计算机行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 太空算力未来可期，关注核心收益环节 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 我们认为 AI 算力以及卫星信息基础设施相关标的都有望受益太空算力的发展： AI 算力：海光信息(688041，买入)、寒武纪-U(688256，未评级)； 卫星基础设施：中科星图(688568，未评级)、佳缘科技(301117，未评级)、航天宏图 (688066，增持)、盛邦安全(688651，未评级)。 风险提示 研发进展不及预期； 商业化进展不及预期。 国家/地区 中国 行业 计算机行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 12 月 02 日 看好（维持） | 陈超 | 执业证书编号：S0860521050002 | | --- | --- | | | chenchao3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 浦俊懿 | 执业证书编号：S0860514050004 | | | pujunyi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 宋鑫宇 | 执业证书编号：S0860524090002 | | | songxinyu@orient ...

Core Insights - The digital economy theme index has seen a decline of 0.64% as of December 2, 2025, with specific stocks like Tuojing Technology leading gains while Nasta led losses [1] - The first Global Internet of Things Conference highlighted the rapid growth of the digital economy, projected to exceed $40 trillion this year, with a global IoT connection forecast to surpass 30 billion [2] - The digital economy ETF closely tracks the digital economy theme index, focusing on companies with high digitalization levels [3] Market Performance - The digital economy ETF (560800) experienced a turnover of 0.88% with a transaction volume of 5.6556 million yuan, and its scale increased by 9.5608 million yuan over the past week [1] - In the last 21 trading days, there were 11 days of net inflow totaling 14.7958 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1] Industry Trends - The digital economy is growing at an annual rate of 8%, with China's digital economy expected to exceed 80 trillion yuan, supported by over 1.2 million companies meeting advanced digital economy conditions [2] - The AI industry is showing robust growth, with a leading global AI company exceeding revenue expectations for Q3 and providing optimistic guidance for Q4, reflecting strong demand for AI computing power [2] Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the digital economy theme index account for 54.6% of the index, with companies like Dongfang Wealth, Cambricon, and SMIC among the leaders [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor ETF from Southern (159325) opened with a slight decline of 0.14%, indicating a mixed performance among its major holdings [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Southern Semiconductor ETF (159325) opened at 1.439 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.14% [1] - Since its inception on October 31, 2024, the fund has achieved a return of 44.26%, while its return over the past month has been -4.17% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Among the major holdings, SMIC opened down by 0.26%, while Cambrian rose by 0.55% [1] - Other notable movements include Huagong Information down by 0.48%, Northern Huachuang down by 0.87%, and Longji Technology down by 0.27% [1] - Conversely, companies like OmniVision and Unisoc saw increases of 0.33% and 0.39% respectively [1]

