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研判2025!中国氧化铽行业产业链、价格及进出口分析:出口管制与资源战略双轮驱动,中国氧化铽市场成全球市场风向标[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-08 01:29
内容概况:中国作为全球稀土资源最丰富的国家,氧化铽行业在资源储备、生产能力和技术发展等方面 均处于领先地位。作为全球中重稀土供应的核心,中国通过政策调控与市场机制,正在重塑全球稀土供 应链,而氧化铽作为关键战略资源,其价格波动已成为观察国际地缘政治与产业趋势的重要窗口。2025 年4月,中国对铽、镝等7类中重稀土实施出口管制,直接引发国际市场恐慌。欧洲氧化铽价格单周飙涨 至3000美元/千克(约合人民币218.1万元/吨),国内价格虽受政策调控维持相对稳定,但仍因供需失衡 大幅上涨。2025年6月底,中国氧化铽行业价格为709万元/吨,同比增长31.30%。 相关上市企业:广晟有色(600259)、盛和资源(600392)、北方稀土(600111)、中国稀土 (000831)、厦门钨业(600549) 相关企业:中国北方稀土(集团)高科技股份有限公司、中国稀土集团资源科技股份有限公司、三一重 工股份有限公司、徐州工程机械集团有限公司、广西柳工机械股份有限公司、宁德时代新能源科技股份 有限公司、比亚迪股份有限公司、潮州三环(集团)股份有限公司 关键词:氧化铽、氧化铽市场规模、氧化铽行业现状、氧化铽发展趋势 一、 ...
研判2025!中国氧化镝行业产业链、价格及进出口分析:政策及技术革新重构市场,行业完成价格理性回归[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-08 01:29
内容概况:2021至2023年间,中国氧化镝市场价格持续维持200万元/吨以上的高位运行,其核心驱动因 素在于全球新能源汽车产业爆发式增长引发的供需失衡。作为钕铁硼永磁材料的关键添加剂,氧化镝需 求量随电动车产量激增而大幅攀升,而供应链响应速度未能匹配终端需求增速,导致市场出现阶段性供 应短缺,价格因此出现非理性上涨。进入2025年,市场格局发生显著转变。截至6月底,氧化镝价格回 落至161.5万元/吨,同比降幅达11.26%。此轮价格调整源于多重因素叠加:其一,全球稀土开采产能逐 步释放,缅甸、澳大利亚等地的新增供应缓解了资源紧张局面;其二,行业技术进步推动生产成本下 降,特别是新型制备工艺的商业化应用,有效降低了生产能耗与原材料消耗。2025年7月包头希迪瑞科 技公司取得重大技术突破,其"物理气相沉积法加晶界扩散法"中试成功,标志着稀土磁材领域迎来革命 性进展。该技术通过晶界扩散工艺将镝用量降低70%,在显著减少重稀土依赖的同时,实现磁体矫顽力 的大幅提升。这一创新不仅解决了传统钕铁硼磁材对镝元素的高依赖问题,更从技术源头降低了生产成 本,为氧化镝市场价格回归合理区间提供了关键支撑。 相关上市企业:北方稀 ...
