Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3][4][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the humanoid robotics sector, including strategic partnerships and government support, which are expected to drive growth and innovation [1][2][3][4][19]. - The establishment of a 10 billion yuan investment fund in Hubei province aims to accelerate the development of humanoid robotics and AI technologies [23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain positioning and the identification of key players in the humanoid robotics market, suggesting a focus on companies with strong capabilities in various components [3][4]. Industry Dynamics - Humanoid Robotics: - Strategic collaborations, such as the one between Shanghai Robotics Institute and Madi Technology, are set to enhance the application of humanoid robots in healthcare and elder care [15]. - Companies like Junpu Intelligent and ByteDance are making strides in production and technology, with ByteDance achieving a production milestone of 1,000 robots in 2.5 years [19][16]. - Government Initiatives: - The Central Financial Committee has proposed measures to promote high-quality development in the marine economy, which may indirectly benefit robotics through enhanced technological capabilities [2][24]. - The establishment of the AI Infrastructure and the China-ASEAN AI Innovation Cooperation Center is expected to boost investment in AI-related sectors [25]. Key Companies and Investment Focus - The report identifies several key companies for investment consideration, including: - Humanoid Robotics: Focus on suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, Huichuan Technology, and Zhaowei Machinery [3][4]. - AI Infrastructure: Companies such as Hanzhong Precision Machinery and Ice Wheel Environment are highlighted for their potential growth due to increasing AI demand [3][4]. - The report also notes the rapid development of the low-altitude economy and its implications for various sectors, including logistics and surveying [4][26]. Company Performance and Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, indicating a generally positive outlook for those rated "Outperform" [8][30]. - Notable companies include: - Green Harmony (688017.SH): Outperform rating with a projected EPS increase from 0.33 to 0.50 yuan [30]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): Outperform rating with an expected EPS growth from 1.60 to 2.01 yuan [30]. - Zhaowei Machinery (003021.SZ): Outperform rating with EPS forecasted to rise from 0.94 to 1.11 yuan [30].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery sector, particularly highlighting specific companies for investment opportunities [13]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector shows short-term fluctuations in operating rates but maintains a long-term recovery logic driven by domestic demand [7][25]. - The new shipbuilding prices have stabilized and are showing signs of recovery, indicating an upward trend in industry sentiment [7][46]. - The gas turbine sector is experiencing robust growth, with significant increases in orders and production expected [7][55]. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.26% over the past week, ranking 24th among 31 primary industry categories [3][16]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 8.29%, ranking 7th among the same categories [3][18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products was 56.9% in June, down 7.55% year-on-year [7][25]. - The average working hours for these products were 77.2 hours, reflecting a decline of 9.11% year-on-year [7][25]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.11 in June, marking a 0.22% increase, the first rise since February [7][46]. Oilfield Equipment - The global rig count has stabilized at over 1,600 units, indicating a bottoming out of demand in the oilfield equipment sector [48]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is on a steady upward trajectory, with GEV's new orders increasing by 44.9% in Q1 2025 [55][56]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the recovery trends in various segments, including engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and gas turbines, as they present potential investment opportunities [7][55].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of a minority stake in Anhui Yingliu Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. by Yingliu Co., Ltd. is under scrutiny due to the company's ongoing losses and the valuation methods used for the transaction [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Yingliu Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 28.4615% of Yingliu Aviation for approximately 484 million yuan, with the overall valuation of Yingliu Aviation set at 1.672 billion yuan [2][3]. - Yingliu Aviation reported losses of approximately 50.5 million yuan in 2024 and 11.91 million yuan in the first quarter of the current year [3]. Group 2: Valuation Methodology - The valuation of Yingliu Aviation was assessed using both asset-based and market methods, with the asset-based method yielding a value of approximately 1.213 billion yuan and the market method yielding 1.672 billion yuan, resulting in a difference of about 459 million yuan, or 27.45% [3]. - Yingliu Co., Ltd. argues that the asset-based method fails to capture the value of core resources and future profitability potential due to ongoing R&D investments and initial losses typical in the industry [3][4]. Group 3: Financial Arrangements - The company has secured a bank loan of 380 million yuan from Bank of Communications for the acquisition, with a loan term of 10 years and an interest rate of 2.75% [5][6]. - Yingliu Co., Ltd. maintains that its operational cash flow and existing financing capabilities will adequately cover both daily operational needs and the funds required for the acquisition [6][7].