Core Insights - A total of 15 stocks on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board experienced block trading on December 1, with a cumulative transaction amount of 360 million yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Trading Overview - There were 41 block trades executed, with a total trading volume of 10.18 million shares [1]. - The stock with the highest transaction amount was Guobo Electronics, which had 6 block trades totaling 7.306 million yuan [1]. - Other notable stocks in terms of transaction amounts included Haitai New Light and Lianyun Technology, with 4.872 million yuan and 3.81983 million yuan respectively [1]. Group 2: Price and Discount Analysis - All stocks involved in block trading were sold at a discount, with the highest discount rates observed in Sanyou Medical, Delong Laser, and Puyuan Information, at 16.46%, 12.68%, and 11.99% respectively [1][2]. - The average decline for stocks that underwent block trading was 0.46%, while the Sci-Tech 50 Index rose by 0.72% [1]. Group 3: Institutional Participation - Institutional transactions accounted for 18 trades involving 5 stocks, with Guobo Electronics leading in institutional buy amounts at 68.9976 million yuan [2]. - The stocks with the highest net inflow of funds included Hush Silicon Industry, Aerospace Software, and Haitai New Light, with net inflows of 20.4385 million yuan, 18.4593 million yuan, and 2.7452 million yuan respectively [2]. Group 4: Detailed Trading Data - A detailed table of block trading data includes various stocks, their transaction counts, volumes, average transaction prices, discount rates relative to closing prices, and total transaction amounts [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Haiguang Information conducted three block trades on December 1, with a total trading volume of 138,000 shares and a total transaction amount of 28.6199 million yuan, at a price of 207.39 yuan, which represents a 4% discount compared to the closing price of the day [2][3] - Institutional specialized seats participated in one of the trades, with a total transaction amount of 20.739 million yuan, indicating a net purchase of 20.739 million yuan [2][3] - Over the past three months, Haiguang Information has recorded a total of 34 block trades, amounting to 1.518 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - The latest margin financing balance for Haiguang Information is 8.12 billion yuan, which has increased by 235 million yuan over the past five days, reflecting a growth rate of 2.98% [3] - As of December 1, the closing price of Haiguang Information was 216.03 yuan, down 0.58%, with a daily turnover rate of 1.10% and a total transaction amount of 5.49 billion yuan [2] - The stock has seen a cumulative increase of 3.73% over the past five days, with a total net outflow of 230 million yuan in funds during the same period [2]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes that the Chinese stock market is entering a favorable zone, with a significant opportunity for investment in the upcoming months due to a convergence of policy, liquidity, and fundamentals [12][14][13] - The report identifies key sectors to focus on, including technology, financial services, and consumer goods, suggesting a strategic shift towards more aggressive investment positions [14][12] - The anticipated growth in the Chinese capital market is supported by a reduction in previous valuation discounts, with expectations of double-digit profit growth in the non-financial sector by 2026 [13][12] Group 2 - In the technology sector, companies like Tencent and Alibaba are highlighted for their robust revenue and profit growth, driven by advancements in AI and cloud services [20][24] - The electronics industry is seeing accelerated demand for domestic AI solutions, with companies like Haiguang Information benefiting from this trend [32][8] - The communication sector is expected to thrive due to increased capital expenditure on AI infrastructure, with significant growth anticipated in light communication technologies [39][40] Group 3 - The machinery sector is experiencing growth, with companies like Changying Precision and Hengli Hydraulic showing improved profitability and market positioning [6][8] - The automotive industry, particularly Weichai Power, is noted for steady revenue and performance improvements, indicating a positive outlook [6][8] - The healthcare sector, with a focus on innovative pharmaceuticals, is recommended for investment, particularly in companies like Ying'en Bio [6][8] Group 4 - The consumer sector is poised for recovery after a three-year adjustment period, with low valuations and potential policy support creating structural opportunities [14][12] - Companies in the retail and food & beverage sectors, such as Shoulu Hotel and Yanjing Beer, are highlighted for their improving performance metrics [6][8] - The financial sector, particularly non-bank financial institutions like Huatai Securities and China Ping An, is expected to benefit from market reforms and improved profitability [6][8]

