今天A股继续缩量，成交额跌破1.6万亿，呈现结构性上涨的状态，而港股则反弹的相对干脆一点。 全天股市相关的 小作文非常多 ，包括但不限于机器人、国产芯片、老美的贸易政策变化，等等，不过短期来看，市场保持小幅震荡的可能性仍然是最大 的，对各种小作文还是要警惕一些（其中，寒王刚刚已经发布声明辟谣）。 债市今天波动极大，债狗们全天可能都处于缺氧窒息的状态，因此，咱们开篇，闲聊一个和股市、债市都有关的机构—— 「保险」相关的大新闻 。 我相信，这个选题大家应该都会感兴趣，但却也是全市场极少有人深究过的。 国信证券的金工团队，每个季度，会整理百亿私募基金，进入上市公司前十大股东的明细，我个人觉得， 当下，最需要关注的一家私募 ，是： " 国丰兴华 " 大家对这个名字，可能既熟悉，又陌生。 一方面，这不是一家传统意义上的私募管理人，它不对外销售产品； 另一方面，经常读咱们文章的朋友，应该都记得， 这就是 国寿和新华保险 ，联合出资成立的，全市场首只保险的体外私募大基金 ，如果对这块逻辑不熟 的，可以参考咱们1月初的文章，《 超级利好来了？ 》，也即对 《推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》的解读 。 国寿和新华一起出资的这 ...

"能源的饭碗必须端在自己手里。"中央领导的殷切嘱托，在实地踏入中国神华（601088）四川天明电厂 的那一刻，有了最鲜活的注解。 日前，"稳定器的力量——探访神华电力的区位优势和保障使命"2025年秋季反向路演活动成功举办。作 为上海证券交易所"我是股东"走进沪市上市公司系列活动之一，本次活动由上海证券交易所、四川省证 券期货业协会指导，中国神华能源股份有限公司、国泰海通证券股份有限公司主办，全景投资者教育上 海基地协办。 调研团一行实地探访了中国神华四川天明电厂生产车间、沙盘展厅、VR安全体验馆、机械煤场等设 施，并与中国神华高管面对面座谈，以近距离、全方位、多角度、深层次了解上市公司核心竞争能力， 股东权利意识和获得感持续增强。 图/调研团一行实地探访中国神华四川天明电厂 深秋的四川江油平原上，两座百万千瓦级超超临界机组冷却塔巍然矗立，白色的水蒸汽扶摇直上。在这 里，四川省首个百万千瓦等级超超临界煤电机组项目，正以中国神华"煤电运化"一体化的硬核实力，为 川蜀大地上日益增长的用电负荷保驾护航，在能源安全与"双碳"目标之间走出一条高质量发展之路。 图/中国神华天明电厂航拍图 兵马未动，粮草先行。能源保供的关 ...

随着美国国内煤炭消费爆发式增长，美国煤炭出口预计趋缓，全球海运动力煤贸易或将步入紧平衡格 局，建议重点关注具备区位与成本优势的国内煤企。 中泰证券（600918）发布研报称，交易面与基本面共振，煤炭或迎来新周期，看好2026年煤炭板块投资 机会，投资方面建议把握三条主线。基于中长期资金持续入市，煤炭"高股息、低估值"投资价值进一步 凸显，积极配置红利属性较强的标的；基于企业自身产能增长逻辑，叠加盈利弹性较大，重点关注α与 β共振的有望受益；基于煤价见底、盈利改善，重点关注困境反转的炼焦煤有望受益。 煤炭相关产业链港股： 中煤能源（601898）(01898)、兖矿能源（600188）(01171)、中国神华（601088）(01088)、兖煤澳大利 亚(03668)、中国秦发(00866)等。 10月节后煤价超预期上涨。 节后煤炭供应方面反内卷带动的收缩预期延续，边际因素在于产地降雨和大秦线检修，进口煤或受到蒙 古国政治因素影响环比有所下降。市场则担心四季度供应继续收缩。而价格超预期上涨的主要变量在需 求端，一方面下游电厂采购积极性提升，秦港船舶锚地数提升带动货船比下降，港口持续去库，另一方 面，下游用电量快 ...

