Group 1 - The small metal concept index rose by 1.81%, ranking 8th among concept sectors, with 116 stocks increasing in value [1] - Notable gainers included Dongfang Zirconium, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Jinyuan Co., which hit the daily limit, with respective increases of 10.02%, 10.00%, and 9.98% [3][1] - The top decliners were Dazhong Mining, Lingyi Technology, and Western Gold, with declines of 2.95%, 1.93%, and 1.92% respectively [1] Group 2 - The small metal concept sector saw a net inflow of 3.99 billion yuan, with 80 stocks receiving net inflows, and 8 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The largest net inflow was recorded for Northern Rare Earth at 2.11 billion yuan, followed by Dongfang Zirconium and Shengxin Lithium Energy with net inflows of 434 million yuan and 327 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for Jinyuan Co., Dongfang Zirconium, and Shengxin Lithium Energy were 45.14%, 42.43%, and 35.30% respectively [3] Group 3 - The top performing concept sectors included Salt Lake Lithium Extraction with a rise of 3.30%, and Rare Earth Permanent Magnet with an increase of 3.15% [2] - Other notable sectors included Metal Cobalt and Metal Recovery, which rose by 2.29% and 2.08% respectively [2] - Conversely, sectors such as Animal Vaccines and Avian Influenza saw declines of 0.96% and 0.90% respectively [2]

Market Overview - The two markets experienced a net outflow of 10.322 billion yuan, with 1,755 stocks seeing net inflows and 2,928 stocks seeing net outflows [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up by 0.50% [1] Industry Performance - Among the 12 industries with net inflows, the non-ferrous metals sector led with a net inflow of 4.006 billion yuan and an index increase of 2.10% [1] - The non-bank financial sector followed with a net inflow of 1.013 billion yuan and a 0.33% increase [1] - Other notable sectors with net inflows included basic chemicals and transportation [1] - Conversely, 19 industries experienced net outflows, with the electronics sector seeing the largest outflow of 5.671 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with 2.436 billion yuan [1] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 21 stocks had net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, with Northern Rare Earth leading at 2.237 billion yuan [2] - Other significant net inflows were seen in China Oil Capital (1.253 billion yuan) and Magpow (759 million yuan) [2] - Stocks with the highest net outflows included Changshan Beiming (1.169 billion yuan), Shenghong Technology (1.082 billion yuan), and Dongfang Wealth (608 million yuan) [2] Stock Price Movements - Stocks with net inflows over 200 million yuan saw an average increase of 7.45%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Notable stocks that hit the daily limit up included Dongfang Zirconium and Hengwei Technology [2] Sector Concentration - The stocks with the highest net inflows were concentrated in the non-ferrous metals, computer, and non-bank financial sectors, with 5, 4, and 2 stocks respectively [2]

Core Insights - The rare earth permanent magnet sector saw a significant increase of 3.15%, ranking second among concept sectors, with 56 stocks rising, including Jiu Wu Gao Ke which hit a 20% limit up [1] - Major gainers in the sector included Dongfang Zirc, Huahong Technology, and Zinc Industry, with increases of 15.05%, 9.87%, and 9.11% respectively [1] Market Performance - The rare earth permanent magnet sector attracted a net inflow of 3.539 billion yuan, with 40 stocks receiving net inflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The top net inflow was from Northern Rare Earth, which saw 2.109 billion yuan, followed by Dongfang Zirc, Zhongse Co., and Huahong Technology with net inflows of 434 million yuan, 294 million yuan, and 150 million yuan respectively [2] Fund Flow Ratios - The highest net inflow ratios were observed in Dongfang Zirc (42.43%), Zhongse Co. (34.26%), and Zinc Industry (23.22%) [3] - Northern Rare Earth had a daily turnover rate of 12.69% with a price increase of 9.87%, indicating strong trading activity [3] Stock Performance - Notable performers included Northern Rare Earth, Dongfang Zirc, and Zhongse Co., all showing significant price increases and healthy turnover rates [4] - Stocks like Lingyi Zhi Zao and Longci Technology experienced declines of 1.93% and 1.07% respectively, indicating some volatility within the sector [5]

