Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights the need for the express delivery industry to shift towards high-quality development, as the State Post Bureau opposes "involution" competition and aims to improve service quality [4] - The express delivery sector is currently experiencing a decline in per-package revenue, with major companies like Zhongtong, Yuantong, Yunda, and Shentong showing year-on-year decreases in revenue per package [4] - Jitu's Southeast Asian market has seen significant growth, with a total package volume of 7.392 billion pieces in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.5% [5] - The airline industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with long-term supply-demand trends indicating potential for growth [12] - The shipping sector is anticipated to improve due to OPEC+ production increases and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with specific recommendations for companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping [12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery market is facing intense competition, with major players experiencing a decline in revenue per package [4] - The report suggests that regulatory changes could help improve the situation by reducing low-cost competition and enhancing the performance of leading companies [4][12] Airline Industry - The airline sector is characterized by long-term low supply growth, but demand is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery [12] - Key companies to watch include China National Aviation Holding, Southern Airlines, and HNA Group [12] Shipping and Ports - The report indicates a positive outlook for oil transportation due to OPEC+ production increases and potential interest rate cuts [12] - Recommendations include focusing on companies like China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for their growth potential in the shipping market [12] Road and Rail - The report notes that the Daqin Railway experienced a year-on-year decrease in freight volume in June 2025, while overall logistics operations remain stable [11][12] - Companies like Zhongyuan Expressway and Sichuan Chengyu are highlighted for their growth potential due to infrastructure developments [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [8] Core Insights - The instant retail market in China is expected to exceed 700 billion yuan by 2025, accounting for over 5% of the country's physical network retail sales [2][5] - The shift in consumer behavior from bulk purchasing to "small quantity, multiple times" is driven by smaller family structures and a faster-paced lifestyle, which enhances the demand for instant retail [5][23] - Instant retail is anticipated to drive growth in instant logistics, benefiting companies like SF Holding, and the deployment of smart delivery lockers is also expected to gain traction [2][5] Summary by Sections Instant Retail Emergence - Instant retail is experiencing explosive growth, with major players like JD and Alibaba investing heavily in this sector [15][19] - The transition from distant e-commerce to near-field retail reflects a strong consumer demand for instant gratification [16][23] Opportunities in Transportation and Logistics - The growth of instant retail is expected to stimulate the logistics sector, with a projected increase in online takeaway market size to approximately 1.7 trillion yuan by 2025, representing about 30% of China's dining consumption [43][48] - Instant delivery orders are projected to grow by 18% year-on-year, reaching 48.3 billion orders in 2024, driven by the expansion of flash warehouses and the need for efficient delivery solutions [49][52] Travel Chain Insights - Domestic passenger volume is showing a stable increase, with a 4% year-on-year rise in the week of July 11, while international passenger volume increased by 16% [64] - The average domestic ticket price has seen a slight decline of 6.8% year-on-year, indicating pressure on short-term revenues despite improving demand [62][64] Maritime and Logistics Developments - The maritime sector is witnessing a rebound, with the average VLCC-TCE rate rising by 9.7% to $27,000 per day, driven by active cargo demand in the Middle East [29][30] - The logistics sector is focusing on addressing "involution" in the express delivery market, with a 16.6% year-on-year increase in express delivery volume, indicating robust industry growth [6][20]

