2026年开年1月的中国车市，用"冰火两重天"形容再贴切不过。 过去三天，不少车企都发布了1月份的销量业绩，可以说绝大多数车企都挂上了负增长的标签，特别是一些头部新能源车企，其1月销量波动更 为严峻。 乘联会数据显示，全月乘用车零售预计180万辆，环比下滑20.4%，同比仅微增；新能源零售销量可能达80万辆左右，渗透率降至44.4%，较 2025年底的峰值跌落近10个百分点。 在这场开年"寒流"中，车企阵营分化彻底拉满，拥有庞大燃油车基盘的大多数车企稳如泰山，而绝大多数单押新能源的品牌集体承压，新势力 内部更是有人狂欢有人落寞。 透过这份成绩单，我们似乎可以发现中国市场越来越明显的竞争逻辑，那就是即便新能源是未来发展的大趋势，但"双腿走路才稳"的路径愈加 清晰。 燃油车托底者稳，单押新能源者惨，出口是重要支撑 1月的销量数据，像一面放大镜，照出了不同车企战略选择的最终结果。核心分化点清晰明了，即是否拥有燃油车基本盘，直接决定了企业在市 场波动中的抗风险能力。 以吉利、上汽、广汽丰田为代表的传统车企，凭借"燃油+新能源"双线布局，在1月交出了最稳健的答卷。 上汽集团1月销量32.74万辆，同比增长23.94%， ...

Group 1 - BYD's stock price increased by 0.37% on February 3, with a trading volume of 3.276 billion yuan. The financing buy amount was 222 million yuan, while the financing repayment was 307 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of -84.82 million yuan. The total financing and securities balance reached 12.823 billion yuan [1] - As of February 3, BYD's financing balance was 12.771 billion yuan, accounting for 2.69% of its circulating market value, which is below the 50th percentile level over the past year, indicating a low position [1] - On the same day, BYD's securities lending saw a repayment of 34,600 shares and a sale of 32,900 shares, with a selling amount of 2.8745 million yuan. The remaining securities lending volume was 601,400 shares, with a balance of 52.5446 million yuan, exceeding the 70th percentile level over the past year, indicating a high position [1] Group 2 - As of September 30, BYD had 642,600 shareholders, an increase of 98.37% compared to the previous period. The average circulating shares per person were 5,427, an increase of 51.21% [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, BYD achieved an operating income of 566.266 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.75%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7.55% to 23.333 billion yuan [2] - BYD has distributed a total of 27.859 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 24.414 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]

Core Viewpoint - China, as the largest developing country and greenhouse gas emitter, has made significant progress in low-carbon economic development, aiming to peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060 through green energy and clean technology initiatives [1][12]. Low-Carbon Economy Overview - The low-carbon economy is based on low energy consumption, low emissions, and low pollution, focusing on technological innovation, institutional reform, industrial transformation, and renewable energy development [3][4]. Industry Development History - The concept of a low-carbon economy emerged in the UK in 2003, with significant milestones including the 2006 Stern Report advocating for global transition to low-carbon economies and China's first national climate change assessment report [4][6]. Industry Policies - A series of policies have been implemented to promote low-carbon economic development, including the 2025 government work report emphasizing the acceleration of green low-carbon economy development and the establishment of a national carbon market [7][8]. Industry Chain - The low-carbon economy industry chain includes upstream low-carbon energy supply and technology research, midstream low-carbon enterprises, and downstream applications such as green buildings and renewable energy generation [8]. Current Industry Status - The national carbon trading market is a key component of the low-carbon economy, with significant growth in trading volume and value, reaching a cumulative transaction volume of 865 million tons and a transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [9][10]. Key Enterprises - Major companies in China's low-carbon economy include Dongjiang Environmental Protection, Ningde Times, BYD, and others, each focusing on various aspects of environmental services, clean energy, and technology innovation [14][15]. Industry Development Trends - Technological innovation is crucial for low-carbon economic growth, with advancements in renewable energy and storage technologies driving down costs and improving efficiency [17]. - Government support through policies and funding will continue to encourage research and development in low-carbon technologies [18]. - Increasing market demand for low-carbon products, driven by consumer awareness and global climate governance, will further stimulate growth in the low-carbon economy [18].

