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从零跑汽车三季报发布,看到了中国车企盈利的新范式
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-19 10:51
Core Insights - Leap Motor reported a strong Q3 2025 earnings with revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, a 97.3% increase year-over-year and a 36.7% increase from Q2 2025, alongside a net profit of 150 million yuan [1] - The company has successfully completed its annual sales target of 500,000 units ahead of schedule, boosting investor confidence in its performance for the year [1] Group 1: Business Strategy - Leap Motor follows a "Uniqlo of the automotive industry" strategy, focusing on mass-market appeal and operational efficiency, which has led to sustained profitability and growth [4][5] - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix that minimizes internal competition while maximizing market coverage, contributing to its sales success [5][7] Group 2: Product Performance - The C series, particularly the C11 model, has established a strong foothold in the competitive 150,000 to 200,000 yuan market, achieving over 11,000 units sold in October alone [7] - The B series has also gained traction, with the B01 model quickly reaching monthly sales of over 10,000 units, offering advanced features at a competitive price point [7][8] Group 3: Cost Efficiency - Leap Motor's sales and management expense ratios are significantly lower than competitors, indicating effective cost management [8] - The company has achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.88 billion yuan, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities [8] Group 4: Technological Innovation - Leap Motor emphasizes in-house research and development, achieving a self-manufacturing rate of 65%, which enhances cost control and product quality [12][13] - The company has pioneered technologies such as CTC battery integration, improving vehicle space utilization and safety [10][12] Group 5: Growth Projections - Leap Motor aims to sell one million vehicles by 2026, supported by a robust product lineup and expanding market presence [15][19] - The company plans to enhance its product offerings with new models across various price segments, targeting both domestic and international markets [17][21] Group 6: Market Expansion - Leap Motor is actively expanding its sales channels, aiming to exceed 1,000 domestic outlets by year-end and penetrate lower-tier cities [19] - The company is also pursuing international market opportunities, particularly in regions with high growth potential for electric vehicles [21]
零跑汽车(09863):零跑汽车三季报点评:毛利率持续提升,海外表现超预期
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-19 10:45
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 19.45 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 14.5% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan. The strong domestic new car cycle and competitive pricing strategy are expected to drive continuous sales growth [2][5][9]. - The collaboration with Stellantis, the fourth largest automotive group globally, allows the company to leverage its extensive sales and after-sales network for a low-investment, rapid global expansion strategy, enhancing profitability through higher per-vehicle earnings [7][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company sold 174,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 107.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.6%. The revenue of 19.45 billion yuan reflects a year-on-year growth of 97.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 36.7% [9]. - The average revenue per vehicle was 112,000 yuan, showing a slight year-on-year decrease of 6,000 yuan but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6,000 yuan [9]. - The gross margin improved by 6.4 percentage points year-on-year and 0.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, driven by economies of scale, cost reduction, and product structure optimization [9]. Market Strategy - The company is positioned in the 50,000 to 200,000 yuan price range, with plans to launch 2-3 new models globally each year over the next three years. The B10 and B01 models have already been launched, with another model, Lafa5, planned for release within 2025 [9]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 866 sales outlets in China and over 700 international sales and service points across approximately 30 markets, including Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific [9]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 630 million yuan, 5.01 billion yuan, and 8.37 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 112.2x, 14.2x, and 8.5x [7][9].
小鹏、零跑业绩不及预期引发股价下行,汽车行业格局生变?
第一财经· 2025-11-19 10:14
Core Viewpoint - The recent quarterly earnings reports from electric vehicle manufacturers, particularly Xiaopeng Motors and Leap Motor, have raised concerns in the market, leading to significant stock price declines. The automotive industry is expected to undergo changes due to factors such as price reductions in electric vehicles and the reintroduction of vehicle purchase taxes in 2026 [2][4][9]. Company Performance - Xiaopeng Motors reported a revenue of 20.38 billion yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of nearly 100%, with total deliveries of approximately 116,000 units, up 149.3% year-on-year. However, the company incurred a net loss of 380 million yuan, although this represented a narrowing of losses compared to previous periods. The forecast for Q4 deliveries is between 125,000 and 132,000 units, indicating a year-on-year growth of 36.6% to 44.3% [5][6]. - Leap Motor achieved a revenue of 19.45 billion yuan in Q3, nearly doubling year-on-year, and reported a net profit of 150 million yuan, marking a return to profitability despite an 8% decline from the previous quarter. The total delivery volume for Q3 was 173,800 units, with October deliveries reaching 70,300 units [5][6]. - Geely Automobile, as a traditional automaker, reported Q3 revenue of 89.2 billion yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 59% year-on-year. The total sales volume for Q3 was 761,000 units, reflecting a 43% year-on-year growth [5][6]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The stock prices of Xiaopeng and Leap Motor fell significantly after their earnings reports, with Xiaopeng's stock dropping by 10.47% to 85.85 HKD, while Geely's stock saw a smaller decline of 1.16% [4][8]. - Analysts suggest that the automotive sector is experiencing a weak performance, with declining sales data and concerns over the impact of the vehicle purchase tax reinstatement in 2026. This may lead to a slowdown in growth for the industry, prompting companies to enhance sales volumes to mitigate margin pressures [6][10]. - The average price reduction for electric vehicles in October was 18,000 yuan, a decrease of 11.1%, indicating a competitive pricing environment as companies prepare for the upcoming tax changes [9][10].
