Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities highlights four marginal changes in the tourism and retail sectors that could activate their investment value, focusing on equity, management, licenses, and new economic models, supported by top-down policies promoting consumption [1]. Group 1: Asset Characteristics - Tourism and retail companies possess unique asset characteristics, with high replacement costs and relatively lower profit performance, indicating a special asset profile that combines high asset replacement value with low profit growth [2]. - Most tourism and retail companies have state-owned backgrounds, providing a strong safety margin for their assets [2]. Group 2: Alignment with Quantitative Investment - The characteristics of tourism and retail companies align with quantitative investment aesthetics, including high replacement costs, actual asset value, low stock prices, low institutional holdings, and ongoing policy support, leading to significant stock price elasticity and substantial total profit capacity [3]. Group 3: Broader Definition of Fundamentals - The concept of "fundamentals" extends beyond profit statements; the actual revaluation of assets in tourism and retail companies is a fundamental aspect that may not be reflected in profit statements but is evident in actual equity transaction cases, such as those involving Sanjiang Shopping and Yonghui Supermarket [4]. Group 4: Policy Impact on Consumption - Since 2023, multiple top-down policies have been introduced to promote consumption, emphasizing the importance of the consumption sector. The most direct implementation of these policies occurs in tourism and retail, exemplified by new consumption models or brands, referred to as "first-launch economy," which can be seen in scenarios like supermarket adjustments and the ice and snow economy [5]. - Investment recommendations include continuous attention to the four marginal changes in tourism and retail: equity changes, management changes, license changes, and new economic model changes, with specific company recommendations such as Guilin Tourism, Hong Kong China Travel, and Changbai Mountain, while also monitoring companies like Three Gorges Tourism, Tianfu Cultural Tourism, and Yinzhu Co. [5].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened down 0.59%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.44%. Bank stocks strengthened, with China Merchants Bank rising nearly 1%, while the non-ferrous metals sector weakened, with China Aluminum dropping over 2%. Tech stocks were sluggish, with Alibaba and Baidu both declining by more than 1% [1] - CITIC Securities believes that due to the internal "14th Five-Year Plan" catalyst and external major economies' "fiscal + monetary" dual easing, the Hong Kong stock market is expected to welcome a second round of valuation repair and further earnings recovery by 2026. It suggests focusing on technology, healthcare, resource products, essential consumer goods, paper, and aviation sectors [1] - Everbright Securities indicates that with domestic policy efforts and a weaker US dollar, the Hong Kong stock market may continue to experience a volatile upward trend. The overall profitability of the Hong Kong market is relatively strong, and assets in the internet, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals are relatively scarce. Despite several months of consecutive gains, the overall valuation remains low, making long-term allocation cost-effective [1] - Dongwu Securities believes that the Hong Kong stock market is entering a volatile upward phase, emphasizing the need to maintain dividends as a base and seize the technology growth market in the first half of the year. Potential incremental funds from southbound investments will continue to increase allocation to value dividends. Considering valuations and the AH comparison perspective, southbound funds will generally increase allocation to Hong Kong tech growth stocks, although the tech market will still be influenced by overseas interest rate cuts and US tech market trends, requiring dynamic observation [1] Group 2 - Industrial Securities suggests actively going long, as the Hong Kong stock market is expected to start a spring offensive led by the Hang Seng Tech Index. In the medium term, the bull market in Hong Kong stocks will continue into 2026, with earnings and liquidity likely to drive the market. Changes in risk appetite may present a pattern of "rise first, then fall, and rise again" [2] - In the first quarter of 2026, the risk appetite for Hong Kong stocks is expected to "rise first" [2]

