南财投研通数据显示，12月10日，券商给予上市公司目标价共9次，按最新收盘价计算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有亿联网络、兴福电子、英科再生，目 标价涨幅分别为53.21%、40.35%、35.77%，分别属于通信设备、电子化学品、塑料行业。 首次覆盖方面，12月10日券商共给出了8次首次覆盖，其中贵州轮胎获得环球富盛理财给予"买入"评级，佛塑科技获得招商证券给予"增持"评级，凯众股份 获得东北证券给予"增持"评级，汉得信息获得中信建投证券给予"买入"评级，古麒绒材获得天风证券给予"增持"评级。 | | | 8家最新被首次覆盖的公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券代码 | 证券名称 | 机构 | 最新评级 | 行业 | | 000589 | 贵州轮胎 | 环球富盛理财 | 买人 | 汽车零部件 | | 000973 | 佛塑科技 | 招商证券 | 增持 | 塑料 | | 603037 | 凯众股份 | 东北证券 | 増持 | 汽车零部件 | | 300170 | 汉得信息 | 中信建投证券 | 买人 | IT服务 | | 001390 | 古麒绒材 | 天风证 ...

国泰海通晨报 2025 年 12 月 11 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【食品饮料研究】食品饮料：成长优先，并重视低估值及长期成长确定性较强的传统消费龙头 价值修复。当前软饮料板块中农夫山泉、东鹏饮料估值吸引力提升，此外康师傅控股、统一、中 国食品、中国旺旺等低估值、高分红的类红利资产持续具备长期配置价值。 2、【策略研究】：中观景气延续分化，AI 产业链延续高景气，存储器继续涨价；服务消费需求同 比明显提升；工业金属价格大幅上涨；地产链和耐用品景气边际下滑。 3、【生物医药研究】可孚医疗：公司发布 2025Q3 季度报，单三季度高速增长，维持评级为增持 评级。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 訾猛(分析师) 021-38676442 zimeng@gtht.com S0880513120002 颜慧菁(分析师) 021-23183952 yanhuijing@gth ...