Group 1: December Stock Recommendations - A total of 19 brokerages have released their December stock recommendations, with 142 stocks included [1] - The top stocks receiving institutional attention include Zhongji Xuchuang, Muyuan Foods, Midea Group, Hengli Hydraulic, and Haiguang Information [1] - The sectors with the most recognition from brokerages are electronics, electrical equipment, pharmaceuticals, and basic chemicals [1] Group 2: Zhongji Xuchuang's Market Position - Zhongji Xuchuang is the most recommended stock, receiving endorsements from five brokerages including Everbright Securities and Huatai Securities [3][4] - Longjiang Securities highlights the company's leading position in global optical modules and strong R&D capabilities [3] - Kaisheng Securities emphasizes Zhongji Xuchuang's advantages in technology, low-cost manufacturing, and comprehensive delivery capabilities [3] Group 3: Other Notable Stocks - Muyuan Foods and Midea Group each received recommendations from four brokerages, with Midea Group noted for its strong organizational execution and production advantages [4] - Haiguang Information, Hengli Hydraulic, and Anji Food were recommended by three brokerages, with Haiguang Information's DCU business expected to grow significantly due to domestic project implementations [5] Group 4: Market Outlook for December - Institutions believe that the "spring market" may start earlier this year, making December a favorable time for investors to position themselves [8] - Recent easing of external disturbances and positive developments in the global AI industry are contributing to this optimistic outlook [8] - The market is expected to exhibit a "value plays the stage, growth takes the lead" characteristic during the year-end period [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computer industry [2][19]. Core Insights - The acceleration of space computing deployment is creating a new competitive landscape in the AI industry, with significant developments from both China and the United States [4][14]. - The global AI industry is entering a resonance period, driven by the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure and the commercialization of downstream applications [5][18]. Summary by Sections Recent Developments - The Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission announced plans for a space data center construction, aiming to build a system with over GW power in low Earth orbit by 2035 [4][14]. - China's "Trisolaris Computing Constellation" successfully launched its first 12 satellites, marking a significant milestone in space computing infrastructure [4][14]. Competitive Landscape - NVIDIA and its startup partner Starcloud launched the first space AI server equipped with the H100 chip for a three-year testing mission [4][14]. - Google is exploring the integration of its TPU chips into satellites to utilize solar energy for power [4][14]. Key Company Performance - Alibaba's cloud revenue grew by 34% year-on-year, with AI-related products seeing triple-digit growth for nine consecutive quarters [5][18]. - Google’s TPU has become a strong competitor to NVIDIA, with the latest generation achieving significant performance metrics [17][18]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on several key areas: domestic chips (e.g., Haiguang Information, Cambrian), domestic servers (e.g., Zhongke Shuguang, Digital China), AI applications (e.g., Kingsoft Office, iFlytek), and space computing (e.g., Aerospace Intelligent Equipment, Zhongke Xingtou) [5][19].

Group 1 - The core transaction of Haiguang Information involved 138,000 shares traded on December 1, with a total transaction value of 28.6199 million yuan, representing 0.52% of the total trading volume for that day [1] - The transaction price was 207.39 yuan, which is a 4% discount compared to the market closing price of 216.03 yuan [1] - The trading was conducted through institutional special accounts, indicating a significant interest from institutional investors [2] Group 2 - The trading volume included multiple transactions, with varying amounts and prices, all centered around the same stock, Haiguang Information [2] - The highest transaction amount recorded was 2.5 million yuan for a volume of 2 shares, indicating a diverse range of trading activities [2] - The transactions were categorized under different operational needs, suggesting a strategic approach to trading by the involved parties [2]

Core Insights - The average stock price on the STAR Market is 39.55 yuan, with 66 stocks priced over 100 yuan, and the highest priced stock is Cambrian-U at 1362.44 yuan, which increased by 2.36% today [1][2] - Among the stocks priced over 100 yuan, 30 stocks saw an average increase of 0.08%, while 34 stocks experienced declines, with notable gainers including Lexin Technology and Huahai Chengke [1][2] - The premium of the latest closing prices of stocks over their issue prices averages 504.04%, with the highest premiums seen in companies like Shuangwei New Materials and Cambrian-U [1] Stock Performance - Cambrian-U closed at 1362.44 yuan, up 2.36%, followed by Yuanjie Technology at 535.10 yuan and GuoDun Quantum at 453.00 yuan [1][2] - The stocks with the highest net inflow of funds today include Cambrian-U, Baiwei Storage, and Lanke Technology, with net inflows of 560.61 million yuan, 446.32 million yuan, and 331.88 million yuan respectively [2] - The total margin financing balance for stocks over 100 yuan is 929.09 billion yuan, with Cambrian-U leading at 153.83 billion yuan [2] Industry Distribution - The stocks priced over 100 yuan are primarily concentrated in the electronics, pharmaceutical, and computer industries, with 35, 9, and 8 stocks respectively [1]