Group 1 - The brokerage sector opened flat on July 28, followed by a sharp rise, with the leading A-share brokerage ETF (512000) increasing by over 1% and a real-time trading volume of nearly 400 million yuan, indicating active trading [1] - Major stocks in the brokerage sector showed strong performance, with Zhongyin Securities leading with a rise of over 6%, while Guotai Junan and Shouchuang Securities increased by more than 2% [2][3] - The announcement of Shouchuang Securities planning to list in Hong Kong could make it the 14th brokerage to achieve "A+H" listing status, joining 13 others already listed [3] Group 2 - According to Zhongtai Securities, the A-share market has shifted from a stock market to an incremental market since June, suggesting that investors should focus on relative return opportunities in the non-bank sector [4] - From April 7 to July 22, H-shares of A+H listed brokerages rose by 73.9%, while A-shares only increased by 22.0%, indicating a significant gap of 51.9% and potential for A-share brokerages to catch up [4] - The brokerage ETF (512000) passively tracks the CSI All Share Securities Company Index, which includes 49 listed brokerage stocks, with nearly 60% of its holdings concentrated in the top ten leading brokerages [4]

Market Performance - The three major stock indices in A-shares collectively rose during the week from July 21 to July 25, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.67% to close at 3593.66 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.33% to 11168.14 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.76% to 2340.06 points [2][3] - Approximately 71% of stocks experienced gains during the week, with 176 stocks rising over 15% and 10 stocks declining over 15% [2] Sector Performance - The sectors that saw the highest gains included small metals, cement, energy metals, infrastructure, and general steel, while the sectors that experienced declines included banking, chemical pharmaceuticals, telecommunications, components, and diversified finance [2] International Market Overview - In the U.S. market, the three major indices also saw increases on July 25, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.47% to 44901.92 points, the S&P 500 increasing by 0.40% to 6388.64 points, and the Nasdaq Composite up by 0.24% to 21108.32 points [4][5] - European markets showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 down by 0.20%, the French CAC 40 up by 0.21%, and the German DAX down by 0.32% [4] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell on July 25, with light crude oil futures for September delivery down by 1.32% to $65.16 per barrel and Brent crude oil futures down by 1.07% to $68.44 per barrel [4] Key Announcements - The Chinese government announced initiatives to gradually implement free preschool education, emphasizing the importance of this measure for long-term development and the welfare of families [6] - Shanghai issued new licenses for intelligent connected vehicle demonstration operations, aiming to establish a leading autonomous driving area by 2027 [7] - The State Council's Food Safety Office emphasized increased regulatory efforts for infant food and disaster relief food to ensure public safety [8] - China proposed the establishment of a World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization, with a potential headquarters in Shanghai [9] Financial Sector Insights - Recent market inflows have been primarily driven by institutional investments, with retail investors expected to increase participation as market performance improves [13] - The steel sector, characterized by a high proportion of state-owned enterprises, is anticipated to benefit from potential policy support aimed at reducing overcapacity [14] Corporate Performance - ST Suwu's stock may face mandatory delisting due to significant legal violations, while companies like Zhejiang Dingli reported a 27.49% increase in net profit for the first half of the year [15] - Major individual stocks with significant net inflows included Cambrian Biologics and CITIC Securities, while China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering faced substantial outflows [17]

金融工程| 证券研究报告 —周报 2025 年 7 月 27 日 中银量化大类资产跟踪 融资余额持续上行，小盘成长风格占优行情延 续 股票市场概览 ◼ 本周 A 股上涨，港股上涨，美股上涨，其他海外权益市场走势分化。 A 股风格与拥挤度 成长 vs 红利：成长风格拥挤度及超额净值持续处于历史低位；红利 风格拥挤度近期处于历史较低位置。 小盘 vs 大盘：大盘、小盘风格超额净值及拥挤度均处于历史低位。 微盘股 vs 基金重仓：近期微盘股拥挤度上升至历史较高位置；基金 重仓拥挤度及超额累计净值持续处于历史低位。 A 股行情及成交热度 汇率市场 ◼ 近一周在岸人民币较美元升值，离岸人民币较美元升值。 商品市场 ◼ 本周中国商品市场整体上涨，美国商品市场整体上涨。 ◼ 本周领涨的行业为煤炭、钢铁、有色金属；领跌的行业为银行、综合 金融、通信。本周成交热度最高的行业为建筑、钢铁、轻工制造；成 交热度最低的行业为电子、食品饮料、传媒。 A 股估值与股债性价比 A 股资金面 机构调研活跃度 ◼ 当前机构调研活跃度历史分位居前的行业为房地产、商贸零售、通 信，居后的行业为银行、医药、电子。 利率市场 ◼ 本周中国国债利率上涨 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the potential of Feiliwa (300395) in transforming its technological advantages into a first-mover advantage in the quartz fabric market, supported by a stock incentive plan that reflects the company's confidence in its future growth [1][2]. Group 1: Market Opportunity - Feiliwa is entering the blue ocean market of electronic fabrics by leveraging its full industry chain advantages in quartz fibers, particularly in aerospace and semiconductor applications [2][4]. - The global PCB market in the server/data storage sector is projected to grow from $10.9 billion to $18.9 billion from 2024 to 2029, with a CAGR of 12%, indicating a significant demand for quartz fabric due to its excellent dielectric properties [3]. Group 2: Technological Edge - Feiliwa has a 60-year history in quartz technology, making it one of the few manufacturers capable of mass-producing quartz fibers, which are critical for high-precision applications [4]. - The company has developed a second-generation ultra-low loss quartz electronic fabric, directly competing with international giants like Shin-Etsu Chemical [4]. Group 3: Stock Incentive Plan - The stock incentive plan aims to motivate 255 core technical and sales personnel by granting 1.6881 million shares at a price significantly below the market price, with performance targets tied to net profit growth [5]. - The plan is designed to enhance employee engagement and operational efficiency, reflecting the company's commitment to its core talent [5]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Feiliwa's projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.16, 1.65, and 2.45 yuan, respectively, with a total market capitalization of approximately 39.7 billion yuan as of July 25, 2025 [6]. - The corresponding PE ratios for these years are expected to be 65.4, 46.0, and 31.1 times, indicating a strong growth outlook [6].

