Group 1 - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for 2026 to 2027 by 10% to 16%, with an average price of $4,978 per ounce in 2026 and $5,585 per ounce in the first half of 2027 [1] - The firm has also increased its copper price forecast for 2026 by 7% to $12,200 per ton [1] - As a result, Goldman Sachs has upgraded its earnings forecasts for Chinese copper and gold mining stocks for 2026 to 2027 by 9% to 33%, with Zijin Mining (02899) and Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) as preferred stocks due to their expected production growth alongside rising commodity prices [1] Group 2 - Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are expected to see copper production growth of 9% to 14% in 2026, with both companies on track to meet their 2028 production targets, indicating a 40% to 45% increase in production compared to 2025 [1] - Goldman Sachs has raised its recurring earnings forecast for Zijin Mining for 2026 to 2027 by 14% to 18%, with target prices for Zijin Mining H-shares increased from HKD 39.5 to HKD 52 and A-shares from CNY 38 to CNY 50, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Similarly, the recurring earnings forecast for Luoyang Molybdenum for 2026 to 2027 has been increased by 20% to 24%, with target prices for Luoyang Molybdenum H-shares raised from HKD 21.5 to HKD 27 and A-shares from CNY 21.5 to CNY 28, also maintaining a "Buy" rating [2]

Group 1 - The A-share non-ferrous metal sector experienced a significant rebound after an initial drop, with the non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) rising over 3% in the afternoon session, completing an adjustment with a net subscription of 1 million shares, amounting to over 200 million CNY [1] - The trading volume exceeded 800 million CNY, with a turnover rate surpassing 10%, indicating active market participation [1] - Key stocks in the sector saw substantial gains, with companies like Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Northern Copper, and Shenghe Resources hitting the daily limit, while Jiangxi Copper and Yunnan Copper rose over 7% and 9% respectively [1] Group 2 - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) attracted significant capital inflow, with over 480 million CNY in the last 5 days and over 1.5 billion CNY in the last 20 days, bringing its total scale to 7.348 billion CNY [2] - The precious metals market remains strong, with COMEX gold prices surpassing 5600 USD, reaching a record high, and the Shanghai gold futures contract breaking through the 1200 CNY per gram mark, with a monthly increase of over 25% [2] - The metal industry is entering a weak supply cycle, with global mining supply expected to remain rigid until 2028, while demand is anticipated to rise due to green energy transitions and new production capabilities [2]

Core Insights - The main focus of the news is the significant outflow of capital from various stocks, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - Industrial Fulian experienced the highest capital outflow of 5.09%, totaling 5.444 billion yuan [1][2] - Sunshine Power saw a capital outflow of 1.558 billion yuan with a decline of 4.92% [1][2] - China Aluminum had a capital outflow of 1.452 billion yuan, but its stock price increased by 3.49% [1][2] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals recorded a capital outflow of 1.204 billion yuan with a notable increase of 10.06% in stock price [1][2] - Semiconductor company SMIC faced a capital outflow of 1.109 billion yuan, with a decrease of 4.2% [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The consumer electronics sector, represented by Industrial Fulian and Luxshare Precision, showed significant capital outflows of 5.444 billion yuan and 1.068 billion yuan respectively [1][2] - The photovoltaic equipment sector, represented by Sunshine Power, experienced a capital outflow of 1.558 billion yuan [1][2] - The non-ferrous metals sector, including China Aluminum and Tongling Nonferrous Metals, had mixed results with capital outflows of 1.452 billion yuan and 1.204 billion yuan respectively [1][2] - The semiconductor sector, represented by SMIC, faced a capital outflow of 1.109 billion yuan [1][2] Group 3: Additional Stock Movements - Other notable stocks with significant capital outflows include: - Luoyang Molybdenum with 1.080 billion yuan and a slight decrease of 0.04% [1][2] - Hunan Silver with a capital outflow of 1.062 billion yuan and an increase of 4.95% [1][2] - Xiamen Tungsten with a capital outflow of 0.821 billion yuan and a decline of 7.11% [1][3] - The electronics components sector, represented by Huadian Co. and Shenghong Technology, also saw capital outflows of 0.895 billion yuan and 0.740 billion yuan respectively [1][3]

