Group 1: Oil Shipping - The fourth quarter is a traditional peak season for oil shipping, with freight rates expected to rise starting in October [2][3] - Current freight rates reflect tight supply levels, and the demand for oil products in the Northern Hemisphere winter typically lasts for three months [1][2] - OPEC+ is expected to continue small production increases in October, contributing to sustained demand for shipping [1][2] Group 2: Near Coastal and Domestic Shipping - After the National Day holiday, freight rates for near coastal and domestic shipping are anticipated to gradually increase [3] - The near coastal shipping market has improved supply-demand dynamics this year, with no new supply of small vessels and aging fleets causing efficiency losses [3] - Increased cargo volumes between Southeast Asia and China, Japan, and South Korea are expected to support demand growth [3] Group 3: Dry Bulk Shipping - Historical data suggests that the BDI index typically rises in September and early October due to increased demand for grain shipments [4] - The post-holiday rush effect is likely to drive freight rates up after the National Day holiday, although rates may decline after the peak grain shipping period [4] - Winter energy demand is expected to boost transportation needs for coal and iron ore, leading to a potential rise in freight rates in late November [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The company sees potential investment opportunities in the shipping sector due to ongoing supply tightness and marginal demand improvements [5] - Specific companies highlighted for potential growth include COSCO Shipping Energy (600026), China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872), China Merchants Jinling Shipyard (601975), Seaspan Corporation (01308), and Zhonggu Logistics (603565) [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry is experiencing resilient demand, with a shift towards "quality over quantity" leading to price increases, which will enhance corporate profitability. Companies like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost reduction [4][13] - The shipping sector is anticipated to benefit from the OPEC+ production cycle and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with a notable improvement in the oil transportation market expected in Q4 2025 [13] - The aviation industry is projected to see long-term demand growth due to macroeconomic recovery, with short-term ticket booking data indicating a rebound [13] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is witnessing a significant price increase, with over 90% of regions in China experiencing price hikes, which is expected to improve profitability for companies [4] - Key companies to watch include YTO Express, Shentong Express, Zhongtong Express, and SF Express, all of which are positioned to benefit from the industry's positive trends [13] Shipping and Shipbuilding - The shipping sector is expected to see a cyclical recovery, particularly in oil transportation due to OPEC+ production increases and geopolitical uncertainties enhancing VLCC rate elasticity [13] - The shipbuilding market is in a green transition phase, with new orders expected to improve as market conditions stabilize [13] Aviation - The aviation sector is experiencing low supply growth with increasing demand, leading to a favorable long-term outlook. Companies like China Southern Airlines and Air China are highlighted for their potential [13][14] Logistics and Ports - The logistics sector is seeing a positive trend with companies like Shenzhen International and Debon Logistics expected to benefit from improved competition and operational efficiencies [13] - Port operations are stable, with a focus on cash flow and growth potential in hub ports like China Merchants Port and Qingdao Port [13]

报告要点 丨证券研究报告丨 [TaSummary] 今年以来，受资金风格切换等因素影响，交运板块核心红利资产标的均面临一定程度股价调整， 估值及股息率重回高性价比区间，显著领先十年期国债收益率，对于绝对收益资金吸引力逐步 提升。基于行业特征，我们重点推荐交运板块中具有低估值、高股息特征的垄断性资产，1）买 低波稳健+分红确定：优选高速公路龙头（招商公路以及宁沪高速等），以及大秦铁路与青岛港； 2）短期看，港股市场估值折价明显、股息率更具性价比，建议关注港股向上弹性。 行业研究丨行业周报丨运输 [Table_Title] 当前时点，如何看待交运红利资产配置价值？ 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490520020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S0490520080027 SAC：S0490524120001 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 韩轶超 赵超 鲁斯嘉 张银晗 胡俊文 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 当前时点，如 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhonggu Logistics experienced a stock price decline of 2.01% on September 26, 2023, closing at 11.24 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 23.605 billion CNY [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhonggu Logistics reported a revenue of 5.338 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 41.59% to 1.072 billion CNY [1] - The company has distributed a total of 8.127 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.386 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2] Stock Market Activity - As of September 26, 2023, Zhonggu Logistics' stock has increased by 24.75% year-to-date, with a slight decline of 0.62% over the last five trading days [1] - The stock's trading volume on September 26 was 196 million CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.82% [1] Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Zhonggu Logistics increased by 32.52% to 27,400, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 24.54% to 76,636 shares [1] - Major shareholders include Huatai-PB Shanghai Composite Dividend ETF, which holds 45.5778 million shares, and Guotou Securities, a new shareholder with 29.1517 million shares [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhonggu Logistics has shown a significant increase in stock price and trading activity, indicating positive market sentiment and potential growth opportunities in the logistics sector [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 25, Zhonggu Logistics' stock price rose by 2.01% to 11.68 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 203 million CNY and a turnover rate of 0.84%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 24.529 billion CNY [1]. - The stock has increased by 29.63% year-to-date, with a 4.85% rise over the last five trading days, 10.19% over the last 20 days, and 21.16% over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Zhonggu Logistics reported a revenue of 5.338 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 6.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 41.59% to 1.072 billion CNY [1]. - The company has distributed a total of 8.127 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 4.386 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased by 32.52% to 27,400, with an average of 76,636 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 24.54% [1]. - Major shareholders include Huatai-PB Shanghai Composite Dividend ETF, which holds 45.5778 million shares, and Guotai Junan Securities, which is a new shareholder with 29.1517 million shares [2].

