Core Viewpoint - The company aims to achieve a revenue target of 5 billion yuan for 2025, with total operating costs controlled at around 4.25 billion yuan [31]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of approximately 4.67 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.66% due to improved market demand and global expansion efforts [29]. - The profit distribution plan for 2024 proposes a cash dividend of 3.00 yuan per 10 shares, pending approval at the annual shareholders' meeting [2]. - The company received government subsidies totaling 56.03 million yuan in 2024, with 33.19 million yuan recognized in profit, accounting for 3.92% of total profit [15]. Group 2: Operational Insights - The company’s Vietnam industrial park generated revenue of approximately 32.10 million yuan in 2024 but reported a net loss of about 58.32 million yuan [3]. - The company’s other apparel accessories achieved a revenue of 164 million yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 41.92% [53]. - The company’s production efficiency in Vietnam is currently lower than in domestic lines due to local workforce skill levels, indicating a need for further development [2]. Group 3: Market Position and Strategy - The company holds approximately 20% market share in the domestic mid-to-high-end button market, while its zipper products have a smaller market share [14]. - The company’s international business accounted for 33.81% of total revenue in 2024, with significant growth in overseas markets [21]. - The company plans to continue expanding its global production capacity, particularly in Southeast Asia, to meet local demand and enhance service capabilities [36]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company anticipates a cautious approach to order intake due to overall industry caution influenced by consumer sentiment and international trade conditions [3]. - The company aims to enhance its competitive edge through intelligent manufacturing and improved customer service, focusing on high-end apparel brands [18]. - The company expects to maintain a sustainable growth trajectory, with a projected revenue increase of around 7% in 2025 [50].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The report indicates that major US consumer companies are cautious about future fiscal year expectations, primarily due to tariff pressures and consumer downgrading trends in the US market. However, companies like Walmart and Lululemon express a more optimistic outlook for the Chinese market [3][23] - Recommendations include buying leading sportswear brand Anta Sports (02020), and considering Li Ning (02331), Xtep International (01368), and Tabo (06110) for buying or holding. Additionally, long-term prospects are favorable for resilient leading manufacturers such as Shenzhou International (02313), Weixing Co., Ltd. (002003), and Huali Group (300979) [3][23] Summary by Sections US Consumer Giants Performance - Walmart's FY26 revenue growth guidance is 3-4%, with a same-store sales increase of 23.1% in FY25Q4, driven by strong e-commerce and new store openings [10][13] - Target expects FY25 revenue growth of about 1%, with same-store sales remaining flat, facing pressure from tariffs and operational costs [14][15] - Dollar General anticipates FY25 revenue growth of 3.4-4.4%, with core consumers facing economic challenges and a notable trend of consumer downgrading [17][18] - Nike projects a mid-double-digit revenue decline for FY25Q4, with significant inventory issues and a 15% revenue drop in the Greater China region [19][20] - Lululemon expects FY25 revenue growth of 5-7%, with a strong growth forecast of 25-30% in the Greater China region [21][22] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a cautious approach towards US consumer giants due to tariff pressures and consumer behavior changes, while highlighting positive growth prospects in China for certain brands [3][23]

Core Viewpoint - Multiple listed companies reported that the recent adjustments to U.S. tariffs have limited impact on their operations, with many having minimal direct exposure to the U.S. market [1][2][3][4][5]. Company Summaries - **Lizhong Group (SZ300428)**: The company focuses on functional intermediate alloy new materials, recycled aluminum alloy materials, and aluminum alloy wheels. Its products related to recycled aluminum alloy materials have little to no exports to the U.S., thus not affected by the tariff changes. The company is monitoring policy changes and is proactively adjusting its supply chain and customer negotiations [1]. - **Shenghong Co., Ltd. (SZ300693)**: The company’s direct exports to the U.S. amount to approximately 56 million yuan, representing only 1% to 2% of its total revenue. It has prepared for uncertainties by collaborating with a Malaysian factory for local production, expected to be ready by May 2025 [1]. - **Hudian Co., Ltd. (SZ002463)**: The company’s direct exports to the U.S. account for less than 5% of its revenue, with most products exported to Southeast Asia. It is closely monitoring trade disputes and communicating with customers to find solutions [2]. - **Xizi Clean Energy (SZ002534)**: The company has a small proportion of business related to the U.S. market, focusing mainly on Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. Its main operations are not significantly impacted by U.S. tariffs [2]. - **Hengshuai Co., Ltd. (SZ300969)**: Direct sales to the U.S. represent about 2.7% of the company’s overall business. The company uses EXW and FOB pricing methods, minimizing the impact of tariff increases. Future strategies will focus on optimizing capacity and development plans [3]. - **Jinfu Technology (SZ003018)**: The company stated that tariff issues will not significantly affect its existing overseas sales regions [5]. - **Weixing Co., Ltd. (SZ002003)**: The company’s international business is primarily in Bangladesh and Vietnam, with a very low percentage of direct exports to the U.S. [5]. - **Hailide (SZ002206)**: The company has established a multi-dimensional response mechanism, including optimizing its production structure in Vietnam and enhancing customer price negotiation strategies [5]. - **Guansheng Co., Ltd. (SH605088)**: The company does not heavily rely on the U.S. market, indicating that the tariff increases will have limited long-term effects [5].

