Group 1 - The military aviation sector experienced a sudden surge on July 17, with companies like Yingliu Co. hitting the daily limit, and Morningstar Aviation rising by 11% [1] - The General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) saw a price increase of 2.42%, strongly surpassing the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages [1] - The China Civil Aviation Administration established a leadership group for general aviation and low-altitude economy on July 4, along with six special working groups [2] Group 2 - Local governments are actively promoting low-altitude economy initiatives, with Heilongjiang Province introducing 17 policy measures and Guangzhou holding a development meeting [3] - The low-altitude industry fund in Henan was established with a scale of 2 billion yuan, and a total of 40 projects have been signed since 2024, with a planned total investment of 8.33 billion yuan [3] - Pacific Securities predicts a recovery in the military industry, suggesting a "Davis Double-Click" phase for the sector, with a focus on advanced fighter jets, low-altitude economy, domestic large aircraft, satellite internet, and deep-sea technology [3] Group 3 - The General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) covers a broad index of 50 constituent stocks, with over 46% from state-owned enterprises and more than 20% from the top ten military groups [4] - The ETF focuses on key areas such as low-altitude economy (52.12%), large aircraft (34.60%), military aircraft (31.51%), commercial aerospace (26.18%), satellite navigation (25.76%), and drones (18.52%) [4]

Summary of Conference Call for Yingliu Technology Industry Overview - The demand for gas turbines, optical modules, and PCBs is driven by large-scale investments in overseas data centers, positively impacting related US stock sectors [2][4] - The domestic military aviation engine sector is expected to see growth in new model deliveries despite 2025 being a small year for military products [2][6] - The domestic civil aviation engine market exceeds 100 billion RMB, currently reliant on imports, with domestic engines like the Changjiang series maturing [2][6][7] - The global market for civil aviation engines is highly concentrated, dominated by GE Aviation, Pratt & Whitney, and Rolls-Royce, with high demand but limited delivery capacity [2][7] Company Insights - Yingliu Technology has diversified its operations across military engines, gas turbines, oil and gas, mining, and nuclear power, establishing a platform development model [3][9] - The company’s order backlog increased from 150-200 million RMB at the end of Q3 last year to 1.2 billion RMB by the end of Q1 this year, indicating strong demand [3][9] - Recent long-term contracts with Siemens and other overseas clients extend production schedules to 2028-2029, expected to significantly boost future performance [3][10] Financial Performance - The company has maintained high R&D investment levels since 2017, averaging 300-400 million RMB annually, with capital expenditures rapidly increasing to 4.5 billion RMB [3][11] - The nuclear power business has shown rapid growth, with expectations of significant order releases in the next two to three years, maintaining a growth rate of around 20% [3][12][14] Future Prospects - The company is entering a harvest period, with a strong order book and expected profitability improvements in Q3 [3][13] - The low-altitude sector is being fully developed, with large orders signed in the first half of the year, anticipated to turn from losses to profits in the coming years [3][15] - The nuclear fusion business is also being explored, with collaborations for materials and equipment development, providing additional growth potential [3][14] Key Contracts and Collaborations - Significant contracts signed with major players like Siemens and GEV reflect the increasing demand for gas turbines and the need for domestic companies to support main engine manufacturers [3][8][10] Conclusion - Yingliu Technology is well-positioned for growth with a diversified portfolio, strong order backlog, and strategic investments in R&D and capital expenditures, indicating a positive outlook for future performance across various sectors [3][13][15]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call primarily discusses the **nuclear power industry** in China, focusing on the approval and development of nuclear power plants and their implications for related sectors such as equipment manufacturing and uranium supply. Key Points and Arguments Nuclear Power Approvals - In April, the government approved **10 nuclear power units**, which matches the average annual approval rate of the past three years, indicating a strong commitment to effective investment and economic growth [1][3] - The approval of nuclear power units is expected to stimulate demand for nuclear equipment and materials, with a focus on companies like **Yinliu Co., Ltd.** and others in the nuclear supply chain [3] Market Dynamics - The transition to a more market-oriented environment by **2025** is highlighted, with a focus on ensuring the profitability of nuclear power amidst increasing competition from renewable energy sources [2] - The government aims to establish a unified national electricity market by the end of **2025**, which will enhance the competitiveness of nuclear power [2] Equipment and Supply Chain - Companies involved in the manufacturing of nuclear equipment, such as **Yinliu Co., Ltd.**, are expected to benefit from the increased approvals and demand for nuclear components [4][5] - The call emphasizes the importance of domestic suppliers in the nuclear sector, including major electrical equipment manufacturers [8] Uranium Demand and Supply - The approval of new nuclear units is projected to increase the demand for **natural uranium** by approximately **2,400 tons** annually, as nuclear power is the primary consumer of uranium [9][10] - The supply side is constrained due to a lack of capital investment in uranium mining over the past decade, leading to a projected supply-demand gap of **30,000 to 31,000 tons** in the coming years [11][12] - The price of uranium is expected to rise significantly, potentially reaching **$100 per pound** by **2024**, to incentivize new mining investments [12] Long-term Outlook - The long-term outlook for uranium demand is positive, with expectations of a growing supply gap post-2030, necessitating higher prices to stimulate new production [12][13] - The only publicly listed uranium mining company in Asia, **Zhonggang He Mining**, is highlighted as a potential investment opportunity due to its control over uranium resources in Kazakhstan [13] Additional Important Insights - The role of nuclear power in the decarbonization of the energy system is emphasized, as it complements renewable energy sources like wind and solar [6][7] - The call also discusses the strategic importance of nuclear power in achieving a new energy system dominated by renewables, highlighting its contribution to grid stability [7] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, focusing on the nuclear power industry's current status, future prospects, and the implications for related sectors.