国盛证券:大厂长单报价大幅上调 供需紧张下钨价有望持续上涨
智通财经网· 2025-08-07 06:01
国盛证券发布研报称,8月上半月,厦门钨业等多家大厂长单报价大幅上涨,尚有翔鹭钨业长单、赣州 钨协月度预测价未公布。从现有报价来看,当前长单报价接近市价公告、并较7月下半月大幅上调,反 映当前原料紧张格局仍然存在。大厂长单报价也给予市场较强上行支撑,预计8月钨价或延续偏强运 行。短期看好刚需补库+出口修复驱动的钨价弹性;中长期钨品供给矛盾难解,资源品稀缺有望驱动钨 价中枢抬升。 国盛证券主要观点如下: 大厂长单报价大幅上调,供需紧张下钨价有望持续上涨 市场价:截至8月5日,据SMM,黑钨精矿价格19.45万元/吨,较7月初上涨12%;APT价格28.5万元/ 吨,较7月初上涨13%;碳化钨粉价格42.25万元/吨,较7月初上涨14%。外盘方面,据亚洲金属网, APT价格34.9万元/吨(含税,鹿特丹),内外盘价差6.4万元,碳化钨50.2万元/吨(含税,中国离岸),内外 盘价差8.0万元。 8月上半月长单报价:(1)厦门钨业:APT报价27.95万元/吨。(2)章源钨业:黑钨精矿19.25万元/标吨, APT报价28.30万元/吨。(3)江钨集团:黑钨精矿19.4万元/标吨。 刚需补库与出口修复推动钨价强势运行 ...
钨:大厂长单报价大幅上调,供需紧张下钨价有望持续上涨
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-06 10:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the companies involved in the tungsten industry, specifically recommending Zhongtung High-tech and Anyuan Coal Industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The tungsten price is expected to continue rising due to tight supply and demand dynamics, with significant price increases observed in various tungsten products as of early August [1][2]. - The report identifies three main reasons for the strong performance of tungsten prices: the manufacturing sector is at a cyclical bottom, low inventory levels prompting restocking, and a recovery in export demand since June [2][3]. - The long-term outlook for tungsten prices remains positive due to persistent supply constraints and the scarcity of resources, which is likely to elevate the price center [4]. Summary by Sections Market Prices - As of August 5, 2023, black tungsten concentrate prices reached 194,500 CNY/ton, up 12% from early July; APT prices were 285,000 CNY/ton, up 13%; and tungsten carbide powder prices were 422,500 CNY/ton, up 14% [1]. Long-term Quotes - Major companies have set long-term quotes close to market prices, indicating ongoing raw material shortages. For instance, Xiamen Tungsten's APT quote was 279,500 CNY/ton, while Zhangyuan Tungsten's black tungsten concentrate was quoted at 192,500 CNY/ton [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes that the domestic tungsten price remains strong despite the normal output from the Bakuta tungsten mine in Kazakhstan, which has a capacity of nearly 10,000 tons of tungsten concentrate per year. The market has absorbed this supply increase without significant price drops [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that short-term price elasticity will be driven by restocking and export recovery, while long-term supply issues will support higher tungsten prices. Recommended stocks include Zhongtung High-tech and Anyuan Coal Industry, with related stocks being Xiamen Tungsten, Zhangyuan Tungsten, and Xianglu Tungsten [4].
重视黄金股年内第二波行情机会
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-03 23:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [9] Core Viewpoints - The report suggests focusing on gold stocks for a potential second wave of market opportunities within the year, driven by three dimensions: gold prices, valuations, and investment style [2][4] - Gold prices are expected to rise due to a pure driving force this year, breaking away from traditional interest rate frameworks, with a 90% probability of a rate cut in September [2][4] - Valuations of nearly all A-share gold stocks have adjusted to levels seen before the Q1 rally, indicating a high risk-reward ratio for investors [2][4] - The relative performance of gold stocks has diverged significantly from gold prices, reaching a new high in this cycle [2][4] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the importance of gold stocks and suggests increasing allocation to them, highlighting companies such as Zhaojin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold, and Shengda Resources [4] - Strategic metals like rare earths and tungsten are also highlighted for their potential value reassessment, driven by national policies and international market dynamics [5] - The report notes that the prices of rare earths have shown a significant increase, with Baotou Steel's rare earth concentrate price rising to 19,100 yuan/ton, a 1.5% increase [5] Industrial Metals - Industrial metals are experiencing downward pressure due to domestic demand concerns and a stronger US dollar, with copper and aluminum prices declining by 1.7% and 2.3% respectively [6][24] - The report indicates that the overall industrial metal market is in a state of fluctuation, with expectations of a rebound if the Federal Reserve implements rate cuts or if domestic stimulus measures are intensified [7] Lithium and Cobalt - The report highlights the short-term price fluctuations in lithium and cobalt, with battery-grade lithium carbonate prices dropping by 9.9% to 68.5 yuan/kg, while cobalt prices have shown an upward trend [25][29] - The report suggests monitoring supply disruptions in Jiangxi and emphasizes the potential for price increases in cobalt due to supply constraints [5][29]