坤元资产评估有限公司 Canwin Appraisal Co., Ltd. (0571) 81726488 81726388 关于上海证券交易所《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关 收购控股子公司少数股权事项的监管工作函》 回复: 一、补充披露市场法评估的详细计算过程,并说明主要假设、指标、可比 对象等选取和确认的依据与合理性。 (一)评估假设 1. 本次评估以委估资产的产权利益主体变动为前提,产权利益主体变动包 括利益主体的全部改变和部分改变。 评估相关问题之回复 上海证券交易所上市公司管理一部: 安徽应流机电股份有限公司(以下简称应流股份)于2025年6月27日收到 《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关收购控股子公司少数股权事项的监管工 作函》(上证公函【2025】0932 号)(以下简称监管函)。按照要求,应流股 份、安徽应流航空科技有限公司(以下简称应流航空或标的公司)管理层研究后, 已对相关材料进行了补充,本公司承办资产评估师已经认真复核,现将监管函中 涉及资产评估方面的问题答复如下: 问题三、关于标的公司估值。根据前期公告,公司于 2018年对应流航空增 资扩股并引入六安产投、金安产投作为战略投资者, ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-021 安徽应流机电股份有限公司关于 上海证券交易所对公司收购控股子公司少数股权 事项的监管工作函的回复公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 安徽应流机电股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"应流股份"）于 2025 年 6 月 27 日收到上海证券交易所《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关收购控股子 公司少数股权事项的监管工作函》（上证公函【2025】0932 号）（以下简称"监 管函"）。按照监管函的要求，公司、安徽应流航空科技有限公司(以下简称"应 流航空"或"标的公司")对相关材料进行了补充，现将监管函中问题答复如下： 一、关于标的公司业绩。公告显示，应流航空 2024 年营业收入为 1762 万 元，亏损 5050 万元；2025 年一季度营收 90 万元，亏损 1191 万元，业绩持续 亏损。请公司：（1）结合应流航空所在行业发展周期，以及应流航空的主营 业务、经营模式、投资进展及未来预期，具体说明应流航空业绩持续亏损的原 因；（2）具 ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-020 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于收购控股子公司少数股权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 风险提示： 偿债风险。本次交易底价为 48,433.5139 万元人民币，首期支付保证金为 15,000.00 万元，公司截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日货币资金为 35,832.85 万元。公司拟 使用银行并购贷款和自筹资金购买标的公司股权，将会增加公司融资规模和资产 负债率，若公司所处的宏观政策、经营环境等发生重大不利变化或公司不能对现 金流进行有效管控，则可能对公司资金周转产生不利影响，从而导致一定的偿债 风险。六安产投、金安产投所持有的应流航空 28.4615%股权的评估价值为 47,587.628 万元，转让底价为较评估价格增值约 1.78%。 标的公司持续亏损风险。本次交易标的公司安徽应流航空科技有限公司 为公司控股子公司，其产品尚未实现大规模销售且仍需持续研发投入，如果在研 项目商业化转化不及预期，或者未能形成规模化销售，标的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to acquire a 28.4615% stake in Yingliu Aviation from Liu'an Investment and Jin'an Investment for a base price of 484 million yuan, which will increase its total ownership in Yingliu Aviation to 90% [1] Group 1 - The acquisition will be funded through bank merger loans and self-raised funds [1] - The transaction has been approved by the company's fifth board of directors and does not require shareholder meeting approval [1] - Liu'an Investment will retain a 10% stake in Yingliu Aviation post-acquisition [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.8%, while the CSI 300 also decreased by 0.8%. The STAR Market 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.4%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 1.4%. The Hang Seng Index experienced a decline of 2.0% [5][7]. - The best-performing sectors included oil and petrochemicals (+0.9%), while the worst-performing sectors were textiles and apparel (-2.4%), beauty and personal care (-2.3%), light industry manufacturing (-2.0%), non-ferrous metals (-2.0%), and pharmaceuticals and biology (-1.9%) [5][7]. - The total trading volume across the A-share market was 12,809 billion, with a net inflow of 1.43 billion HKD from southbound funds [5][7]. Key Recommendations - The report highlights Yingliu Co., Ltd. (603308) as a leading high-end casting company benefiting from trends in AIDC, aerospace technology, and nuclear fusion industries. The growth potential is significant due to the expected surge in demand for AIDC, aerospace engines, and nuclear power [8]. - The company is increasing its investment in blade casing processing coating projects and advanced nuclear materials, which is expected to significantly enhance its production capacity and product value [8]. - Revenue projections for Yingliu Co., Ltd. are estimated at 3,132 million, 3,858 million, and 4,694 million from 2025 to 2027, with growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 22% respectively. Net profit is projected to be 406 million, 555 million, and 742 million, with growth rates of 42%, 37%, and 34% respectively [8]. Important Insights - The macroeconomic research indicates that the Ministry of Finance's actions in Q3 to replenish fiscal deposit accounts may be a key observation window for the Federal Reserve's decision to halt balance sheet reduction. The adjustment of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) in the second half of the year is also crucial [9]. - The mechanical equipment sector report emphasizes a focus on engineering machinery, humanoid robots, and overseas expansion. The global market for engineering machinery is expected to grow as international market share increases and domestic demand improves due to favorable macro policies [10][11]. - The report notes that AI and automation will drive growth in the next decade, with a focus on global supply chains and the emergence of competitive overseas enterprises [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [5] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading manufacturer of high-end casting components, benefiting from trends in AIDC, aerospace technology, and nuclear fusion industries [1][9] - The company has established a complete high-end component