Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index increased by 2.18%, reaching 26,189.79 points [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index surged by 3.38%, closing at 5,702.56 points [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 2.26%, ending at 9,115.17 points [1] - The market recorded a half-day trading volume of 76.869 billion HKD [1] Notable Stock Movements - Wallen Technology experienced a significant increase of over 72% [1] - Hua Hong Semiconductor rose by 9.89% [1] - Baidu Group-SW saw a gain of 7.45% [1] - Sanhua Intelligent Control increased by 6.37% [1] - NetEase-S rose by 5.87% [1] - Li Auto-W gained 4.93% [1] - SMIC increased by 4.9% [1] - Trip.com Group-S rose by 4.33% [1] - Huatai Securities increased by 4.04% [1] Declining Stocks - Global New Material International fell by 8.99% [1] - 361 Degrees dropped by 10.89% [1] - Goldwind Technology increased by 17.15% [1] - Derin Holdings rose by 14.22% [1]

Group 1 - Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) saw an intraday increase of nearly 5%, with a current rise of 4.33%, trading at 578 HKD [2] - The trading volume reached 424 million HKD [2]

Core Viewpoint - Ctrip Group's stock price increased by approximately 5%, reaching 578 HKD, driven by positive travel demand forecasts and strong financial performance indicators [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Ctrip Group-S (09961) saw a stock price increase of 4.33% with a trading volume of 424 million HKD [1] - The overall cross-regional personnel flow in China is projected to reach 20,776.3 million trips by December 31, 2025, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 33.7% and a year-on-year growth of 25.4% [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The tourism demand is expected to continue to be robust, with Ctrip benefiting from a strong product offering and quality service [1] - Ctrip's domestic market share is steadily increasing, supported by a solid competitive advantage, with profit margins anticipated to gradually improve [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Ctrip is positioned to capitalize on the international expansion opportunities and favorable inbound policies, maintaining a rapid growth strategy focused on scale [1] - The company has implemented a significant share buyback plan and regular dividend arrangements, indicating a proactive stance on shareholder returns [1]

Core Insights - The travel market is evolving into a "sentiment economy," characterized by diversified demand, deeper experiences, and integrated scenarios, driven by younger demographics and new travel trends like "boomerang routes" and nature therapy [1][6] Group 1: Travel Trends - The report highlights the emergence of "immersive geographical corridors" in Southwest and Northeast China, with destinations like Tibet's Shannan having the longest average stay of 11 days, reflecting a strong demand for tranquil nature and deep experiences [2] - Young travelers are increasingly favoring "boomerang" travel patterns, using transit cities to connect multiple destinations at lower costs, leading to a surge in orders from smaller cities, with growth rates exceeding 200% in non-traditional tourist areas [3] Group 2: Cross-Industry Integration - The trend of "travel +" is evident, with orders for "festival-performance-exhibition + tourism" increasing by 161%, and pet-friendly hotel bookings rising by 30%, indicating a broadening of travel scenarios [5] - The integration of cultural experiences into travel is becoming a structural and sustainable new tourism category, with global orders for festival-related activities growing by 156% [13][20] Group 3: Emotional Economy - The concept of "emotional economy" is becoming a core driver, with searches related to relaxation and healing increasing sevenfold, indicating a shift from mere consumption to emotional value in travel [6][7] - Seasonal travel trends reflect emotional needs, with specific activities tied to holidays, such as seeking traditional experiences during the Spring Festival and nature-focused trips during the May Day holiday [7] Group 4: Inbound Tourism Growth - Inbound tourism in China is experiencing a significant rebound, with a 100% increase in bookings in the first three quarters of 2025, particularly from visa-exempt countries, where orders have surged by an average of 153% [8][10] - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in inbound tourism, noting that current revenue from this sector accounts for less than 0.5% of GDP, compared to over 10% in Thailand, suggesting a potential market increase of 1 to 2 trillion RMB if it reaches comparable international levels [12] Group 5: Audience Engagement - The boundary between travel and performance is blurring, with 83% of performance-related activities occurring in different locations, and younger audiences (under 34) contributing nearly 80% of orders [15] - The trend of combining ticket purchases with travel services is gaining popularity, with composite products showing a year-on-year order growth of 161%, indicating a shift towards more competitive pricing and integrated travel experiences [17][18]

