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【乘用车1月月报】内需静待改善,出口韧性较强
东吴汽车黄细里团队· 2026-01-30 14:43
Group 1: Electric Vehicle Market Insights - In December 2025, the retail penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 58.7%, with a year-on-year increase of 10.9% but a month-on-month decrease of 2.5 percentage points [2][6][14] - The retail sales of passenger vehicles in December 2025 were 2.27 million units, showing a year-on-year decline of 16% and a month-on-month increase of 14.7% [11][14] - BYD maintained a market share of 25% in the NEV sector, while Geely's market share decreased to 11% [22][6] Group 2: Global Market Performance - In December 2025, Southeast Asia's NEV penetration rate exceeded expectations, with a significant contribution from VinFast, leading to a month-on-month increase [3][35] - Chinese automakers exported 641,000 passenger vehicles in December 2025, with 245,000 being NEVs, resulting in a NEV penetration rate of 38.2% [3][7] - The market share of Chinese brands in Southeast Asia reached 14.7%, with a month-on-month increase of 0.8 percentage points [51][62] Group 3: Policy and Market Outlook - The old-for-new vehicle replacement policy is set to be implemented in January 2026, which is expected to stimulate demand in the passenger vehicle market [2][6] - The industry anticipates a recovery in passenger vehicle demand in Q1 2026, driven by the new policy and a shift in consumer sentiment [4][6] - The focus for domestic investments is on companies less sensitive to policy fluctuations, such as JAC Motors, and those expected to see growth in the high-end electric vehicle segment, including Geely and Great Wall Motors [4][6]
零跑汽车(09863) - 根据一般授权认购新内资股之补充公告
2026-01-30 08:30
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚 賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 ZHEJIANG LEAPMOTOR TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD. 浙江零跑科技股份有限公司 除該公告所披露的資料外,董事會謹此提供以下有關內資股認購事項的補充資料。 金義高新是聚焦城市綜合運營與新興產業投資的綜合性產業投資公司,由金華市 人民政府國有資產監督管理委員會間接全資擁有,因此其最終實益擁有人為金華 市人民政府國有資產監督管理委員會。據董事作出一切合理查詢後所深知、全悉 及確信,除上文所披露者外,金義高新以及其最終實益擁有人均為獨立於本公司 及其關連人士(定義見上市規則)的第三方。 承董事會命 浙江零跑科技股份有限公司 創始人、董事長兼首席執行官 朱江明先生 香港,2026年1月30日 於本公告日期,董事會包括執行董事朱江明先生、曹力先生及周洪濤先生;及非 執行董事Grégoire Olivier先生、Davide Mele先生及金宇峰先生;以及獨立非執行 董事付于武先生、萬家樂女 ...
【深度分析】2025年12月份全国新能源市场深度分析报告
乘联分会· 2026-01-30 08:28
Overall Market - The total market for passenger vehicles in 2025 is projected to have a production of 29.67 million units, with a retail sales figure of 23.74 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.8% [9][10]. - The market share of new energy vehicles (NEV) is expected to reach 53.9% in 2025, up from 47.6% in 2024, indicating a significant increase in consumer adoption [10][12]. Submarket Analysis - The breakdown of the total market shows that NEVs will account for 12.81 million units in retail sales, representing a 17.6% increase compared to 2024 [10][12]. - The retail sales of fuel vehicles are projected to decline by 14.0% year-on-year, highlighting a shift in consumer preference towards NEVs [9][10]. Export Market - The export of NEVs is expected to grow significantly, with a total of 5.74 million units exported in 2025, marking a 19.7% increase from the previous year [16][17]. - The penetration rate of NEVs in the export market is projected to reach 42.2% in 2025, up from 27.1% in 2024, indicating a strong demand for Chinese NEVs abroad [20][22]. Manufacturer Performance - BYD is leading the NEV market with a wholesale volume of 414,784 units, although this represents a decline of 18.6% year-on-year [25]. - Tesla China ranks third in wholesale sales with 97,171 units, showing a modest growth of 3.6% [25]. - The top ten manufacturers collectively account for 71.5% of the NEV market share, indicating a high concentration in the industry [25][26]. Vehicle Type Segmentation - In 2025, the retail sales of sedans, MPVs, and SUVs are projected to be 12.26 million, 1.30 million, and 10.18 million units respectively, with NEVs showing a positive growth trend across all categories [30][31]. - The retail sales of fuel vehicles in the sedan category are expected to decline by 30.3%, while NEVs in the same category are projected to grow by 2.6% [30][31].
