Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The chemical industry is expected to enter a replenishment cycle in 2025 due to several factors, including decreasing inventory levels, bottoming out of profits, and institutional holdings reaching a low point [8][30] - The supply-demand tension in phosphate rock is likely to continue, with a potential revaluation of its value, particularly focusing on the capacity expansion of Batian Co., Ltd [4][6] - The impact of the new round of tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Chinese chemical enterprises is expected to be limited, as the U.S. still needs to import a significant amount of chemical products from China [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The basic chemical sector showed a performance of 0.0% over the last month, 8.4% over the last three months, and 1.2% over the last year, compared to the CSI 300 index which had performances of -0.7%, 2.3%, and 8.2% respectively [2] Investment Suggestions - Focus on companies with low-cost expansion opportunities, such as Wanhu Chemical, and those in the tire and fertilizer sectors [8] - Highlight the potential for increased demand in phosphate fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate batteries, with ongoing projects in fine phosphate chemicals [4][6] - Emphasize high dividend yield opportunities in state-owned enterprises within the chemical sector, including China Petroleum and China National Offshore Oil Corporation [10] Key Company Tracking - Batian Co., Ltd. plans to expand its phosphate rock production capacity from 900,000 tons/year to 2 million tons/year, with additional projects underway [6] - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from rising prices in sulfuric acid, acrylic acid, and synthetic ammonia, with a focus on companies like Batian Co., Ltd. and others in the phosphate sector [7][9] Price Trends - As of April 3, 2025, the price of phosphate rock was 1,038 CNY/ton, with slight fluctuations in related fertilizer prices [19] - The Brent and WTI crude oil prices were reported at 66.06 and 62.32 USD/barrel, respectively, indicating a week-on-week decrease of approximately 9.98% and 9.73% [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock price will outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [2][6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 420.51 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 137.94 billion, up 11.38% year-on-year. Despite a decline in oil prices, the company managed to grow its net profit and enhance its oil and gas resource reserves, showcasing its sustainable development capabilities [4][9]. - The report highlights the company's steady growth in oil and gas production and reserves, with a target production of 760-780 million barrels of oil equivalent for 2025. The company has also made significant discoveries both domestically and internationally, reinforcing its low-cost advantage and profitability [9][10]. Financial Summary - The company's financial performance shows a robust operating cash flow of RMB 220.89 billion in 2024, a 5.3% increase year-on-year, and a debt-to-asset ratio of 29.05%, down 4.53% year-on-year. The gross profit margin and net profit margin improved to 53.63% and 32.81%, respectively [9][10]. - The report projects the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be RMB 138.15 billion, RMB 138.75 billion, and RMB 142.25 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 2.91, RMB 2.92, and RMB 2.99 [6][12]. Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-book ratio (PB) is projected to be 1.5x for 2025, 1.4x for 2026, and 1.2x for 2027, indicating a favorable valuation relative to its earnings growth [6][12]. - The report also notes a dividend payout ratio of 44.7% for 2024, with a commitment to maintain a payout ratio of no less than 45% from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a strong return to shareholders [9][10].

中信证券股份有限公司 关于中国海洋石油有限公司 2024年度持续督导报告书 | 上市公司：中国海洋石油有限公司（以下简称"中国海油"、"公司"） | | | --- | --- | | 保荐人名称：中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"或"保荐人"） | | | 保荐代表人姓名：黄艺彬 | 联系电话：010-60838129 | | 保荐代表人姓名：杨巍巍 | 联系电话：021-20262361 | 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准中国海洋石油有限公司首次公开发行 股票的批复》（证监许可〔2022〕632 号）的核准，中国海油首次公开发行人民 币普通股（A 股）股票 299,000 万股（含行使超额配售选择权所发新股），发行 价格人民币 10.80 元/股，本次发行最终募集资金总额为人民币 3,229,200.00 万元， 扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额为人民币 3,209,908.67 万元。上述款项已分别于 2022 年 4 月 18 日及 2022 年 5 月 23 日全部到位。安永华明会计师事务所（特殊 普通合伙）对公司本次公开发行新股的募集资金到位情况进行了审验，并于 2022 年4月18日及2 ...

