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史诗级利好!券商杠杆上限放宽,“牛市旗手”再度狂飙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-08 03:44
就在周末,金融圈疯狂刷屏政策红包。 证监会吴清释放关键信号,优质券商杠杆上限放宽。 上周末,券商板块迎来了重磅的利好。 证监会主席吴清在参加中国证券业协会第八次会员大会时表示,对优质机构适当松绑,适度打开资本空 间与杠杆限制。 对中小券商、外资券商在分类评价、业务准入等方面探索实施差异化监管,对于少数问题券商要依法从 严监管,违法的从严惩治。 这是管理层激活资本市场的明确信号。 受此利好影响,港A两地券商板块集体爆发。 A股市场中,兴业证券涨停,东北证券涨5.2%,华泰证券、国泰海通涨超4%,华安证券、中信证券、国 信证券涨超3%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601377 | 兴业证券 | 7.92 | +0.72 | 10.00% | | 000686 | 东北证券 | 9.71 | +0.48 | 5.20% | | 601688 | 华泰证券 | 22.73 | +0.93 | 4.27% | | 601211 | 国泰海通 | 20.55 | +0.82 | 4.16% | | 606009 | ...
财通证券:轻工行业海外供应链重塑 全球新消费掘金
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 02:43
智通财经APP获悉,财通证券发布研报称,轻工行业明年主要增长来源于海外产能的扩张和全球新消费 类目的渗透率提升。部分行业在经历了2024-2025年快速扩张海外产能后,或将在2026年实现运营改 善,使得收入利润重回增长。同时新消费类目由于自身α属性,受宏观影响较弱。国内业务相关行业将 显著受益于房地产市场的复苏;若明年地产市场触底企稳,相关产业链将普遍迎来明显恢复。 财通证券主要观点如下: 行业相关产业发展 宠物:宠物行业维持高景气度,高增长下关注α机会。目前宠物行业维持高景气度,但各家策略发生变 化,源飞宠物通过聚焦以期得到更快品牌突破,而依依股份则通过并购迅速完成自有品牌覆盖,后续均 值得期待。 基于性价比和创新的海外新消费类目也得到快速增长 地产链:高端化和出海成为后续主要增长点。志邦家居通过海外发展部分对冲了国内下滑趋势。而我乐 家居在过去几年快速进行高端化改造也在近期收获成效。 造纸:近期由于部分表观需求的释放以及成本价格上涨的推动,纸价有所修复。然而考虑到终端需求依 然较弱,纸厂近期累库后,纸价将出现回调。行业仍处于产能消化阶段,考虑到未来新增产能的减少, 行业供需平衡有望在2027年前后实现。 ...
业绩高增 + 政策利好 + 资金流入,证券ETF龙头(159993)涨近4%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 02:13
截至2025年12月8日 09:42,国证证券龙头指数(399437)强势上涨3.86%,成分股兴业证券(601377)上涨 10.00%,华泰证券(601688)上涨5.60%,国泰海通(601211)上涨4.46%,东方证券(600958),广发证券 (000776)等个股跟涨。证券ETF龙头(159993)上涨3.89%, 冲击3连涨。最新价报1.33元。 从资金净流入方面来看,证券ETF龙头近3天获得连续资金净流入,最高单日获得1274.34万元净流入, 合计"吸金"2527.22万元,日均净流入达842.41万元。 消息面上,证监会相关负责人12月6日表示,将着力强化分类监管、"扶优限劣"。对优质机构适当"松 绑",进一步优化风控指标,适度打开资本空间和杠杆限制,提升资本利用效率。 2025年前三季度,43家上市券商归母净利润同比高增64%,显著跑赢大盘(上证成分股+4.4%),但证 券板块指数却明显滞涨,凸显巨大的市场预期差。 从行业发展角度考虑,自23年初证监会提出,"倡导证券公司走资本节约型、高质量发展的新路",到25 年8月券商分类评价规则引导券商重视内生发展规模、提升ROE,期间券商股权融 ...
十大机构看后市:当前市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态,跨年前后或是做多的窗口期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 09:29
本周三大指数,上证指数涨0.37%,深证成指涨1.26%,创业板指涨1.86%。后市将如何发展?看看机构 怎么说。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 中信证券:当前市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态 当前的市场震荡可能是基本面超预期变化出现前的常态,债市的调整导致股债平衡型策略在当下遭遇一 定挑战,对控制持仓波动率可能有更高的要求,也间接影响到股票配置策略。未来人民币的潜在升值压 力可能会带来超预期的货币宽松,这可能是超预期变化的来源并打破震荡格局,在此之前,配置上延续 资源/传统制造业定价权的重估和企业出海两个方向。 光大证券:国内外利好共振 市场有所回暖 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中,不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比,当前指数仍然有相当大 的上涨空间,但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下,牛市持续的时间或许要比涨幅更加重要。不过短 期来看,市场可能缺乏强力催化,叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于稳健,股市短期或以震荡蓄势 为主。 华金证券:春季行情开启了吗? 当前来看,明年春季行情可能于今年12 月中下旬提前开启。(1)短期政策和外部事件可能偏积极。一 ...
