Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the impact of the U.S. military action against Venezuela on global markets, particularly driving safe-haven investments into gold and reinforcing a bullish trend in precious metals [1] - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the recent military action has led to strong international condemnation, increasing tensions in the global geopolitical landscape [1] - In the base metals sector, the beginning of the new year has seen supply issues, particularly with copper due to worker strikes, exacerbating existing supply constraints [1] Group 2 - The report notes that the supply side for electrolytic aluminum is facing potential production cuts, which has allowed London aluminum prices to break above key price levels [1] - Indonesian nickel miners have proposed reducing nickel ore quotas, and Vale's Indonesian operations have paused mining due to delays in production plans approved for 2026, supporting a rebound in nickel prices [1]

Group 1: Aerospace Industry - In 2025, multiple commercial rockets are set to launch, marking a significant development in China's aerospace sector as part of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - The manned lunar landing project will initiate several tests, and the Chang'e 7 mission aims to explore the presence of water ice at the Moon's south pole [1] Group 2: Emerging Markets and Technology - Emerging market stocks have experienced a strong start in 2026, reaching their highest level since 2021, driven by optimism surrounding Asia's position in artificial intelligence [2] - The MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose by 1.7% on the first trading day of the year, while technology stocks surged by 2.8% due to excitement over new listings and technological advancements [2] Group 3: Artificial Intelligence Development - DeepSeek has introduced a more efficient AI development method through a framework called "manifold-constrained hyperconnection" (mHC), aimed at enhancing scalability and reducing computational and energy demands [3] Group 4: Digital Currency - The digital yuan app has been upgraded to version 2.0, enhancing user experience and consolidating wallet access for managing digital yuan assets [4] Group 5: Nuclear Fusion Research - A breakthrough in density limits has been achieved by the EAST nuclear fusion experiment, providing significant physical evidence for high-density operation in magnetic confinement fusion devices [5] Group 6: Stock Market Outlook - CITIC Securities forecasts that the A-share bull market may continue in 2026, with expectations of a fluctuating upward trend but slower growth, emphasizing the importance of fundamental improvements [6] Group 7: Data Trading - The first "embodied intelligence dataset" has been successfully traded on the Jiangsu Data Exchange, marking a significant milestone in the trading of structured data for robotics [7] Group 8: Pharmaceutical Innovation - In 2025, China approved 76 innovative drugs, significantly surpassing the 48 approved in 2024, with a total authorization value exceeding $130 billion [9] Group 9: Quantum Computing - CITIC Securities reports that the quantum computing industry is expected to enter a phase of high compound growth, with market size projected to increase from approximately $5 billion in 2024 to around $800 billion by 2035 [10] Group 10: Energy Storage - The largest all-vanadium flow battery energy storage station in China has achieved full-capacity operation, with a rated power of 200,000 kW and a storage capacity of 1 million kWh, expected to enhance the utilization rate of associated photovoltaic power stations by over 10% annually [11]

Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to experience a "New Year opening red" trend due to improved liquidity and exchange rate conditions compared to the previous two years [1][3] - Key sectors to focus on include semiconductors, AI, non-bank financials, new energy, and machinery equipment, with a long-term positive outlook on industrial metals, small metals, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The market sentiment index has risen to 80, indicating high investor enthusiasm, and the "cross-year market" is likely to continue into January [2] Group 2 - The geopolitical tension from the U.S. military action in Venezuela is expected to lead to short-term increases in gold and oil prices, while the long-term impact on international oil prices may be negative [4] - China's heavy reliance on Venezuelan crude oil, which accounts for 80% of its imports, poses risks to certain chemical products due to potential instability in raw material supply [4] - The domestic technology sector, particularly semiconductors and AI chips, is positioned as a core driver of market performance, supported by government policies promoting smart devices and venture capital initiatives [4]

Group 1 - The A-share market is expected to experience a "New Year Red" rally due to improved liquidity and exchange rate conditions compared to the previous two years [3][17][54] - Key sectors to focus on include semiconductors, AI, non-bank financials, new energy, and machinery equipment, with a long-term outlook on industrial metals, small metals, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][40] - The market sentiment index has risen to 80, indicating a bullish sentiment, and the "New Year rally" is likely to continue into January [2][12][38] Group 2 - The A-share market has shown a strong performance in December, characterized by a "nine consecutive days of gains" pattern, which historically suggests continued upward movement [6][43][47] - High-performing sectors in December included defense, non-ferrous metals, communications, and machinery, aligning with the identified investment opportunities in high-growth industries like AI and commercial aerospace [10][47] - The domestic liquidity environment remains loose, supporting the continuation of the cross-year rally [19][56] Group 3 - The recent geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S. military actions in Venezuela, are expected to lead to short-term increases in gold and oil prices, while the overall impact on the market is anticipated to be limited [4][24][61] - The global technology sector is experiencing a rally, with significant movements in semiconductor and AI stocks, driven by favorable domestic policies and international trends [30][31][58] - The launch of the national venture capital guiding fund is expected to stimulate investment in emerging industries, including integrated circuits and artificial intelligence [33]