转自：新华财经 据统计，去年六大国有银行发布有关2024年中期分红派息实施公告主要集中在该年12月底及次年1月， 例如农业银行、工商银行分别于该年12月30日和31日进行公告，建设银行为次年1月3日进行公告。从公 告时间来看，今年国有大行中期分红落地普遍提速了近22天到一个月。 "国有大行持续稳定的分红政策，与监管导向密不可分。"受访业内人士认为，作为实施中期分红的第二 年，各银行在操作上更显熟练，加快落实相关政策要求。 作为上市银行中期分红的"主力军"，国有六大行本次中期现金分红总额预计超2000亿元，分红比例均维 持在归母净利润的30%水平，且多家银行将于12月份进行派发，今年中期分红节奏较往年加快。工商银 行分红继续领跑，具体来看，每10股派发1.414元（含税），以503.96亿元领跑六大行。 四大行12月份派发A股中期分红 今年中期分红节奏加快 据统计，截至12月9日，已有26家A股上市银行披露2025年中期或季度分红方案，合计派息金额拟超 2600亿元，平均分红率为24.9%，合计分红金额2645.66亿元，较去年增长2.55%。截至目前，今年共有 32家上市银行宣布（拟）实施中期分红（或三季度分 ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Among the bonds with discounted transactions, "25 Yungang Y4" had a large deviation in the valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "25 Datong C3" had a relatively high deviation in the valuation price. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "22 Bank of Communications Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B" had a large deviation in the valuation price; among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "25 Agricultural Bank of China TLAC Non - capital Bond 02C(BC)" had a relatively high deviation in the valuation price. Among the bonds with a transaction yield higher than 5%, real - estate bonds ranked high [2]. - The changes in the valuation yield of credit bonds were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) interval. The transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the highest proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 0.5 years. The transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the highest proportion of discounted transactions for varieties within 1 year. In terms of industries, bonds in the national defense and military industry had the largest average deviation in valuation prices [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Charts Chart 1: Discounted Transaction Tracking - The table listed 30 bonds with large discounts, including "25 Yungang Y4", "25 Dongfang K1", etc., with information on the remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, and transaction scale. The industries involved included transportation, non - financial finance, and urban investment [4]. Chart 2: Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - The table showed 43 bonds with large positive deviations, such as "25 Datong C3", "25 Raofa 02", etc. It provided details on the remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, and transaction scale. The industries included non - financial finance, comprehensive, and public utilities [6]. Chart 3: Tracking of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Transactions - The table presented 40 Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, including "22 Bank of Communications Tier 2 Capital Bond 02B", "22 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Tier 2 Capital Bond 04B", etc., with information on the remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, bank classification, and transaction scale [7]. Chart 4: Tracking of Commercial Financial Bond Transactions - The table listed 29 commercial financial bonds, such as "25 Agricultural Bank of China TLAC Non - capital Bond 02C(BC)", "24 Agricultural Bank of China TLAC Non - capital Bond 01B(BC)", etc., providing details on the remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, bank classification, and transaction scale [8]. Chart 5: Bonds with a Transaction Yield Higher than 5% - The table showed 20 bonds with a high - yield transaction, including "21 Vanke 06", "23 Vanke 01", etc., with information on the remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield deviation, and transaction scale. The industries involved included real estate, steel, and non - financial finance [10]. Chart 6: Distribution of Valuation Deviations in Credit Bond Transactions on the Day - The chart showed the distribution of changes in the valuation yield of credit bonds on the day, with the intervals [-10,-5), [-5,0), (0,5], and (5,10], and the number of bonds and transaction scale in each interval [13]. Chart 7: Distribution of Transaction Terms of Non - financial Credit Bonds on the Day - The chart presented the distribution of transaction terms of non - financial credit bonds on the day, including intervals such as within 0.5 years, 0.5 - 1 year, etc., and the corresponding transaction scale [15]. Chart 8: Distribution of Transaction Terms of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds on the Day - The chart showed the distribution of transaction terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds on the day, including intervals such as within 1 year, 1 - 1.5 years, etc., and the corresponding transaction scale [18]. Chart 9: Discounted Transaction Ratio and Transaction Scale of Non - financial Credit Bonds in Each Industry - The chart displayed the average valuation price deviation and transaction scale of non - financial credit bonds in various industries, including petroleum and petrochemicals, real estate, etc. The national defense and military industry had the largest average valuation price deviation [20].

12月5日，中国人民银行上海总部发布的《上海自由贸易试验区自由贸易账户功能升级实施办法（试 行）》（以下简称"试行办法"）正式施行。据悉，试行办法对现行自由贸易账户体系进行了重要功能提 升，使跨境贸易投资自由化便利化水平进一步提高。 《金融时报》记者了解到，试行办法正式实施当日，参与试点的工商银行（601398）、农业银行 （601288）、中国银行（601988）、建设银行（601939）、交通银行（601328）等中资银行和汇丰中 国、花旗中国等外资银行，均完成业务落地。 工商银行 12月5日，工商银行为某先进制造企业依托升级版自由贸易账户办理了跨境人民币放款业务，完成首笔 业务落地。据悉，该笔资金将用于从境内采购货物，实现人民币资金跨境流转。 "工商银行上海分行作为首批试点银行，积极向符合条件的客户进行政策宣讲，获得先进制造企业和高 科技企业的积极响应。"工商银行上海分行相关负责人表示，在为上述客户办理境外放款业务时，首次 采用了资本项目跨境债权债务项下"免审单"方式，实现支付即结算。 农业银行 某集成电路行业头部芯片制造企业是农业银行在12月5日完成的两笔自由贸易账户功能升级业务的受益 企业之一。该企 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expectation that stock prices will outperform the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [40]. Core Insights - The growth of M2 is primarily driven by government and corporate leverage, with government leverage's contribution increasing from 23.9% in 2015 to 45.5% in 2025, while corporate leverage is expected to contribute 63.6% to M2 growth in 2025 [5][14]. - The report highlights a divergence between the social financing (社融) and M2 growth rates, indicating a liquidity accumulation in the financial system when the demand for financing from the real economy is insufficient, which can lead to a decline in bond yields [5][19]. - The expected social financing-M2 differential for 2026 is projected to be 0.56%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33 basis points [32]. Summary by Sections M2 and Liquidity Analysis - M2 includes cash, personal deposits, corporate deposits, non-bank deposits, and deposits from non-deposit financial institutions. The main contributors to M2 growth are government and corporate leverage [5][13]. - The report discusses the relationship between the social financing-M2 differential and bond market performance, noting a shift in correlation since the second half of 2022 [5][19]. Social Financing Projections - For 2026, the report forecasts a total of 16.3 trillion yuan in new loans under the social financing framework, with a growth rate of 8.11% [32][34]. - The report anticipates that the net issuance of government bonds will reach 14.8 trillion yuan in 2026, with a focus on maintaining a proactive fiscal policy [34]. M2 Growth Forecast - The M2 growth rate for 2026 is projected at 7.55%, influenced by factors such as net fiscal deposits, the strengthening of the equity market, and cross-border capital flows [32][36].