沪指12月2日下跌0.42%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有7个，涨幅居前的行业为石油石化、轻工制 造，涨幅分别为0.71%、0.55%。煤炭行业今日上涨0.21%。跌幅居前的行业为传媒、有色金属，跌幅分 别为1.75%、1.36%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出464.99亿元，今日有7个行业主力资金净流入，轻工制造行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨0.55%，全天净流入资金6.79亿元，其次是农林牧渔行业，日 跌幅为0.34%，净流入资金为5.85亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有24个，电子行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金80.48亿元，其次 是电力设备行业，净流出资金为59.57亿元，净流出资金较多的还有通信、计算机、有色金属等行业。 煤炭行业今日上涨0.21%，全天主力资金净流入2.53亿元，该行业所属的个股共37只，今日上涨的有20 只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有16只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有20只，其 中，净流入资金超千万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是安泰集团，今日净流入资金2.01亿元，紧随其 后的是华阳股份、中国神华，净流入资金分别为8101.84万 ...

Core Insights - The coal mining sector experienced a slight increase of 0.16% on December 2, with Xindazhou A leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3897.71, down 0.42%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13056.7, down 0.68% [1] Coal Mining Sector Performance - Xindazhou A (000571) closed at 5.90, up 4.24% with a trading volume of 577,500 shares and a transaction value of 338 million [1] - Other notable performers included: - Biaoyang Co. (600348) at 8.12, up 3.57% with a transaction value of 694 million [1] - Dayou Energy (600403) at 8.36, up 3.21% with a transaction value of 846 million [1] - The overall trading volume and transaction values for various coal stocks indicate active market participation [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The coal mining sector saw a net inflow of 10.685 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 107 million [2][3] - Notable net inflows from institutional investors included: - Biaoyang Co. (600348) with 10.21 million [3] - Xindazhou A (000571) with 27.276 million [3] - China Shenhua (601088) with 23.929 million [3] - Retail investors showed significant outflows in several stocks, indicating a shift in market sentiment [2][3]

Group 1 - Enjie Co., Ltd. is planning to acquire 100% equity of Zhongke Hualian and will suspend trading from December 1, 2025 [3] - ST Tianrui's controlling shareholder is planning a change in company control, leading to a trading suspension from December 1, 2025, expected to last no more than two trading days [4] - Jiarong Technology intends to raise no more than 1 billion yuan through a private placement and acquire 100% of Hangzhou Lanran [5] Group 2 - Baillie Gifford's subsidiary received a milestone payment of $250 million related to a collaboration agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb [6] - Jiangxi Copper is planning to acquire shares of the overseas listed company SolGold Plc, with a non-binding cash offer of 26 pence per share [7][8] - China Shenhua's subsidiary successfully completed a 168-hour trial run of the No. 3 unit of the Beihai Phase II project, which is a key energy development project in Guangxi [9] Group 3 - Huayang Co., Ltd. has launched a high-performance carbon fiber project with an annual production capacity of 200 tons [11] - Dameng Data announced the release of its general manager from detention by the local supervisory committee [12] Group 4 - Zhongwei Company plans to reduce its stake by up to 1% through a block trade [13] - Yulide's board members plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.0313% of the company's total shares [14] - Saint Noble Bio's executives plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.024% of the company's total shares [15] Group 5 - Aoride plans to sign a comprehensive technical service agreement with a total amount of approximately 635 million yuan [16]

FF301 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國神華能源股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年12月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01088 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,377,482,000 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,377,482,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,377,482,000 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,377,482,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 ...