证券代码：002003 证券简称：伟星股份 浙江伟星实业发展股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-009 | | □特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 类别 | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 √其他：电话会议 | | 参与单位名称及 | Point 72：Ricky Tsang、Miriam Lu | | 人员姓名 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 4 月 3 日 | | 地点 | - | | 上市公司接待人 员姓名 | 谢瑾琨等 | | | 互动环节 | | | 1、公司直接出口到美国的占比有多少，加征关税预计对公司业务影响有多 | | | 少？ | | | 答：公司主要从事各类中高档服饰及箱包辅料产品的研发、制造与销售。从 | | | 产品交付的角度看，公司主要根据品牌服饰企业的要求将产品直接交付给客户自 | | | 有或其指定的成衣加工等企业，因而公司国际业务的出口区域基本集中在孟加拉、 | | | 越南等人力成本较低的国家或地区，直接出口到欧美源头国家的业务量非常低。 | | | 因此 ...

Company Overview - Zhejiang Weixing Industrial Development Co., Ltd. emphasizes a corporate culture centered on "unity, hard work, pragmatism, and innovation," focusing on sustainable development as a core principle [3] Order and Revenue Performance - As of now, the company has maintained a year-on-year increase in order intake, although it faces short-term pressure due to consumer sentiment and international trade conditions [4] - The 2025 revenue target is set at CNY 5 billion, with a long-term goal of becoming a "global, innovative fashion accessory kingdom" [5] Business Segments - The company focuses on fashion accessories, with a particular emphasis on zippers, which have a larger market potential compared to buttons [6] - Domestic revenue reached CNY 3.094 billion, a 14.74% increase, while international revenue was CNY 1.581 billion, growing by 30.62% [7] International Operations - The Vietnam industrial park, operational since March 2024, is currently facing challenges with order volume and profitability but is expected to improve significantly in 2025 [8][9] - Direct exports to the U.S. are minimal, thus the impact of tariffs on business is limited; however, overall consumer sentiment and trade conditions remain influential [11] Production and Efficiency - The company’s smart manufacturing initiatives have improved production efficiency and product quality, leading to cost savings [12] - The overall capacity utilization rate for 2024 was 68.82%, reflecting a 2.01 percentage point increase year-on-year [13] Profitability and Market Position - Future gross margin trends will be influenced by raw material costs and product structure, with a focus on sustainable profit levels rather than solely high margins [14] - The competitive landscape is characterized by a shift towards larger, more capable enterprises as smaller firms exit the market due to various pressures [15] Competitive Advantages - Compared to competitors like YKK and Xunxing, the company differentiates itself through a "product + service" model, emphasizing comprehensive service alongside quality products [16]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Insights - The brand sector shows steady recovery in Q1 under consumer promotion policies, with most companies achieving positive growth, outperforming expectations. The performance varies across sub-sectors, with mid-to-high-end menswear showing strong growth, sports retail maintaining steady growth, and mass brands also experiencing a rebound. Profitability varies due to differentiated cost control and operational leverage [2][4][16] - The manufacturing sector faces short-term pressure as downstream inventory has reached healthy levels, but demand from major export countries is weakening. In Q1, demand from the US and Japan shows marginal weakening. Most brands and retailers have returned to healthy inventory levels, but weak overseas demand is expected to limit replenishment momentum, affecting order elasticity in the related supply chain [2][4][17] Summary by Relevant Sections Brand Sector - Q1 retail sales of clothing and textiles increased by 3.3% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 3.6 percentage points [20] - Mid-to-high-end menswear brands are leading in retail growth, while the sports sector continues to show steady growth. Mass apparel brands are also experiencing a recovery [20][27] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing sector is under short-term pressure due to weak demand from major export markets and healthy inventory levels. The overall order placement is cautious, with expectations of further pressure from tariff forecasts [4][28] Key Company Performance - **Wanjian Medical**: Expected Q1 revenue growth of 30%-40%, driven by non-woven products and strong brand power in sanitary napkins [5][40] - **Zhejiang Natural**: Anticipated Q1 revenue growth of 25%-35%, with net profit expected to increase by 50%-100% [5][40] - **Weixing Co.**: Expected Q1 revenue growth of 10%-15% and double-digit net profit growth [5][40] - **Anta Sports**: Expected Q1 revenue growth in the high single digits, with FILA brand showing mid-to-low single-digit growth [6][20] - **361 Degrees**: Anticipated Q1 revenue growth of 10%-15% for adult apparel and around 15% for children's clothing, with e-commerce growth of about 20% [6][20] Inventory and Demand Trends - The inventory levels of most brands and retailers have returned to a healthy state, with the wholesale inventory destocking nearing completion. However, weak overseas demand is expected to limit replenishment momentum [4][28]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 performance is expected to be strong, with revenue projected at 4.674 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.66%, and net profit expected to reach 700.34 million yuan, up 25.48% year-on-year [1][8] - The growth in button sales is outpacing zipper sales, and the overseas market is growing faster than the domestic market, with significant price increases for products [8] - The gross margin is expected to improve, and the net profit margin is projected to increase, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency [8] Financial Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - Total