12月4日，第十九届上海金融服务实体经济洽谈会闭幕大会在沪举行，交通银行副行长杨涛作为联合会理事长单位代表出席会议，并与相关金融基础设施 负责人共同启动"全球金融机构走进中国金融市场"系列活动。 交行将切实践行国有大行责任担当，充分发挥上海主场优势，凝聚各方金融力量，为高质量推进上海国际金融中心建设作出更大贡献。 杨涛出席并发表讲话 杨涛表示，交行与广大金融机构深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神和习近平总书记考察上海重要讲话精神，认真做好金融"五篇大文章"，持续推动各 类金融服务资源下沉产业末梢：贯彻落实党中央战略部署，加力服务上海现代化产业体系建设；大力支持联合会发挥作用，扎实推进普惠金融顾问制度走 深走实；紧密围绕实体企业关切，持续推动科技金融服务创新，为上海"五个中心"建设作出新的更大贡献。 交行会同上海市相关政府部门及主要金融机构，积极支持金洽会"园区行"活动，协同推广普惠金融顾问制度，并推动本行科技金融服务对接各类科创企 业。同时，携手中国外汇交易中心、上海证券交易所、上海期货交易所、中国金融期货交易所、上海黄金交易所、上海清算所共同打造"全球金融机构走 进中国金融市场"系列活动，合力推广各类互联互 ...

业绩增速逐季改善，息差管控颇有成效 交通银行(601328) | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 刘源(分析师) | 021-38677818 | liuyuan2@gtht.com | S0880521060001 | 本报告导读： 交通银行 2025Q1-3 营收及净利润增速逐季提升，息差管控颇有成效，资产质量稳中 向好。上调目标价至 8.58 元，维持增持评级。 投资要点： | 风险提示：零售信用风险暴露超出预期、息差下行节奏超出预期。 | | --- | | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 257,595 | 259,826 | 263,638 | 267,790 | 271,9 ...

岁末年初的银行业"开门红"旺季营销，今年迎来显著变革。多家国有大行、股份制银行及区域中小银行 于11月便抢先启动布局，较传统12月启动节点提前整整一个月。金融界银行研究院陈国汪院长指出，这 一调整并非单纯的时间前移，而是银行业在净息差持续收窄、市场竞争加剧背景下，向财富管理转型的 战略选择，其核心目标是通过拓展中间业务，破解盈利增长难题。 其一，积极布局资产管理相关牌照。目前国内已有32家理财公司，形成较为成熟的资管生态。对于未获 得相关牌照的银行业金融机构，可按照监管"一省一家"的原则参与理财公司发起设立，通过持股方式依 托理财公司发行理财产品，既能有效留住客户资金，又能稳定获取中间业务收入。而对于规模较大、综 合实力较强的银行，可考虑组团发起设立注册规模达100亿元的金融资产投资公司，进一步拓展投行业 务与投贷联动业务，以投行收益弥补息差收窄带来的盈利压力。 其二，深化与第三方机构的业务协同。当前银行自身产品体系难以完全满足客户多元化财富管理需求， 需通过与基金、保险、信托等第三方专业机构建立深度合作，丰富代销产品矩阵。从行业实践来看，头 部银行已通过此类合作实现非息收入稳步增长，而中小银行可借助合作快速 ...

格隆汇12月10日｜A股市场银行股普跌，截至半日收盘，招商银行跌3%，农业银行、齐鲁银行、杭州 银行跌超2%，张家港行、兴业银行、常熟银行、交通银行跌近2%。 ...