Group 1: Bond Underwriting - In the first half of 2025, 40 securities firms acted as main underwriters for green bonds, managing 71 bonds/products with a total amount of 59.444 billion yuan [2] - A total of 68 securities firms served as main underwriters for technology innovation bonds, underwriting 380 bonds with a total amount of 381.391 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Public Fund Management - As of the end of Q2 2025, the top three securities asset management firms by public fund management scale are Dongfanghong Asset Management, Huatai Securities Asset Management, and Bank of China Securities, each managing over 100 billion yuan [3] - Three equity fund managers from securities asset management firms have public fund management scales exceeding 10 billion yuan, specifically from Dongfanghong and Zhongtai Asset Management [3] Group 3: Public Fund Market Data - The total scale of public funds reached a record high of 34.39 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, surpassing the 34 trillion yuan mark [6] - Compared to the end of May, the public fund scale increased by over 650 billion yuan, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 1.93% [7] Group 4: Shenzhen Financial Data - As of the end of June 2025, the balance of various deposits in Shenzhen reached 14.16 trillion yuan, an increase of nearly 600 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [8] - The balance of loans in Shenzhen reached 9.85 trillion yuan, with an increase of over 350 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [8] Group 5: Gold Consumption - In the first half of 2025, China's gold consumption was 505.205 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.54%, with gold jewelry consumption down by 26% [10] - Gold bars and coins consumption increased by 23.69% year-on-year, totaling 264.242 tons [10] Group 6: Hong Kong Stock Market - In the first half of 2025, Hong Kong led the world in new stock financing, with a significant increase in equity financing driven by improved investor sentiment [11] - Public funds have significantly increased their holdings in Hong Kong stocks, focusing on sectors such as pharmaceuticals, banking, media, and technology [14] Group 7: Private Equity Insights - A prominent private equity figure highlighted a "dumbbell" market opportunity structure, focusing on both value dividend assets and emerging growth assets [16] - Looking ahead, three structural opportunities are identified: revaluation of quality Chinese assets, globalization of advantageous Chinese industries, and technological self-sufficiency [17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that the securities sector is experiencing a bullish trend, with multiple brokerage stocks, including Jinlong Co., hitting the daily limit up, and others like Guosen Securities, Bank of China Securities, and Dongfang Securities also seeing gains [1] - The securities sector has seen a continuous rise for six consecutive days, indicating a strong upward momentum [1] - Industry insiders believe that the securities sector is in a phase of multiple favorable factors, including sustained policy support, active trading sentiment in the A-share market, increasing interest in the Hong Kong stock market, and the recovery of brokerage firms' performance, which collectively enhance the sector's outlook [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Xiamen Securities Regulatory Bureau has disclosed three administrative penalty decisions related to securities professionals engaging in illegal trading activities, highlighting a broader crackdown on such violations across the industry in 2024 [1][4]. Group 1: Administrative Penalties - Three individuals from Longcheng Guorui Securities and Jinyuan Tongyi Securities were penalized for illegal trading activities, with penalties including fines and confiscation of illegal gains [2][4]. - Zheng Han, born in 1973, incurred a total transaction amount of 5.7667 million yuan with a loss of 48,600 yuan, resulting in a fine of 40,000 yuan due to no illegal gains [2][3]. - Chen Zhongbin, born in 1986, had a transaction amount of 1.9246 million yuan with a profit of 4,069.91 yuan, leading to confiscation of the profit and a fine of 40,000 yuan [2][3]. - Wang Jian, born in 1995, had a transaction amount of 9.7917 million yuan with a profit of 5,579.29 yuan, also facing confiscation of the profit and a fine of 40,000 yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Regulatory Actions - In 2024, the regulatory authorities intensified their crackdown on illegal trading by securities professionals, with 59 cases of violations being addressed across the industry [4]. - A total of 10 administrative penalties were issued in the first half of 2025, involving various securities firms including Zhongshan Securities, Guodu Securities, and others [4]. - The penalties affected not only regular employees but also department heads and senior management, indicating a comprehensive approach to enforcement [4]. Group 3: Specific Cases - Yang Jiangquan, a former executive at Guodu Securities, was fined 150,000 yuan for holding and selling shares of Chengda Biological, resulting in a loss of 1.309 million yuan [5].

