Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Companies Involved - **Industry**: Explosives, Cement, and Admixtures - **Key Companies**: - High Hope Explosives - Yipuli - Guangdong Hongda - Poly United - Tibet Tianlu - Huaxin Cement - Qilian Mountain Cement - Conch Cement - Subote Core Insights and Arguments - **Yajiang Project Impact**: - Estimated total explosive usage for the Yajiang project is between 700,000 to 800,000 tons, significantly higher than the Three Gorges project [3][4] - The project will generate approximately 300 billion CNY in blasting service value, with demand expected to peak from the second half of 2026 to 2031 [3][4] - Annual average explosive usage is projected at 50,000 tons for packaged explosives and 100,000 tons for onsite mixed explosives [1][3] - **Beneficiaries in Explosives Sector**: - High Hope Explosives: Expected annual net profit increase of 300 million CNY - Yipuli: Expected annual net profit increase of 470 million CNY - Guangdong Hongda: Expected annual net profit increase of 150 million CNY - Poly United: Expected annual net profit increase of 70 million CNY [1][5] - **Cement Demand from Mottuo Hydropower Station**: - Anticipated cement demand of 20 to 30 million tons, with an average annual demand of 2.5 million tons over a ten-year construction period [1][6][7] - Peak demand could reach 4 million tons annually [1][7] - **Supply-Side Reform in Cement Industry**: - The cement industry is likely to undergo supply-side reforms due to: - Established experience from previous reforms in steel and coal sectors - High proportion of state-owned enterprises facilitating government coordination - Willingness of companies to reduce production during off-peak seasons to improve prices [9][10] - **Investment Recommendations**: - Focus on companies with stable performance and fundamental changes, such as Huaxin Cement A-shares - Target companies with strong profitability at value bottoms, like Conch Cement, which has a PB of 0.7 and cash reserves of approximately 70 billion CNY - Consider companies with strong safety margins and upward elasticity, such as Tapai Group and Shandong Shangfeng, which have high dividend yields [11][12] Other Important Insights - **Subote's Market Position**: - Subote holds a 90% market share in recent large infrastructure projects, with an estimated 60% to 70% share in the Mottuo Hydropower Station project, potentially increasing annual revenue by 200 to 300 million CNY [15][16] - The company has reversed a three-year decline in revenue and profit, outperforming the cement industry due to its high market share and technological advantages [16] - **Technological Innovations**: - Subote is developing new materials, including PEKK and energy-storing concrete technology, which could revolutionize the construction industry by enabling buildings to self-charge [17][18][19] - **Market Value of Admixtures**: - The overall market value for admixtures, including water-reducing agents, is estimated between 2 billion to 5 billion CNY, with a median of 3.5 billion CNY [14][12] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the expected impacts of the Yajiang project and Mottuo Hydropower Station on the explosives and cement industries, along with investment recommendations and insights into Subote's market position and technological advancements.

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project in Tibet is expected to significantly boost demand across various sectors, including civil explosives, tunneling, and geotechnical industries, leading to a positive outlook for related companies and industries [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five cascade power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [1]. - Tibet's hydropower resources are abundant, with an estimated capacity of about 200 million kilowatts, accounting for nearly 30% of the national total, making it the highest in the country [1]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The project is projected to generate a total value of approximately 53.5 billion to 95.4 billion yuan in turbine and generator business, with potential growth in the hydropower equipment sector post-2030 [1][2]. - Key beneficiaries in the investment and design construction sectors include China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering [2]. - In the tunneling equipment sector, companies such as China Railway Engineering and Tianjin Heavy Industry are highlighted as significant players [2]. Group 3: Sector-Specific Beneficiaries - In the civil explosives sector, regional leaders like Gaozheng Explosives and Yipuli are expected to benefit from the project [2]. - The cement sector will see potential gains for regional leaders such as Tibet Tianlu and Huaxin Cement [2]. - Companies in the geotechnical field, such as Zhongyan Dadi, and concrete additive leaders like Subote are also identified as having investment value [2].