有色金属行业首席联盟培训框架
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-02 09:45
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the supply-demand imbalance and rebalancing in the base metals sector, with a focus on the cyclical nature of recession and recovery [3][10] - In the precious metals sector, central bank gold purchases and a shift in risk appetite are expected to drive gold prices upward [4][26] - The small metals sector is characterized by cyclical demand trends, with both supply-demand tug-of-war and long-term opportunities [5][46] - The rare earth permanent magnet sector is anticipated to enter a new cycle, driven by the growing demand for high-performance materials in electric vehicles [6][65] - The report discusses the sandwich structure of investment in new metal materials, emphasizing long-term technological trends and short-term performance elasticity [7][80] Summary by Sections Base Metals - Base metals are closely tied to manufacturing and economic cycles, with copper facing supply constraints primarily at the mining level due to previous capital expenditure limitations [3][15] - Aluminum supply is bottlenecked at the smelting stage, with profitability per ton determining operational capacity [22][24] Precious Metals - Central banks have significantly increased gold purchases, contributing to rising demand [27][32] - The correlation between gold prices and U.S. Treasury yields has shifted, indicating a market response to extreme risks [35][36] Small Metals - The small metals sector shows stronger price elasticity compared to industrial metals, with tungsten and tin being highlighted for their strategic importance and demand from the electronics sector [5][49][55] Rare Earths - The demand for high-performance neodymium-iron-boron magnets is expected to grow, particularly in the automotive sector, while supply remains rigid [6][75] - The report notes a tightening supply-demand balance in the rare earth sector, driven by increasing demand from various applications [6][75] New Metal Materials - The investment framework for new metal materials is described as a sandwich structure, focusing on long-term trends, mid-term growth attributes, and short-term performance [7][80] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in semiconductor materials and high-performance applications driven by AI and power density trends [83][84]
2025年中国核电泵行业产业链、发展现状、竞争格局及发展趋势研判:装机目标驱动增长,行业规模有望突破420亿元[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-01 22:34
Industry Overview - The ammonium paratungstate (APT) industry in China has seen significant development driven by national policy support and market demand, with China being the largest producer and seller of tungsten globally [1][7] - As of June 2025, the price of APT in China reached 251,500 yuan per ton, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.19% [1][7] - The Chinese government has implemented strict total control and quota management on tungsten mining to ensure sustainable resource utilization, with the first batch of tungsten mining indicators for 2025 being tightened, reducing the total control indicator by 4,000 tons, a decrease of 6.45% compared to 2024 [1][7] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of tungsten concentrate is limited due to government policies, which in turn affects APT production [1][7] - There is a continuous increase in demand for APT driven by rapid global manufacturing and infrastructure development, particularly in downstream industries such as hard alloys, tungsten material processing, and petrochemicals [1][7] Production and Profitability - As of June 2025, the operating rate of APT in China was 74.95%, an increase of 9.76 percentage points year-on-year, driven by high APT prices that expanded profit margins for producers [9] - The gross profit margin for APT in the last week of June 2025 was 0.08 yuan per ton, a decrease of 52.94% year-on-year, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability due to raw material price fluctuations and increased competition [11] Export Trends - China has historically been a major exporter of APT, with export volumes significantly exceeding imports. However, in 2025, the implementation of export control policies led to a notable decline in export quantities, with a 52.78% year-on-year decrease in the first five months of 2025 [12] Key Players in the Industry - Major companies in the APT market include Xiamen Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd., Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Co., Ltd., and