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a significant upward trend on July 24, with all three major indices reaching new highs for the year, indicating strong investor sentiment and market recovery [1]. Market Performance - The Shanghai and Shenzhen markets recorded a total trading volume of 1.84 trillion yuan, a decrease of 19.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with over 4,300 stocks rising across the market [2]. Sector Highlights - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept stocks saw a collective surge, with over 20 stocks, including Hainan Airport, hitting the daily limit [3]. - Rare earth permanent magnet stocks also experienced substantial gains, with Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals reaching the daily limit [3]. - The super hydropower sector rebounded, with multiple stocks, including China Power Construction, hitting the daily limit [3]. Lithium Market Dynamics - The lithium carbonate sector saw a significant increase, with the main futures contract reaching a limit up at 77,240 yuan per ton, marking an 8% rise [4]. - Lithium mining stocks surged, with Tibet Mining and Yongshan Lithium Industry hitting the daily limit, and Tianqi Lithium A shares also achieving a rare limit up, marking its first limit up this year [4]. - A notice from the Yichun Natural Resources Bureau required local lithium mining companies to prepare resource verification reports by September 30, which some industry insiders view as a move to combat excessive competition in the lithium sector [5]. Vaccine Sector Movement - The biopharmaceutical vaccine sector saw a midday rally, with Zhifei Biological hitting the daily limit and Watson Bio rising over 14%, alongside other stocks like Kangtai Biological and Sanofi Health also experiencing gains [5]. Securities Sector Performance - The securities sector, often referred to as the "bull market flag bearer," performed well, with stocks like Guosen Securities and Bank of China Securities leading the gains [6].

Group 1 - The company Baoming Technology (002992) expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of between 12 million to 15 million yuan for the first half of 2025, compared to a loss of 46.40 million yuan in the same period last year, representing a reduction in loss of 67.67% to 74.14% [1] - The expected net loss after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 10 million to 13 million yuan, down from a loss of 53.82 million yuan in the previous year, indicating a reduction in loss of 75.85% to 81.42% [1] - From 2021 to 2024, the company reported net losses of 354 million yuan, 223 million yuan, 124 million yuan, and 76.35 million yuan respectively, with non-recurring losses of 364 million yuan, 238 million yuan, 126 million yuan, and 84.74 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Baoming Technology raised a total of 771 million yuan from its initial public offering, with a net amount of 707 million yuan after deducting issuance costs [2] - The company plans to use the raised funds for the expansion of LED backlight sources, capacitive touch screen production, and the establishment of a research and development center [2] - The company's 2020 annual equity distribution plan included a cash dividend of 3.7 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 51.05 million yuan, and a capital reserve increase of 3 shares for every 10 shares held, increasing the total share capital to 179.35 million shares [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share leading brokerage ETF (512000) has seen a significant price increase of nearly 3%, with real-time trading volume exceeding 1.5 billion yuan, indicating active trading in the market [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The brokerage ETF (512000) is currently priced at 1.157 yuan, with a daily increase of 0.011 yuan (0.96%) and a peak price of 1.180 yuan, reflecting a rise of 2.97% [2]. - Several brokerage stocks have experienced substantial gains, including Jinlong Co. and Bank of China Securities, both reaching the daily limit up of 10%, while Guosen Securities rose by nearly 8% and Dongwu Securities by over 6% [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - According to Zhongtai Securities, the active trading in the market is driving growth in brokerage and equity proprietary businesses, leading to overall industry performance exceeding expectations [3]. -招商证券 believes that as the equity market breaks upward, the brokerage sector is likely to lead the rally, supported by favorable policy objectives and a low historical valuation, suggesting significant upward potential for the industry [4]. - The brokerage ETF (512000) passively tracks the CSI All Share Securities Company Index, encompassing 49 listed brokerage stocks, with nearly 60% of its holdings concentrated in the top ten leading brokerages, while the remaining 40% includes smaller brokerages with high performance potential [4].