Market Performance - The shipping and port sector increased by 0.67% on September 24, with Nanjing Port leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3853.64, up 0.83%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13356.14, up 1.8% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Nanjing Port (002040) saw a significant rise of 10.01%, closing at 11.98 with a trading volume of 437,200 shares and a turnover of 506 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - China Merchants Heavy Industry (601872) up 2.87% to 8.96 with a turnover of 934 million yuan [1] - HNA Technology (600751) up 1.94% to 4.74 with a turnover of 238 million yuan [1] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) up 1.49% to 12.27 with a turnover of 654 million yuan [1] Declining Stocks - Ningbo Port (601018) decreased by 2.36% to 3.73 with a trading volume of 2,439,400 shares and a turnover of 909 million yuan [2] - Other declining stocks included: - Ningbo Ocean Shipping (601022) down 2.24% to 10.91 [2] - COSCO Shipping Specialized (600428) down 1.05% to 6.62 [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The shipping and port sector experienced a net outflow of 187 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 105 million yuan [2] - Notable capital flows included: - China Merchants Heavy Industry (601872) had a main fund net inflow of 11.3 million yuan [3] - Nanjing Port (002040) saw a main fund net inflow of 31.56 million yuan [3] - COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) had a main fund net inflow of 39.95 million yuan [3]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 9月22日晚间，中谷物流发布2025年半年度权益分派实施公告称，公司2025年半年度权益 分派方案为A股每股现金红利0.43元（含税），股权登记日为2025年9月26日，除权（息）日及现金红利 发放日均为2025年9月29日。 ...

证券代码：603565 证券简称：中谷物流 公告编号：2025-030 上海中谷物流股份有限公司 2025年半年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.43元 相关日期 差异化分红送转： 否 一、 通过分配方案的股东大会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 9 月 15 日的2025年第一次临时股东大会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3. 分配方案： 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本2,100,063,103股为基数，每股派发现金红利 0.43元（含税），共计派发现金红利903,027,134.29元。 1. 发放年度：2025年半年度 2. 分派对象： 三、 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [13] Core Insights - The transportation industry is expected to see improvements in profitability across various sub-sectors in Q3 2025, driven by domestic demand recovery and resilient international demand [2][6][7][8][9][10][11][12] Summary by Sub-Sector Aviation - The aviation sector is experiencing subdued demand but is benefiting from reduced costs, leading to an overall improvement in profitability for Q3 2025. The international flight recovery remains strong, and oil prices have significantly decreased [6][19][24] Airports - Domestic airport traffic is recovering, with international flights also increasing. Revenue is expected to improve steadily, with key airports benefiting from both domestic and international demand growth [2][6][24][26] Express Delivery - The "anti-involution" policy is driving price increases in the express delivery sector, leading to improved profitability for e-commerce deliveries. However, operational costs are temporarily pressuring profit margins [2][6][28][30] Logistics - The logistics sector is stabilizing, with major players expected to see profit growth due to improved supply chain performance and resilient cross-border logistics profitability [2][6][7][31] Maritime Transport - The maritime sector is witnessing a divergence in profitability among different shipping types. While container shipping faces challenges, oil tanker profits are improving due to favorable market conditions [2][6][8][33][37] Ports - Port operations are expected to see improved profitability in bulk cargo handling, while container throughput remains resilient despite external pressures [2][6][9][39] Highways - Highway traffic is relatively stable, with a slight increase in profitability anticipated for Q3 2025, supported by steady freight and passenger traffic [2][10][41] Railways - Railway passenger and freight volumes are showing mixed trends, with a focus on opportunities arising from high-speed rail transformations. Overall, passenger transport is expected to grow, while freight transport is improving [2][11][43][44]

证券代码：603565 证券简称：中谷物流 公告编号：2025-029 上海中谷物流股份有限公司 关于董事调整暨选举职工董事的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 李大发先生当选公司职工董事后，公司第四届董事会中兼任公司高级管理人 员以及由职工代表担任的董事人数未超过公司董事总数的二分之一，符合有关法 律法规及公司章程的规定。 特此公告。 上海中谷物流股份有限公司董事会 2025年9月16日 1 附件：简历 李大发，男，1965 年 10 月出生，中国国籍，无境外永久居留权，本科学历。 1988 年 7 月至 1993 年 6 月，任职芜湖长江轮船公司无线电通讯技术员；1993 年 7 月至 1998 年 9 月，担任上海华盛海运公司信息技术主管；1998 年 10 月至 2000 年 5 月，担任上海长航集装箱发展有限公司信息开发部主管；2000 年 6 月 至 2004 年 6 月，担任中国扬子江轮船股份有限公司信息部主任；2004 年 7 月至 2010 年 2 月，担任中谷集团信息部经理；2010 年 ...