Core Insights - Tianqi Lithium's Q3 report shows a gross margin increase to 37.57%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 95.49 million yuan, representing a 120% year-on-year growth [1] - The company achieved a basic earnings per share of 0.06 yuan for the quarter, and 0.11 yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 103.16% year-on-year increase [1] - Despite fluctuations in lithium product prices, the company benefited from a shortened pricing cycle for its subsidiary Windfield Holdings and improved pricing mechanisms for its lithium products [1] Industry Overview - The lithium battery sector is experiencing a robust supply-demand dynamic, with domestic new energy electric vehicle sales increasing by 35% year-on-year in the first nine months of 2025, and an expected annual growth rate exceeding 30% [3] - The European market also shows a growth rate of 25%, with significant expansion in the energy storage sector [3] - Domestic battery production reached 186 GWh in October, a 22.4% month-on-month increase, with many leading manufacturers' orders extending into the next year [3] Company Developments - Tianqi Lithium's Jiangsu Zhangjiagang production base has confirmed that its 30,000-ton annual capacity project for battery-grade lithium hydroxide has met technical standards as of October 17, with sales expected to ramp up soon [3] - According to Dongwu Securities, the company possesses excellent resource endowments and significant cost advantages, suggesting further improvements in lithium salt profitability [3]

Core Viewpoint - The solid-state battery concept stocks in the A-share market have experienced a significant surge, driven by recent advancements in solid-state battery technology and the upcoming 2025 Solid-State Battery Manufacturing and Industry Chain Innovation Forum [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Penghui Energy reached a 20% limit up, while Tianhua New Energy and Haike New Source both increased by over 13% [1] - Other notable performers include XWANDA with an 11.53% rise, and Shida Shenghua, Jiangte Motor, and Pulutong hitting a 10% limit up [1] - The overall market sentiment is positive, with many stocks in the solid-state battery sector showing strong year-to-date performance, such as Haike New Source with a 139.83% increase [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Recent breakthroughs in solid-state battery technology include overcoming key challenges in all-solid-state lithium batteries, potentially doubling the range from 500 kilometers to over 1000 kilometers [1] - Research led by Tsinghua University has made significant progress in polymer electrolytes for lithium batteries, indicating a shift towards more efficient battery solutions [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - According to Open Source Securities, solid-state batteries are transitioning from laboratory stages to mass production validation, with small-scale vehicle testing expected by the end of 2025 and widespread testing anticipated in 2026-2027 [1] - Emerging applications in low-altitude flying, robotics, and AI are expected to expand the market for solid-state batteries, accelerating industrialization [1]

Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - The short - term supply - demand pattern of lithium carbonate is good, with consumption support and continuous inventory reduction, but the market may fall if consumption weakens and mines resume production [4] - The lithium business of some companies has shown different trends. For example, the third - quarter performance of Yahua Group has improved significantly, while Tianqi Lithium has achieved a turnaround in net profit despite a decline in revenue [2][3] Market Analysis - On October 29, 2025, the opening price of the lithium carbonate main contract 2601 was 82,240 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 82,900 yuan/ton, a 0.80% change from the previous settlement price. The trading volume was 659,421 lots, and the position was 506,882 lots, up from 488,803 lots the previous day. The basis was - 2,390 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warrants was 2,7525 lots, a change of 190 lots from the previous day [1] - Battery - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 77,500 - 80,800 yuan/ton, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate was quoted at 76,400 - 77,500 yuan/ton, both up 650 yuan/ton from the previous day. The price of 6% lithium concentrate was 955 US dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous day [1] - The overall operating rate of lithium salt plants remained high, with the operating rates of spodumene and salt lake ends both above 60%. The total output of lithium carbonate in October is expected to continue to rise and may break the historical record [1] - The demand side is strong. The new energy vehicle market is growing rapidly in both commercial and passenger fields, and the energy storage market shows a pattern of strong supply and demand, continuously driving the demand for lithium - battery materials [1] Company Performance - Yahua Group's Q3 2025 revenue was 2.624 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 31.97%; net profit was 198 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 278.06%. The revenue in the first three quarters was 6.047 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.07%; net profit was 334 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 116.02%. The company's lithium business performance improved in Q3, and it has sufficient orders in Q4 [2] - Tianqi Lithium's Q3 2025 revenue was 2.565 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 29.66%; net profit was 95.4855 million yuan, turning a profit year - on - year. The revenue in the first three quarters was 7.397 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 26.50%; net profit was 180 million yuan, turning a profit year - on - year [3] Strategy - Short - term range operation. Observe the inflection points of inventory and consumption, and sell hedging at high prices when appropriate [4] - There is no strategy for inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options trading [5]