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the coal industry, emphasizing a preference for value investments as the price center is expected to rise in 2026 [1]. Group 1: 2025 Review - Coal production in China showed a trend of high output in the first half of 2025, followed by a decline, with a total of 397.3 million tons produced from January to October, marking a year-on-year increase of 1.5% [2][16]. - Coal imports decreased significantly, with a total of 38.8 million tons imported from January to October, representing an 11% year-on-year decline [2][24]. - The overall coal consumption remained resilient, with a total of approximately 4.24 billion tons consumed from January to October, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [3][44]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics - The coal price experienced a V-shaped recovery, with prices for thermal coal, coking coal, and anthracite rebounding to 816, 1670, and 930 CNY per ton respectively by November 28, 2025 [4]. - The report highlights that the supply-demand balance is maintained through policies that regulate production while ensuring supply stability [5]. Group 3: 2026 Outlook - The report forecasts coal consumption to reach 4.95 billion tons in 2026, with a year-on-year growth of 1%, driven primarily by demand from the power and chemical sectors [5]. - It is anticipated that coal production will slightly increase to 4.87 billion tons in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.6% [5]. - The investment strategy suggests focusing on high-dividend coal companies and those showing signs of recovery from financial distress, such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and Yanzhou Coal [5].

Group 1 - Daqian Ecological announced the resignation of Chairman Zhang Yuan due to personal reasons, affecting his roles in the board and strategic committee [1] - Daqian Ecological, established in October 1988, focuses on urban renewal, rural revitalization, and ecological restoration [1] Group 2 - Haili Biological plans to use up to 500 million yuan of idle funds to invest in financial products issued by banks, brokers, trusts, and fund companies [1] - Haili Biological, founded in July 1981, specializes in in vitro diagnostic reagents and oral tissue repair and regeneration materials [1] Group 3 - Xianglou New Materials' application for a private placement of shares has been accepted by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [2] - Xianglou New Materials, established in December 2005, is engaged in the research, production, and sales of customized precision stamping new materials [3] Group 4 - Zhuochuang Information has submitted an application for H-share listing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [4] - Zhuochuang Information, founded in April 2004, provides market data monitoring, trading price evaluation, industry data analysis, and research [4] Group 5 - Zhongwei Company plans to reduce its shareholding by up to 626,150 shares, representing 1% of the total share capital [5] - Zhongwei Company, established in May 2004, focuses on the research, production, and sales of high-end semiconductor equipment and related products [5] Group 6 - Jiarong Technology intends to raise up to 1 billion yuan through a private placement to acquire 100% of Hangzhou Lanran [6] - Jiarong Technology, founded in February 2005, specializes in membrane separation equipment and high-performance membrane components [6] Group 7 - Dameng Data's director and general manager Pi Yu has had his detention lifted by the local supervisory committee [7] - Dameng Data, established in November 2000, provides various database software, cloud computing, big data products, and related technical services [7] Group 8 - Huayang Co. has launched a 200-ton annual production project for high-performance carbon fiber [8] - Huayang Co., founded in December 1999, is involved in coal production, power generation, and renewable energy technologies [8] Group 9 - Saintno Biological's executives plan to collectively reduce their holdings by up to 37,600 shares, which is 0.024% of the total share capital [9] - Saintno Biological, established in July 2001, focuses on the research, production, and sales of peptide raw materials and formulations [9] Group 10 - *ST Dongyi is in the process of signing a comprehensive technical service agreement worth 635 million yuan [10] - *ST Dongyi, founded in November 1996, provides comprehensive home decoration services [11] Group 11 - Jiangxi Copper is attempting to acquire all shares of London-listed SolGold, with a recent offer of 26 pence per share [12] - Jiangxi Copper, established in January 1997, specializes in copper and gold mining, smelting, and processing [12] Group 12 - China Shenhua's subsidiary has successfully completed a 168-hour trial run of its power generation unit [13] - China Shenhua, founded in November 2004, is involved in coal and electricity production and sales [13] Group 13 - Baile Tianheng's subsidiary has received a milestone payment of 250 million USD from BMS [14] - Baile Tianheng, established in August 2006, focuses on innovative biopharmaceuticals and chemical preparations [14] Group 14 - Yulide's directors plan to reduce their holdings by up to 35,000 shares, representing 0.0313% of the total share capital [15] - Yulide, founded in December 2003, specializes in the research, production, and sales of testing and measuring instruments [15] Group 15 - Aters plans to establish joint ventures with its controlling shareholder to adjust its U.S. market operations [15] - Aters, established in April 2006, focuses on lithium-ion battery separator products and sterile packaging [15] Group 16 - Enjie Co. is planning to acquire 100% of Zhongke Hualian's shares, leading to a stock suspension [16] - Enjie Co., founded in April 2006, specializes in lithium-ion battery separator products and sterile packaging [16] Group 17 - ST Tianrui's controlling shareholder is planning a change in company control, resulting in a stock suspension [16] - ST Tianrui, established in July 2006, focuses on analytical testing instruments and environmental governance [17]

