Key Points - The total bond market in mainland China reached 196.18 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, an increase of 20.30 trillion yuan from the beginning of the year, with interest rate bonds at 123.61 trillion yuan, credit bonds at 52.88 trillion yuan, and interbank certificates at 19.69 trillion yuan [3] - In 2025, the issuance of various bonds in mainland China totaled 89.0 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, with interest rate bonds reaching 33.0 trillion yuan, up 18% from the previous year [3] - The issuance of government bonds increased by 28% year-on-year, while local government bonds grew by 5%, and policy financial bonds rose by 17% [3] - Credit bonds issuance was 22.2 trillion yuan, an 8% increase year-on-year, and interbank certificates totaled 33.8 trillion yuan, up 7% [3] Bond Issuance Statistics - Interest rate bonds: 3,534 issues, 329,829.6 billion yuan, 18% growth [4] - Government bonds: 206 issues, 160,140.2 billion yuan, 28% growth [4] - Local government bonds: 2,449 issues, 102,901.0 billion yuan, 5% growth [4] - Policy bank bonds: 879 issues, 66,788.4 billion yuan, 17% growth [4] - Credit bonds: 24,003 issues, 222,246.7 billion yuan, 8% growth [4] - Financial bonds: 1,499 issues, 56,780.6 billion yuan, 25% growth [6] Bank Underwriting Rankings - The top three banks in total underwriting amount (including local government bonds) are China Bank (16,765.2 billion yuan), Industrial and Commercial Bank (16,479.0 billion yuan), and Construction Bank (15,020.5 billion yuan) [12] - In the detailed local government bond underwriting, the top three are Industrial and Commercial Bank (22,584.8 billion yuan), China Bank (16,312.8 billion yuan), and Construction Bank (14,568.1 billion yuan) [17] Securities Firm Underwriting Rankings - The top three securities firms (excluding local government bonds) in total underwriting amount are CITIC Securities (16,136.2 billion yuan), Guotai Junan (13,613.4 billion yuan), and CITIC Jianzhong (12,419.6 billion yuan) [21] - In the local government bond underwriting (averaged), the top three are CITIC Securities (22,491.6 billion yuan), CITIC Jianzhong (17,333.3 billion yuan), and Guotai Junan (16,426.2 billion yuan) [26] NAFMII Debt Financing Tool Underwriting Rankings - CITIC Bank leads the NAFMII debt financing tool underwriting with 9,043.4 billion yuan, followed by Industrial Bank with 8,412.7 billion yuan and Construction Bank with 6,077.7 billion yuan [36] Credit Bond Underwriting Rankings - The top three in credit bond underwriting are CITIC Securities (16,136.2 billion yuan), Guotai Junan (13,613.4 billion yuan), and CITIC Jianzhong (12,419.6 billion yuan) [40]

Group 1 - The visit was led by the Deputy Mayor Zhou Kai, who expressed sincere greetings and New Year wishes to frontline employees in the financial management departments and banking institutions during year-end settlement [1] - The delegation visited several banks including Agricultural Development Bank, Bank of China, Jiangsu Bank, Huaxia Bank, and Zhenjiang Rural Commercial Bank, engaging with staff and gathering reports on annual operational performance [1] - The visit included discussions on the progress of year-end settlement work and appreciation for the contributions made by employees to the economic and social development of Zhenjiang [1] Group 2 - The delegation also conducted research on the transformation of tax service halls at the local tax bureau and examined consumer rights protection efforts at the local financial regulatory bureau [1] - At the People's Bank of China Zhenjiang branch, the team reviewed the operation of the municipal treasury business and inspected the management of the branch's data center [1]

（原标题：程军、石永拴，同日被查！） 银行业反腐。 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组、天津市纪委监委消息：中国银行浙江省分行党委书记、行 长程军涉嫌严重违纪违法，目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组纪律审查和天津市监察 委员会监察调查。 责编：李丹 校对：陶谦 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国建设银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委消息：中国建设银行河南省分行原党 委书记、行长石永拴涉嫌严重违纪违法，目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国建设银行纪检监察组纪律 审查和山东省聊城市监察委员会监察调查。 综合自：中央纪委国家监委网站 ...

