Group 1 - The market is entering a period of fluctuation, focusing on sectors with defined industrial trends and less external disturbance [1] - In August, the market is expected to maintain a high-level fluctuation, with attention on structural allocation opportunities [1][2] - The current market rally is driven by liquidity and market expectations, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching new highs [2] Group 2 - The market is likely transitioning from a "turning point" trading phase to a "space" trading phase, indicating a gradual shift in market dynamics [2] - There is a focus on low-position technology sectors, with cyclical stocks being key to the index's strength [2] - China’s assets remain attractive, with expectations for a market style leaning towards cyclical sectors in August [3]

智通财经APP获悉，光大证券发布研究报告称，苹果(AAPL.US)于美东时间7月31日盘后发布FY3Q25 (CY2Q25)业绩。营收方面，当季营收940.4亿美元(yoy+10%)，高于彭博一致预期893.0亿美元 (yoy+4%)，同样超出苹果此前营收增速为同比中低个位数的指引，主要受益于iPhone、Mac及服务业务 表现超预期，苹果实现自FY1Q22以来最强劲的季度营收增长。但相比于稳健的基本面，该机构认为市 场更期待苹果在AI方面有更多进展，这也是推动苹果股价能否突破新高的核心。后续仍需持续警惕关 税压力仍存、谷歌反垄断案的裁决风险。 光大证券主要观点如下： 事件：FY3Q25苹果营收与利润均超预期，关税负面影响优于预期。苹果于美东时间7月31日盘后发布 FY3Q25 (CY2Q25)业绩。营收方面，当季营收940.4亿美元(yoy+10%)，高于彭博一致预期893.0亿美元 (yoy+4%)，同样超出苹果此前营收增速为同比中低个位数的指引，主要受益于iPhone、Mac及服务业务 表现超预期，苹果实现自FY1Q22以来最强劲的季度营收增长。业绩方面，当季毛利率达46.5%，位于 此前45.5%-4 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. non-farm employment data shows a significant decline, with July's job additions at 73,000, down from an expected 110,000, indicating a weakening labor market and increasing likelihood of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of the year [1][2][6]. Employment Data Summary - The U.S. Labor Department reported that July's non-farm employment increased by 73,000, significantly lower than the expected 110,000, and the previous value was revised down from 147,000 to 14,000 [2]. - The unemployment rate for July was reported at 4.2%, matching expectations but up from the previous value of 4.1% [2]. - Average hourly earnings increased by 3.9% year-over-year, slightly above the expected 3.8% [2]. Non-Farm Data Revision Analysis - The downward revision of June's non-farm data by 258,000 jobs was primarily due to adjustments in government, leisure and hospitality, and construction sectors, which accounted for 90,000 of the total revision [3]. - The significant revision reflects the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy, suggesting that the resilience of the economy may have been overestimated [3][6]. Sector Performance - In July, the financial activities sector added 15,000 jobs, education and health services added 79,000 jobs, and retail added 16,000 jobs, indicating stable demand in these service sectors [4]. - The manufacturing sector has seen negative job additions for three consecutive months, indicating a lack of production willingness among companies [4]. Labor Market Dynamics - The labor force participation rate decreased to 62.2% in July from 62.3% in the previous month, with a notable decline in employment willingness among younger demographics [5]. - The number of unemployed individuals increased by 221,000 in July, contributing to the rise in the U3 unemployment rate to 4.2% [5]. - Temporary unemployment increased by 80,000, while permanent unemployment remained unchanged, suggesting a rise in layoffs by companies [5].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - From January to August 1, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index rose by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market. After five consecutive weeks of gains, the convertible bonds adjusted slightly this week. Fundamental trends and anti-involution policies are important influencing factors for the current convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds in areas such as boosting domestic demand and anti-involution [1][4] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Conditions - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by -1.4% (last week's increase was +2.1%), and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.1% (last week's increase was +2.2%). Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market [1] - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) fell by -2.03%, -0.29%, and -0.93% respectively this week, with high-rated bonds having the largest decline. By convertible bond scale, large-scale convertible bonds (bond balance greater than 5 billion yuan), medium-scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small-scale convertible bonds (balance less than 500 million yuan) fell by -1.66%, -0.85%, and -0.83% respectively this week, with large-scale convertible bonds having the largest decline. By parity, ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value greater than 130 yuan) rose slightly by +0.38% this week, while other types of parity bonds had varying degrees of decline [2] - By industry, the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of gains mainly came from machinery and equipment (6), pharmaceutical biology (4), and electronics (4); the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of losses mainly came from chemicals (5), non-ferrous metals (4), etc. [2] 2. Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of August 1, 2025, there were 463 outstanding convertible bonds (468 at the close of last week), with a balance of 636.614 billion yuan (637.942 billion yuan at the close of last week) [3] - The average convertible bond price was 127.7 yuan (128.87 yuan last week), with a quantile of 97.7%; the average convertible bond parity was 100.65 yuan (101.20 yuan last week), with a quantile of 89.3%; the average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 27.4% (27.3% last week), with a quantile of 55.4%. Among them, the conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 27.6% (29.0% last week), higher than the median conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds since 2018 (20.0%) [3] 3. Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - This week, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by -1.4%. After five consecutive weeks of gains, the convertible bonds adjusted slightly this week; the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.1%. Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market. Looking ahead, fundamental trends and anti-involution policies are still important influencing factors for the current convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds in areas such as boosting domestic demand and anti-involution [4] 4. Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of gains this week included Qizheng Convertible Bond, Bo 25 Convertible Bond, Dongjie Convertible Bond, etc. For example, Qizheng Convertible Bond had a convertible bond increase of 45.60% and an underlying stock increase of 39.99% [24]

高瑞东表示，提振消费需要在供需两端协同发力。本次针对个人消费贷款与服务业经营主体实施贷款贴 息政策，正是供需两端协同发力的具体表现。一方面，对个人消费贷款贴息，有助于减轻居民信贷成 本，提升居民消费意愿和能力；另一方面，服务业经营主体作为消费服务和场景提供者，减轻其融资成 本，能够激发服务业主体扩大生产经营的动力，为提供高质量的消费服务创造条件。 高瑞东认为，扩大服务消费对于当前稳就业稳经济意义重大。服务消费具有本地化、即时性、消费频次 高的特征。从发展阶段来看，当前我国消费结构正从商品消费主导向服务消费主导加速转变，服务消费 发展空间较大，将成为未来扩内需的重要抓手；服务业是我国吸纳就业的主体，扩大服务消费对于稳就 业具有更强的带动作用，从而畅通"就业—收入—消费"的良性循环。 "本次出台针对性支持举措，有助于推动优化和扩大服务消费供给，更好满足居民个性化、多样化、品 质化的服务消费需求。"高瑞东说。 转自：中国证券报·中证网 中证报中证网讯（记者 昝秀丽）光大证券首席经济学家高瑞东在接受中国证券报记者采访时表示，个 人消费贷款贴息政策与服务业经营主体贷款贴息政策，是财政金融联动在扩消费领域的重要体现，有助 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 光大證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601788 | 說明 | | A股(上海證券交易所) | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 3,906,698,839 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 3,906,698,839 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 3,906,698,839 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 3,906,698,8 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiahua Technology (688051.SH) announced a share reduction plan by its shareholder, Qiongqing City Huayun Investment Management Partnership, due to personal funding needs of employees, intending to reduce up to 1,546,680 shares, representing 2% of the total shares [1] Group 1: Share Reduction Plans - Qiongqing City Huayun plans to reduce shares through centralized bidding or block trading, with a maximum of 1,546,680 shares, not exceeding 2% of total shares [1] - The reduction via centralized bidding will occur within three months after the announcement, with a limit of 1% in any consecutive 90 days [1] - The reduction via block trading will also occur within three months after the announcement, with a limit of 2% in any consecutive 90 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - Jiahua Technology's revenue from 2021 to 2024 was 4.86 billion, 2.61 billion, 3.22 billion, and 3.00 billion respectively, with net profits of -1.29 billion, -2.88 billion, -2.08 billion, and -1.03 billion [3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 55.57 million, a year-on-year decrease of 44.46%, with a net profit of -13.29 million compared to -9.38 million in the same period last year [3] - The operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was -32.37 million, compared to -15.14 million in the previous year [3] Group 3: IPO and Fundraising - Jiahua Technology was listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on March 20, 2020, with an issue price of 50.81 yuan per share, raising a total of 982 million, with a net amount of 864 million [2] - The company initially aimed to raise 500 million for projects related to atmospheric environment AI big data systems and AI research and development [2] - The total issuance costs for the IPO were 118 million, including underwriting and sponsorship fees of 96.34 million [2]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年7月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 光大證券股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月1日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601788 | 說明 | | A股(上海證券交易所) | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 3,906,698,839 | | 0 | | 3,906,698,839 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 3,906,698,839 | | 0 | | 3,906,698,839 ...

