香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不對因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 （於中華人民共和國註冊成立之股份有限公司） （股份代號：1772） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10B條 刊 發。 根據中華人民共和國的有關法例規定，江西贛鋒鋰業集團股份有限公司（「本 公 司」）在 深 圳 證 券 交 易 所 網 站（http://www.szse.cn/）刊 發 了 以 下 公 告。茲 載 列 如 下，僅 供 參 閱。 承董事會命 江西贛鋒鋰業集團股份有限公司 董事長 李良彬 中 國‧江 西 二 零 二 六 年 二 月 二 日 於本公告日 期，董事會成員包括本公司執行董事李良彬先 生、王曉申先 生、沈海博先 生、黃婷女士及李承霖先 生；本公司非執行董事羅榮女 士； 本公司獨立非執行董事王金本先 生、黃浩鈞先 生、徐一新女士及徐光華 先 生；以及本公司職工董事廖萃女 士。 证券代 ...

证券代码：002460 证券简称：赣锋锂业 编号：临2026-014 江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及其董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，无 虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、担保情况概述 1、江西赣锋锂业集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司"或"赣锋 锂业") 于 2025 年 3 月 28 日召开的第五届董事会第九十一次会议、 于 2025 年 6 月 25 日召开 2024 年年度股东会审议通过了《关于 2025 年度公司及子公司对外担保额度预计的议案》，为满足公司及子公司 的发展和生产经营需要，同意公司向子公司提供连带责任保证担保额 度合计人民币 2,521,000 万元，同意子公司向子公司提供连带责任保 证担保额度人民币 1,114,000 万元，两项合计担保总额人民币 3,635,000 万元（包括新增担保和原有担保的展期或续保）。其中公 司及子公司向资产负债率 70%以上的子公司提供总额不超过人民币 1,501,000 万元，向资产负债率 70%以下的子公司（含新设立暂无财 务数据的子公司）提供总额不超过人民币 2,134,000 万元。本次 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with inventory adjustments providing support. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt sectors are identified as having clear investment value, with recommendations for active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with futures contracts experiencing significant declines. The price of lithium concentrate was reported at $2,070 per ton, down $144 from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected, but downstream demand has led to active market transactions [8][12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals, with notable announcements including Pilbara's production advancements and CATL's plans for a new battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium and Yahua Group have provided profit forecasts indicating significant year-on-year growth, while Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium have also reported expected turnarounds in profitability [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - December production data shows mixed trends, with carbonate lithium production up 4% month-on-month and hydroxide lithium up 2%. The inventory levels are undergoing structural adjustments, with significant increases in imports of carbonate lithium and hydroxide lithium [18][31][49].