production system and is a key member of the high-end equipment manufacturing industry chain in China [18][19] - The company plans to issue 1.5 billion convertible bonds to enhance its production capabilities in turbine blade processing and advanced nuclear materials [9][33] Summary by Relevant Sections Business Overview - The company focuses on aviation engines and gas turbine products, benefiting from the demand for domestic large aircraft and AIDC [18] - The company has a strong presence in the high-end parts, aerospace technology, and advanced materials sectors, serving various high-end equipment fields [18][22] Financial Summary - In 2024, the company expects revenue of 2,513 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, and a net profit of 286 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.6% [4][25] - The company's sales gross margin is projected to be 34.2%, with a net margin of 10% for 2024 [27][28] Gas Turbine Sector - The global gas turbine market is estimated to be 28.14 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% from 2025 to 2034 [46] - The company is recognized as a domestic leader in gas turbine blades, with a significant increase in orders, achieving a 102.8% year-on-year growth in 2024 [2][61] Aerospace Sector - The global aerospace engine market was approximately 113.97 billion USD in 2023, expected to reach 151.20 billion USD by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.12% [67] - The company is positioned to benefit from the doubling of global aircraft numbers over the next 20 years, as predicted by Airbus [68] Nuclear Power Sector - The nuclear power industry is expected to grow, with a projected CAGR of 8.4% for installed capacity from 2023 to 2035 [3] - The company has established joint ventures to engage in nuclear fusion materials and components, enhancing its position in the nuclear energy sector [3][9]

Summary of Yingliu Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Yingliu Co., Ltd. - **Industry**: Gas turbine and aerospace engine manufacturing Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - **Significant Order Growth**: Since 2022, Yingliu has seen a notable increase in gas equipment orders, with expectations for accelerated growth in the second half of 2024, driven by rising demand in overseas power and natural gas generation markets, as well as a recovery in the aviation sector [2][5] - **Total Orders**: As of March 2025, total orders reached 1.2 billion RMB, with an additional 400 million RMB pending signature [2][5] Core Business Segments - **Gas Turbine Business**: Accounts for over 75% of total orders, approximately 1.3 billion RMB, with significant contributions from major clients like Siemens and Ansaldo [4][9] - **Aerospace Engine Business**: Orders nearing 300 million RMB, with long-term agreements signed with G1 Aviation and new orders from Safran and Rolls-Royce [4][8] Client Relationships - **Key Clients**: Major clients include Baker Hughes and Siemens, with long-term contracts leading to substantial order volumes. Baker Hughes has orders exceeding 30 million USD, while Siemens has increased its manufacturing tasks significantly [6][7] Financial Performance and Projections - **Revenue Goals**: The company aims to achieve a revenue scale of 10 billion RMB, with ARDC business projected to reach 3-4 billion RMB [4][10] - **Convertible Bond Project**: Recently approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, funds will be used for blade casing processing and nuclear energy capacity expansion, with expected annual revenue exceeding 1.4 billion RMB post-completion [4][24] Competitive Landscape - **Domestic Market**: The domestic gas turbine market is growing, with increasing demand for natural gas power generation. Yingliu is positioned as a key supplier for major domestic electrical manufacturers [13][15] - **High-Temperature Alloy Market**: The gas turbine market is valued at over 20 billion USD, with high-temperature alloy casting accounting for 20-25% of this market [23][24] Future Development and Innovations - **Nuclear Fusion Initiatives**: The company is actively involved in nuclear fusion technology, collaborating with research institutions and investing in equipment for future growth [19][20] - **Low Altitude Economy**: Investments in low-altitude economy projects are expected to yield significant revenue in the next 3-5 years, focusing on drone transportation [22] Challenges and Risks - **Tariff Impacts**: Since the implementation of tariffs in 2018, the company has not faced significant client pushback regarding pricing, maintaining a stable market share despite reduced revenue from the U.S. market [18] Conclusion Yingliu Co., Ltd. is positioned for substantial growth in the gas turbine and aerospace engine sectors, supported by strong client relationships, a robust order backlog, and strategic investments in technology and capacity expansion. The company aims to leverage its competitive advantages to achieve ambitious revenue targets while navigating market challenges.