Jiangxi Tungsten Industry Group, which are leaders in production scale, technology, and market share [14] - Xiamen Tungsten Industry has an annual APT production capacity of 45,000 tons and is recognized for its high-purity APT production technology [16] - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry has a production capacity of 22,000 tons per year and has achieved significant improvements in production efficiency through advanced technologies [18] Industry Development Trends - The APT industry is expected to focus on technological innovation and green production methods to enhance product quality and production efficiency while minimizing environmental impact [20] - Companies are likely to accelerate the integration and extension of the industrial chain to enhance competitiveness and reduce risks, potentially through mergers and acquisitions [21] - The demand for APT is anticipated to expand further due to the acceleration of global industrialization and the growth of high-end manufacturing sectors such as renewable energy and aerospace [22]
厦门钨业: 厦门钨业第十届董事会第十五次会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-01 16:13
Group 1 - The company approved the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary, Chengdu Jinlu Cutting Tools Co., Ltd., to undertake the construction of a cutting tool production base project in Chengdu, with a registered capital of 400 million yuan [1] - The total investment for the project is 1.05207 billion yuan, with fixed investment accounting for 1.00192 billion yuan, and the project is expected to be completed by December 2030 [1] - The new facility will have an annual production capacity of 30 million indexable tools, 4 million solid tools, and 200 million superhard tools, aligning with national industrial policies and the company's strategic development plan [1] Group 2 - The company extended the duration of its third employee stock ownership plan from 24 months to 48 months, now set to expire on August 16, 2027 [2] - The extension was approved with 6 votes in favor, while related directors recused themselves from the vote [2]
公告精选︱比亚迪:7月新能源汽车销量合计34.43万辆;九号公司:上半年净利润12.42亿元,同比增长108.45%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 15:34
Key Points - The article highlights significant corporate announcements from August 1, including stock reductions, project investments, contract wins, operational data, equity acquisitions, share buybacks, and performance results [1] Group 1: Stock Reductions - Beijiajie reduced holdings by 1.025 million shares and 0.575 million shares from July 23 to July 28 [1] - Yongxin Zhicheng plans to reduce no more than 4% of its shares [1] Group 2: Project Investments - Xiamen Tungsten's subsidiary intends to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to undertake the construction of a cutting tool production base in Chengdu [1] - Aorijin plans to invest in the construction of an overseas production line project [1] Group 3: Contract Wins - China National Petroleum Engineering's subsidiary won a contract for the Iraq seawater pipeline project [1] - Nanfeng Co. secured a project worth 61.57 million yuan [1] Group 4: Operational Data - BYD reported total new energy vehicle sales of 344,300 units in July [1] - Qianli Technology achieved total vehicle sales of 10,222 units in July, representing a year-on-year increase of 142.34% [1] Group 5: Equity Acquisitions - Zhaosheng Technology plans to acquire 49% of Maikelong for 231 million yuan [1] - *ST Yazhen intends to acquire 51% of Guangxi Zirconium for 55.449 million yuan [1] Group 6: Share Buybacks - Nova Star Cloud plans to repurchase shares worth between 75 million and 150 million yuan [1] - Baiyun Electric intends to repurchase shares worth between 10 million and 20 million yuan [1] Group 7: Performance Results - Hikvision reported a net profit of 5.657 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11.71% [1] - Ninebot Company achieved a net profit of 1.242 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 108.45% [1] Group 8: Other Announcements - Jingyan Technology plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 578 million yuan for new consumer electronics and data server components production projects [1] - Borui Pharmaceutical signed a cooperation and research agreement with China Resources Sanjiu [1]
厦门钨业:第十届董事会第十五次会议决议公告
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-08-01 12:44
Group 1 - The company announced the establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary to undertake the construction of a cutting tool production base project in Chengdu [1] - The board approved the extension of the third employee stock ownership plan [1]