东吴证券研报指出，绿联科技预计2025年归母净利润6.53至7.33亿，同比增长41~59%；Q4预计归母净 利润1.86~2.66亿元，同比增长33~89%。公司2025年全年业绩指引中枢为6.93亿元，略高于Wind一致预 期的6.75亿元。公司多维度发展要素协同发力，叠加清晰的品牌战略与稳健的经营理念支撑，通过精准 捕捉市场需求，持续夯实核心竞争力，全面拓展市场布局并借力政策利好，最终实现经营质量与效益的 稳步提升。该行认为公司在产品端和渠道端近期均有亮眼表现，未来渠道和产品的发力有望让公司业绩 持续高增，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huayou Cobalt is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.85 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 40.8% to 55.2% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit for Q4 2025 is projected to be between 1.63 to 2.23 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 44% to 97% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9% to 48% [1] - The company's performance in Q4 2025 is anticipated to exceed market expectations [1] Nickel Price Outlook - The average nickel price in Q4 2025 is expected to be 15,000 USD, remaining stable compared to the previous quarter [1] - The Indonesian government plans to reduce mining quota issuance in 2026, which may support nickel prices; the price has risen from a low of 14,500 USD to 16,800 USD in December [1] - If nickel prices maintain this level, the company's profit per ton of nickel could increase by 1,000 to 4,000 USD, contributing over 4 billion yuan in profit [1] Product Growth - The production of ternary cathodes is expected to reach nearly 100,000 tons in 2025, doubling year-on-year, while ternary precursors are projected to be around 110,000 tons, with stable growth expected in 2026 [1] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 from 6.0/9.0/10.9 billion yuan to 6.2/10.7/12.4 billion yuan, reflecting increases of 50%/72%/15% [1] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are projected to be 22x/13x/11x, with a target PE of 20x for 2026 and a target price of 113 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Insights - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the rapid development of commercial aerospace and low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites, indicating that space photovoltaic power supply is optimal and may experience rapid growth, supported by efficient perovskite/silicon tandem technology [1] Group 1: Commercial Aerospace Development - The maturity of reusable rocket technology has significantly reduced launch costs, breaking down economic barriers to entering space. The scarcity of satellite frequency resources is driving countries to accelerate the acquisition of strategic resources, leading to a sustained increase in global spacecraft launches. The number of global spacecraft launches has grown from 237 in 2016 to over 4,300 by 2025, with a CAGR of 34% and an increase of over 50% year-on-year in 2025 [2] Group 2: Photovoltaic Energy in Satellites - Photovoltaics are the only efficient and stable energy source for satellites, with solar wings accounting for approximately 20-30% of the satellite manufacturing cost. Solar wings are critical for spacecraft operation, representing over 60% of the value, with current mainstream gallium arsenide costing around 200,000 to 300,000 per square meter. As the power requirements of satellites increase, the area of solar wings is expected to grow significantly, with SpaceX's Starlink V3 satellite solar wing area increasing by over 10 times compared to earlier versions [3] Group 3: Technology Optimization - Gallium arsenide is the mainstream technology in China, known for its high efficiency and radiation resistance, with component efficiency exceeding 30%. However, its high cost (200,000 to 400,000 yuan per square meter) may limit large-scale satellite constellation deployment. In contrast, foreign companies like SpaceX have lower launch costs, and while silicon can offer lower weight-to-cost ratios, the lower-cost P-type silicon route may be preferred for single satellite costs. Perovskite batteries show promise in terms of lightweight, high energy-to-weight ratio, low cost, and stability, potentially becoming a superior solution for space power supply [4] Group 4: Market Potential and Investment Recommendations - The global deployment of low Earth orbit satellites is entering an explosive phase, with over 100,000 satellites registered globally by the end of 2025. The U.S. leads with approximately 42,000 satellites through Starlink, while China has submitted plans for over 51,000 satellites. Assuming an annual launch of 10,000 satellites, the solar wing market could reach nearly 200 billion. The surge in AI computing demand is pushing computational power to space, leveraging the advantages of solar energy and thermal conditions in near-Earth orbit. If a 10GW space computing system is established, the solar wing market could reach several trillion yuan. Investment recommendations include JunDa Co. (collaborating with Shangyi on satellite perovskite), Mingyang Smart Energy (subsidiary focusing on perovskite and HJT technology), and others in the HJT/perovskite battery sector [5]