Core Insights - The 2026 "Bet on China" top ten core assets have been announced by Gelonghui, a well-known independent research institution in China, based on votes from millions of members across over 70 countries [1][3] - The selection process involved over half a month of voting, resulting in hundreds of thousands of valid votes, emphasizing the collective wisdom of global investors [3] Selection Criteria - The selected listed companies must meet four key principles, reflecting the uncertainties in the Chinese investment market for 2025, including fluctuating recovery expectations, real estate stability concerns, and the ambiguity in investment directions related to AI and new energy [2] Performance Metrics - Since the end of 2018, the "Bet on China" top ten core assets index has achieved a cumulative increase of 318.67%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 index (+56.2%), Hang Seng index (-0.82%), and S&P 500 index (+175.3%) [3] - In 2025, the equal-weighted return of the top ten core assets reached 35.1%, again surpassing the CSI 300 index (+17.7%), Hang Seng index (+27.8%), and S&P 500 index (+17.3%) [3] Core Assets Overview 1. **Zhongji Xuchuang (300308)**: Expected to benefit from the acceleration of AI computing infrastructure in China, with a projected demand for optical modules reaching 18 billion yuan, and a 50% annual growth in domestic demand for 800G optical modules [5] 2. **Tencent Holdings (00700.HK)**: With a massive user base, Tencent is expected to see its advertising revenue exceed 40 billion yuan in 2026, driven by its social media platforms and AI efficiency improvements [6][7] 3. **Alibaba (09988.HK)**: Anticipated to achieve 170 billion yuan in revenue from cloud services, with a growth rate of 34%, while also focusing on domestic consumption upgrades [7][8] 4. **Gold ETF (518880)**: Positioned as a key hedging tool for domestic investors, with a forecasted gold price potentially reaching 5,000 USD per ounce, supported by liquidity and geopolitical factors [8] 5. **Luoyang Molybdenum (603993/03993.HK)**: Expected to produce 660,000 tons of copper and 120,000 tons of cobalt in 2026, benefiting from the growth of the domestic electric vehicle market [9] 6. **Ping An Insurance (601318/02318.HK)**: Projected to see a 20%-25% increase in market value, benefiting from the domestic interest rate cycle and a focus on quality equity assets [10] 7. **Dongfang Caifu (300059)**: Anticipated to see a 22%-28% growth in market value, driven by increased capital market activity and AI-driven wealth management services [11] 8. **Wanhua Chemical (600309)**: Expected to achieve a net profit of 15.5-16.2 billion yuan in 2026, supported by domestic demand for MDI and new materials [12] 9. **WuXi AppTec (02268.HK)**: Positioned as a leader in the ADC field, with over 60% of its pipeline serving domestic clients, reflecting the growth of China's biopharmaceutical industry [13] 10. **Trip.com Group (09961.HK)**: Projected to see a revenue growth of over 25%, benefiting from the recovery of domestic travel and tourism [14] Conclusion - The ten core assets are aligned with China's key sectors such as AI computing, new energy, consumption, finance, and biomedicine, reflecting the country's new productive forces and upgrading of livelihoods [14]