Core Viewpoint - The global precious metals market has experienced a significant pullback, with spot gold dropping over 6% on February 2, reflecting a fragile structure after a sharp short-term rise. The long-term outlook for the non-ferrous sector remains strong due to factors such as the restructuring of the monetary credit system, supply-side rigidity, and new demand dynamics, although short-term risks of correction should be monitored [1][3]. Group 1: Market Reactions and Trends - The non-ferrous sector has shown volatility, with traditional valuation models becoming ineffective as market sentiment and geopolitical factors increasingly influence prices [3]. - The nomination of Waller as the next Federal Reserve Chair has led to expectations of policy shifts, including a significant reduction in the Fed's balance sheet, which could impact liquidity and future interest rate cuts [3]. - On January 30, international gold prices recorded their largest single-day drop in 40 years, indicating heightened volatility and risk in the gold market, prompting experts to advise caution among investors [3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities and Risks - The non-ferrous sector presents both long-term investment opportunities and short-term risks, necessitating a rational approach from investors based on their risk tolerance [1]. - The recent performance of the non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) indicates a significant drop in component stocks, with many experiencing declines of over 5% [2][6]. - Despite the recent downturn, the long-term fundamentals for industrial metals like copper, aluminum, and tin remain strong, with expectations for price recovery post-correction [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current market dynamics, including high global debt and geopolitical uncertainties, provide a solid foundation for precious metal prices to trend positively in the long run [4]. - The non-ferrous ETF Huatai-PineBridge (159652) is highlighted for its comprehensive coverage of various metal sectors, positioning it well to benefit from the ongoing supercycle in non-ferrous metals [5][9]. - The ETF's index has shown a cumulative return leading its peers, with a significant portion of its gains driven by earnings rather than valuation increases, indicating a favorable investment environment [11][12].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Lithium market, particularly in relation to energy storage systems (ESS) and electric vehicles (EVs) [1][19] - **Growth Forecast**: Global lithium demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of 21% from 2026 to 2027, driven primarily by a 35% CAGR in ESS-related demand [1][19] Core Insights - **Demand Drivers**: - Incremental ESS demand is expected to enhance global lithium demand, with significant contributions from independent projects in China and increased ESS demand in the US due to power shortages linked to AI data center growth [1] - EV-related lithium demand is projected to grow at an 18% CAGR, supported by larger battery sizes and the penetration of electric heavy-duty trucks [1][19] - **Supply Dynamics**: - A narrowing supply surplus is anticipated, with global lithium capacity expected to grow by 17% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, leading to a supply surplus of 218kt in 2026 and 60kt in 2027 [2][21] - Key projects contributing to supply include Greenbushes CGP3 in Australia and Goulamina in Mali, with potential resumption of previously suspended mines [2][24] - **Price Outlook**: - Lithium carbonate prices are forecasted to average CNY180k per tonne in 2026 and CNY200k per tonne in 2027, with potential upside risks from supply shocks and downside risks from lower-than-expected demand [3][49] Additional Insights - **Sensitivity Analysis**: - ESS demand is less sensitive to lithium prices, with a CNY10k/tonne increase in lithium carbonate price leading to a 0.2pp decline in internal rates of return (IRRs) for independent ESS projects in China [4][50] - Most ESS projects in China can maintain favorable IRR levels above 6% even with lithium prices at CNY200k/tonne [4][51] - **Impact on Supply Chain**: - Rising lithium prices are expected to benefit upstream lithium miners, particularly those with cost advantages, while mid-stream cathode makers will likely pass cost increases to battery cell manufacturers [5] - **Market Trends**: - Global EV battery usage grew by 33% year-on-year to 1046GWh in 2025, with China being the major contributor [7] - ESS has emerged as a key growth driver for lithium-ion battery shipments, with global ESS battery shipments increasing by 83% year-on-year to 640GWh in 2025 [8] - **Regulatory Changes**: - China's Ministry of Finance announced a reduction in the export VAT refund rate for battery products, which may influence export demand and subsequently lithium demand [9] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: - Potential risks include worse-than-expected EV sales due to fading government subsidies, slower-than-expected resumption of suspended mines, and unexpected downward revisions of global ESS demand [52] - **Supply Chain Constraints**: - Mining permit regulations and environmental protection requirements in Jiangxi Province may impact lepidolite production in China [2][28] Conclusion - The lithium market is poised for significant growth driven by ESS and EV demand, with a tightening supply-demand balance expected in the coming years. However, various risks, including regulatory changes and market dynamics, could impact this outlook.