中信证券股份有限公司关于 中国海洋石油有限公司持续督导 保荐总结报告书 保荐人编号：Z20374000 申报时间：2025 年 4 月 | 公司名称 | 中国海洋石油有限公司 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 英文名称 | CNOOC LIMITED | | | | | 成立日期 | 1999 年 8 日 | 月 | 20 | | | 注册地址 | 香港花园道 1 号中银大厦 | | | 65 层 | | 股票代码 | 600938.SH | | | | | 股票简称 | 中国海油 | | | | | 股票上市地点 | 上海证券交易所 | | | | 一、发行人基本情况 二、本次发行情况概述 经中国证券监督管理委员会《关于核准中国海洋石油有限公司首次公开发行 股票的批复》（证监许可〔2022〕632 号）的核准，中国海油首次公开发行人民 币普通股（A 股）股票 299,000 万股（含行使超额配售选择权所发新股），发行 价格人民币 10.80 元/股，本次发行最终募集资金总额为人民币 3,229,200.00 万元， 扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额为人民币 3, ...

中信证券股份有限公司 关于中国海洋石油有限公司 2024 年度持续督导工作现场检查报告 根据《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 11 号——持续督导》等有 关法律、法规的规定，中信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"中信证券"或"保荐 人"）作为正在对中国海洋石油有限公司（以下简称"中国海油""公司""上市 公司"）进行持续督导工作的保荐人，对 2024 年度（以下简称"本持续督导期间"） 的规范运作情况进行了现场检查，现就现场检查的有关情况报告如下： 一、本次现场检查的基本情况 （一）保荐人 中信证券股份有限公司 （三）现场检查人员 杨巍巍、王天阳 （四）现场检查时间 2025 年 3 月 21 日、3 月 31 日 （五）现场检查内容 现场检查人员对本持续督导期内发行人公司治理和内部控制情况、信息披露 情况、公司的独立性以及与控股股东、实际控制人及其他关联方资金往来情况、 募集资金使用情况、关联交易、对外担保、重大对外投资情况、经营状况等方面 进行了现场检查，具体检查内容详见本报告"二、本次现场检查主要事项及意见"。 （二）保荐代表人 黄艺彬、杨巍巍 （六）现场检查手段 1 本次现场检查的手段主要包括资料查阅 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 420.51 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year. However, in the fourth quarter alone, revenue decreased by 13.94% year-on-year to 94.48 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 18.78% to 21.28 billion yuan [2][6]. - The company's oil and gas net production significantly increased, achieving better performance than market oil price fluctuations, with a total net production of 726.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, marking a historical high [12]. - The average Brent crude oil price for 2024 was $79.86 per barrel, down 2.81% year-on-year, while the company achieved an average oil price of $76.75 per barrel, a decline of 1.6%, which was less than the Brent price drop [12]. - The company continues to focus on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, with a major cost advantage in barrel oil production, where the main cost was $28.52 per barrel, a decrease of 1.1% year-on-year [12]. - Future outlook suggests that oil prices are expected to stabilize at a mid-to-high level, with net production targets set for 2025-2027 ranging from 760 to 830 million barrels of oil equivalent, indicating steady growth [12]. - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, maintaining a dividend payout ratio of approximately 44.7% for 2024, with total dividends amounting to about 66.54 billion Hong Kong dollars [12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 420.51 billion yuan and net profit of 137.94 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.94% and 11.38% respectively [2][6]. - The fourth quarter saw a revenue drop of 13.94% year-on-year and a net profit decrease of 18.78% [2][6]. Production and Cost Management - The total net production reached 726.8 million barrels of oil equivalent, a 7.2% increase year-on-year, with significant contributions from both domestic and overseas projects [12]. - The company maintained a competitive cost structure, with a barrel oil cost of $28.52, down 1.1% from the previous year [12]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates oil prices to remain above $70 per barrel, with production targets set for gradual increases over the next few years [12]. - The focus on shareholder returns is expected to continue, with a commitment to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 45% in the coming years [12].