Core Insights - The article presents the "Top 10 Core Assets for 2026" as voted by millions of members from over 70 countries, highlighting the collective wisdom of global investors in navigating market uncertainties [2][5]. Summary by Categories Core Assets - The selected core assets include: - **Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创)**: Market cap of 6,778 million RMB, focusing on AI and advanced manufacturing [3] - **Tencent (腾讯)**: Market cap of 49,160 million RMB, centered on AI applications [3] - **Alibaba (阿里巴巴)**: Market cap of 24,500 million RMB, involved in AI and cloud computing [3] - **Gold ETF (黄金ETF)**: Market cap of 1 million RMB, categorized under precious metals [3] - **Luoyang Molybdenum (洛阳钼业)**: Market cap of 4,279 million RMB, with no specific industry listed [3] - **China Ping An (中国平安)**: Market cap of 12,400 million RMB, in the financial sector [3] - **Dongfang Caifu (东方财富)**: Market cap of 3,663 million RMB, with no specific industry listed [3] - **Wanhua Chemical (万华化学)**: Market cap of 2,400 million RMB, in the chemical industry [3] - **WuXi AppTec (药明合联)**: Market cap of 1,515 million RMB, in the pharmaceutical sector [3] - **Trip.com Group (携程集团)**: Market cap of 3,250 million RMB, in consumer discretionary [3] Market Context - The investment landscape in China for 2025 is characterized by uncertainties, including fluctuating recovery expectations, geopolitical tensions, and evolving trends in real estate and AI [4]. - The article emphasizes the importance of collective intelligence in investment decisions, asserting that the aggregated insights from millions can effectively guide investors through market complexities [5][7]. Performance Metrics - From 2019 to 2025, the "Top 10 Core Assets Index" achieved a cumulative growth of 318.67%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index (+56.2%) and the Hang Seng Index (-0.82%) [11]. - In 2025, the equal-weighted return of the top assets reached 35.1%, again surpassing the performance of major indices [11]. Selection Criteria - The selected companies must meet four key principles: 1. Represent Chinese enterprises with a domestic market focus 2. Align with future economic directions and create long-term value 3. Possess competitive advantages or potential in emerging sectors 4. Have a projected market cap growth of 20% or more in 2026 [10] Individual Company Insights - **Zhongji Xuchuang**: Expected to benefit from a surge in AI-related demand, with a projected market cap growth of 25%-30% [12]. - **Tencent**: Anticipated to see a 25%-30% increase in adjusted net profit, driven by its strong domestic user base and advertising revenue [13]. - **Alibaba**: Forecasted to achieve a 25%-28% stock price increase, supported by its dual focus on AI and consumer markets [14]. - **Gold ETF**: Positioned as a key hedging tool, with a projected 28%-32% growth in fund inflows [15]. - **Luoyang Molybdenum**: Expected to maintain its leading position in the battery materials sector, with a projected net profit of 320-350 million RMB [16]. - **China Ping An**: Anticipated to grow its market cap by 20%-25%, benefiting from the domestic financial market's recovery [17]. - **Dongfang Caifu**: Projected to see a 22%-28% increase in market cap, driven by the growth in wealth management services [18]. - **Wanhua Chemical**: Expected to achieve a net profit of 155-162 million RMB, supported by domestic demand [19]. - **WuXi AppTec**: Positioned as a leader in the ADC field, with significant growth driven by domestic innovation [20]. - **Trip.com Group**: Forecasted to grow revenue by over 25%, capitalizing on the recovery of domestic travel [21]. Conclusion - The selected core assets reflect a strategic alignment with China's economic growth and key sectors, including AI, renewable energy, finance, and healthcare, emphasizing their potential for long-term value creation [22].

12月31日，携程发布《2025中国入境游年度报告》（以下简称"报告"），数据显示，2025年前三季度入境游预订已经实现了100%的增长，来自免签国家的 订单增幅平均高达153%。这一系列数据不仅标志着行业全面复苏，更显示出中国正加速向"十五五"规划建议中提出的"旅游强国"目标迈进。 此外，报告基于携程平台数据，进一步洞察了入境游客的行为偏好。地理距离成为影响停留时长的核心变量，亚洲等临近客源地的游客多以4-7天的中短途 旅行为主，而来自大洋洲等南半球的旅客则更倾向于7天以上的深度游。 气候、特定国际长假、国际大型会展和演出赛事等，是决定何时来华的关键。春季（4月）与秋季（10月）是海外游客最偏爱的到访窗口，其中10月更是各 大热门客源国的入境高峰。在行程规划上，"提前囤货"特征明显，亚洲、欧洲及澳新地区的游客普遍习惯提前半个月以上预订入境行程。 从"打卡地标"到"极致体验" 海外游客来中国玩什么？去什么城市玩？2025年的答案更加多元和深入。报告揭示了目的地"下沉"和"半径扩大"的新趋势。除了北京、上海、广州等传统门 户城市外，海外游客开始深入中国内陆，寻找独特的文化体验。 在宏观大盘强劲复苏的背景下，作为 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of service consumption in 2026, highlighting a year of strategic layout and potential improvements in specific sectors and cycles [4][6][8] - The overall recovery of the service sector is characterized by a moderate rebound and structural prosperity, with service consumption growth outpacing that of goods consumption [11][12] - The report identifies three key changes affecting demand, policy, and technology, including a shift towards more rational consumer behavior, the impact of policy and globalization on corporate decisions, and accelerated technological iterations [11][4][6] Group 2 - The investment strategy for 2026 focuses on boosting domestic demand, with significant potential for service consumption in China compared to developed countries [19][26] - The report outlines specific sub-sectors such as duty-free, hotels, and education, which are expected to perform differently based on demand and supply dynamics [7][8][34] - Recommendations include focusing on cyclical recovery and sector-specific prosperity, with suggested investments in companies like China Duty Free Group, Huazhu Group, and Meituan [4][34][8] Group 3 - The report notes that the service sector has underperformed compared to the broader market, with a year-to-date increase of 14.55%, lagging behind the CSI 300 index [14][12] - Structural trends indicate that leading companies in tea drinks and hotels have outperformed, while duty-free and hotel stocks have shown strength in the fourth quarter [14][12] - The report highlights the importance of policy measures aimed at enhancing service consumption, including various initiatives to stimulate demand and improve the consumer environment [26][28][27]