财通证券:春季躁动的十问十答
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 07:07
Core Viewpoint - The market is transitioning towards a "spring rally" with potential catalysts emerging, particularly as the year-end approaches and new policies are anticipated [2][13]. Group 1: Market Trends and Strategies - The strategy for 2026 emphasizes embracing "Galloping Assets" which are global competitive leaders, indicating a shift towards value reassessment [1][12]. - The A-share market has shown a recovery with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 10% to above 3800 points [1][12]. - The current market phase is characterized by a period of observation and consolidation, with the potential for a spring rally to begin as early as December [2][13]. Group 2: Spring Rally Insights - The "spring rally" is expected to occur around the Lunar New Year, typically 1-2 weeks prior, with historical data suggesting a strong upward trend during this period [3][5]. - The likelihood of a spring rally varies based on market conditions: high during bottom-stimulus periods, moderate during continuation phases, and limited during downturns [4][6]. - Key indicators for the timing of the rally include significant new positive or negative developments, with potential early triggers in December [6][10]. Group 3: Sector and Style Preferences - The market favors smaller-cap indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 2000, which have shown a nearly 90% success rate with an average excess return of over 4% [6][19]. - Growth and technology sectors are highlighted as having an 80% success rate, also with an average excess return of over 4% [7][19]. - The top-performing industries are expected to be in the first tier: computer, communication, and electronics, with a second tier including machinery, chemicals, and military industries, all showing excess returns of over 3% [8][19]. Group 4: Long-term Investment Directions - The focus for long-term investments includes quality cyclical stocks benefiting from policy expectations in sectors like real estate, consumer goods, and resources [10][20]. - The strategy for the upcoming year includes a focus on "Galloping Assets" that align with China's economic transformation and global competition, particularly in technology, high-end manufacturing, consumption, and resource sectors [10][20].
市场震荡反弹,指增组合超额收益修复
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-12-06 12:27
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the construction of an AI-based low-frequency index enhancement strategy using deep learning frameworks to build alpha and risk models [3][14]. - The performance of various index enhancement funds has been highlighted, showing significant excess returns compared to their respective indices [10][11]. Market Index Performance - As of December 5, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.26%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.28% [7][8]. - The year-to-date performance shows the CSI 300 Index up by 16.5%, while the CSI 300 index enhancement portfolio increased by 26.2%, resulting in an excess return of 9.7% [18]. Index Enhancement Fund Performance - For the CSI 300 index enhancement fund, the minimum excess return was -1.28%, the median was 0.11%, and the maximum was 0.95% for the week ending December 5, 2025 [10][11]. - Year-to-date, the CSI 500 index enhancement fund showed a minimum excess return of -10.18%, a median of 3.15%, and a maximum of 13.55% [11]. Tracking Portfolio Performance - The report outlines the construction of enhancement portfolios for the CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices, utilizing deep learning to optimize alpha and risk signals [14][15]. - The CSI 500 index enhancement portfolio has achieved a year-to-date return of 30.3%, outperforming the CSI 500 index, which rose by 24.0%, resulting in an excess return of 6.4% [23][24]. Specific Index Enhancement Performance - The CSI A500 index enhancement portfolio has increased by 28.4% year-to-date, compared to a 19.6% rise in the CSI A500 index, yielding an excess return of 8.7% [29][32]. - The CSI 1000 index enhancement portfolio has shown a year-to-date increase of 38.0%, significantly outperforming the CSI 1000 index, which rose by 23.2%, leading to an excess return of 14.8% [35][36].