Summary of Earnings Estimates for China Commodities Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China commodities** sector, specifically covering various sub-sectors including steel, coal, cement, aluminum, copper, gold, EV metals, paper, and agriculture. Key Points in Earnings Estimates Revisions - **General Update**: Earnings estimates for China commodities have been refreshed to reflect mark-to-market price changes for Q3 2025 and the current quarter. Target price changes range from -5% to +5%, with investment ratings remaining unchanged. The changes are not viewed as material, and the overall investment thesis remains intact [1][2]. Steel Sector - **Baosteel and Maanshan-H/A**: Earnings estimates cut by 3% to 5%. Loss estimates for Angang-H/A increased by 4% for 2025E [9]. Coal Sector - **Shenhua-H/A, Yankuang-H/A, Chinacoal-H/A**: Earnings estimates updated by -3% to +5% for 2025-27E based on recent coal price trends. Chinacoal-H/A target price adjusted to HK$6.5 from HK$6.4, maintaining a Sell rating [9]. Cement Sector - **CNBM, WCC, BBMG-H/A, Conch-H/A, CRBMT**: Earnings estimates updated by -5% to +3% for 2025-27E, reflecting recent unit gross profit trends [9]. Aluminum Sector - **Chalco-H/A and Hongqiao**: Earnings estimates adjusted by -5% to +5% for 2025-27E based on mark-to-market aluminum and alumina prices. Hongqiao target price fine-tuned to HK$20.0 from HK$19.6, maintaining a Neutral rating [9]. Base Metals (Copper and Gold) - **Zijin-H/A, JXC-H/A, CMOC-H/A, MMG, Zhaojin**: Earnings estimates updated by -5% to +5% for 2025-27E to reflect mark-to-market prices of copper and other metals [9]. EV Metals - **Huayou and GEM**: Earnings estimates adjusted by -3% to +5% for 2025-27E based on mark-to-market nickel/cobalt prices and cathode spreads. Huayou's target price fine-tuned to Rmb32.6 from Rmb32.4, maintaining a Sell rating [9]. Paper Sector - **ND Paper and Sun Paper**: Earnings estimates updated by 0% to 2% for 2025-27E to reflect mark-to-market paper prices [10]. Agriculture Sector - **Hog and Feed Coverage**: Earnings estimates revised by -5% to +3% for companies like Wens, New Hope, Haid, and Dabeinong, incorporating mark-to-market hog and feed prices. For animal health and conventional seeds, estimates revised by -5% to -2% [10][13]. Target Price Methodologies and Risks - **Cement Companies**: Target prices based on historical P/B vs. ROE correlations. Key risks include weaker-than-expected construction demand and slower unauthorized cement capacity exit [14]. - **Base Metals**: Target prices based on historical P/B vs. ROE correlations. Key risks include lower commodity prices and operational risks [14]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of considering these estimates as part of a broader investment decision-making process, highlighting potential conflicts of interest due to Goldman Sachs' business relationships with covered companies [3]. This summary encapsulates the key updates and insights from the earnings estimates for the China commodities sector, providing a comprehensive overview of the changes and their implications for investors.