Core Viewpoint - The meeting held by the State Post Bureau highlighted two major issues in the express delivery industry: escalating "involution" competition and persistent illegal charges in rural areas [1][3][4] Group 1: Involution Competition - The State Post Bureau has reiterated its stance against "involution" competition, emphasizing the need for express companies to enhance compliance awareness and establish long-term mechanisms to mitigate risks [4][6] - The price war in the industry has severely impacted profit margins, with the average express delivery price dropping by 8.2% year-on-year to 7.5 yuan in the first five months of 2025, despite a 19.3% increase in business volume [6][7] - Historical context shows that the price war began in 2005 and has intensified over the years, particularly with the entry of new players like Jitu [6][10] Group 2: Rural Delivery Issues - Illegal charges in rural express delivery have become a significant concern, with various forms of unauthorized fees being reported, such as forced delivery charges and unreasonable fees for package retrieval [8][9] - The issue of "last mile" delivery in rural areas is critical for enhancing the quality of life for farmers and promoting rural economic development, as highlighted in the central government's policy [9][10] - Recent actions by postal management departments across multiple regions aim to address the issue of illegal charges, with significant penalties imposed on violators [10][11][12] Group 3: Industry Responses and Innovations - Leading companies are exploring differentiated strategies to overcome the challenges posed by involution competition, with Shentong's acquisition of Daniao Logistics being a notable example [10] - Companies like SF Express and JD Logistics are leveraging technology to improve service efficiency and delivery capabilities, moving towards value creation rather than price competition [10][11] - Local governments are focusing on building comprehensive logistics service stations in villages to address the "last mile" delivery challenges and improve service quality [11][12]

Group 1: Utilities - Recommended stock: Su Yan Jing Shen (603299.SH) due to its stable cash flow from traditional salt and salt chemical businesses, and the potential growth from gas storage projects [3][4] - The company is expected to enter a performance release period with the first phase of the gas storage project nearing production [4] Group 2: Pharmaceuticals - Recommended stock: Ang Li Kang (002940.SZ) as the impact of centralized procurement is gradually clearing, and new products are expected to drive revenue growth [4] - The introduction of ALK-N001, a promising anti-tumor candidate, is anticipated to enhance the company's innovation capabilities [4] Group 3: Media - Recommended stock: Alibaba-W (09988.HK) with a focus on the stabilization of traditional e-commerce and the potential for growth in the instant retail sector [5] - Alibaba Cloud's leading position in the domestic market and continuous revenue growth are highlighted [5] Group 4: Electronics - Recommended stock: Zhong Wei Company (688012.SH) due to its robust order backlog and continuous revenue growth driven by new product launches [6] Group 5: Non-Banking Financials - Recommended stock: China Life (601628.SH) for its excellent asset-liability matching and early transformation in dividend insurance sales [8] - The company is expected to release significant solvency capacity following asset reclassification [8] Group 6: Automotive - Recommended stock: Li Auto (02015.HK) as the company is positioned to leverage its strategic foresight and adaptability in the evolving automotive landscape [9] - The i-series is expected to maintain strong sales momentum, with the first model projected to achieve over 5,000 monthly sales [9] Group 7: Transportation - Recommended stock: YTO Express (600233.SH) with a leading growth rate in business volume, benefiting from the "anti-involution" trend in the industry [10] Group 8: Agriculture - Recommended stock: De Kang Agriculture (02419.HK) as it is positioned at a pivotal point in the agricultural sector, leveraging technology and innovative models for growth [12] - The company's platform strategy is expected to extend into other agricultural segments, enhancing its market presence [12] Group 9: Metals and New Materials - Recommended stock: Luoyang Molybdenum (603993.SH) with a strong performance in the first quarter, exceeding expectations [14] Group 10: North Exchange - Recommended stock: Yuan Hang Precision (833914.BJ) as a leading player in the domestic nickel-based conductor materials sector, benefiting from stable demand across multiple industries [14][15]