港股收评:三大指数齐跌!黄金股逆势领涨,新能源车企、芯片股低迷
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-19 08:57
Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market indices experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling by 0.69%, reaching a new low since early September. The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 0.38% and 0.26%, respectively [1][2]. Technology Sector - Major technology stocks mostly declined, with Xiaomi dropping nearly 5%, Kuaishou down over 1%, and slight declines in JD.com, Meituan, Baidu, and Tencent. Alibaba saw an increase of over 1% [2][4][5]. New Energy Vehicle Sector - Stocks in the new energy vehicle sector fell, including Li Auto, NIO, Chery, Beijing Automotive, BYD, and Leap Motor [6]. Semiconductor Sector - Semiconductor stocks experienced declines, with companies like Shanghai Fudan, Jingmen Semiconductor, and Zhongxing Communications reporting losses [7][8]. Gold Sector - Gold stocks led the market gains, with China Gold International rising over 8%. Other gold-related stocks also saw increases, driven by expectations of significant gold purchases by global central banks [9][10]. Military Industry - Military stocks performed well, with China Shipbuilding Industry rising over 9%. Analysts expect the military industry to enter an upward cycle, supported by recent quarterly reports indicating a narrowing decline in performance [11][12]. Oil Sector - Oil stocks saw an uptick, with China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation increasing nearly 3%. This rise is attributed to recent increases in crude oil futures prices [13]. Lithium Battery Sector - Lithium battery stocks gained, with Tianqi Lithium rising nearly 3%. The market for lithium carbonate has shown significant recovery, with prices expected to rise further due to increasing demand [15][16]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment remains cautious, with expectations of continued adjustments in the Hong Kong stock market due to weak macro liquidity and corporate earnings forecasts. Investors are advised to wait for clearer signals from U.S. monetary policy and mainland economic data before seeking rebound opportunities [21].
小鹏、零跑业绩不及预期引发股价下行,汽车行业格局生变?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 08:22
Core Insights - The recent performance of electric vehicle manufacturers, particularly Xiaopeng and Li Auto, has raised concerns in the market, leading to significant stock price declines following their earnings reports [1][2][4] - The automotive industry is expected to undergo changes due to the reintroduction of vehicle purchase tax for electric vehicles starting in 2026, which may affect consumer choices and market dynamics [5][6][7] Company Performance - Xiaopeng Motors reported a revenue of 20.38 billion yuan for Q3, a year-on-year increase of nearly 100%, but incurred a net loss of 380 million yuan, although this loss narrowed compared to previous periods [2][3] - Li Auto achieved a revenue of 19.45 billion yuan in Q3, nearly doubling year-on-year, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, but experienced an 8% decline in net profit compared to the previous quarter [2][3] - Geely's Q3 revenue reached 89.2 billion yuan, a 27% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 3.82 billion yuan, up 59% year-on-year, and total sales of 761,000 units, a 43% increase [3] Market Dynamics - Xiaopeng's stock price fell by 10.47% to 85.85 HKD, marking a cumulative decline of over 20% since November 12, while Geely's stock fell by 1.16% to 17 HKD, resulting in a market capitalization of 172 billion HKD [2] - The average selling price of Xiaopeng vehicles decreased by 0.8 million yuan to 156,000 yuan, with a gross margin of 13.1%, slightly below market expectations [3] - The automotive sector is experiencing a weak performance overall, with concerns about declining sales data and the impact of upcoming policy changes on growth rates [4][6] Future Outlook - The reintroduction of the vehicle purchase tax in 2026 is expected to slow down the growth of the passenger vehicle market, potentially leading to increased promotional activities among electric vehicle manufacturers [6][7] - Analysts suggest that the automotive industry will see a differentiation among companies, with stronger competitors likely to emerge as the market adjusts to the new tax environment [6][7]