Core Insights - The housing inspection sector has seen a significant increase of 4.35%, ranking fifth among concept sectors in terms of growth, with 41 stocks rising, including Jinju Group, Chongqing Construction, and Subote, which reached their daily limit [1][2] - The sector attracted a net inflow of 473 million yuan from main funds, with 28 stocks receiving net inflows, and seven stocks exceeding 30 million yuan in net inflow, led by Leizhi Group with 118 million yuan [2][3] Sector Performance - The housing inspection concept sector's performance is highlighted by the following stocks: - Leizhi Group: 10.04% increase, 11.66% turnover rate, 117.51 million yuan net inflow, 30.87% net inflow ratio [3] - Oriental Yuhong: 5.98% increase, 4.86% turnover rate, 70.29 million yuan net inflow, 6.43% net inflow ratio [4] - Chongqing Construction: 10.14% increase, 3.13% turnover rate, 63.60 million yuan net inflow, 28.38% net inflow ratio [4] Notable Declines - The stocks with notable declines include: - *ST Dali: -0.19% decrease, 0.54% turnover rate [5] - Te Fa Service: -0.07% decrease, 2.86% turnover rate [5]

Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong cement and building materials sector experienced a significant surge, with Huaxin Cement reaching a peak of 20.10 HKD, marking a maximum increase of over 100% [1] - As of the report, Huaxin Cement had risen by over 70%, while China Resources Cement Technology increased by nearly 15%, and China National Building Material rose by over 8% [1] Group 2: Project Announcement - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project commenced construction on July 19 in Nyingchi, Tibet, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion RMB [2] - The project will consist of five tiered power stations, primarily focusing on power transmission and consumption outside Tibet, while also addressing local needs [2] Group 3: Strategic Importance - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower development was highlighted in the 14th Five-Year Plan and is designated as a major investment project for 2025 [3] - Tibet has significant hydropower resources, with an estimated capacity of about 200 million kilowatts, accounting for nearly 30% of the national total [3] Group 4: Industry Implications - The commencement of the project is expected to drive demand in various sectors, including civil explosives, tunneling, and geotechnical industries, with a positive outlook for related companies [4] - Key beneficiaries in the investment and construction sectors include China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering, while tunnel equipment manufacturers like China Railway Engineering and China Railway Industry are also expected to benefit [4] - In the cement sector, regional leaders such as Tibet Tianlu and Huaxin Cement are anticipated to gain from the project, along with other material suppliers [4]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a strong performance with major indices rising, particularly in sectors such as electrical engineering, industrial machinery, chemical raw materials, building materials, and construction [1] - The building materials ETF (516750) experienced a significant increase, reaching a peak rise of 7.88% during trading, with a current increase of 7.11% and trading volume exceeding 66 million yuan [1] - A total of 16 central enterprises signed investment agreements for 75 industrial projects in Tibet, amounting to 317.537 billion yuan, focusing on urgent needs in clean energy, green minerals, electricity communication, and infrastructure [1] Group 2 - The construction materials ETF (516750) closely tracks the CSI All Share Building Materials Index, reflecting the overall performance of stocks in the building materials industry [2] - The process of "de-involution" in industries such as petrochemicals and building materials may present significant investment opportunities [2]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of China Yajiang Group and the launch of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project are significant developments that will positively impact the hydropower industry and related sectors in China [1][2]. Group 1: Company Developments - On July 19, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) announced the formation of China Yajiang Group, which is now listed as the 22nd central enterprise among 99 in the updated SASAC directory [1]. - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project, located in Nyingchi City, Tibet, involves the construction of five cascade power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [2]. Group 2: Industry Impact - The ongoing construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is expected to benefit suppliers of hydropower equipment and core components for power grid transmission [2]. - According to Huatai Securities, the estimated total value of the turbine and generator business related to this investment is between 53.5 billion yuan and 95.4 billion yuan, which may become a new growth point for hydropower equipment after 2030 [2]. - The current valuations of leading companies in the industry reflect market concerns about the sustainability of orders, but there is potential for recovery as orders exceed expectations [2].

