Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with significant revenue growth driven by increased sales volume and higher average selling prices (ASP) [2][3] - The company is making progress in its globalization strategy and accelerating its smart driving technology development [4] - The financial forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted upwards due to better-than-expected Q3 results, reflecting a strong position in the mainstream new energy vehicle market [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue reached RMB 9.86 billion, with year-on-year growth of 74.3% and quarter-on-quarter growth of 83.9% [2] - The net loss attributable to equity holders for Q3 was RMB 690 million, an improvement from RMB 990 million in Q3 2023 and RMB 1.2 billion in Q2 2024 [2] - Adjusted net loss for Q3 was RMB 540 million, compared to RMB 790 million in Q3 2023 and RMB 1.08 billion in Q2 2024 [2] Sales and Margins - The company sold 84,000 vehicles in Q3, representing a year-on-year increase of 89.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 57.4% [3] - The gross margin for Q3 was 8.1%, with improvements driven by economies of scale and a higher proportion of high-margin models [3] - The company reported a reduction in per-vehicle loss to RMB 8,000 in Q3, down from RMB 22,000 in both Q3 2023 and Q2 2024 [3] Globalization and Technology Development - As of October 2024, the company has opened 339 dealerships in Europe, all offering sales and after-sales services [4] - The company plans to expand its presence in the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Africa, and South America markets, aiming for over 500 channels by 2025 [4] - The company is investing in advanced smart driving technology, with plans to implement high-level driving functions based on a large model by mid-2025 [4] Financial Projections - The revised net profit forecasts for 2024-2026 are RMB -3.33 billion, RMB 1.0 billion, and RMB 2.41 billion, respectively [5] - The company is positioned well in the new energy vehicle market, with clear advantages in R&D, channel management, and supply chain [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a breakeven point in domestic vehicle sales earlier than anticipated, with local manufacturing overseas likely to boost export growth. The revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 have been revised upwards due to strong order backlog and competitive pricing of B platform models, with projected revenues of 32.49 billion, 55.84 billion, and 77.72 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 94.0%, 71.9%, and 39.2% [2][3] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve rapidly, with Non-GAAP net profit forecasts adjusted to -2.83 billion, -690 million, and 1.87 billion yuan for 2024-2026, indicating a significant turnaround in profitability [2][3] - The B platform models are expected to solidify the company's competitive edge in terms of smart technology, with the new B10 model set to launch in 2025, which is anticipated to drive sales growth in the coming years [2][3] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company reported a revenue of 9.86 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a 74% increase year-on-year, with an average selling price (ASP) increase of approximately 15,000 yuan to 115,000 yuan [2] - The Non-GAAP net loss for Q3 2024 was 540 million yuan, better than expected, driven by a gross margin increase of 5.3 percentage points to 8.1% [2] - The company delivered 86,200 vehicles in Q3 2024, with a target of 250,000 deliveries for the full year, indicating strong demand and order growth [2][3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - In October 2024, the company achieved a significant year-on-year increase in vehicle deliveries, reaching 38,177 units, which is a 109.7% growth. The monthly order volume also set a record, exceeding 42,000 units, with all three models C10, C11, and C16 each receiving over 10,000 orders [3] - The B10 model was officially unveiled overseas, marking a key step in the company's global strategy. The B10 is designed for young global users and is built on the latest LEAP3.5 technology architecture, emphasizing intelligence, style, fun, and quality. The company has established over 200 dealerships across 13 European countries and plans to expand to 500 dealerships by the end of 2025 [3] - The company remains among the top three in sales among new energy vehicle manufacturers, with continuous improvements in user experience. Recent models have received high praise from consumers and media, and the C16 model has won multiple awards for its chassis and body design [4] - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of -3.703 billion RMB in 2024, -1.08 billion RMB in 2025, and a positive profit of 854 million RMB in 2026, with a corresponding PE ratio of 46.37 in 2026 [4][5] Financial Summary - The company expects to achieve operating revenue of 29.906 billion RMB in 2024, with a growth rate of 78.58%. By 2026, the revenue is projected to reach 79.932 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 47.47% [5][6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to improve from -4.216 billion RMB in 2023 to a positive 854 million RMB in 2026, indicating a significant turnaround [5][6] - The company's total assets are expected to grow from 32.563 billion RMB in 2024 to 61.452 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 9.86 billion yuan for Q3 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 89.3% and a year-on-year growth of 74.3%, despite a net loss attributable to shareholders of 690 million yuan [2] - The gross margin improved to 8.1% in Q3 2024, an increase of 5.3 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to changes in product sales structure, ongoing cost management, and economies of scale from increased sales [2] - The C-series products are performing well, with over 40,000 new orders in October 2024, and the company expects to exceed its annual sales target of 250,000 vehicles [3] - The company plans to unveil a new model, the B10, at the Guangzhou Auto Show on November 15, 2024, featuring advanced technology for high-level assisted driving [3] Financial Performance Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of -3.703 billion yuan in 2024, -1.080 billion yuan in 2025, and 854 million yuan in 2026, with a corresponding PE ratio of 46.37 in 2026 [5] - Revenue is expected to grow significantly from 16.747 billion yuan in 2023 to 79.932 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 295.41% in 2023 and 78.58% in 2024 [4][6] - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 0.48% in 2023 to 14.00% in 2026, while the net profit margin is expected to turn positive by 2026 [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][5]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2024 performance shows significant improvement in profitability, with revenue reaching 9.86 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 74.