Group 1 - The core view is that the A-share bull market is expected to continue into 2026, with resource products likely becoming a new main direction after the technology sector [1][2] - The concept of "New Four Bulls" for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks includes "Capital Inflow Bull," "Technology Innovation Bull," "Institutional Reform Bull," and "Consumption Upgrade Bull," which will continue to drive the market upward in 2026 [1][3] - The expected GDP growth for 2026 is around 5%, supported by policy support, stable domestic demand, and industrial upgrades [2] Group 2 - In the A-share market, the index is expected to continue to rise but with a slower growth rate, and investors will focus more on fundamental improvements and economic verification [2] - Key industries to focus on include new energy, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, oil and petrochemicals, non-bank financials, military industry, machinery, and computers [2] - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to see increased activity due to the listing of high-quality domestic companies and the evolution of the U.S. interest rate cycle, presenting significant upward opportunities [1][3] Group 3 - In the global market, key assets to track in 2026 include precious metals like gold and silver, and under the influence of major trends, non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminum [3] - The AI industry chain remains worth tracking amid the U.S.-China technology security competition [3] - The bond market is expected to see a steepening yield curve, with credit spreads remaining low, and convertible bonds may exhibit significant oscillation characteristics [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share bull market is expected to continue into 2026, with the index likely to experience a volatile upward trend but with slower growth [1] - Investors are anticipated to focus more on fundamental improvements and verification of economic conditions [1] - There is a warning about potential structural or phase-based pullback risks in the technology sector, while resource products may emerge as a new main direction for A-shares following the technology sector [1] Group 2 - The ongoing comprehensive competition between China and the U.S. may significantly impact A-share investments, suggesting a need to focus on future industries and key resources, particularly in military industry sectors [1] - Key industries to watch include: new energy, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, oil and petrochemicals, non-bank financials, military industry, machinery equipment, and computers [1] - Thematic focuses include: new materials, solid-state batteries, commercial aerospace, nuclear power, and cross-strait integration [1]

Core Insights - In 2025, a total of 40 companies were approved for mergers and acquisitions in the A-share market, achieving a 100% approval rate [1][9]. Independent Financial Advisors Performance Ranking - A total of 19 independent financial advisory firms participated in the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Huatai United with 8 projects - Second: CITIC Construction with 7 projects - Third: CITIC Securities with 6 projects [1][11][12]. Legal Advisors Performance Ranking - 25 law firms were involved in the legal services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Beijing King & Wood Mallesons with 5 projects - Second: Beijing Jiyuan with 4 projects - Third: Beijing Zhonglun, Shanghai Jintiancheng, and Zhejiang Tiancai, each with 3 projects [2][13][15]. Accounting Firms Performance Ranking - 19 accounting firms provided auditing services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Tianjian with 9 projects - Second: Lixin with 7 projects - Third: Xinyong Zhonghe with 4 projects [4][16]. Asset Appraisal Agencies Performance Ranking - 20 asset appraisal agencies were involved in the asset evaluation for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three being: - First: Zhonglian Appraisal with 10 projects - Second: Jinzhen Appraisal with 5 projects - Third: Zhongqihua with 4 projects [6][17].

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, all 40 companies that underwent merger and acquisition (M&A) reviews in the A-share market were approved, achieving a 100% approval rate. Group 1: Independent Financial Advisors Performance Ranking - A total of 19 independent financial advisory firms participated in the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Huatai United with 8 projects - Second: CITIC Construction with 7 projects - Third: CITIC Securities with 6 projects [1] Group 2: Legal Advisors Performance Ranking - 25 law firms were involved in the legal services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Beijing King & Wood Mallesons with 5 projects - Second: Beijing JY with 4 projects - Third: Beijing Zhonglun, Shanghai Jintiancheng, and Zhejiang Tiance each with 3 projects [3] Group 3: Accounting Firms Performance Ranking - 19 accounting firms provided auditing services for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three firms being: - First: Tianjian with 9 projects - Second: Lixin with 7 projects - Third: Xinyong Zhonghe with 4 projects [7] Group 4: Asset Appraisal Agencies Performance Ranking - 20 asset appraisal agencies were involved in the asset evaluation for the 40 approved M&A projects, with the top three agencies being: - First: Zhonglian Appraisal with 10 projects - Second: Jinzhen Appraisal with 5 projects - Third: Zhongqihua with 4 projects [10]

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the optimistic outlook for the Chinese capital market in 2026, highlighting the potential for a sustained bull market driven by various factors including technological innovation, domestic consumption, and resource valuation [4][5][19]. Group 1: Market Overview - In 2025, the Chinese asset market underwent a comprehensive revaluation, with market activity significantly increasing and investor enthusiasm rising, leading to the A-share market's market capitalization surpassing one trillion yuan [4][19]. - The quality and structure of the capital market have improved, enhancing its inclusiveness and adaptability, which in turn strengthens its ability to serve new productive forces and benefit the public [4][19]. Group 2: Investment Strategies for 2026 - The report identifies three main investment themes for 2026: 1. **Technology Growth**: This is seen as the primary focus for market trends, with favorable policies and market consensus supporting sectors like new energy, aerospace, and advanced materials [5][19]. 2. **Domestic Demand**: Strengthening domestic markets and consumption is crucial, with a focus on companies that excel in traditional and emerging consumer sectors [6][20]. 3. **Resource Valuation**: There is a growing interest in resource commodities, driven by global monetary easing and supply-demand dynamics, which could present new investment opportunities [6][20]. Group 3: Future Outlook - 2026 marks the beginning of a new decade for the company, with a commitment to adapting its research model to the evolving global economic landscape and enhancing the quality of its research outputs [7][21]. - The company aims to leverage its industry expertise and global research capabilities to provide impactful insights and support for strategic decision-making in the capital market [7][21].

格隆汇1月1日｜中信建投研报称，随着中国新质生产力的蓬勃发展，高端制造升级的过程中也将伴随着 材料体系的升级，这也势必将带动部分金属元素迎来新的需求周期。而若再结合资源的"自主可控，安 全可靠"等战略属性、资源的供给瓶颈等，相关商品的价格中枢及资本市场权益标的的估值中枢有望共 振上移。 ...