Summary of the Conference Call Transcript Industry Overview - The banking sector is entering a phase of high-quality development, with a focus on absolute and relative returns from bank stocks, driven by high dividend yields and asset quality [3][4][20]. Key Points Financial Performance Projections - Expected revenue growth for listed banks in 2026 and 2027 is +2.5% and +3.6% respectively, with net profit growth of +1.9% and +2.6% [4][20]. - Revenue and profit growth are anticipated to improve due to: 1. Narrowing net interest margin pressure 2. Quality-focused credit issuance amid weak demand [4][20]. 3. Stabilization of fee income growth after several years of fee reductions [4][20]. 4. Stable or improving net non-performing loan generation rates [4][11]. 5. Accelerated supply-side reforms leading to a reduction in the number of bank licenses, improving competition and operational landscape [4][11]. Customer Demand and Market Dynamics - The low-interest-rate environment has shifted customer demand, with government and state-owned enterprises becoming significant contributors to leverage, affecting the structure of new social financing [5][10]. - Regulatory policies are influencing the development of inclusive finance, focusing on risk compensation rather than merely increasing customer numbers [5][10]. Risk Factors - Risks associated with real estate developers and retail sectors are highlighted, with potential for greater-than-expected exposure [6][11]. Profitability and Valuation Adjustments - Adjustments to profitability forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been made, with a focus on net interest income recovery and fee income growth [20][21]. - The expected net interest margin for 2026 is projected to be approximately 1.34%, a decrease of 6 basis points from 2025 [21][22]. - Fee income is expected to grow by 3.6% and 4.9% in 2026 and 2027 respectively, indicating a positive trend in non-interest income [21][22]. Asset Quality and Credit Costs - The net non-performing loan generation rate is expected to stabilize or slightly decline, with structural characteristics of retail and corporate lending continuing [11][21]. - Credit costs are projected to remain stable at around 0.58% for 2026 and 2027, reflecting the balance between corporate and household debt servicing capabilities [21][22]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for bank stocks, emphasizing the importance of dividend yield and asset quality in investment decisions [3][4][20]. Additional Insights - The banking sector is undergoing a transformation towards high-quality development, with a shift in focus from scale to quality, driven by macroeconomic pressures and regulatory changes [12][20]. - The reduction in the number of banking licenses over the past five years indicates successful risk management efforts within the sector [11][12]. - The report emphasizes the need for banks to adapt their strategies to maintain competitiveness in a changing regulatory and economic environment [12][20].

银行业反腐。 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组、天津市纪委监委消息：中国银行浙江省分行党委书记、行长程军涉嫌严重违纪违法，目前正接 受中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组纪律审查和天津市监察委员会监察调查。 据中央纪委国家监委驻中国建设银行纪检监察组、山东省纪委监委消息：中国建设银行河南省分行原党委书记、行长石永拴涉嫌严重违纪违 法，目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国建设银行纪检监察组纪律审查和山东省聊城市监察委员会监察调查。 证券时报各平台所有原创内容，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载。我社保留追 究相关 行 为主体法律责任的权利。 综合自：中央纪委国家监委网站 责编：李丹 校对：陶谦 版权声明 转载与合作可联系证券时报小助理，微信ID：SecuritiesTimes END 点击关键字可查看 潜望系列深度报道丨 股事会专栏 丨 投资小红书 丨 e公司调查 丨 时报会客厅 丨 十大明星私募访谈 丨 国常会，最新部署！ 丨 利好！每年让利投资者510亿 元，证监会新规出炉 丨 证监会，最新发布！ 丨 突发！300500、688333，被证监会立案 丨 2025A股收官！超500股翻倍 丨 突发暴跌！全 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the banking industry, suggesting a return to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1x during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on stable profitability and high-quality development [3][4]. Core Insights - The banking sector is transitioning from a focus on scale to quality, with an emphasis on risk management and structural optimization. The "15th Five-Year Plan" includes the goal of building a strong financial nation, highlighting the importance of high-quality development [3][16]. - The report identifies key changes in the banking industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan," including a shift in credit structure, a focus on profitability, and the need for banks to balance risk and efficiency [2][4]. - Regulatory support is expected to stabilize net interest margins, which have reached record lows, with a projected recovery in the coming years [5][19]. Summary by Sections 1. From Quantity to Quality - The banking industry has evolved through three five-year plans, with a shift from rapid expansion to a focus on quality and risk management. The current phase emphasizes high-quality development and financial support for key sectors [2][10]. 2. Developments During the "14th Five-Year Plan" 2.1 ROE: Resilience of State-Owned Banks and Advantages of City Commercial Banks - The return on equity (ROE) for listed banks has remained around 10%, with city commercial banks showing a slight advantage due to higher leverage and better provisioning [19][20]. 2.2 Credit: Moving Away from Scale to Balance Capital and Efficiency - Banks are prioritizing structural transformation over sheer volume, focusing on supporting key sectors and optimizing credit distribution [4][12]. 2.3 Interest Margin: Recovery from Continuous Decline - The report anticipates a stabilization of net interest margins, which have been under pressure, with regulatory measures aimed at supporting banks [5][19]. 2.4 Risk: Provisioning to Support Stability - The banking sector is expected to manage risks more effectively, with a focus on maintaining adequate provisions to support profitability during challenging economic conditions [4][19]. 2.5 Financial Markets: An Alternative Revenue Stream - The report highlights the increasing importance of financial market activities as a means to smooth revenue amid declining interest income, with banks diversifying their investment strategies [4][19]. 3. Investment Analysis Opinion - The report suggests a dual strategy of focusing on leading banks and undervalued city commercial banks, anticipating a recovery in valuations for state-owned banks that have been lagging [3][4].