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 83.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders narrowed to a loss of 690 million yuan, improving by 300 million yuan year-on-year and 510 million yuan quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 improved to 8.1%, up 6.9 percentage points year-on-year and 5.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales volume and a higher proportion of high-value C series products [3]. - The company achieved a significant increase in sales volume, with Q3 2024 sales reaching 86,200 units, a year-on-year increase of 94.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 61.7%. The C series accounted for 78.3% of total sales in Q3 2024 [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 29.87 billion, 49.24 billion, and 65.08 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 78%, 65%, and 32% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -3.80 billion, -2.74 billion, and 130 million yuan, indicating a trend of narrowing losses and a return to profitability by 2026 [5][6]. - The average selling price (ASP) for vehicles in Q3 2024 was 114,000 yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14% due to changes in sales structure [3]. - The company plans to expand its sales network, aiming to exceed 700 sales outlets by the end of 2024, up from 493 outlets as of September 2024 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 45, corresponding to a market capitalization of HKD 595 billion, based on a 1x 2025 estimated price-to-sales ratio [4][5]. Core Insights - The company achieved impressive sales performance in Q3, delivering 86,165 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 94% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 62%. Revenue for Q3 increased by 74.3% to RMB 9.86 billion, driven by the introduction of higher-priced models and improved cost management [1][2]. - The gross margin for Q3 significantly exceeded expectations, rising to 8.1%, a year-on-year increase of 6.9 percentage points, with gross profit doubling to approximately RMB 800 million [1][3]. - The company is expected to exceed its annual sales target of 250,000 vehicles, with Q4 sales projected to surpass 110,000 units due to ongoing trade-in policies and new model launches [2][3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In Q3, approximately 78.3% of the vehicles sold were from the C series, indicating an improved product mix. Monthly sales have shown consistent growth, with October sales reaching 38,177 units [2]. - The company plans to launch three new B series models in 2025, which are expected to contribute significantly to sales growth [2]. Production Capacity - The current production capacity at the Jinhua factory is nearly maxed out at around 40,000 units per month. A new factory in Hangzhou is under construction, aiming for production in the first half of 2025, with plans for a third factory to be operational by late 2025 or early 2026 [2][3]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates achieving a gross margin of over 5% for the full year, with Q1-Q3 gross margin averaging 4.8%. Projections for 2025 suggest an average gross margin of around 9% [3][4]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are estimated at RMB 32.24 billion, RMB 55.05 billion, and RMB 81.72 billion, respectively, with net profit margins expected to improve from -9% in 2024 to 2% in 2026 [4][10]. Market Expansion - The company has set an overseas sales target of 8,000 to 12,000 units for 2024, with plans for localized production in Europe by the end of 2025. The establishment of 339 dealerships in Europe has already surpassed initial targets [3][4].

零跑汽车 20241111 摘要 • 零跑汽车在 2024 年第三季度取得了显著的业务进展，交付量环比增长 61%， 同比增长 94%，达到 86,165 台。营业收入达到 98.6 亿元，环比增长 84%， 同比增长 74%。毛利率大幅改善至 8.1%，净亏损为 6.9 亿元，但经营性现 金流稳步提升，达到 19.6 亿元。 • 零跑汽车 C 系列车型占比持续优化，从一季度的 72%提升到二季度的 75%， 再到三季度的 78%。前三个季度总销量达到 17.28 万台。10 月份销量达到 3.81 万台，当月订单超过 4 万台，其中 C11、C10 和 C16 三款 SUV 订单均 超过 1 万台。 • 零跑汽车将继续推进产品多样化战略，计划推出 B 系列车型，其中首款紧 凑型 SUV B10 已于 10 月 14 日在巴黎车展全球首秀，预计将在 2025 年第 一季度末左右在国内上市。B10 基于全新的 Leap 3.5 架构打造，配备高 通 8,295 芯片及 AI 大模型，搭载激光雷达和高通最新 8,650 智驾芯片， 实现城市及高架领航等高阶辅助驾驶功能。 • 零跑汽车在研发方面持续加大投入，今年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Leap Motor (9863.HK) and raises the target price to HKD 43.2, indicating a potential upside of 27% [1][5]. Core Insights - Leap Motor's Q3 automotive sales saw significant growth, with a notable improvement in gross margin. The company anticipates reaching a sales target of 500,000 new energy vehicles next year, driven by new models and overseas sales growth [1][2]. - The current price-to-sales ratio for Leap Motor is 0.9x, which is considered attractive compared to other comparable new energy vehicle manufacturers [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, Leap Motor achieved revenue of RMB 9.86 billion, a year-on-year increase of 74% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 84%. The gross margin for Q3 was 8.1%, up 6.9 percentage points year-on-year and 5.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2][8]. - The company expects continued improvement in gross margin in Q4, potentially exceeding the annual target of 5% [2][3]. Sales and Production Outlook - Leap Motor's sales target for next year is set at 500,000 units, with a gross margin target of 10%. The average selling price of vehicles is expected to improve due to increased sales of the C16 model [3][9]. - The company plans to launch three new B-series models next year, with the B10 expected to start deliveries in April [3][4]. Valuation - The valuation is based on a sum-of-the-parts approach, applying a price-to-sales ratio of 0.9x for automotive sales and 2.0x for services and other income, leading to a target price of HKD 43.2 [3][10]. - The report highlights that Leap Motor's historical average price-to-sales ratio since its listing is 0.9x, indicating that the current valuation is in line with historical performance [11].