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has successfully developed a groundbreaking deep-sea seismic data imaging processing technology, enhancing the understanding of underwater geological structures at depths of 3000 meters, thereby supporting deep-sea exploration and development efforts in China [1][10]. Group 1: Technology Development - The research team led by Liu Jinpeng completed the processing of 2600 square kilometers of three-dimensional seismic data in the Pearl River Mouth Basin, marking a significant advancement in domestic deep-sea exploration technology [1][10]. - The team faced challenges in noise reduction from complex diffraction multiple waves, which were initially not effectively addressed by traditional methods [2][3]. - By integrating artificial intelligence with traditional techniques, the team developed a novel technology for attenuating residual diffraction multiple waves, improving the clarity of effective signals by 30% [3][6]. Group 2: Data Precision Enhancement - The team encountered difficulties in enhancing data precision due to the limited penetration of seismic waves, which often resulted in the loss of critical geological details [5][6]. - They innovated a multi-dimensional reconstruction theory and an intelligent frequency band fusion algorithm, which improved the seismic wave identification capability from 50 meters to 25 meters, increasing data resolution by 60% [6][7]. Group 3: Modeling and Interpretation - The lack of drilling data posed a significant challenge for building accurate geological models, leading the team to explore extensive literature and consult industry experts [8][9]. - Through deep data analysis, the team successfully constructed a high-precision velocity model, which allowed for better identification of geological structures and potential oil and gas reservoirs [9][10]. - This integrated modeling and processing solution has opened new avenues for deep-sea oil and gas exploration in China, potentially revealing previously inaccessible resources [9][10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) has shown a positive stock performance with a closing price of 26.52 yuan, up 2.12%, and a rolling price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 9.14 times, which is below the industry average of 12.18 times [1] - CNOOC's total market capitalization is reported at 1,260.494 billion yuan, ranking 10th in the oil industry based on PE ratios [2] - As of February 28, 2025, CNOOC has 223,903 shareholders, an increase of 43,943 from the previous count, with an average holding value of 352,800 yuan and an average shareholding of 27,600 shares [1] Group 2 - CNOOC's main business activities include the exploration, development, production, and sales of crude oil and natural gas, with primary products being crude oil and natural gas [1] - For the fiscal year 2024, CNOOC reported operating revenue of 420.506 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit of 137.936 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.00%, with a gross profit margin of 53.63% [1]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [3] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in production and has committed to a higher dividend payout ratio [2] - For the fiscal year 2024, the company achieved revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year [7] - The company has maintained a strong operational performance despite challenges such as asset impairment affecting profits [8] - The company has a leading position in the industry regarding reserve and production growth rates, with a capital expenditure of 132.7 billion yuan in 2024, the highest in its history [9] - The company is focused on shareholder returns, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio, with a total dividend of 1.40 Hong Kong dollars per share for 2024, a 12% increase year-on-year [12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 140.37 billion yuan, 146.32 billion yuan, and 154.52 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.79, 8.44, and 7.99 [13] Financial Summary - For 2024, the company reported total revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, with a net profit of 137.94 billion yuan, and a basic earnings per share of 2.90 yuan [7][14] - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 53.6% for 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 18.5% [14] - The company’s total assets are expected to reach 1,056.28 billion yuan by 2024, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 29.0% [16]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [3] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in production and has committed to a higher dividend payout ratio [2] - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 420.51 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.94%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 137.94 billion yuan, up 11.38% year-on-year [7] - The company has maintained a strong operational performance despite challenges such as asset impairment affecting profits [8] - The company has a leading position in the industry regarding reserve and production growth rates, with a net production of 726.8 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [9][10] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend strategy, with a total dividend of 1.40 HKD per share for 2024, a 12% increase year-on-year, and a payout ratio of 44.7% [12] - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 140.37 billion, 146.32 billion, and 154.52 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.79, 8.44, and 7.99 [13] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 53.6% and a return on equity (ROE) of 18.5% [14] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 1,056.28 billion yuan in 2024 to 1,254.65 billion yuan in 2027 [16] - The company’s operating income for 2024 is 420.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.9% [14]