乘用车1月月报:内需静待改善,出口韧性较强
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-30 08:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the passenger car sector, particularly in the context of the new vehicle replacement policy and the resilience of exports [2][3]. Core Insights - The passenger car industry experienced a significant decline in retail sales in December 2025, with a year-on-year drop of 16% and a total retail volume of 227,000 units. The wholesale volume was 279,000 units, reflecting a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year [7][10]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 58.7% in December 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.9% [10][12]. - The report highlights the stability of the NEV market, with BYD holding a market share of 25% and Geely at 11% in December 2025 [16]. Electric Vehicle Data Tracking - The report indicates that the old-for-new vehicle replacement policy was implemented in January 2026, which is expected to stimulate demand in the passenger car market [2][3]. - In December 2025, the NEV wholesale volume was 156,300 units, with a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [12]. - The report notes a significant inventory reduction in the passenger car sector, with a total decrease of 69,000 units in December 2025, including 43,000 units of NEVs [13]. Globalization Data Tracking - The report tracks the performance of Chinese car manufacturers in international markets, noting that in December 2025, 641,000 passenger cars were exported, with 245,000 being NEVs, resulting in a penetration rate of 38.2% for NEVs [3][43]. - The report highlights the strong performance of BYD in exports, particularly in Southeast Asia, where the NEV penetration rate exceeded expectations [3][27]. - The market share of Chinese brands in various regions, including Southeast Asia and Europe, showed positive trends, with notable increases in the UK market [38][40].
8点1氪丨盒马回应将鲜百合误送成水仙球致用户中毒;水贝知名黄金平台“杰我睿”被曝经营异常;追觅CEO首次回应“断指计划”
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-29 00:13
Group 1 - 31 provinces in China have announced their economic growth rates for 2025, with nearly half exceeding last year's targets. Tibet leads with a growth rate of 7%, followed by Gansu at 5.8% and Hebei and Henan at 5.6% [4] - Shenzhen Metro Group has provided an additional loan of 2.36 billion yuan to Vanke for debt repayment, with a three-year term and an interest rate of 2.34% [4] - Hang Seng Bank has officially delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, following a privatization plan by HSBC that was approved by the Hong Kong High Court [5] Group 2 - ByteDance has implemented new social media guidelines prohibiting employees from using company resources for personal profit, which is expected to significantly reduce the number of commercial accounts operated by employees [6] - Amazon announced a restructuring that will affect nearly 16,000 jobs, while continuing to recruit talent in key strategic areas [7] - Tesla plans to cease production of the Model S and Model X vehicles to focus on its "Optimus" robot production line, marking a shift towards a future based on autonomous driving [9] Group 3 - Meta reported fourth-quarter revenue of $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with advertising revenue also up by 24% [17] - Microsoft announced second-quarter revenue of $81.27 billion, with significant contributions from its cloud and productivity segments [17] - Tesla's fourth-quarter revenue was $24.90 billion, a 3% year-over-year decline, with net profit down 61% to $840 million [17]
氪星晚报|字节跳动旗下公司等入股弋途科技;SpaceX考虑于6月中旬进行IPO;曦望发布新一代推理芯片S3
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-28 09:31
Group 1: Company Performance - iFlytek expects a net profit of 785 million to 950 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 70% [1] - SK Hynix reported an annual operating profit of 47.2 trillion won and a sales revenue of 97.1 trillion won for the year [2] - Good Idea announced that its subsidiary, Mingming Henmang, officially listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the company holding 5.8355% of the shares [3] Group 2: Investment and Financing - Goldman Sachs predicts an influx of 3.6 trillion yuan into the Chinese stock market by 2026, driven by individual and institutional investors [2] - Digital Edge plans to invest 4.5 billion USD in building a large-scale data center park in Indonesia, marking its largest infrastructure project to date [8] Group 3: New Products and Innovations - Sunrise launched its new generation inference chip S3, which features a fourfold increase in memory capacity compared to the previous generation [9] - Black Sesame Intelligence released the FAD2.0 open platform, marking the A2000's entry into large-scale application [10]
全球视野看电车之四:德国电车补贴重启,欧洲新能源进一步加速
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-27 09:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry is "Positive" and maintained [6]. Core Insights - The German government plans to restart the electric vehicle (EV) subsidy policy that was suspended in 2023, with a total budget of €3 billion (approximately ¥24 billion), aimed at boosting the domestic automotive industry and accelerating the green transition [2][4][18]. - The subsidy will provide between €1,500 and €6,000 for eligible low- to middle-income families purchasing new energy vehicles priced below €45,000, effective from January 1, 2026, until 2029 or until funds are exhausted [18]. - The expected impact of the subsidy is to significantly increase the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Germany, with projections indicating that at least 500,000 vehicles will be subsidized, accounting for approximately 29.5% of the expected new energy vehicle sales in 2025 [18][21]. Summary by Sections Event Description - On January 19, the German government announced the restart of the EV subsidy policy, with a total budget of €3 billion, to enhance the penetration of new energy vehicles in the market [4][18]. Market Performance - The report indicates that the penetration rate of new energy vehicles in Germany is expected to rise significantly due to the subsidy, with a projected 84,700 new energy vehicles sold in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48.3% [13][18]. - The overall new energy vehicle sales in Europe are projected to reach 3.9 million units in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 32.7% [13][18]. Implications for Domestic Companies - The subsidy is expected to benefit domestic companies such as BYD, Leapmotor, and SAIC, as many of their models are priced below €45,000 [30]. - The increase in new energy vehicle penetration in Europe is anticipated to positively impact the performance of domestic component manufacturers and vehicle producers operating in the European market [30].