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the low-altitude economy sector [7] Core Insights - The low-altitude economy market in China is projected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 30% from a current size of 505.95 billion yuan in 2023, which represents a growth rate of 33.8% [1][37] - The low-altitude economy encompasses various sectors, including aircraft manufacturing and operational services, which account for 55% of the market, while supply chain, consumption, and transportation contribute 40% [1] - The Chinese drone industry is leading globally, with significant players like DJI and EHang, and the commercialization of eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) is accelerating [1] Summary by Sections 1. Low-altitude Economy Emergence - The low-altitude economy integrates low-altitude flight activities with various industries, primarily involving drones, eVTOLs, and helicopters, operating below 1,000 meters [13] 2. Policy and Capital Driving Growth - The government has initiated a "safe and regulated development" strategy for the low-altitude economy, with significant investments and pilot projects across multiple cities [2] - In 2024, financing in the eVTOL sector exceeded 6.5 billion yuan, with various specialized funds being established to support the industry [2] 3. Technological Advancements and Application Scenarios - Key technologies in the sector include drones and eVTOLs, with ongoing innovations in automation and intelligence [3] - Core application areas are expanding to include logistics, urban transportation, and emergency rescue [3] 4. Regional Development Dynamics - The Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Chengdu-Chongqing regions are emerging as key players in the low-altitude economy, with cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen leading in infrastructure and regulatory frameworks [4] 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in aviation batteries and core components, low-altitude security and air traffic management systems, eVTOL and drone manufacturing, and infrastructure development [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [3][4][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the humanoid robotics sector, including strategic partnerships and government support, which are expected to drive growth and innovation [1][2][3][4][19]. - The establishment of a 10 billion yuan investment fund in Hubei province aims to accelerate the development of humanoid robotics and AI technologies [23]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain positioning and the identification of key players in the humanoid robotics market, suggesting a focus on companies with strong capabilities in various components [3][4]. Industry Dynamics - Humanoid Robotics: - Strategic collaborations, such as the one between Shanghai Robotics Institute and Madi Technology, are set to enhance the application of humanoid robots in healthcare and elder care [15]. - Companies like Junpu Intelligent and ByteDance are making strides in production and technology, with ByteDance achieving a production milestone of 1,000 robots in 2.5 years [19][16]. - Government Initiatives: - The Central Financial Committee has proposed measures to promote high-quality development in the marine economy, which may indirectly benefit robotics through enhanced technological capabilities [2][24]. - The establishment of the AI Infrastructure and the China-ASEAN AI Innovation Cooperation Center is expected to boost investment in AI-related sectors [25]. Key Companies and Investment Focus - The report identifies several key companies for investment consideration, including: - Humanoid Robotics: Focus on suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, Huichuan Technology, and Zhaowei Machinery [3][4]. - AI Infrastructure: Companies such as Hanzhong Precision Machinery and Ice Wheel Environment are highlighted for their potential growth due to increasing AI demand [3][4]. - The report also notes the rapid development of the low-altitude economy and its implications for various sectors, including logistics and surveying [4][26]. Company Performance and Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts and investment ratings for several companies, indicating a generally positive outlook for those rated "Outperform" [8][30]. - Notable companies include: - Green Harmony (688017.SH): Outperform rating with a projected EPS increase from 0.33 to 0.50 yuan [30]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ): Outperform rating with an expected EPS growth from 1.60 to 2.01 yuan [30]. - Zhaowei Machinery (003021.SZ): Outperform rating with EPS forecasted to rise from 0.94 to 1.11 yuan [30].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery sector, particularly highlighting specific companies for investment opportunities [13]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector shows short-term fluctuations in operating rates but maintains a long-term recovery logic driven by domestic demand [7][25]. - The new shipbuilding prices have stabilized and are showing signs of recovery, indicating an upward trend in industry sentiment [7][46]. - The gas turbine sector is experiencing robust growth, with significant increases in orders and production expected [7][55]. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.26% over the past week, ranking 24th among 31 primary industry categories [3][16]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 8.29%, ranking 7th among the same categories [3][18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products was 56.9% in June, down 7.55% year-on-year [7][25]. - The average working hours for these products were 77.2 hours, reflecting a decline of 9.11% year-on-year [7][25]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.11 in June, marking a 0.22% increase, the first rise since February [7][46]. Oilfield Equipment - The global rig count has stabilized at over 1,600 units, indicating a bottoming out of demand in the oilfield equipment sector [48]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is on a steady upward trajectory, with GEV's new orders increasing by 44.9% in Q1 2025 [55][56]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the recovery trends in various segments, including engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and gas turbines, as they present potential investment opportunities [7][55].

Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of a minority stake in Anhui Yingliu Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. by Yingliu Co., Ltd. is under scrutiny due to the company's ongoing losses and the valuation methods used for the transaction [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Yingliu Co., Ltd. plans to acquire 28.4615% of Yingliu Aviation for approximately 484 million yuan, with the overall valuation of Yingliu Aviation set at 1.672 billion yuan [2][3]. - Yingliu Aviation reported losses of approximately 50.5 million yuan in 2024 and 11.91 million yuan in the first quarter of the current year [3]. Group 2: Valuation Methodology - The valuation of Yingliu Aviation was assessed using both asset-based and market methods, with the asset-based method yielding a value of approximately 1.213 billion yuan and the market method yielding 1.672 billion yuan, resulting in a difference of about 459 million yuan, or 27.45% [3]. - Yingliu Co., Ltd. argues that the asset-based method fails to capture the value of core resources and future profitability potential due to ongoing R&D investments and initial losses typical in the industry [3][4]. Group 3: Financial Arrangements - The company has secured a bank loan of 380 million yuan from Bank of Communications for the acquisition, with a loan term of 10 years and an interest rate of 2.75% [5][6]. - Yingliu Co., Ltd. maintains that its operational cash flow and existing financing capabilities will adequately cover both daily operational needs and the funds required for the acquisition [6][7].

坤元资产评估有限公司 Canwin Appraisal Co., Ltd. (0571) 81726488 81726388 关于上海证券交易所《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关 收购控股子公司少数股权事项的监管工作函》 回复: 一、补充披露市场法评估的详细计算过程,并说明主要假设、指标、可比 对象等选取和确认的依据与合理性。 (一)评估假设 1. 本次评估以委估资产的产权利益主体变动为前提,产权利益主体变动包 括利益主体的全部改变和部分改变。 评估相关问题之回复 上海证券交易所上市公司管理一部: 安徽应流机电股份有限公司(以下简称应流股份)于2025年6月27日收到 《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关收购控股子公司少数股权事项的监管工 作函》(上证公函【2025】0932 号)(以下简称监管函)。按照要求,应流股 份、安徽应流航空科技有限公司(以下简称应流航空或标的公司)管理层研究后, 已对相关材料进行了补充,本公司承办资产评估师已经认真复核,现将监管函中 涉及资产评估方面的问题答复如下: 问题三、关于标的公司估值。根据前期公告,公司于 2018年对应流航空增 资扩股并引入六安产投、金安产投作为战略投资者, ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-021 安徽应流机电股份有限公司关于 上海证券交易所对公司收购控股子公司少数股权 事项的监管工作函的回复公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 安徽应流机电股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"应流股份"）于 2025 年 6 月 27 日收到上海证券交易所《关于安徽应流机电股份有限公司有关收购控股子 公司少数股权事项的监管工作函》（上证公函【2025】0932 号）（以下简称"监 管函"）。按照监管函的要求，公司、安徽应流航空科技有限公司(以下简称"应 流航空"或"标的公司")对相关材料进行了补充，现将监管函中问题答复如下： 一、关于标的公司业绩。公告显示，应流航空 2024 年营业收入为 1762 万 元，亏损 5050 万元；2025 年一季度营收 90 万元，亏损 1191 万元，业绩持续 亏损。请公司：（1）结合应流航空所在行业发展周期，以及应流航空的主营 业务、经营模式、投资进展及未来预期，具体说明应流航空业绩持续亏损的原 因；（2）具 ...

证券代码：603308 证券简称：应流股份 公告编号：2025-020 安徽应流机电股份有限公司 关于收购控股子公司少数股权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 风险提示： 偿债风险。本次交易底价为 48,433.5139 万元人民币，首期支付保证金为 15,000.00 万元，公司截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日货币资金为 35,832.85 万元。公司拟 使用银行并购贷款和自筹资金购买标的公司股权，将会增加公司融资规模和资产 负债率，若公司所处的宏观政策、经营环境等发生重大不利变化或公司不能对现 金流进行有效管控，则可能对公司资金周转产生不利影响，从而导致一定的偿债 风险。六安产投、金安产投所持有的应流航空 28.4615%股权的评估价值为 47,587.628 万元，转让底价为较评估价格增值约 1.78%。 标的公司持续亏损风险。本次交易标的公司安徽应流航空科技有限公司 为公司控股子公司，其产品尚未实现大规模销售且仍需持续研发投入，如果在研 项目商业化转化不及预期，或者未能形成规模化销售，标的 ...