Group 1 - The article discusses the new global positioning of China, emphasizing the competitive landscape and the opportunities for Chinese companies to expand internationally [1] - Key leaders from various industries, such as TCL and GCL Group, highlight the importance of leveraging China's manufacturing advantages to break through domestic competition and achieve global influence [1] - The article also mentions the awakening of consumer demand in China, with experts suggesting measures to stabilize income growth and boost consumption [1] Group 2 - The article outlines the transformation of traditional and emerging industries in China, with leaders from companies like UBTECH and CloudWalk discussing advancements in robotics and technology [1] - It highlights the anticipated growth in commercial aerospace and the automotive market, indicating a shift away from previous trends [1] - The focus on innovation in the pharmaceutical sector is noted, with a transition from explosive growth to sustained development in authorized drug transactions [2]

Core Insights - The implementation of visa facilitation policies in 2025 has significantly boosted China's inbound tourism market, with a 27.2% year-on-year increase in foreign visitors, totaling 40.6 million [1] - The growth in visa-free transit has seen a 60.8% increase in passenger flow, with major cities like Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou benefiting from over 55% of inbound travelers enjoying visa-free access [1] - The influx of foreign visitors has led to a substantial increase in consumer spending, with a 300% rise in related project bookings and over 20.89 million foreign visitors recorded in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a growth of over 50% [1] Group 1: Structural Changes in the Tourism Industry - Three structural "watersheds" have emerged in the tourism market, indicating a shift towards a service-oriented economy, moving from a "tourism powerhouse" to a "service powerhouse" [2] - The engine for inbound tourism has shifted from primarily relying on nearby Asian markets to a rapid increase in visitors from Europe and America, creating a new dynamic of "Asian base + European and American new engine" [7] - The role of platforms has evolved from merely selling products to acting as industry coordinators, connecting various stakeholders in the tourism ecosystem [7] Group 2: Experience and Standards - The concept of "dual-directional travel" reflects a change in travel motivations, where travelers seek immersive experiences rather than just sightseeing, indicating a shift in consumer behavior [3] - The demand for high-quality experiences has led to the establishment of stringent quality standards, such as "Trip Select," which has improved user satisfaction by 15 percentage points [5] - The industry is now required to provide immersive experiences rather than just basic services like flight and hotel bookings [4] Group 3: Addressing Industry Bottlenecks - The rapid growth in tourist numbers has outpaced the industry's ability to upgrade, particularly affecting smaller hotels and local businesses that lack the capacity to serve international visitors [8] - Solutions include providing AI-powered tools for real-time translation and enhancing the capabilities of local businesses to cater to foreign tourists [8] - Initiatives like one-stop service counters at major airports aim to streamline the arrival experience for international visitors, addressing payment and communication challenges [9] Group 4: Cultural and Product Innovation - Transforming intangible cultural heritage and local culture into marketable experiences requires innovative product development, as demonstrated by immersive dining experiences that combine food, performance, and cultural elements [10] - Innovative marketing strategies, including social media engagement and incentive mechanisms, are crucial for promoting cultural products and attracting global audiences [10] - A tourism innovation fund has been established to support successful cultural transformation projects, highlighting the importance of creativity in the tourism sector [10]