Group 1 - The metal recycling sector saw an increase of 2.08%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 50 stocks rising, including Nanmin Group, Jinyuan Co., and Huahong Technology hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Notable gainers in the sector included Huaxin Environmental Protection, Kaida Catalysis, and Northern Rare Earth, which rose by 15.05%, 10.67%, and 9.87% respectively [1][2] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 2.542 billion yuan from main funds, with 26 stocks receiving net inflows, and 9 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 50 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - Northern Rare Earth led the net inflow with 2.109 billion yuan, followed by Huahong Technology, Jinyuan Co., and Fulongma with net inflows of 150.21 million yuan, 114 million yuan, and 81.686 million yuan respectively [2][3] - The top three stocks by net inflow ratio were Jinyuan Co. at 45.14%, Nanmin Group at 31.26%, and High Energy Environment at 16.33% [3][4] - The overall performance of the metal recycling sector was supported by significant trading volumes, with Northern Rare Earth achieving a turnover rate of 12.69% [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The metal industry experienced a significant increase, with a rise of 2.10% on July 18, driven by strong capital inflow, particularly in the rare earth sector [2][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.50% on July 18, with 22 out of 28 sectors showing gains, led by the metal and basic chemical industries, which increased by 2.10% and 1.36% respectively [2]. - The electronic and media sectors faced declines, with drops of 0.49% and 0.98% respectively [2]. Capital Flow - The total net outflow of capital from the two markets was 229.87 billion yuan, with 10 sectors experiencing net inflows [2]. - The metal industry had the highest net capital inflow of 37.94 billion yuan, while the non-bank financial sector saw a modest inflow of 8.97 billion yuan [2]. Individual Stock Performance in Metal Industry - Out of 137 stocks in the metal sector, 107 stocks rose, with 5 hitting the daily limit up [3]. - The top three stocks with the highest net capital inflow were: - Northern Rare Earth: 2.10 billion yuan [3] - Dongfang Zircon: 434 million yuan [3] - Shengxin Lithium Energy: 327 million yuan [3]. - The stocks with the highest net outflow included: - Mingtai Aluminum: 115 million yuan [3] - Haixing Shares: 87 million yuan [3] - Zhongkuang Resources: 84 million yuan [3]. Capital Inflow and Outflow Rankings - The top stocks by capital inflow included: - Northern Rare Earth: 9.87% increase, 210.89 million yuan inflow [4] - Dongfang Zircon: 10.02% increase, 43.38 million yuan inflow [4] - Shengxin Lithium Energy: 10.00% increase, 32.65 million yuan inflow [4]. - The top stocks by capital outflow included: - Mingtai Aluminum: 0.81% increase, 115.29 million yuan outflow [6] - Haixing Shares: 10.03% increase, 87.20 million yuan outflow [6] - Zhongkuang Resources: 4.15% increase, 84.52 million yuan outflow [6].