零跑汽车(09863):单季度盈利持续且海外拓展提速
HTSC· 2025-11-19 02:59
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 89.40 [1][5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 19.45 billion for Q3 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 97.3% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 36.7% [1] - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 150 million in Q3 2025, continuing its trend of profitability [1] - The company is expected to experience a strong new car cycle from 2025 to 2026, with anticipated revenue growth driven by strategic partnerships and overseas expansion [1][4] Summary by Sections Quarterly Performance - In Q3 2025, the company sold 174,000 vehicles, marking a historical high with a month-over-month increase in sales [2] - The sales structure improved, with the B/C platform accounting for 56% and 35% of sales, respectively, while the low-priced T03 model's share decreased to 9% [2] - The gross margin for Q3 was 14.50%, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.40 percentage points, attributed to scale effects and cost management [3] Growth Prospects - The company is set to launch multiple new models in 2026, supporting a sales target of one million units [4] - The overseas market is expanding rapidly, with 38,000 units exported from January to September 2025 and a significant increase in overseas orders [4] - Strategic collaborations are expected to contribute to revenue growth, including partnerships with Stellantis and FAW [4] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve sales of 640,000, 1,030,000, and 1,416,000 vehicles from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding revenues of RMB 74.5 billion, RMB 128.7 billion, and RMB 170.7 billion [5] - The net profit is expected to grow significantly, reaching RMB 11.3 million, RMB 52.4 million, and RMB 82.5 million over the same period [5] - The target price reflects a 20% premium based on the anticipated strong new car cycle and overseas production localization [5]
零跑汽车20251118
2025-11-19 01:47
Summary of Leap Motor's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Leap Motor - **Industry**: Automotive (Electric Vehicles) Key Financial Performance - **Q3 Profit**: Achieved a profit of 150 million yuan, slightly down from 163 million yuan in Q2, which included approximately 400 million yuan in government subsidies [4][6] - **Revenue**: Total revenue for Q3 was 19.45 billion yuan, with around 250 million yuan from carbon credit income [4][6] - **Gross Margin**: Overall gross margin reached 14.5%, with vehicle gross margin at approximately 13%, an increase from Q2 due to new model launches improving average selling prices (ASP) [2][4] Future Projections - **Q4 Expectations**: Anticipated vehicle gross margin to continue rising, with expected sales of 200,000 units, up from 174,000 units in Q3. Carbon credit income is projected to be around 500 million yuan, significantly contributing to profits [2][6] - **2025 Profit Target**: The company aims for a profit of 500 to 1,000 million yuan for the year, with Q4 expected to be the first quarter of profitability for the vehicle business [2][6] Market Performance - **Domestic Market**: Strong performance with multiple models selling over 10,000 units monthly. Plans to launch four new models in the coming year, including D19, A10, A05, and B series MPVs to expand market coverage [2][7] - **Export Growth**: Continued growth in exports, with over 10,000 overseas orders in September and a total of over 25,000 orders expected in November and December. Projected export volume to exceed 50,000 units in 2025 and 100,000 units in 2026 [8][9][11] Cost Structure - **Expense Growth**: Administrative and R&D expenses increased due to company expansion and hiring, while sales expenses remained stable. Q4 expense ratio is expected to decrease to around 13% [5][6] Strategic Partnerships - **Collaboration with FAW**: Leap Motor has partnered with FAW to develop overseas vehicle projects, expected to start mass production in the second half of next year, which will positively impact profits [3][12] Valuation Insights - **Market Valuation**: Based on a profit guidance of 5 billion yuan for next year and a 20x P/E ratio, the market capitalization could exceed 120 billion yuan. Current market cap is around 70 billion yuan, indicating significant investment opportunities [3][13][14] Additional Insights - **Inventory and Demand**: Low inventory levels in overseas markets (1,300 to 1,400 units) with monthly orders exceeding 10,000 units indicate strong consumer demand rather than stockpiling by dealers [9][10] - **Model Contributions**: T03, C10, and B10 are major contributors to sales, with the new Lafa 5 expected to enhance sales in the European market [10][11]