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with support from inventory adjustments ahead of the holiday. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt core targets have clear investment value, suggesting active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with a divergence in the rhythm between mining and salt ends. Futures contracts have dropped significantly, with the Wuxi 2605 contract down 16.65% to 149,200 CNY/ton, and the Guangxi 2605 contract down 18.36% to 148,200 CNY/ton. Lithium concentrate prices have decreased to 2,070 USD/ton, down 144 USD from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected due to regulatory cooling and market fluctuations, with downstream demand stabilizing [12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals. For instance, Pilbara is evaluating the potential for increased production capacity at its Ngungaju plant, while CATL plans to build a lithium battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium Industry and other companies have announced significant changes in their profit forecasts, reflecting the impact of lithium price fluctuations and operational adjustments [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - In December, domestic carbonate lithium production increased by 4% month-on-month, while hydroxide lithium production rose by 2%. The inventory showed structural adjustments, with a general increase in prices for lithium and cobalt materials. The average price for battery-grade carbonate lithium rose by 7.15% to a range of 161,000-182,000 CNY/ton, and battery-grade hydroxide lithium increased by 8.12% to 158,000-169,000 CNY/ton [18][19][67].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant target price increases for several listed companies from January 26 to February 1, with notable mentions including Baili Tianheng, Zexing Pharmaceutical, and Great Wall Motors, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market for these stocks [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Baili Tianheng (688506) has a target price increase of 375.97%, with a highest target price set at 1322.00 yuan [2]. - Zexing Pharmaceutical (688266) shows a target price increase of 88.56%, with a highest target price of 166.16 yuan [2]. - Great Wall Motors (601633) has a target price increase of 83.66%, with a highest target price of 38.00 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Industrial Fulian (601138) at 73.31% and CATL (300750) at 71.71% [2][3]. Broker Recommendations - A total of 265 listed companies received broker recommendations during the period, with Qingdao Bank receiving the highest number of recommendations at 8 [3][4]. - Other companies with multiple recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent and Wancheng Group, each receiving 5 recommendations [3][4]. Rating Adjustments - Eight companies had their ratings upgraded, including Shanghai Jahwa (600315) from "Hold" to "Buy" and ZTE Corporation (000063) from "Cautious Buy" to "Buy" [5][6]. - Two companies had their ratings downgraded, including Jincheng Shares (603396) from "Buy" to "Hold" and Huasheng Group (603018) from "Buy" to "Hold" [6]. First-Time Coverage - During the same period, 75 instances of first-time coverage were reported, with notable ratings including Shaanxi Tourism (603402) receiving a "Outperform Industry" rating and Bichu Electronics (688188) receiving a "Buy" rating [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1] Core Insights - The supply and demand expectations for lithium and cobalt are reversing, indicating the start of a new price cycle [2][3] - Lithium demand is expected to recover, leading to a replenishment cycle, while supply disruptions will create a medium-term gap [2] - Cobalt supply is dominated by export quotas from sovereign nations, leading to a raw material shortage that supports prices [3] Summary by Sections Lithium - Supply disruptions from African lithium projects and stable production from South American salt lakes are expected, while China's regulatory management will lead to a temporary supply contraction of lithium mica [2] - Demand for lithium is driven by the growth of energy storage as a second growth driver after electric vehicles, with solid-state batteries opening up potential for increased lithium consumption [2] - From the second half of 2025, supply disruptions in Jiangxi and strong downstream demand will lead to a price rebound for lithium, maintaining a tight supply situation through 2026-2027 [2] Cobalt - The supply side is significantly influenced by the export quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, resulting in a definitive raw material shortage [3] - Demand for cobalt products is currently weak due to high prices, and the recovery of demand hinges on the adoption of solid-state batteries [3] - The Congolese government has a strong ability and willingness to support prices, with expectations for cobalt prices to remain strong in the medium term [3] Investment Strategy - In an upward cycle, it is essential to consider the self-reinforcing attributes of stock prices and commodity prices, alongside fundamental factors [4] - The interplay between stock prices, futures, and spot prices creates a positive feedback loop, where stock prices often react first to anticipated changes [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended lithium-related stocks include Yongxing Materials, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium, among others [5] - Recommended cobalt-related stocks include Huayou Cobalt and others [5]

Core Viewpoint - DBS maintains a "Buy" rating for Ganfeng Lithium (01772), significantly raising the target price for H-shares from HKD 39 to HKD 83, and for A-shares from CNY 45 to CNY 92, based on a projected P/E ratio of 40 times and a 20% discount of H-shares compared to A-shares [1] Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium is expected to achieve a net profit between CNY 1.1 billion and CNY 1.65 billion in the fiscal year 2025 [1] - The company is anticipated to maintain high lithium prices until mining permits are obtained for its Jiangxi lithium mine, with profitability in the lithium industry expected to rebound by 2026 [1] - The earnings per share forecast for Ganfeng Lithium has been raised to CNY 1.85 (HKD 2.07) for this year, supported by rising lithium product prices, improved profit margins, expansion in battery and energy storage businesses, and investment income [1]

Core Viewpoint - DBS maintains a "Buy" rating on Ganfeng Lithium (01772), significantly raising the target price for H-shares from HKD 39 to HKD 83, and for A-shares from RMB 45 to RMB 92, based on a projected P/E ratio of 40 times and a 20% discount of H-shares compared to A-shares [1] Group 1 - Ganfeng Lithium is expected to achieve a net profit between RMB 1.1 billion and RMB 1.65 billion in 2025 [1] - The firm anticipates that lithium prices will remain high until mining permits are obtained for the Jiangxi lithium mine, with profitability in the lithium industry expected to rebound by 2026 [1] - The earnings per share estimate for Ganfeng Lithium has been raised to RMB 1.85 (HKD 2.07) due to increased lithium product prices and profit margins, expansion in battery and energy storage business contributions, and investment income support [1]