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is significantly boosting the A-share infrastructure sector, leading to a surge in stock prices of related companies. Group 1: Market Reaction - The A-share infrastructure sector experienced a "limit-up" trend, with companies like Wuxin Tunnel Equipment (835174.BJ) hitting a 30% limit-up and others like Jikang Technology (830879.BJ) opening up by 24.29% [1][2] - The Yarlung Tsangpo hydropower concept index (886105.TI) surged by 12.52% at the opening [1][2] Group 2: Project Details - The Yarlung Tsangpo downstream hydropower project, with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, officially commenced on July 19 in Linzhi, Tibet [3][4] - The project involves the construction of five tiered power stations, primarily focusing on power transmission while also catering to local demand in Tibet [3] Group 3: Beneficiary Companies - Companies in the explosives sector, such as Gaozheng Mining Explosives and Yipuli, are expected to benefit from increased demand due to the project [4][5] - China Power Construction Corporation, as a leading player in hydropower, is projected to secure annual project contracts worth approximately 21.8 to 29.1 billion yuan from this project, which could represent 1.7% to 2.3% of its new contract value in 2024 [4][5] - The project is anticipated to create significant opportunities for companies involved in construction, tunneling equipment, and materials, including China Energy Engineering, Iron Construction Heavy Industry, and Tibet Tianlu [5][6]

截至发稿，基康技术、五新隧装、苏博特、中国电建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争民爆等20股涨停。 7月21日，雅下水电概念盘初冲高，个股掀涨停潮。截至发稿，基康技术、五新隧装、苏博特、中国电 建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争民爆等20股涨停。 第一财经记者注意到，国资委更新后的央企名录中，共有99家央企。其中中国雅江集团位列第22位，位 于中国长江三峡集团之后，国家能源投资集团之前。 此外，据新华社消息，当日上午，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工仪式在西藏自治区林芝市举行。 雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程位于西藏自治区林芝市。工程主要采取截弯取直、隧洞引水的开发方式，建设 5座梯级电站，总投资约1.2万亿元。工程电力以外送消纳为主，兼顾西藏本地自用需求。 中信证券表示，随着雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程的持续建设，将长期利好水电配套设备、电网外送工程核 心设备等头部供应商。 华泰证券表示，保守估计相关投资中水轮机与发电机业务总量价值约535亿元—954亿元，或在2030年后 接棒抽蓄成为水电设备新的增长点，有效保障行业产能利用率饱满。相关行业龙头估值已经反映了市场 对订单可持续性的担忧，未来有望随着订单不断超预期而逐渐修复。 | 代码 | ...

Investment Rating - The report gives an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in concrete additives, with a recovery in performance from its bottom [1][14]. - Infrastructure demand is providing a crucial support, while supply is accelerating its exit from the market [1][50]. - The company has a strong technical foundation and is involved in major engineering projects, which enhances its reputation and customer base [2][14]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of concrete additives, with production bases in multiple provinces [1][14]. - It has participated in significant projects such as the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge and the Three Gorges Project, establishing a solid reputation [14]. Industry Analysis - The real estate sector is experiencing a downturn, leading to a 10.1% year-on-year decline in concrete production in 2024 [1][41]. - Infrastructure investment remains resilient, with a reported 8.9% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, partially offsetting the decline in real estate demand [45][48]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenues of 35.6 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.75% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.0 billion yuan, down 40.2% [20]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a recovery with revenues of 6.8 billion yuan, up 17.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.2 billion yuan, up 15.4% [21]. Profitability and Cash Flow - The company is expected to see improvements in profit margins due to operational optimizations and scale effects, with projected revenues of 38.0 billion yuan in 2025 [3][4]. - The cash flow from operating activities is expected to significantly improve, with a net cash flow of 5.8 billion yuan in 2024, up 57.0% year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates revenue growth of 24.4% over the next three years, with net profits projected to increase to 2.46 billion yuan by 2027 [3][4]. - The demand for functional materials is expected to grow, with a projected revenue increase of 29.5% in 2024 [2].

Group 1 - The company issued 8 million convertible bonds with a total value of 800 million yuan, approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission on July 1, 2022 [1] - The convertible bonds, named "博22转债" with code "113650", began trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on July 28, 2022 [1] - As of July 8, 2025, the controlling shareholder, 江苏博特新材料有限公司, has reduced its holdings of the convertible bonds from 2,005,740 to 1,164,480, representing a decrease from 25.07% to 14.56% [1]