Group 1: Macro Strategy and Policy Analysis - The "Beautiful America Act" emphasizes tax cuts for residents and businesses while neglecting social welfare and healthcare sectors [3][21] - The rising U.S. fiscal deficit is attributed to the shift from "balanced finance" to "functional finance," driven by slowing economic output and increasing government spending [3][21] - Support for the new act is divided among social groups, with small business owners and manufacturers in favor, while healthcare and clean energy sectors express dissatisfaction [3][22] - The market's reaction to the fiscal deficit has become "dull," indicating that the narrative around the impact of the deficit on broad national credit has lessened [3][24] Group 2: Industry Insights and Company Analysis - Zhejiang Shibao is a leading player in the automotive steering system industry, focusing on electric power steering systems and line control steering technology [9][32] - The company has seen a recovery in gross margin and net profit due to increased production capacity and the introduction of high-margin products [9][34] - Forecasts for Zhejiang Shibao's revenue from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 35.1 billion, 43.7 billion, and 52.0 billion CNY, with net profits expected to grow significantly [9][36] - Zhonggu Logistics is experiencing high demand in the container shipping market, with domestic shipping rates expected to rise due to capacity shortages [16][39] - The company is projected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a forecasted dividend ratio of 90% in 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of around 10% [16][40] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Developments - BeiGene's CDK4 inhibitor BGB-43395 is on track to become the second CDK4 inhibitor to enter the registration clinical phase, showing promising early efficacy signals [11][41] - The drug demonstrates higher selectivity compared to existing CDK4/6 inhibitors and has shown strong pharmacokinetic data [11][42] - Revenue forecasts for BeiGene from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 375.17 billion, 450.24 billion, and 540.34 billion CNY, with significant growth in net profit anticipated [11][43]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhonggu Logistics (603565) with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6]. Core Views - The charter market remains highly prosperous, with significant increases in container ship rental prices since 2024, driven by geopolitical factors and trade conflicts, leading to fluctuations in international shipping rates [1]. - Domestic shipping rates are expected to rebound, with the domestic container shipping index (PDCI) projected to increase by 11% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with further growth anticipated in the latter half of the year [2]. - The company is expected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a projected payout ratio of 88% to 90% for 2023-2024, supported by strong cash inflows and reduced capital expenditures [3]. - The profit forecast for 2026 has been raised to a net profit of 24 billion yuan, while the 2025 forecast has been adjusted down to 22 billion yuan due to lower-than-expected domestic shipping rates [4]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue is projected to decline from 12,438.79 million yuan in 2023 to 11,258.25 million yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 12,476.03 million yuan in 2025 [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decrease from 1,717.28 million yuan in 2023 to 1,835.40 million yuan in 2024, then increase to 2,211.87 million yuan in 2025 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.82 yuan in 2023 to 1.05 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 11.84 in 2023 to 9.19 in 2025 [5].

Summary of Key Points Group 1: Trading Activity - A total of 64 stocks experienced block trading on July 8, with a total transaction value of 1.59 billion yuan [1] - The top three stocks by transaction value were Zhonggu Logistics (374 million yuan), Taicheng Light (124 million yuan), and Chen Zhan Optoelectronics (71.3 million yuan) [1] - Among the stocks, 5 were traded at par, 3 at a premium, and 56 at a discount [1] Group 2: Premium and Discount Rates - The stocks with the highest premium rates were Tianyin Holdings (8.19%), Midea Group (0.46%), and Haohua Technology (0.04%) [1] - The stocks with the highest discount rates were Shengwugu (31.48%), Yinuowei (30.18%), and Wanyuantong (20%) [1] Group 3: Institutional Buying and Selling - The top stocks by institutional buying were Zhonggu Logistics (282 million yuan), Taicheng Light (119 million yuan), and Shangtai Technology (70.5 million yuan) [2] - The top stocks by institutional selling were Huicheng Vacuum (29.06 million yuan), Zhongyou Technology (28.44 million yuan), and Midea Group (7.04 million yuan) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement details a reduction in shareholding by a major shareholder, Ningbo Guyang Investment Management Partnership, which decreased its stake in Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. from 65.00% to 63.00% through a block trade on July 8, 2025, involving 42,001,262 shares, representing a 2% reduction in total share capital [1]. Group 1: Shareholder Information - The major shareholder involved in the reduction is Ningbo Guyang Investment Management Partnership, which is classified as a controlling shareholder [1]. - Other associated entities include Zhonggu Shipping Group Co., Ltd. and Ningbo Guze Investment Management Partnership, both of which are also classified as controlling shareholders [1]. Group 2: Shareholding Changes - Prior to the transaction, the total shareholding percentage was 65.00%, which decreased to 63.00% post-transaction [1]. - The reduction in shareholding was executed through a block trade on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, indicating a strategic move by the shareholder [1]. Group 3: Compliance and Future Plans - The reduction in shareholding does not violate any previously made commitments or plans by the shareholder [1]. - The announcement confirms that the shareholder's reduction plan is still in progress and has not been fully executed as of the date of the announcement [1].