Group 1 - The report highlights a rebound in prices with structural differentiation in the domestic market, as indicated by the July PMI data, where the manufacturing PMI slightly decreased to 49.3% from 49.7%, and the non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1% from 50.5% [5][6] - The report notes that the July PMI reflects the impact of trade easing and seasonal factors, with a significant characteristic being the rise in upstream prices and a counter-trend increase in high-energy-consuming industries' PMI, suggesting effects from the "anti-involution" initiative [5][6] - The manufacturing PMI's slight decline is attributed to the seasonal downturn and the impact of tariff easing, with the new orders index dropping to 49.4% and the new export orders index at 47.1%, indicating weakening demand [6][7] Group 2 - The report discusses the July FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, reflecting internal divisions among officials regarding the employment market, with some expressing concerns over its cooling [11][12] - The FOMC statement indicated heightened uncertainty in economic prospects, with a shift from describing economic growth as "solid" to "moderated," highlighting concerns over consumer spending's impact on growth [12][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of upcoming non-farm employment data in guiding market expectations, as the employment market is nearing pre-pandemic levels, with the ratio of job vacancies to unemployment at 1.39 in June 2025 [13][14] Group 3 - The report analyzes the U.S. GDP data for Q2 2025, which showed a strong performance with a 3.0% annualized growth rate, driven by personal consumption and trade, while private investment turned negative [16][17] - The net export contribution to GDP improved due to a significant drop in imports, while exports were negatively impacted by trade protection policies, leading to a decline in export growth [17][18] - Personal consumption rebounded in Q2, with a growth rate of 1.4%, supported by improved consumer confidence and a shift towards "passive de-inventory" in the goods market [18][19] Group 4 - The report includes key economic news, such as the State Council's meeting on July 31, emphasizing the importance of enhancing macro policy effectiveness and stimulating economic growth through various measures [22][23] - The National Development and Reform Commission's meeting highlighted the need to stabilize employment and market expectations while promoting domestic and international dual circulation [24][25] - The Bank of Japan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.5% and raised its core CPI forecasts for the fiscal years 2025-2027, indicating a cautious outlook on inflation [28]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index is at 3555.41 points, with a decline of 0.50% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares is 128.87 billion yuan [1] Technical Analysis - A total of 64 A-shares have seen their 5-day moving average cross below the 10-day moving average [1] - Notable stocks with significant distance between their 5-day and 10-day moving averages include: - Tongzhou Electronics: -1.29% - Marubi Biological: -0.95% - GeKao Micro: -0.69% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Key stock performances include: - Tongzhou Electronics (002052): Today's change -1.15%, 5-day MA at 10.70 yuan, 10-day MA at 10.84 yuan, with a distance of -1.29% [1] - Marubi Biological (603983): Today's change -2.84%, 5-day MA at 39.78 yuan, 10-day MA at 40.16 yuan, with a distance of -0.95% [1] - GeKao Micro (688728): Today's change 0.33%, 5-day MA at 15.71 yuan, 10-day MA at 15.82 yuan, with a distance of -0.69% [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Huatai Securities (601059): Today's change -0.86%, 5-day MA at 16.73 yuan, 10-day MA at 16.84 yuan, with a distance of -0.66% [1] - Jiabao (600622): Today's change -1.01%, 5-day MA at 3.08 yuan, 10-day MA at 3.10 yuan, with a distance of -0.64% [1] Additional Stock Movements - Other stocks with notable movements include: - Laka Laka (300773): Today's change -4.02%, 5-day MA at 27.62 yuan, 10-day MA at 27.73 yuan, with a distance of -0.39% [2] - Yongtai Technology (002326): Today's change 4.09%, 5-day MA at 13.25 yuan, 10-day MA at 13.29 yuan, with a distance of -0.32% [2] - Qijing (603677): Today's change -0.46%, 5-day MA at 19.91 yuan, 10-day MA at 19.96 yuan, with a distance of -0.25% [2]