港股汽车板块盘初走低
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-26 01:47
本文源自:金融界AI电报 港股汽车板块盘初走低,小鹏汽车(09868.HK)跌超3%,蔚来汽车(09866.HK)跌2.51%,长城汽车 (02333.HK)、零跑汽车(09863.HK)跌幅居前。 ...
汽车行业周报:补贴政策变化致25Q4翘尾现象消失,对26年需求透支有所减少-20260125
GF SECURITIES· 2026-01-25 09:48
Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the automotive sector, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [5][22]. Core Insights - The change in subsidy policies has led to the disappearance of the tail effect in Q4 2025, resulting in a reduction of demand overdraw for 2026. In December 2025, the number of insured vehicles was 2.278 million, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 13.6% month-on-month. The total number of insured vehicles for the year reached 23.047 million, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles rising to 54.0%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][7][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Subsidy Policies - The report highlights that the changes in subsidy policies have caused consumers to adopt a wait-and-see approach, leading to a decrease in demand overdraw for 2026. The expectation is that as replacement subsidy application channels open, pent-up demand will materialize, and the domestic terminal market will trend towards "price increase and stable volume" [4][7]. 2. PHEV Market Share Tracking - The focus is on the performance of PHEV market shares, particularly for BYD and Geely, as the "mid-level assisted driving equity" leads to share differentiation. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring configuration adjustments and terminal discount changes to understand further market share differentiation [9][16]. 3. Recent Report Insights - The report notes that the passenger vehicle inventory saw a slight reduction in December 2025, with an estimated 1.5 million vehicles in demand waiting to be fulfilled. The overall industry theme for 2025 was "emerging from deflation," with a judgment of "stable volume and slow price increase" being validated. The outlook for 2026 remains "price increase and stable volume," differing from market consensus due to regulatory changes and risk-return assessments [16][17]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending various companies across the passenger vehicle chain. Right-side targets include Geely, BYD, and others, while left-side targets include Great Wall Motors and Changan Automobile. In the commercial vehicle chain, recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [17].
第十二届金轩盛典在京举办 汽车营销逻辑迎系统性变革
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-01-24 09:28
Group 1 - The 12th Jin Xuan Award ceremony was held in Beijing, recognizing 20 gold award marketing cases, 6 annual awards, and 43 excellent marketing cases across various categories including creative works, public welfare and sustainable development, AIGC marketing, and brand IP marketing [2] - Notable winners include Volkswagen China and Toyota China for public welfare and sustainable development, Wuling for creative works, and Mercedes-Benz and SAIC Audi for cross-border marketing [2] - The award introduced a dual-track collection mechanism this year, combining committee nominations and enterprise applications, resulting in over 500 initial cases and 84 benchmark cases shortlisted after multiple rounds of screening [2] Group 2 - The Jin Xuan Award highlights the shift in marketing strategies in the automotive industry due to information overload and weakened traditional marketing effectiveness, emphasizing the need for "meaning reconstruction and value redefinition" [3] - The award ceremony featured the launch of the Xuanyuan Matrix, which consists of three main components: industry services, industry evaluation, and industry communication, aimed at creating a comprehensive support system for the automotive marketing sector [3] - The marketing focus is shifting towards three-dimensional values of "temperature, scale, and attitude," with an emphasis on AI technology and user experience throughout the entire vehicle usage process [3]