revenue for 2023 is 3.907 billion yuan, with projections of 4.674 billion yuan for 2024, 5.011 billion yuan for 2025, 5.548 billion yuan for 2026, and 6.146 billion yuan for 2027 [1] - Net profit for 2023 is 558.11 million yuan, with forecasts of 700.34 million yuan for 2024, 753.69 million yuan for 2025, 841.14 million yuan for 2026, and 934.95 million yuan for 2027 [1] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.60 yuan for 2024, increasing to 0.80 yuan by 2027 [1] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 25.59 in 2023 to 15.28 by 2027, indicating a potentially more attractive valuation over time [1] Market and Product Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in demand for buttons, which are primarily used in clothing, while zippers are used in a broader range of products [8] - The international market is benefiting from the company's ongoing globalization strategy, with overseas revenue expected to grow by 30.6% in 2024 [8] - The company has adjusted its profit forecast for 2025 due to cautious expectations in the domestic apparel market and uncertainties related to U.S.-China tariff policies [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 performance is expected to be strong, with revenue projected at 4.674 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.66%, and net profit expected to reach 700.34 million yuan, up 25.48% year-on-year [8] - The growth in button sales is outpacing zipper sales, with overseas market growth surpassing domestic growth, and significant price increases for products [8] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve, with a net profit margin increase to 14.98% in 2024 [8] - The company is focusing on internationalization and smart manufacturing strategies for sustainable long-term growth [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 was 3.907 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 4.674 billion yuan in 2024 [1] - The net profit for 2023 was 558.11 million yuan, expected to rise to 700.34 million yuan in 2024 [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.48 yuan in 2023 to 0.60 yuan in 2024 [1] - The company anticipates a revenue target of 5 billion yuan and a net profit target of 750 million yuan for 2025 [8] - The gross profit margin for 2024 is projected at 41.73%, with a slight increase in subsequent years [9]

Group 1: Business Performance - The company's zipper business achieved a revenue growth of 16% year-on-year, accounting for 53% of total revenue [4] - The button business saw a year-on-year growth of 22%, making up 42% of total revenue [4] - Domestic business revenue reached CNY 30.94 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.74% [7] - International business revenue was CNY 15.81 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.62% [7] Group 2: Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve a revenue target of CNY 5 billion by 2025 [4] - The Vietnam industrial park is expected to significantly increase revenue in 2025 as it enters a ramp-up phase [6] - The company is focused on becoming a "global, innovative fashion accessory leader" over the next five to ten years [4] Group 3: Capacity and Utilization - The overall capacity utilization rate for 2024 was 68.82%, an increase of 2.01 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is facing short-term pressure on order intake due to cautious market conditions [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The apparel accessory industry is characterized by high competition, with many small-scale enterprises exiting the market due to stricter regulations [10] - The company believes that its comprehensive competitive strength will allow it to thrive in a market with increasing demand for mid-to-high-end apparel [10] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to implement appropriate measures to incentivize its core team in the future [11] - Capital expenditure will be cautiously managed to ensure it does not adversely affect dividend policies [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a strong performance in 2024, with revenue projected at 4.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, and a net profit of 700 million yuan, up 25.5% [4][5] - The company is positioned as a leading domestic supplier, with production capacities for buttons and zippers expected to enhance international competitiveness as production ramps up in Vietnam [4][5] - The company aims to continue expanding its product categories and enhancing its marketing and service systems while pushing forward with its internationalization strategy [4][5] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 was 3.907 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 4.674 billion yuan in 2024, and further growth expected to 5.018 billion yuan in 2025 [6][8] - The net profit for 2023 was 558 million yuan, with projections of 700 million yuan in 2024 and 753 million yuan in 2025 [6][8] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 41.7% in 2024 to 41.9% in 2025, driven by an increase in the gross margin of buttons [5][6] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a cash dividend ratio of 83.5% in 2024 [5] Production and Sales Insights - The company’s button business is expected to generate revenue of 1.64 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.9% [4][5] - The zipper business is projected to achieve revenue of 2.48 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 42.1% [4][5] - International business is expected to grow significantly, with revenue from international markets projected to increase by 30.6% year-on-year [4][5] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for the company are 18.6 for 2025, 16.1 for 2026, and 14.0 for 2027 [4][6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 16.1% in 2024 to 18.6% in 2027 [6][8]