证券时报·数据宝统计，截至今日上午10:29，上证综指3576.84点，收于五日均线之下，涨跌幅0.10%， A股总成交额为7270.04亿元。到目前为止，今日有665只A股价格突破了五日均线，其中乖离率较大的 个股有生物谷、启迪设计、捷佳伟创等，乖离率分别为16.03%、14.73%、12.98%；亿道信息、王子新 材、派克新材等个股乖离率较小，刚刚站上五日均线。 | 证券代 | 证券简 | 今日涨跌幅 | 今日换手率 | 五日均线 | 最新价 | 乖离率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 码 | 称 | （%） | （%） | （元） | （元） | （%） | | 833266 | 生物谷 | 22.10 | 18.16 | 11.95 | 13.87 | 16.03 | | 300500 | 启迪设 计 | 20.00 | 12.63 | 14.02 | 16.08 | 14.73 | | 300724 | 捷佳伟 创 | 20.00 | 16.10 | 58.59 | 66.19 | 12.98 | | 688680 | 海优新 材 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The logistics sector experienced a strong rally on July 1, with significant stock price increases for companies such as Huapengfei, Shentong Express, Yunda Holdings, and others, driven by recent government policies aimed at addressing "involution" competition and promoting high-quality development in the industry [1]. Industry Developments - The State Post Bureau held a meeting with express delivery companies to discuss the regulation of "involution" competition and the rectification of illegal charges for package collection in rural areas, emphasizing the need for a healthy industry development environment [1]. - National policies released since July 1 focus on combating "involution" in the express delivery sector, with a clear stance against excessive competition and a push for improved service quality at the end of the delivery chain [1]. Price Adjustments - In Yiwu, Zhejiang, a price increase measure has been implemented, raising the minimum price standard from 1.1 yuan to 1.2 yuan, resulting in an approximate 0.05 yuan increase in the average price per package [1]. - Market expectations suggest that the South China grain-producing region may follow suit with price adjustments in early August, indicating a potential shift towards improved pricing strategies in the industry [1]. Future Outlook - Under the guidance of "anti-involution" and high-quality development policies, the express delivery industry is expected to see a marginal improvement in chaotic competition, leading to a new balance among regulation, competition, profitability, and service quality [1]. - The performance of prices and profits in the express delivery sector during the peak season in the fourth quarter of this year is anticipated to be promising [1].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the liquidity and scale of the CSI 300 ETF have shown positive trends, with a significant increase in trading volume and net inflows from leveraged funds [3][4] - As of July 31, the CSI 300 ETF has seen a net value increase of 8.63% over the past six months, with a maximum monthly return of 25.64% since its inception [3] - The July PMI data reflects the resilience of China's economy, with production maintaining expansion despite seasonal negative impacts, while domestic demand is expected to recover due to policy support [3][4] Group 2 - The central political bureau meeting in July emphasized consolidating the economic recovery and addressing prominent issues in economic operations, while fostering new pillar industries without relying on debt-driven growth [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 index as of June 30, 2025, include Kweichow Moutai, CATL, and Ping An Insurance, collectively accounting for 22.76% of the index [4][6] - Investors without stock accounts can access core A-share assets through the CSI 300 ETF linked fund (160724) for low-cost entry [7]

港股物流板块走强，中通快递(02057.HK)涨超7%，极兔速递(01519.HK)涨超5%，圆通速递国际 (06123.HK)、顺丰控股(06936.HK)等跟涨。 ...