零跑汽车单季盈利1.5亿创新高 研发投入逾12亿在手资金339亿
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-11-18 23:40
Core Viewpoint - Leap Motor, the second profitable new energy vehicle manufacturer in China, reported strong financial performance for Q3 2025, achieving a revenue of 19.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.3%, and a net profit of 1.5 billion yuan, marking a significant turnaround from losses in the previous year [1][4][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Leap Motor's revenue reached 19.45 billion yuan, nearly hitting the 20 billion yuan mark, setting a new quarterly record [4]. - The company's net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.5 billion yuan, a substantial improvement from a loss of 6.9 billion yuan in the same quarter last year [5][6]. - The revenue for the first half of 2025 was 24.25 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 174.15% [5]. Sales and Production - Leap Motor sold 173,900 vehicles in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.77% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 29.63% [6]. - In October 2025, the company achieved a monthly sales milestone of over 70,000 units, becoming the only new energy vehicle brand in China to surpass this figure [8]. - As of November 15, 2025, the total vehicle sales reached 500,000 units, exceeding the annual target ahead of schedule [8]. Research and Development - Leap Motor invested 12.1 billion yuan in R&D during Q3 2025, contributing to the development of new technologies and models [2][12]. - The total R&D expenditure for the first three quarters of 2025 was 31.04 billion yuan, surpassing the total for the entire year of 2024 [12]. Financial Health - As of the end of Q3 2025, Leap Motor had approximately 33.9 billion yuan in cash and cash equivalents, ensuring sufficient funds for R&D and market expansion [3][12]. - The net operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was 4.88 billion yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [12]. Market Expansion - Leap Motor's sales service network expanded to cover 292 cities with 866 sales outlets, including 367 Leap Centers and 499 experience centers [11]. - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 1 million vehicles in 2026, supported by its growing brand influence and extensive sales network [10][11]. Export Performance - In Q3 2025, Leap Motor exported 17,400 vehicles, with a total of 37,800 units exported in the first nine months of 2025 [9].
零跑汽车(09863) - 於2025年12月8日(星期一)举行的临时股东大会适用的代表委任表格
2025-11-18 22:35
ZHEJIANG LEAPMOTOR TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD. 浙江零跑科技股份有限公司 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) (股份代號:9863) | 與本代表委任表格 | 股內資股 | | --- | --- | | (附註1) 有關的股份數目 | 股H股 | 於2025年12月8日(星期一)舉行的 臨時股東大會適用的代表委任表格 本人╱吾等 (附註2) 地址為 為浙江零跑科技股份有限公司(「本公司」)已發行股 本中內資股╱H股的登記持有人,茲委任大會主席 (附註3) 或 地址為 為本人╱吾等的受委代表,代表本人╱吾等出席本公司謹訂於2025年12月8日(星期一)下午15:00假座中國浙江省杭州市濱江區物 聯網街451號芯圖大廈1樓會議中心5號會議室舉行的臨時股東大會(「臨時股東大會」)(及其任何續會),並按下列指示於臨時股東 大會上代表本人╱吾等行動及投票。 請在適當空欄內填上「✓」號,以表明 閣下表決時的投票意願 (附註4) 。 | | 普通決議案 | 贊成 | 反對 | 棄權 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. | 審議及批准關於更換 ...
零跑汽车(09863) - 临时股东大会通告
2025-11-18 22:30
(股份代號:9863) 臨時股東大會通告 茲通告浙江零跑科技股份有限公司(「本公司」)謹訂於2025年12月8日(星期一) 下午15:00 假座中國浙江省杭州市濱江區物聯網街451號芯圖大廈1樓會議中心5號會議 室舉行臨時股東大會(「臨時股東大會」),以審議並酌情通過下列決議案(不論有否修 訂): 普通決議案 ZHEJIANG LEAPMOTOR TECHNOLOGY CO., LTD. 浙江零跑科技股份有限公司 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性或完整性亦 不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任 何損失承擔任何責任。 (於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司) 「動議: 待香港聯合交易所有限公司(「聯交所」)上市委員會批准因行使根據本公司 新購股權計劃(「2025年購股權計劃」)(其規則載於註有「A」字樣的文件, 該文件已提呈大會並由大會主席簽署,以資識別)可能授出的任何購股權而 可能將予發行及配發的本公司H股(「H股」)上市及買賣後及在其規限下, 批准及採納2025年購股權計劃及購股權計劃授權限額(定義見 ...