Core Viewpoint - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect reached 194.62 billion, with Northern Rare Earth and Xinyi Technology leading in individual stock trading volume. The non-ferrous metals sector saw the highest net inflow of funds, while the electronic sector experienced significant outflows [1][4][5]. Trading Volume Summary - The total trading amount for the Shanghai Stock Connect was 92.08 billion, while the Shenzhen Stock Connect was 102.54 billion [1]. - The top traded stocks in the Shanghai Stock Connect included Northern Rare Earth (1st, 1.343 billion), Guizhou Moutai (2nd, 1.329 billion), and Shanxi Fenjiu (3rd, 1.107 billion) [2]. - In the Shenzhen Stock Connect, Xinyi Technology topped the list (1st, 2.367 billion), followed by Zhongji Xuchuang (2nd, 2.246 billion) and CATL (3rd, 1.791 billion) [3]. Sector Performance Summary - The non-ferrous metals sector led with a net inflow of 3.873 billion, followed by small metals (0.806 billion) and diversified finance (0.798 billion) [4]. - The electronic sector had the highest net outflow of 8.962 billion, followed by the computer sector (5.595 billion) and transportation equipment (3.374 billion) [5]. Individual Stock Fund Flow Summary - The top stocks with net inflows included Northern Rare Earth (2.028 billion), Zhongyou Capital (1.047 billion), and Wanhua Chemical (0.660 billion) [6]. - The stocks with the highest net outflows were Changshan Beiming (-1.307 billion), Shengzuo Technology (-1.094 billion), and Hengbao Co., Ltd. (-0.736 billion) [7]. ETF Trading Summary - The top ETF by trading volume was the Hong Kong Securities ETF (1.397 billion), followed by the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (0.877 billion) [8]. - The ETF with the highest growth in trading volume was the Wine ETF (1.10189 billion, up 141.46%), followed by the Rare Earth ETF (0.33435 billion, up 113%) [9]. Futures Position Summary - In the futures market, the IH contract saw a net increase in long positions of 3,760 contracts, while the IF contract had an increase of 2,660 contracts [10]. Institutional Activity Summary - Institutional buying was notable in Northern Rare Earth (0.5423 billion) and Lisheng Pharmaceutical (0.630 billion) [11]. - Significant selling was observed in Spring Wind Power (-2.77 billion) and Mankun Technology (-0.5819 billion) [12]. Retail and Quantitative Activity Summary - Retail investors showed increased activity, with notable buying in Maigemi Te (over 2.4 billion) and selling in Hengbao Co., Ltd. (-1.16 billion) [14][15].

Core Views - The report maintains a positive long-term outlook on gold, copper, and aluminum, emphasizing the importance of strategic metals [1][3] - In H1 2025, domestic economic indicators show signs of bottoming out, with improvements in real estate construction and a gradual shift towards new economic drivers [4][8] - The global economic landscape is being reshaped by fluctuating interest rate expectations from the Federal Reserve and the impacts of trade wars, leading to significant changes in resource sectors [4][8] Investment Strategies - **Main Line 1: Expansion on the Denominator Side - Gold and Silver**: Focus on gold and silver, with specific attention to the performance of gold stocks and the potential for silver due to its high price ratio to gold [4][5] - **Main Line 2: Improvement on the Numerator Side - Aluminum, Copper, Tin**: Anticipate continued high profitability in aluminum due to falling costs, while remaining cautious of potential short-term demand weakness [4][7] - **Main Line 3: Key Strategic Metals**: Highlighting opportunities in rare earths and other strategic metals amid US-China tensions, particularly in six key strategic metals [4][7] - **Main Line 4: Supply-Side Disruptions from Anti-Competition**: The report suggests that supply-side constraints in sectors like lithium carbonate may present attractive bottom-fishing opportunities [4][7] Market Performance - The CRB metal spot index increased by 7.08% from the beginning of 2025 to June 30, 2025, indicating a general upward trend in metal prices [9][10] - Gold prices surged by 23.93% during the same period, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut [12][14] - Industrial metals, particularly tin and copper, saw significant price increases of 19.91% and 15.59% respectively, while zinc prices fell by 5.55% [16][19] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global copper inventories saw a significant reduction, with LME copper stocks decreasing by 66.17% by June 30, 2025 [21][69] - The report anticipates limited growth in global copper supply due to insufficient capital expenditure in mining, projecting only a 2.3% increase in global copper production in 2025 [62][64] - The refined copper market is expected to remain slightly short, with a projected demand growth of 7.1% for 2025, supporting a high price center for copper [69] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metal sector outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 19.17% from January to June 2025, compared to a 5.6% rise in the Shanghai Composite Index [38][40] - Sub-sectors such as tungsten, gold, and rare earths performed particularly well, with respective increases of 39.64%, 33.57%, and 31.88% [42][44] - Companies closely tied to resource price fluctuations, particularly in gold and rare earths, showed strong performance, while midstream processing companies faced challenges due to weak downstream demand [44]

