RESULTS PRESENTATION OCTOBER 31, 2025 DISCLAIMER This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. These statements are generally indicated by the use of forward–looking terminology such as "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "estimate", "plan", "project", "target", "may", "will" or other similar words that express an indication of actions or results of actions that may or are expected to occur in the future. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looki ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company demonstrated strong profitability in Q3 2025, with a significant quarter-on-quarter profit increase driven by refined oil and natural gas sales [1][2]. - The exploration business showed stable production, with a slight increase in oil and gas equivalent output, while Brent crude oil prices experienced a minor recovery [2]. - The company is actively transforming its refining and chemical operations, with successful upgrades in key facilities contributing to improved operational efficiency [3]. - Sales strategies have been effective, leading to marginal improvements in product sales despite a declining market demand for refined oil [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 2,169.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 126.28 billion yuan, down 4.9% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 719.16 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2%, and a net profit of 42.29 billion yuan, reflecting a 13.7% increase from the previous quarter [1][2]. Production and Sales - The company’s oil and gas equivalent production reached 453 million barrels in Q3 2025, with crude oil production at 238 million barrels and natural gas production at approximately 366 billion cubic meters [2]. - Natural gas sales volume increased to 67.1 billion cubic meters, showing a 7.1% year-on-year growth [2]. Refining and Chemical Operations - The company processed 346 million barrels of crude oil in Q3 2025, with a focus on upgrading its refining capabilities and enhancing product yields [3]. - The production of major chemical products such as ethylene and synthetic resin showed positive growth, indicating successful transformation efforts [3]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 159.8 billion yuan, 163.2 billion yuan, and 174.1 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with an estimated EPS of 0.87 yuan, 0.89 yuan, and 0.95 yuan [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 719.2 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42.3 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 13.7%, exceeding market expectations despite a slight increase in oil prices [1] - The upstream operating profit remained stable, with crude oil production increasing by 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, while natural gas production decreased by 2.2% [2] - The refining segment saw a decrease in operating profit by 5 billion yuan, attributed to a 3% decline in crude processing volume and a 3% drop in refined oil production [3] - The marketing segment's profit increased significantly, with refined oil sales volume rising by 4.8% quarter-on-quarter, leading to an operating profit of 5.9 billion yuan, up by 51 billion yuan [4] - The natural gas sales segment experienced profit growth driven by increased sales volume and reduced costs, achieving an operating profit of 12.7 billion yuan, up by 7.5 billion yuan [5] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 at 150.9 billion, 169.2 billion, and 174.1 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11, 9.8, and 9.6 for A-shares, and 8.1, 7.2, and 7.0 for H-shares [5] - The projected dividend yield for A-shares is 4.7% and for H-shares is 6.4% based on a 52% dividend payout ratio [5] Financial Data Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected at 3,011,012 million yuan, with a growth rate of -5.54% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is estimated at 150,854.99 million yuan, reflecting a decline of 8.39% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 0.82 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 11.03 [6]

瑞银发布研报称，中国石油股份(00857)2025年前九个月净利润同比下降5%，至1,263亿元人民币;第三 季度录得423亿元人民币，同比下降4%，但按季上升14%，优于该行的预测。瑞银上调中石油目标价， 从9.3港元升至10.3港元。鉴于2025年第三季度业绩优于预期，小幅上调中石油2025年预测盈利2%，评 级"买入"。 展望2025年第四季度，瑞银预期，布伦特原油价格平均为63美元/桶;因国内天然气需求进入旺季，预期 天然气价格及销量均可上升。瑞银又认为，炼油及化工基本面可能面临一些压力;并建议关注年底时的 资产减值情况。 长期而言，瑞银预期中石油2026至2028年油价分别为每桶64美元、70美元及75美元，逐步趋稳并反弹; 国内天然气价格可能较海外价格更稳定，因国内天然气需求仍处增长状态;中石油下游炼油及化工细分 市场可受益于反内卷政策。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is entering a downward cycle due to high costs and weak supply-demand dynamics, despite maintaining high capital expenditure and supply growth since the peak in 2021. However, there are "long-termist" companies capable of navigating through the cycle, providing substantial returns to investors through growth and dividends [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The chemical industry has experienced high capital expenditure and significant supply growth since the peak in 2021, but demand recovery remains relatively weak, leading to a high-cost and weak supply-demand environment [1]. - Long-termist companies in the chemical sector are characterized by strong shareholder backgrounds, excellent management capabilities, reasonable industry chain layouts, continuous R&D investment, and a strong sense of social responsibility, enabling them to achieve stable growth and sustainable development [2]. Group 2: Oil and Gas Sector - The "three major oil companies" (China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC) are expected to maintain high capital expenditure and enhance natural gas market development, aiming for long-term growth despite oil price fluctuations [3]. - The domestic oil service companies are benefiting from high upstream capital expenditure, with improved operational quality and international competitiveness, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [3]. Group 3: Refining and Chemical Fiber Industry - The refining and chemical fiber industry is anticipated to recover, with the refining expansion nearing completion and supply-demand dynamics expected to improve, leading to high-quality development in the sector [4]. - The polyester sector is seeing limited new capacity, with structural optimization accelerating, which is expected to enhance the market share and competitiveness of leading companies [4]. Group 4: Coal Chemical Industry - The coal chemical industry is projected to improve profitability due to a gradual easing of coal supply and demand, alongside a decline in coal prices. The transition towards modern coal chemical processes is seen as essential for traditional coal enterprises [5]. - The average prices for various coal types have decreased, with main coking coal, thermal coal, and anthracite prices showing declines of -10.5%, -2.0%, and -16.0% respectively compared to the beginning of the year [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the upstream oil and gas sector and oil service companies, including China National Petroleum (601857.SH), Sinopec (600028.SH), CNOOC (600938.SH), and others [6]. - For the refining and chemical fiber sector, companies like Hengli Petrochemical (600346.SH) and Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493.SZ) are recommended due to their potential benefits from industry optimization and upgrades [7]. - In the coal chemical sector, companies such as Hualu Hengsheng (600426.SH) and Baofeng Energy (600989.SH) are highlighted for their expected improvement in profitability [7]. - The report also suggests monitoring cyclical leading companies like Wanhua Chemical (600309.SH) and Satellite Chemical (002648.SZ) as demand recovers and supply-demand dynamics improve [7].