Group 1 - Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466.SZ) reported its Q3 2025 results, with 49 institutional investors holding a total of 591 million shares, representing 36.04% of the company's total equity [1] - The top ten institutional investors collectively hold 35.27% of the shares, with a slight increase of 0.10 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [1] Group 2 - In the public fund sector, 23 funds increased their holdings, with a total increase ratio of 0.63%, while 13 funds decreased their holdings, with a decrease ratio of 0.13% [2] - Seven new public funds disclosed their holdings this period, while 410 funds did not disclose their holdings compared to the previous quarter [2] - One foreign fund, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, increased its holdings by 0.20% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696) experienced a stock price increase of over 5%, reaching HKD 47.98, with a trading volume of HKD 163 million [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately RMB 7.397 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 26.5% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately RMB 180 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 103.16% [1] - In the third quarter, revenue was RMB 2.565 billion, down 29.66% year-on-year [1] - The net profit for the third quarter was RMB 95.4855 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 119.26% [1] Market Dynamics - Despite a year-on-year decline in lithium product sales prices, the impact of the pricing mechanism mismatch between Talison lithium concentrate and lithium chemical product sales has significantly diminished [1] - The expected substantial growth in the performance of the joint venture company SQM has contributed to an increase in investment income year-on-year [1] - The appreciation of the Australian dollar has resulted in increased foreign exchange gains [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Tianqi Lithium Industries reported a net profit of 180 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year, with a third-quarter net profit of approximately 95.49 million yuan [1] - The main reasons for the performance change include: 1) Despite a decline in lithium product sales prices, the pricing cycle for lithium from Windfield Holdings Pty Ltd has shortened, reducing previous mismatches in pricing mechanisms [1] 2) Significant increase in investment income from the joint venture SQM, based on its strong performance in the first half of 2025 [1] 3) The appreciation of the Australian dollar against the US dollar has led to increased foreign exchange gains compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 2.193 billion yuan, indicating strong cash reserves [2] - As of the end of the third quarter of 2025, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was 30.50%, reflecting a stable financial condition and strong risk management capabilities [2] - Tianqi Lithium's ESG rating improved from BBB to A according to the latest report from MSCI [2]

Summary of Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc. - **Ticker**: 002466.SZ, 9696.HK - **Industry**: Greater China Materials - **Market Cap**: US$11,528 million - **Stock Rating**: Equal-weight - **Price Target**: Rmb47.90, with a downside of 6% from the close price of Rmb50.77 on October 29, 2025 Key Financial Highlights - **3Q25 Performance**: - Net profit was Rmb95 million, a significant recovery from a loss of Rmb20 million in 2Q25 and Rmb496 million in 3Q24 - 9M25 net profit reached Rmb180 million, up 103% year-over-year - Recurring net profit for 3Q25 was Rmb70 million [1][2] - **Gross Profit**: Increased to Rmb964 million in 3Q25 from Rmb774 million in 2Q25, driven by higher lithium and spodumene prices - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Improved by 3.1 percentage points quarter-over-quarter to 37.6% in 3Q25 [2] Operational Developments - **Mid-Stream Expansion**: - Completion of 30kt LIOH capacity in Jiangsu by the end of July, with production of chemical-grade LIOH products starting in October [2] - **Lithium Price Outlook**: - Anticipated rising lithium prices, currently about 8% higher than the average in 3Q25, due to strong demand from electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage systems (ESS), expected to positively impact earnings in 4Q25 [2] Financial Projections - **Revenue Forecast**: - Projected net revenue for 2025 is Rmb10,575 million, with an increase to Rmb13,921 million by 2026 [4] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - Expected EPS for 2025 is Rmb0.44, with projections of Rmb1.18 for 2026 and Rmb2.40 for 2027 [4] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: - Base case DCF model with a WACC of 11.5% and a terminal growth rate for free cash flow of 2% applied beyond the forecast period of 2025-33 [6] - **Risks**: - Upside risks include higher-than-expected lithium prices and output growth in upstream and midstream resources - Downside risks involve lower-than-expected lithium prices and output growth [8] Market Context - **Stock Performance**: - 52-week range for the stock is Rmb52.20 to Rmb25.57, indicating volatility in the stock price [4] - **Average Daily Trading Value**: Approximately US$198 million, reflecting active trading [4] Analyst Insights - **Industry View**: Attractive, indicating a positive outlook for the materials sector in Greater China [4] - **Analyst Ratings**: The stock is rated as Equal-weight, suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the market [4] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding Tianqi Lithium Industries Inc., highlighting its financial performance, operational developments, market outlook, and associated risks.

Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizes the integration of artificial intelligence and capital markets to promote high-quality digital transformation during the 2025 Financial Street Forum [1] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange announces measures to expand cross-border trade pilot regions, supporting compliant businesses in line with national strategic development [2] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments release an action plan to enhance urban commercial quality, focusing on the development of pedestrian streets and business circles [2] Group 2: Market Mechanisms and Initiatives - The CSRC plans to improve the Beijing Stock Exchange's listing mechanism and optimize disclosure requirements for innovative companies [4] - Beijing issues guidelines to stimulate mergers and acquisitions, aiming to enhance the quality of listed companies and accelerate industrial integration [5] - China Securities Index Co., Ltd. will launch six new indices to provide a broader range of investment options for the market [6] Group 3: Economic Performance - From January to September 2023, state-owned enterprises reported total operating revenue of 6,132.91 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, while total profits decreased by 1.6% to 316.70 billion yuan [8] Group 4: Technological Advancements - The Ministry of Transport announces an initiative to advance the application of artificial intelligence in the transportation sector, focusing on technology breakthroughs and enhancing digital capabilities [9] - Shanghai's communication management authorities launch a project to develop a millisecond-level computing resource network by 2027 [10] Group 5: Company Performance Highlights - Guizhou Moutai reports a third-quarter net profit of 19.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.48% [7] - Industrial Fulian's AI business drives a 62% year-on-year increase in third-quarter net profit [7] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) sees a 32.2% year-on-year decline in net profit for the first three quarters, totaling 29.98 billion yuan [7]

Group 1: Economic Policies and Developments - The Chinese government is committed to deepening capital market reforms and expanding high-level financial openness to support modernization, welcoming foreign financial institutions and long-term capital investments [1] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange announced nine policy measures to facilitate cross-border trade and support trade development [1] - The Central Enterprise Strategic Emerging Industry Development Fund has officially launched, raising 51 billion yuan in its first phase [1] Group 2: Corporate Earnings and Financial Performance - Guizhou Moutai reported Q3 revenue of 39.064 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.56%, and a net profit of 19.224 billion yuan, up 0.48% [4] - Industrial Fulian's net profit for the first three quarters reached 22.487 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.52% [4] - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported a net profit of 29.984 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 32.2% [4] Group 3: Employment and Labor Market - In the first three quarters, China added 10.57 million urban jobs, maintaining overall employment stability, with a September urban survey unemployment rate of 5.2%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [1] Group 4: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.7% to 4016.33, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.95% to 13691.38 [3] - The onshore RMB was quoted at 7.0993, down 3 points, and the offshore RMB at 7.0964, down 22 points [3]

Macroeconomic News - The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump is scheduled for October 30 in Busan, South Korea, focusing on strategic and long-term issues in China-U.S. relations [1][2] - The People's Bank of China is committed to deepening capital market reforms and expanding high-level financial openness to attract foreign investment [1][2] Industry News - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00%, marking the fifth rate cut since September 2024 [4] - A strategic emerging industry development fund with a scale of 51 billion yuan has been launched, focusing on supporting industries such as artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and future energy [4][5] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have issued a notice to enhance the integration of technologies like AI and blockchain in urban commercial systems [5] Company News - Kweichow Moutai reported a net profit of 19.224 billion yuan for the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 0.48% [7] - Sinopec announced a third-quarter net profit of 8.3 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year, and is continuing share buybacks [7] - NewEase reported a net profit of 6.327 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a significant increase of 284% [7] - Tianfu Communication announced a net profit of 1.465 billion yuan for the first three quarters, up 50.07% year-on-year [7] - Tianqi Lithium reported a net profit of 180 million yuan for the first three quarters, marking a return to profitability [7] - Industrial Fulian reported a net profit of 22.487 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 49% increase, driven by high-growth products like AI servers [7] - WuXi AppTec's major shareholder plans to reduce its stake by up to 2% [7] - Dongni Electronics disclosed that its annual report contained false records, leading to a name change to ST Dongni starting October 31 [7] - Guokai Military Industry signed a 466 million yuan annual order contract for military trade products, expected to positively impact the company's performance [8] - Dayou Energy reported a net loss of 1.122 billion yuan for the first three quarters due to declining product prices [9] - Midea Group announced a net profit of 37.883 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 19.51% [9] - Peking University Pharmaceutical's chairman has been criminally detained and is temporarily unable to perform duties [9] - China Rare Earth reported a net profit of 192 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 195% [10] - Shandong Gold reported a net profit increase of 92% for the first three quarters, benefiting from rising gold prices and sales volume [10] - Huizhou Intelligent announced that its 2019 and 2020 annual reports contained false records, leading to a name change to ST Huizhou [10] - China Unicom's subsidiary participated in the investment of the central enterprise strategic emerging fund [11] - Shikang Co. reported a net loss of 3.105 billion yuan for the first three quarters [11] - Hangyang Co. received a stake increase from CITIC Financial Assets, reaching a 5% holding [11] - Western Gold reported a net profit increase of 168% for the first three quarters, driven by increased sales and prices of gold products [11] Investment Opportunities - The demand for AI server storage is exceeding expectations, with major companies like Samsung and SK Hynix operating at full capacity [15][16] - The market for enterprise-level SSDs is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing requirements for data transmission and computation in AI applications [16] - The price of tungsten has surged, leading to significant price increases for hexafluoride tungsten suppliers targeting semiconductor manufacturers [17]