（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，8月1日，圆通速递盘中涨停，涨幅9.98%，成交额超8亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent meeting by the State Post Bureau aims to address the "involution" competition in the express delivery industry, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape following the acquisition of Cainiao Express by Shentong [1] Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The express delivery sector is experiencing a wave of stock price increases amid a crackdown on "involution" competition, with companies like Yunda, Shentong, and Jitu benefiting from this trend [5] - The "involution" competition has led to many express companies offering services below cost to capture market share, resulting in significant pressure on profit margins for both headquarters and franchisees [3][5] - Recent price adjustments in grain-producing areas signal a clear intention to stabilize market prices, with increases ranging from a few cents to several dimes [1] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - The recent revision of the Price Law targets predatory pricing practices, defining low-cost dumping aimed at eliminating competitors as illegal [3] - The new Anti-Unfair Competition Law, effective from October 15, introduces specific regulations against "involution" competition, prohibiting platforms from forcing sellers to price below cost [3][5] - These legal changes are expected to create a synergistic effect in regulating "involution" competition and chaotic low-price dumping across various market levels [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The current strategy of "price for volume" is showing diminishing returns, with further price cuts unlikely to stimulate demand and instead harming profitability [5] - The upcoming traditional peak season in Q4 is anticipated to improve pricing stability and enhance profit margins for express delivery companies [5] - The express delivery sector has seen collective stock price increases recently, with Jitu rising over 50% and Shentong over 40% in the past month, indicating potential valuation recovery [5]

Fixed Income - The bank wealth management market's existing scale reached 30.67 trillion yuan as of H1 2025, an increase of 0.72 trillion yuan compared to the end of 2024, surpassing the average change of -0.13 trillion yuan from H1 2021 to H1 2024 [2][7][8] - The average annualized yield of wealth management products weakened in H1 2025, with an average yield of 2.12%, down 0.53 percentage points from the entire year of 2024 [9][10] - The market is expected to stabilize above 30 trillion yuan in H2 2025, with a focus on long-term municipal investment bonds and capital bonds [10] New Consumption - Maternal and Infant Industry - The implementation of the childcare subsidy policy is expected to stimulate the maternal and infant industry, with the market size projected to reach 76,299 billion yuan in 2024 and 89,149 billion yuan by 2027 [12][13] - The birth population in China is expected to increase to 9.54 million in 2024, marking a rise of 520,000 from 2023, the first increase since 2017 [13] - The policy aims to alleviate family burdens and enhance birth rates, benefiting sectors such as dairy products, education and training, and infant care [13] New Consumption - Investment Opportunities - The high-end beauty sector is expected to grow faster than the mass market, with projected CAGR of 9.6% for skincare and 10.8% for makeup from 2023 to 2028 [14][15] - The ancient gold market shows strong growth potential, with a CAGR of 21.8% expected from 2023 to 2028 [15][16] - The current beverage market is seeing a rise in ready-to-drink products, with the market size for ready-to-drink beverages reaching 5,175 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for 36.3% of the beverage market [16][17] Medical Devices - Kaili Medical - Kaili Medical is positioned as a leader in ultrasound and endoscopy equipment, with new product launches expected to enhance market penetration [19][20] - The company has expanded its workforce significantly, preparing for a recovery in the medical device sector, with procurement activities showing signs of normalization [20][21] - Revenue forecasts for Kaili Medical indicate a growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 2.388 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 3.224 billion yuan by 2027 [21] Transportation - YTO Express - YTO Express reported a revenue of 5.53 billion yuan in June 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.35%, with a business volume growth of 19.34% [23][24] - The express delivery market is experiencing structural growth, with YTO's business volume growth outpacing overall market growth [24][25] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to improve profitability in the express delivery sector, with YTO's net profit per ticket projected to increase significantly [25][26]

华源证券7月29日发布研报称，给予圆通速递（600233.SH，最新价：15.43元）买入评级。评级理由主 要包括：1）6月行业业务量同比增长15.8%，圆通业务量增速持续领先；2）6月行业价格竞争仍持续， 7月"反内卷"有望开启价格回升；3）重视当前"反内卷"大背景，快递企业盈利弹性大。风险提示：行业 需求降速风险，行业提价不及预期风险，反内卷政策未达预期风险。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...