财通证券股份有限公司 关于“财通转债”2025年付息事宜的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-04 08:45
1、债券名称:财通证券股份有限公司2020年可转换公司债券。 2、债券简称:财通转债。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 财通证券股份有限公司于2020年12月10日发行的财通证券股份有限公司可转换公司债券(以下简称"可转 债")将于2025年12月10日开始支付自2024年12月10日至2025年12月9日期间的利息。根据本公司《财通 证券股份有限公司公开发行A股可转换公司债券募集说明书》有关条款的规定,现将有关事项公告如 下: 一、本期债券的基本情况 3、债券代码:113043。 4、发行总额:本次发行的可转债总额为人民币38亿元。每张面值100元,按面值发行,发行数量为 3,800万张。 5、债券期限:本次发行的可转债期限为发行之日起六年,即2020年12月10日至2026年12月9日。 6、债券利率:本次发行可转债票面利率为:第一年0.2%,第二年0.4%,第三年0.6%,第四年1.0%,第 五年2.0%,第六年2.5%。 7、付息方式:本次发行的可转债采用每年付息一次的付息方式,到期归还 ...
财通证券资产管理有限公司基金行业高级管理人员变更公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-04 08:45
公告送出日期:2025年12月04日 1 公告基本信息 财通证券资产管理有限公司 2025年12月04日 ■ 3 其他需要说明的事项 上述事项由财通证券资产管理有限公司第三届董事会第二十四次会议审议通过,并将按有关规定向相关 监管机构备案。 ■ 2 新任高级管理人员的相关信息 ...
证券行业2026年投资策略:本源业务彩彻区明,整合出海铸一流投行
GF SECURITIES· 2025-12-04 02:05
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of the securities industry in 2025, with a significant increase in profits driven by self-operated businesses, and anticipates continued growth in 2026 due to favorable policies and market conditions [6][15][26]. Section Summaries 1. 2025 Review: Recovery Begins - The securities industry saw a substantial improvement in profitability, with 43 listed brokers achieving a net profit of CNY 1,692.54 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 63.44% [15]. - The overall revenue for the same period reached CNY 4,216.23 billion, reflecting a 12.85% increase year-on-year [15]. - The recovery is supported by strong performance in brokerage and proprietary trading, with brokerage net income rising by 68% [18]. 2. Incremental Catalysts Expected, Performance Continues to Improve - The "14th Five-Year Plan" outlines a strategic direction for high-quality development in the financial sector, emphasizing the importance of a robust capital market [33]. - There is significant potential for increased market participation from institutional investors and retail investors, as the wealth effect from the capital market is expected to drive demand expansion [44][48]. 3. Comprehensive Performance Recovery, Growth Potential in Light Asset Businesses - The wealth management sector is recovering, with public funds showing high-quality development and increased market activity [18]. - Investment banking activities are also rebounding, particularly in the dual innovation sector, with IPOs and underwriting volumes expected to rise [18]. 4. Industry Structure Optimization: Building a First-Class Investment Bank - The report highlights the acceleration of mergers among leading brokers and the internationalization of Chinese brokers as key strategies for building a first-class investment bank [6][39]. - The integration of mergers and international expansion is seen as crucial for enhancing the competitive landscape of the industry [6][39]. 5. Profit Forecast: Continued ROE Improvement in 2026 - The report predicts that the return on equity (ROE) for the industry will continue to improve, with a projected net profit growth of 13% year-on-year under neutral assumptions for 2026 [6][39]. 6. Investment Recommendations: Focus on Structural Optimization and Alpha Catalysts - Investors are advised to pay attention to brokers benefiting from structural optimization and the recovery of wealth management, such as China International Capital Corporation, Huatai Securities, and CITIC Securities [6][39].
财通证券:贝壳家装业务步入正循环,租赁业务盈利水平趋于稳定
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 16:43
Core Insights - The report from Caitong Securities highlights Beike's "one body, three wings" strategy, showcasing significant platform integration potential and growth elasticity in new sectors such as home decoration and housing rental [1] - The home decoration industry in China has a large market size exceeding 3 trillion yuan in 2022, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, potentially reaching over 7 trillion yuan by 2030 [1] - Beike's rental business, particularly the "Shengxin Rent" service, has shown rapid growth, with over 590,000 managed housing units as of June 30, 2025, representing an 88% year-on-year increase [2] Home Decoration Industry - The home decoration market is characterized by low concentration and a fragmented enterprise landscape, providing Beike with an opportunity to leverage its scale advantages for industry consolidation [1] - The company's early entry into the home decoration sector, including partnerships and acquisitions, has led to a positive operational cycle in core high-energy cities [1] Rental Business - The core competitiveness of the "Shengxin Rent" business model lies in service quality and asset operation efficiency, with a focus on standardizing service processes and enhancing operational collaboration with housing transaction services [2] - The rental business has achieved significant revenue growth, with 10.7 billion yuan in revenue for the first half of 2025, an 85% year-on-year increase, and an improvement in profit margin from -1.0% in 2023 to 7.6% [2]