大摩ESG量化混合A（009246）成立日期2020年7月16日，最新规模2.64亿。今年以来收益8.79%，同类 排名3163/8866；近一年收益41.37%，同类排名3167/8126；成立以来收益21.07%。 大摩ESG量化混合A（009246）基金经理为余斌。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，摩根士丹利基金旗下1只基金重仓洛阳钼业。大摩ESG量化混合A（009246）四季度增持3.56 万股，持有股数17.49万股，占基金净值比例为1.33%，位居第七大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮亏损失约 25.01万元。 截至发稿，余斌累计任职时间11年273天，现任基金资产总规模14.45亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 94.7%， 任职期间最差基金回报-92.52%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 1月29日，洛阳钼业跌5.32%，截至发稿，报25.45元/股，成交100.93亿元，换手率2.13%，总市值 5444.8 ...

28 January 2026 | 7:31PM HKT Equity Research CHINA METALS & MINING: BASE METALS Raising earnings on higher copper and gold prices; Maintain Buy on Zijin and CMOC We revise up earnings by 9-33% for 2026-27E for Chinese copper and gold stocks under our coverage by incorporating the latest commodity price forecast from the global team and the latest company updates. We remain positive on copper and gold names under our coverage. Our preferred names are Zijin and CMOC as both companies will not only benefit fro ...

Market Overview - On January 28, A-share indices showed divergence, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.27% to 4151.24 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09%, and the ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.97 trillion yuan, an increase of approximately 70.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Net outflow of main funds amounted to 43.598 billion yuan, with the non-ferrous metals sector seeing the highest net inflow, while the photovoltaic equipment sector experienced the largest net outflow [1] Key Stocks - The top ten popular stocks included Tongling Nonferrous Metals, Silver (core stock), Hunan Silver, China Aluminum, Zijin Mining, China Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, LEO Technology, Jushi Group, and Intercontinental Oil and Gas [1][2] Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - Tongling Nonferrous Metals is influenced by multiple external factors, including geopolitical tensions driving up precious metal prices and tight global copper supply coupled with surging demand in the new energy sector [3] - The company is advancing resource expansion, with the Ecuador Mirador copper mine phase II project pending approval, which will significantly enhance its resource self-sufficiency [3] Silver Sector - Silver (core stock) performance is driven by both industry and company-level factors, with international precious metal prices rising and the company planning to invest 1.5 billion yuan to establish a gold subsidiary and participate in gold mining rights acquisition [3] - Hunan Silver, as the only A-share listed company focused on pure silver, benefits from external factors such as geopolitical risk and expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, which have increased demand for silver [3] Aluminum Sector - China Aluminum is affected by policy, industry, company, and market factors, with the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission incorporating "market value management" into the assessment of central enterprises [4] - The supply-demand dynamics in the electrolytic aluminum market have reversed, leading to price increases due to supply constraints [4] Gold Sector - Zijin Mining's increased attention stems from significant strategic acquisitions and favorable industry conditions, including a major overseas gold mine acquisition worth 28 billion yuan and rising international gold prices [4] - China Gold is supported by macro and micro factors, including historical highs in international gold prices and domestic gold jewelry price increases, alongside a trend of central banks purchasing gold [4] Molybdenum Sector - Luoyang Molybdenum's market performance is based on strong fundamentals and industry value, with continuous record-breaking net profits and a diverse portfolio of key mineral resources [5] Technology Sector - LEO Technology is gaining attention due to its involvement in popular sectors, particularly AI applications and liquid cooling technologies, with significant partnerships with leading companies like Huawei and NVIDIA [6]

宏观与产业形成共振，铜的战略价值持续提升。全球地缘政治冲突加剧，铜作为关键矿产的战略属性凸 显，各国对资源的掌控力度持续加强。美元信用削弱趋势下，铜与贵金属的联动性增强，在避险情绪与 通胀预期的双重作用下，资金对铜的配置需求提升。中长期来看，AI数据中心、新能源汽车、储能等 新兴领域快速发展，将持续打开铜的需求天花板，而供给端的刚性约束难以短期缓解，供需紧平衡格局 将长期维持，铜价中枢有望逐步上移。 据新华社报道，国际黄金期货价格和现货价格29日再创新高，盘中突破每盎司5500美元。 近期工业金属板块表现亮眼，资金关注度持续提升。作为工业金属的核心品种，铜正从传统工业金属升 级为战略资产，这会如何定义其未来的价值？请看机构最新研判。 近期，有色板块中铜品种表现亮眼，资金关注度显著提升。这轮行情的核心支撑，主要来自供需两端的 共振。供给端，全球铜矿资本开支不足，矿端扰动频发，铜精矿供需格局由紧平衡转向短缺；需求端， 国内经济复苏带动下游补库，海外降息周期打开流动性宽松空间，铜的金融属性与商品属性形成正向循 环。 具体来看，供给端约束持续强化，成为铜价的核心支撑。全球铜矿长期资本开支不足，叠加矿山品位下 降、地缘 ...