证券代码：603565 证券简称：中谷物流 公告编号：2025-019 上海中谷物流股份有限公司 关于 5％以上股东权益变动触及 1％整数倍的提示性 公告 二、 权益变动触及 1%刻度的基本情况 上海中谷物流股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）收到股东宁波谷洋投资 管理合伙企业（有限合伙）（以下简称"谷洋投资"） 出具的《关于股份减持进 展的告知函》，谷洋投资于 2025 年 7 月 8 日通过上海证券交易所系统以大宗交易 方式减持公司股份 42,001,262 股，占公司总股本的 2%，信息披露义务人及其一 致行动人持股比例从 65.00%减少至 63.00%，其权益触及 1%整数倍，具体情况如 下： 控股股东及其一致行动人保证向本公司提供的信息真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 重要内容提示： | 权益变动方向 | 比例增加□ | | 比例减少√ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 权益变动前合计比例 | 65.00% | | | | 权益变动后合计比例 | 63.00% | | | | 本次变动 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the investment strategy for the shipping industry in the second half of 2025 will focus on cash flow and supply factors due to significant uncertainties in shipping demand caused by frequent tariff policy adjustments [4][7][24] - The shipping sector's investment logic includes: 1) Tight supply in the industry and strong cash flow for near-sea and domestic shipping; 2) Low supply growth with potential marginal changes in demand for oil and bulk shipping [4][7][24] Container Shipping: Tariff Policy Disruptions - In the first half of 2025, the container shipping market faced fluctuations, with pressure on freight rates in Q1 and underwhelming demand post-tariff reductions in Q2 [8][29] - The report notes that the delivery of new ships is expected to reach historical highs, leading to significant supply pressure in the long-distance shipping sector [8][29] - The report highlights that the near-sea shipping market remains favorable due to limited new supply of feeder vessels and ongoing improvements in domestic shipping [8][29] Oil Tankers: Bullish Options Amid Weak Realities - The oil tanker sector is experiencing a lack of improvement in downstream demand, with low operating rates for refineries in China [9][61] - The report indicates that OPEC+ has begun to increase production, which could lead to an upward shift in the demand curve for oil transportation [9][63] - Geopolitical tensions, such as the recent Israel-Iran conflict, are expected to benefit oil shipping due to increased volatility [9][63] Dry Bulk: Weak Supply and Demand - The dry bulk shipping market has seen a decline in freight rates due to disruptions in the shipment of bauxite and iron ore [10][34] - The report anticipates that the commissioning of the West Manganese project by the end of the year will positively impact the demand for Capesize vessels [10][34] Investment Perspective - The report suggests that the near-sea and domestic shipping sectors are positioned for higher profitability due to tight supply and strong cash flow among leading shipping companies [8][58] - The potential implementation of the U.S. 301 tariff measures could further increase demand for feeder vessels, as it would raise operational costs for Chinese shipping companies [51][58]

证券代码：603565 证券简称：中谷物流 公告编号：2025-018 上海中谷物流股份有限公司 关于 5％以上股东权益变动触及 5％整数倍的提示性 公告 控股股东及其一致行动人保证向本公司提供的信息真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 重要内容提示： | 权益变动方向 | 比例增加□ | | 比例减少√ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 权益变动前合计比例 | 65.02% | | | | 权益变动后合计比例 | 65.00% | | | | 本次变动是否违反已作出的承 诺、意向、计划 | 是□ | 否√ | | | 是否触发强制要约收购义务 | 是□ | 否√ | | 一、 信息披露义务人及其一致行动人的基本信息 | | | 3.一致行动人信息 1.身份类别 | | √控股股东/实际控制人及其一致行动人 | | --- | --- | | | □其他 5%以上大股东及其一致行动人 | | 投资者及其一致行动人的身份 | □合并口径第一大股东及其一致行动人（仅适用 | | | 于无控股股东、实际 ...

上市公司名称：上海中谷物流股份有限公司 上海中谷物流股份有限公司 简式权益变动报告书 住所：浙江省宁波市北仑区梅山七星路88号1幢401室A区A0971 通讯地址：浙江省宁波市镇海区蛟川街道蛟川街道大运路1号中国液化大厦12楼 信息披露义务人二：宁波谷洋投资管理合伙企业（有限合伙） 住所：浙江省宁波市北仑区梅山七星路88号1幢401室A区A1046 通讯地址：浙江省宁波市镇海区蛟川街道蛟川街道大运路1号中国液化大厦12楼 信息披露义务人一：宁波谷泽投资管理合伙企业（有限合伙） 信息披露义务人三：中谷海运集团有限公司 住所：中国（上海）自由贸易试验区临港新片区业盛路188号A-522室 通讯地址：上海市浦东新区民生路1188号19楼 权益变动性质：股份减少 签署日期：二〇二五年七月一日 上市地点：上海证券交易所 股票简称：中谷物流 股票代码：603565 二、信息披露义务人签署本报告书已获得必要的授权和批准，其履行亦不违 反信息披露义务人章程或内部规则的任何条款，或与之冲突。 三、依据《中华人民共和国证券法》《上市公司收购管理办法》《公开发行 证券的公司信息披露内容与格式准则第15号—权益变动报告书》的规定，本 ...