software was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board on November 17, 2021, with an initial public offering of 82.50 million shares at a price of 48.49 yuan per share, currently in a state of decline [2] - The total amount raised from the initial public offering was 4.00 billion yuan, with a net amount of 3.83 billion yuan, exceeding the original fundraising target by 0.93 billion yuan [2] - The funds were intended for various projects including underlying technology research, software platform upgrades, and construction of research and operation centers, among others [2]

来源：国泰海通证券研究 导读 政策依旧留有后手，密切关注外部风险可能的反复和国内基本面的变化，以及"十五五"规划中确定性的产业线索。 投资要点 中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议，决定2025年10月召开中共四中全会，研究制定"十五五"规划的建议，并分析研究当前经济形势和部署下半年经济工 作。总的来看有三个特征：一是对内外部形势的判断相较4月政治局会议更加积极；二是强调政策连续性，下半年有望迎来"适时加力"的窗口期；三是适 逢"十五五"规划起草在即，政策兼顾短期稳增长和长期促改革。与2020年7月政治局会议对"十四五"的相关表述相比，亮点是增加了"推动人的全面发展、 全体人民共同富裕迈出坚实步伐"的表述，这与此前强调的"投资于人"一脉相承。 从对下半年工作的具体部署来看，有以下几个亮点： 第一，对财政和货币政策的要求从"用好用足"转变为"落实落细"，"充分释放政策效应"。财政政策方面，会议要求"提高资金使用效率"；货币政策方面， 则要求"用好各项结构性货币政策工具"。在二季度各项宏观政策已经在加速落实的背景下，下半年将更加关注政策效果。 第二，"反内卷"淡化"低价"，置于全国统一大市场建设的总体布局之中。与中央 ...

Core Viewpoint - The hot-rolled coil futures market shows a mixed sentiment with a slight increase in the main contract price, while the overall positions indicate a net short among the top 20 positions [1][3]. Trading Volume and Positions - As of July 30, the main contract for hot-rolled coil (2510) closed with a price change of +0.81%, and the trading volume reached 1.3374 million contracts, with total transactions across all contracts amounting to 1.7719 million contracts, an increase of 438,200 contracts from the previous day [1][3]. - The top 20 positions show a total long position of 1.7434 million contracts, a decrease of 17,000 contracts, while the total short position increased to 1.8482 million contracts, an increase of 8,142 contracts [1][3]. Major Players - The top three long positions are held by Guotai Junan with a total holding of 227,678 contracts, CITIC Futures with 224,154 contracts, and Everbright Futures with 145,677 contracts [1][3]. - The top three short positions are also led by Guotai Junan with 401,739 contracts, followed by Dongzheng Futures with 142,390 contracts, and Everbright Futures with 122,151 contracts [1][3]. Changes in Positions - Among the top 20 positions, the largest increase in long positions was seen in Yong'an Futures with an increase of 8,372 contracts, followed by Dadi Futures with an increase of 4,694 contracts, and Zhongtai Futures with an increase of 3,907 contracts [1][3]. - Conversely, the largest decreases in long positions were recorded by Dongzheng Futures with a reduction of 19,419 contracts, Guotai Junan with a decrease of 10,192 contracts, and CITIC Futures with a decrease of 9,293 contracts [1][3]. - For short positions, the largest increases were in Dongzheng Futures with an increase of 3,615 contracts, Yide Futures with an increase of 3,145 contracts, and Beijin Futures with an increase of 2,288 contracts [1][3]. - The largest decreases in short positions were noted in CITIC Futures with a reduction of 21,691 contracts, Yong'an Futures with a decrease of 2,646 contracts, and Guotai Junan with a decrease of 2,222 contracts [1][3].

互联网券商基于散户流量优势为交易所提供流动性，留存客户资产的PFOF模式更有利于业务场景的拓 展。1）流动性是开展加密资产交易业务的核心。为满足对冲基金等机构客户高频交易的需求，交易所 通过做市提供流动性，导致盈利波动；2）互联网券商基于自身在零售客户流量层面的优势，通过将散 户交易流量接入交易所提供流动性。业务模式上，Robinhood以PFOF模式将客户订单打包出售给做市 商，赚取点差，同时为零售客户提供免佣交易；富途、老虎将客户流量接入交易所交易，向零售客户收 取手续费，费率（0.08%/0.05%）低于零售客户在交易所交易费率（0.1%-0.3%）。3）PFOF模式将客户 资产留存于券商账户上，更有利于业务场景的拓展。Robinhood提供加密资产质押、自我托管钱包等业 务场景，并推动股票代币化业务创新。 风险提示：加密资产市场价格大幅波动；监管政策变化。 券商进军加密货币交易市场，满足零售客户对便捷化、低佣金的需求。1) 加密货币交易由对冲基金与 散户主导，主要通过顶级中心化交易所实现。截至2025年Q2 69%的比特币由个人持有，交易量上看约 80%的交易量来自于对冲基金等高频交易的机构投资者，散 ...