【导读】中国银行浙江省分行党委书记、行长程军接受纪律审查和监察调查 程军在中国银行系统任职多年，曾任中国银行总行国际结算部总经理，中国银行总行贸易金融部总经理，中国银行约翰内斯堡分行行长，中国银行新加坡 分行行长等职务。2024年，任中国银行浙江省分行党委书记；同年7月，任中国银行浙江省分行行长。 （文章来源：中国基金报） 近期，程军还曾在相关活动中公开亮相。12月18日，中国民营经济国际合作商会发布消息称，当日下午，中国银行浙江省分行行长程军等人在该商会常务 会长单位桐昆调研。另有媒体报道称，12月23日，程军等人在杭钢集团开展工作交流。 公开资料显示，程军，中共党员，高级经济师，拥有中国人民大学与英国曼彻斯特大学经济学双硕士学位，英国皇家特许银行学会会士。 12月31日，中央纪委国家监委网站发布消息称，据中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组、天津市纪委监委消息：中国银行浙江省分行党委书记、行长 程军涉嫌严重违纪违法，目前正接受中央纪委国家监委驻中国银行纪检监察组纪律审查和天津市监察委员会监察调查。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing anti-corruption efforts within China's financial sector, highlighting the recent investigation of Cheng Jun, the president of Bank of China Zhejiang Branch, for serious violations of discipline and law, marking a significant trend in the scrutiny of high-ranking officials in state-owned banks [3][4]. Group 1: Investigations and Trends - Cheng Jun is the 211th central-level official investigated in 2025, a decrease from 257 in 2024, indicating a tightening of scrutiny on high-ranking officials [3]. - Cheng is the fifth former president of a state-owned bank's Zhejiang branch to be investigated in recent years, following several others who faced similar allegations of serious violations [4]. - In 2025, a total of 65 central management officials were investigated, surpassing the 58 from the previous year, while 722 provincial management officials were also scrutinized [5]. Group 2: Broader Anti-Corruption Efforts - The 20th Central Commission for Discipline Inspection's fourth plenary session emphasized the importance of deepening anti-corruption efforts in 2025, which is seen as a crucial year for the completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan [5]. - In 2024, disciplinary bodies across the country investigated 73 provincial-level and above officials, 4,348 bureau-level officials, 35,000 county-level officials, and 121,000 township-level officials, reflecting a comprehensive approach to tackling corruption [5].

Core Insights - In 2025, a total of 65 central management cadres were investigated, an increase from 58 in the previous year, indicating a continued focus on anti-corruption efforts [4] - The investigation of Cheng Jun, the Party Secretary and President of the Bank of China Zhejiang Branch, marks him as the 211th central-level cadre under investigation in 2025 [1] - The trend shows a decrease in the number of investigations of central-level cadres from 257 in 2024 to 211 in 2025, reflecting a tightening of scrutiny [1] Group 1 - Cheng Jun is the fifth former president of a state-owned bank's Zhejiang branch to be investigated in the past year, following several high-profile cases [3] - Other notable figures investigated include former senior experts and deputy directors from financial regulatory bodies, highlighting a broader crackdown on financial misconduct [4] - The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection emphasized the importance of deepening anti-corruption efforts as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4] Group 2 - In 2024, national disciplinary inspection agencies reported investigations involving 73 provincial-level and above cadres, 4,348 departmental-level cadres, and 35,000 county-level cadres [4] - The disciplinary actions taken included 73 provincial-level and above cadres, and 38,38 departmental-level cadres were punished, indicating a robust enforcement of regulations [4] - The ongoing efforts aim to provide strong support for the modernization of China through strict governance [4]

Core Insights - In 2025, a total of 65 central management cadres were investigated, an increase from 58 in the previous year, indicating a continued focus on anti-corruption efforts [2][4] - The investigation of Cheng Jun, the Party Secretary and President of Bank of China Zhejiang Branch, marks him as the 211th central-level cadre under investigation in 2025 [1][2] - The trend shows a decrease in the number of investigations of central-level cadres compared to 2024, where 257 were investigated, reflecting a potential shift in enforcement focus [1][2] Group 1 - Cheng Jun is the fifth former president of a state-owned bank's Zhejiang branch to be investigated in the past year, highlighting ongoing scrutiny in this sector [3] - Other notable figures investigated include former leaders from China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, all for "serious violations of discipline and law" [3] - The Central Commission for Discipline Inspection emphasized the need for high-quality development in disciplinary inspection and supervision work to support the modernization of China [2][3] Group 2 - In 2024, national disciplinary inspection agencies filed cases against 73 provincial-level and above cadres, 4,348 departmental-level cadres, 35,000 county-level cadres, and 121,000 township-level cadres [4] - Disciplinary actions taken included 73 provincial-level and above cadres, 3,838 departmental-level cadres, 31,000 county-level cadres, and 112,000 township-level cadres [4]