7月18日连板股分析：连板股晋级率持续下降 稀土永磁板块全线走强 今日共45股涨停，连板股总数13只，其中三连板及以上个股4只，上一交易日共16只连板股，连板股晋级率25%（不含ST股、退市股）。个股方面，虽然三 大指数集体上涨，创业板指盘中创年内新高，但短线情绪降温，连板股晋级率持续下降，除上纬新材外，昨日连板股中仅三只晋级，其中兰生股份、海星股 份盘中均多次开板，显示分歧加剧。板块方面，稀土永磁板块全线走强，北方稀土大涨9.87%成交额超147亿列两市第一，华宏科技反包涨停走出6天5板， 东方锆业、中色股份等涨停；锂电板块盘中异动，锂矿、盐湖提锂等上游分支领涨，久吾高科20CM涨停，金圆股份、国机通用、盛新锂能涨停。 | 连板数 | 晋级率 | | 2025-7-18 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 7讲8 | 1/1=100% | 上纬新材 (机器人) | | | 5进6 | 1/2=50% | 兰生股份(参股券商) | | | 2进3 | 2/11=18% | 天宸股份 (光伏+医院) | | | 1讲2 | 9/42=21% | 北化股份 (军工) | | | | | 海 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced fluctuations on July 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new closing high for the year, while the ChiNext Index hit a new high before retreating. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.5%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.37%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.34% [2] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.57 trillion yuan, an increase of 31.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - Sectors such as rare earth permanent magnets, lithium mining, non-ferrous metals, and coal saw significant gains, while sectors like gaming, photovoltaics, CPO, and consumer electronics experienced declines [2] - The banking sector, which had declined for three consecutive days, stabilized and rebounded, contributing to the overall market performance [5] Investment Trends - Institutional funds showed consistent large-scale buying, while funds from major players, retail investors, and others exhibited noticeable outflows, with a slight return of funds at the end of the trading day [8] - The report from Xiangcai Securities suggests that the market will maintain a "slow bull" trend, with long-term funds focusing on dividend-related sectors such as banking and insurance [13] Rare Earth Sector Insights - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced notable activity, driven by three main positive factors: 1. The National Security Department's announcement to cut illegal export channels for rare earth-related items, enhancing resource and national security [17] 2. The discovery of a new rare earth mineral named "Ned Yellow River" in Inner Mongolia [18] 3. The increasing demand for rare earths in humanoid robots, which is a significant application area [19] - Companies in the rare earth sector, such as Huahong Technology and Northern Rare Earth, reported substantial profit increases, with Northern Rare Earth expecting a net profit growth of 1883% to 2015% year-on-year for the first half of the year [19]

Core Viewpoint - The stock market showed a collective rise on July 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3534.48 points, up 0.5%, indicating a positive market sentiment despite mixed performances across sectors [1]. Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.57 trillion yuan, an increase of 31.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1]. - A total of 2600 stocks rose while over 2500 stocks fell, reflecting a divergence in stock performance [1]. Sector Analysis - The rare earth permanent magnet sector experienced significant gains, with notable stocks such as Jiuwu Gaoke hitting a 20% limit up, and Huaxin Environmental Protection rising over 15% [3][4]. - The lithium extraction sector also saw a rise of 3.30%, while the gaming sector faced declines, with stocks like Ice River Network dropping over 4% [4][6]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector surged in the afternoon, with stocks like Borui Pharmaceutical increasing over 14% [5]. Capital Flow - Main capital flows showed a net inflow into sectors such as non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, and computers, while there was a net outflow from electronics, biomedicine, and light manufacturing sectors [8]. - Specific stocks that attracted significant net inflows included Northern Rare Earth (20.63 billion yuan), China National Petroleum Capital (10.4 billion yuan), and Wanhua Chemical (6.89 billion yuan) [9]. - Conversely, stocks like Changshan Beiming, Shenghong Technology, and Hengbao shares faced substantial net outflows of 11.87 billion yuan, 11 billion yuan, and 8.08 billion yuan respectively [10]. Institutional Insights - Jianghai Securities noted that market hotspots are dispersed, potentially leading to a structural market trend, while the overall index uptrend remains intact despite significant individual stock performance variations [12]. - CITIC Securities expressed optimism regarding investment opportunities in the non-bank sector, citing macroeconomic stabilization and liquidity release as positive factors for market activity [12].