新消费日报 11月12日讯， 今日新消费日报的主要内容有：问界M9累计大定超17万辆；10月汽车出口 54.2万辆 同比增长11.1%；10月国内新能源汽车销量143万辆。 行业要闻 极氪7X车型交付量超2万 11月11日，极氪宣布，极氪7X上市50天交付超2万台。据了解，极氪旗下中型SUV——极氪7X于9月20 日正式上市，新车共推出3款配置车型，售价区间为22.99万至26.99万元。 唯品会双11女士夹克销量同比增长72% 唯品会11.11特卖狂欢节数据显示，秋冬服饰仍是双11的C位，女士针织衫、女士外套、女士羽绒服等位 居服饰消费前列，女士夹克销量同比增长72%，女士棉衣、女士羊毛衫销量同比增长50%以上。男士外 套销量同比增长30%以上。 小鹏MONA 03正式开放官方改色服务 11月11日，小鹏汽车董事长何小鹏宣布，小鹏MONA 03正式开放官方改色服务，售价2990元起，支持 积分兑换。 亚瑟士前三季度销售额涨17.3% 近日，日本运动品牌亚瑟士Ascis发布2024年前三季度财务数据。财报显示，2024年前三季度，亚瑟士 销售额增长了17.3%，达到5254亿日元（约合246亿元人民币）；毛利 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2024, the company delivered 86,165 vehicles, representing a 61% increase quarter-over-quarter and a 94% increase year-over-year [2][3] - Revenue for Q3 reached 9.86 billion RMB, an 84% increase from the previous quarter and a 74% increase year-over-year [3][4] - Gross margin improved significantly to 8.1% in Q3, compared to 2.8% in Q2, with an average gross margin of 4.8% for the first nine months [5][6] - The net loss narrowed to 690 million RMB, showing substantial improvement compared to previous quarters [5][6] - The company reported a positive cash flow of 1.96 billion RMB in Q3, with cash reserves totaling 18.7 billion RMB [3][5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The C series models accounted for 78.3% of total deliveries in Q3, indicating a continuous optimization of the product mix [2][3] - The company achieved a total sales volume of 172,800 vehicles in the first nine months of 2024 [3][4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded its domestic sales network to 493 sales outlets and 362 service centers by the end of September 2024 [3][4] - In Europe, the number of dealer outlets reached 339 by the end of October 2024, indicating a strong international presence [3][4] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to launch the new B series models, with the first model, B10, debuting at the Paris Auto Show and expected to be available in the domestic market by Q1 2025 [7][8] - The B series aims to target the compact SUV market priced between 100,000 to 150,000 RMB, which is a significant segment in China [7][8] - The company is focusing on maximizing platform sharing and integrating advanced technologies in its new models [6][7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about maintaining strong sales momentum, with expectations to exceed the annual sales target of 250,000 vehicles [9][10] - The company anticipates continued improvement in gross margins and a further reduction in net losses in Q4 2024 [9][10] - Management acknowledged challenges posed by geopolitical factors affecting the European market but remains committed to localizing production to enhance competitiveness [19][20] Other Important Information - The company is investing in R&D for AI and smart driving technologies, with plans to enhance its product offerings with advanced features [8][28] - The company aims to expand its sales channels to over 700 domestic sales outlets and 400 service centers by the end of 2024 [8][9] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the latest sales and gross margin guidance? - Management expects significant sales growth in Q4, with a gross margin improvement anticipated [11][12] Question: What is the production capacity planning for the B series? - The company is working on expanding production capacity, with plans for a new factory in Hangzhou to support the B series [14][15] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges in the European market? - Management highlighted the importance of localization to mitigate the impact of tariffs and enhance competitiveness in Europe [19][20] Question: What is the expected contribution of the B series to overall sales? - The B series is expected to significantly boost sales, with a target of reaching over 500,000 units in the next two years [12][13] Question: How does the company plan to compete in the smart driving segment? - The company is focusing on integrating advanced AI technologies and enhancing its smart driving capabilities in upcoming models [28][29]