来源：智通财经 2025年以来，紫金矿业（601899.SH）、洛阳钼业（603993.SH）、江西铜业（600362.SH）、灵宝黄金 （03330.HK）等上市公司加速海外"淘金"。 已跻身全球前5大黄金上市企业之列的紫金矿业，近一年多累计超450亿元连收7个海外金矿。1月26日公 司宣布，旗下紫金黄金国际（2259.HK）拟约280亿元收购加拿大上市公司联合黄金，以获得3个非洲金 矿项目。 洛阳钼业从2025年6月以来累计投入百亿收购金矿：在去年6月收购厄瓜多尔奥丁金矿后，公司今年1月 25日完成第二笔金矿交易，出资约71.62亿元收购加拿大上市矿企Equinox Gold旗下3个巴西金矿项目。 江西铜业在去年年初增资成为伦敦上市公司SolGold最大单一股东后，于12月24日第三次报价约82亿元 收购其余股份，以拿下厄瓜多尔Cascabel大金矿。 灵宝黄金去年12月10日宣布，拟以17.35亿元认购澳大利亚公司St Barbara Mining50%+1股股权，获得巴 布亚新几内亚Simberi金矿。 近一年多累计耗资超450亿元海外买金矿。此前2024年12月，紫金矿业以最高3亿美元收购秘鲁LaA ...

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance on January 28, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.27% at 4151.24 points, while the ChiNext Index fell 0.57% to 3323.56 points, indicating a significant number of stocks declined, with 3640 stocks closing down [1][4][11]. Sector Performance - Resource stocks, particularly in non-ferrous metals, coal, and petrochemicals, experienced strong gains, with non-ferrous metals rising by 5.92% and coal by 3.42% [8][9]. - The small metals concept, rare resources, and phosphoric chemicals also saw substantial increases, while technology stocks faced volatility, with aerospace equipment and medical devices declining [6][11]. - The consumer sector, including major consumption stocks, remained weak, with declines in media, defense, automotive, and machinery sectors exceeding 1% [8][11]. Investment Sentiment - The market is transitioning from speculative trading to performance-driven investments, with a focus on earnings support rather than mere hype [3][13]. - Investors are advised to manage positions carefully, especially as earnings reports are expected to be released, which may reveal significant performance risks for individual stocks [3][13]. Capital Flow - As of January 27, the margin financing balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets stood at 2.72 trillion yuan, indicating a cautious approach among investors [5]. - The market is expected to maintain a structural trend, with funds likely to flow into sectors supported by government policies and those showing improved performance [16][17]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the market may continue to experience fluctuations, with a potential shift towards value stocks as earnings reports are released [17]. - The overall sentiment remains cautious, with expectations of a long-term bullish trend despite short-term volatility [14][16].

| 公司简称 | 业绩预告 | 预告净利润 | 预告净利润 | 预告净利润 | 预告净利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 类型 | 变动中值(%) | 上限(元) | 下限(元) | 中值(元) | | 花狂矿业 | 大幅上升 | 235.54 | 9.00亿 | 8.00亿 | 8.50亿 | | 招金黄金 | 扭亏 | 219.28 | 1.82亿 | 1.22亿 | 1.52亿 | | 福达合金 | 大幅上升 | 169.55 | 1.46亿 | 1.00亿 | 1.23亿 | | 潮宏基 | 大幅上升 | 150.00 | 5.33亿 | 4.36亿 | 4.84亿 | | 国城矿业 | 大幅上升 | 134.10 | 11.20亿 | 10.00 亿 | 10.6亿 | | 飞南资源 | 大幅上升 | 129.77 | 3.30亿 | 2.60亿 | 2.95亿 | | 赤峰黄金 | 大幅上升 | 75.50 | 32.00亿 | 30.00亿 | 31.00亿 | | 高能环境 | 大幅上升 | 71.23 | 9.00亿 | 7.50亿 ...