智通财经APP获悉，东吴证券发布研报称，商业航天+低轨卫星加速发展背景下，太空光伏供能最优， 或有望迎来高速发展。载荷升级推动太阳翼用量扩张，大面积、高效率的太阳翼将成商业航天竞备的关 键。低轨卫星锤炼技术+太空算力需求潜力大，太空光伏前景广阔。若后续构建10 GW太空算力系统， 太阳翼市场规模或达数万亿元。钙钛矿电池在轻量化与高能质比、低成本、稳定性等方面具备优势，潜 力十足、有望成为太空供电更优方案。 东吴证券主要观点如下： 科技竞争前沿，商业航天冉冉升起。随着可回收火箭技术的成熟，航天发射成本大幅下降，逐步打破进 入太空的经济壁垒。卫星频轨资源的稀缺性推动各国加速抢占战略资源，全球航天器发射量持续高增。 近10年来全球航天器发射数自2016年237颗增长至2025年超4300颗，CAGR达34%；25年同增超50%。全 球卫星在轨工作数已超万颗，备案数量超10万颗，后续发射数有望进一步井喷。 光伏是卫星唯一高效、长期稳定的能源形式，随功耗增长太阳翼用量提升。卫星电源系统在整星制造成 本中约20-30%，其中太阳翼是航天器在轨运行的能量心脏，材料特殊、可靠性要求极高，约占60%+价 值量，当前主流砷化镓对 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the affordable tea beverage segment is expected to maintain rapid growth due to its lower average transaction value and alignment with mass consumer upgrade logic, with significant penetration potential in lower-tier markets [1] - The report indicates that after an initial phase of rapid expansion, the current number of industry stores has significantly exceeded demand, leading to an accelerated trend of eliminating weaker brands and favoring stronger ones with robust product and channel capabilities [1] - The brand Mixue is highlighted as a leading player in the affordable tea beverage market, with a strong visibility of market share growth, and the company is projected to reach approximately 70,000 stores domestically and 10,000 to 15,000 stores in Southeast Asia [1] Group 2 - The report forecasts that Mixue's net profit attributable to the parent company will be 5.85 billion, 6.52 billion, and 7.3 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 12%, and 12% respectively [1] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory and market position [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the affordable tea beverage segment is expected to maintain rapid growth due to its lower average transaction value and alignment with mass consumer upgrade logic, with significant penetration potential in lower-tier markets [1] - The report indicates that the current number of stores in the industry has significantly exceeded demand, leading to an accelerated trend of eliminating weaker brands and favoring stronger ones with robust product capabilities and channel strength [1] - The company, Mixue, is highlighted as a leading brand in the affordable tea beverage market, with a strong visibility in market share growth, and is projected to reach approximately 70,000 stores domestically and 10,000 to 15,000 stores in Southeast Asia [1] Group 2 - The report forecasts that Mixue's net profit attributable to shareholders will be 5.85 billion, 6.52 billion, and 7.3 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 12%, and 12% respectively [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company, indicating confidence in its future performance and market position [1]

Core Viewpoint - Ding Tai High-Tech is expected to see significant growth in its 2025 performance, driven by the explosive demand for AI PCB, with a strong performance trend continuing from the first three quarters of 2025 [1] Group 1: Performance Forecast - The company maintains a high growth trajectory for the entire year of 2025, primarily due to the sustained demand for AI computing servers and data centers [1] - The high-end PCB market demand has significantly increased, leading to growth in the demand for the company's PCB drilling needles and polishing materials [1] Group 2: Production and Supply - The company's expansion speed is leading in the industry, with continuous breakthroughs in high aspect ratio drilling needles [1] - Due to the accelerated construction of AI computing infrastructure, the supply of drilling needles is currently insufficient [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - The net profit forecast for the company has been revised upwards for 2025-2027 to 440 million (originally 400 million), 810 million (originally 630 million), and 1.57 billion (originally 900 million) yuan respectively [1] - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic P/E ratios of 134, 72, and 37 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance forecast for 2025 by Giant Star Technology aligns with expectations, indicating strong growth resilience and performance elasticity due to anticipated interest rate cuts [1] Group 1: Performance Outlook - The company has a record high order backlog for 2026, with an 81.7% probability of interest rate cuts in January 2026 according to FedWatch, suggesting a potential turning point for company performance [1] - The acceleration of overseas production capacity and rapid growth in the electric tools business are highlighted as key growth drivers [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to continue product innovation, aiming for high revenue growth in the coming years, which is expected to establish a second growth curve [1] - The chairman's continuous share purchases reflect confidence in the company's long-term development [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [1]