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that PetroChina's net profit for the first nine months of 2025 decreased by 5% year-on-year to 126.3 billion RMB, with a third-quarter profit of 42.3 billion RMB, down 4% year-on-year but up 14% quarter-on-quarter, outperforming UBS's expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - PetroChina's net profit for the first nine months of 2025 is 126.3 billion RMB, reflecting a 5% year-on-year decline [1] - The third-quarter profit stands at 42.3 billion RMB, showing a 4% year-on-year decrease but a 14% increase compared to the previous quarter, which is better than UBS's forecast [1] - UBS has raised PetroChina's target price from 9.3 HKD to 10.3 HKD and slightly increased the 2025 earnings forecast by 2%, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - For the fourth quarter of 2025, UBS expects the average Brent crude oil price to be 63 USD per barrel, with an anticipated rise in natural gas prices and sales due to seasonal demand [1] - UBS notes potential pressure on refining and chemical fundamentals and suggests monitoring asset impairment situations by year-end [1] Group 3: Long-term Projections - UBS forecasts oil prices for PetroChina to stabilize and rebound, estimating 64 USD, 70 USD, and 75 USD per barrel for the years 2026 to 2028 respectively [1] - Domestic natural gas prices are expected to be more stable than international prices due to ongoing growth in domestic demand [1] - PetroChina's downstream refining and chemical segments may benefit from anti-involution policies [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company has a strong risk resistance capability across its entire industry chain despite a decline in oil prices, with a notable performance in the natural gas sales segment [4][7] - The company reported a decrease in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 compared to the previous year, with total revenue of 2,169.256 billion yuan, down 3.86%, and net profit of 126.294 billion yuan, down 4.70% [1][2] - The average Brent oil price for the first three quarters of 2025 was $70 per barrel, a 15% decrease year-on-year, indicating a challenging market environment [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 719.157 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.18% [2] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 42.287 billion yuan, down 3.70% year-on-year but up 13.72% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The company’s basic earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025 was 0.23 yuan, a decrease of 3.9% year-on-year but an increase of 15.00% quarter-on-quarter [2] Segment Performance - The oil and gas exploration and development segment faced challenges due to declining oil prices, while the refining segment showed signs of recovery [4] - The company’s oil and gas equivalent production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1,377.2 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [4] - The natural gas sales segment saw a significant increase, with sales reaching 2,185.41 billion cubic meters, up 4.2% year-on-year [7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 167.53 billion yuan, 176.19 billion yuan, and 182.40 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.92, 0.96, and 1.00 yuan [7] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's ability to recover performance through cost reduction and efficiency improvements [7]

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a 15% quarter-on-quarter decline in net profit for Q3, amounting to 8.3 billion RMB, which is 26% lower than the expectations of the research firm [1] Financial Performance - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to lower-than-expected profits from refining and sales operations [1] - The firm estimates a further 22% decline in Q4 earnings due to anticipated decreases in oil prices impacting exploration, refining, and sales profits [1] Earnings Forecast - The earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised downwards by 12% to 14% [1] - The target price for H-shares has been reduced from 4.78 HKD to 4.21 HKD, while the target price for A-shares has been lowered from 6.46 RMB to 5.54 RMB [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a 15% quarter-on-quarter decline in net profit for Q3, amounting to 8.3 billion RMB, which is 26% lower than expectations due to underperformance in refining and sales operations [1] Financial Performance - Q3 net profit decreased to 8.3 billion RMB, a 15% decline from the previous quarter [1] - The reported profit was 26% below the expectations set by the research firm [1] Future Earnings Forecast - The firm estimates a further 22% decline in Q4 earnings, primarily due to anticipated drops in oil prices affecting exploration, refining, and sales profits [1] - Earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised down by 12% to 14% [1] Investment Rating and Target Price - The firm maintains a "Hold" rating for Sinopec [1] - The target price for H-shares has been reduced from 4.78 HKD to 4.21 HKD [1] - The target price for A-shares has been lowered from 6.46 RMB to 5.54 RMB [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sinopec's performance in Q3 2025 is expected to remain weak, with no signs of improvement in downstream operations, and potential increase in impairment losses compared to the same period last year [1] Summary by Category Financial Performance - Sinopec's Q3 2025 results are projected to be mediocre, reflecting ongoing challenges in the downstream sector [1] - Management has indicated a cautious outlook during the earnings call, suggesting that impairment losses may rise as the year-end approaches [1] Target Price Adjustments - Credit Lyonnais has lowered the target prices for Sinopec's H-shares and A-shares to HKD 4.4 and CNY 6, respectively, from previous targets of HKD 4.5 and CNY 6.3, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Competitive Positioning - Among China's three major oil companies, Sinopec is ranked third in preference, with China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) being the top choice, followed by CNOOC [1]