证 券 研 究 报 告 批发销量节奏调整，静待后续产品周期 目标价：113.8 元、116.3 港元 乘用车Ⅲ 2026 年 02 月 04 日 比亚迪（002594）2026 年 1 月销量点评 强推（维持） 当前价：87.37 元、90.00 港元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：张程航 电话：021-20572543 邮箱：zhangchenghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360519070003 证券分析师：夏凉 事项： 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 777,102 | 805,565 | 943,584 | 1,070,539 | | 同比增速(%) | 29.0% | 3.7% | 17.1% | 13.5% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 40,254 | 35,214 | 47,042 | 59,979 | | 同比增速(%) | 34.0% | -12.5% | 33.6% | 27 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive market in China experienced a significant month-on-month decline in January 2026, influenced by changes in tax policies and early consumer demand, while year-on-year sales remained relatively stable [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - In January 2026, the retail sales of narrow passenger vehicles in China were approximately 1.8 million units, representing a month-on-month decrease of 20.4% and a slight year-on-year increase of 0.3% [1]. - The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in January were around 800,000 units, showing a year-on-year decline of 40.2%, but a month-on-month growth of 7.5% [1]. - Major traditional automakers like SAIC and Geely surpassed BYD in sales, with SAIC selling 327,000 units (up 23.9% year-on-year) and Geely selling 270,200 units (up 1.3% year-on-year) [2]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Segment - In the new energy vehicle sector, brands like Xiaomi, Hongmeng Zhixing, and NIO saw significant year-on-year growth, with Xiaomi's sales increasing by 95% to over 39,000 units [3][4]. - NIO delivered 27,200 units in January, marking a 96% year-on-year increase, driven by the new ES8 model [4]. - Conversely, companies like XPeng and Li Auto experienced declines, with XPeng's deliveries down 47% month-on-month and 34% year-on-year [4]. Group 3: Cost Pressures - The automotive industry is facing rising costs, with single-vehicle costs increasing by 4,000 to 7,000 yuan due to surging prices of key materials like lithium, aluminum, and DRAM [5][6]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate rose from 75,700 yuan per ton at the beginning of 2025 to 146,600 yuan per ton by February 3, 2026, a nearly 94% increase [5]. - UBS reported that the cost increases in metals and chips could compress profit margins significantly, with potential reductions of 33% to 93% for vehicles priced at 150,000 yuan [6]. Group 4: Strategic Directions - To counteract rising costs and stagnant market demand, automakers are focusing on international expansion, with Chery exporting 119,600 units in January, accounting for nearly 60% of its total sales [7]. - BYD's overseas sales exceeded 100,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 43.3%, while Geely's exports grew by over 120% [7]. - Companies are also targeting the high-end market, with Great Wall Motors launching the WEY brand's flagship V9X, indicating a competitive push in the premium segment [9]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The automotive consumption index for January 2026 was reported at 31.1, reflecting a cautious consumer sentiment influenced by various factors, including the upcoming Spring Festival and changes in tax policies [10]. - Industry experts suggest that the market may not see a clear recovery until March or the end of the first quarter [10].

南方财经2月4日电，南财投研通数据显示，2月3日，券商给予上市公司目标价共14次，按最新收盘价计 算，目标价涨幅排名居前的公司有贵州茅台、炬芯科技、比亚迪，目标价涨幅分别为76.28%、 61.28%、49.51%，分别属于白酒、半导体、乘用车行业。从券商推荐家数来看，2月3日有29家上市公 司得到券商推荐，其中比亚迪获得3家推荐，北京利尔、上汽集团均获得1家推荐。查看原文：贵州茅台 目标价涨幅超76%，29家上市公司获券商推荐丨券商评级观察刚刚 ...

Core Insights - Shanghai Xinmi Technology Co., Ltd. has successfully completed A and A+ rounds of financing, raising over 100 million yuan, with investments from Guotai Junan Innovation Investment, Guojing Capital, and Tongxin Capital [3][4] - The funding will be used for the development of next-generation integrated sensing and computing chip architecture, global commercialization, and expansion of high-end production capacity [3][4] - Xinmi Technology's core product is based on the "integrated sensing and computing" technology, offering a full-stack product matrix that includes AI SoC chips, intelligent modules, and integrated hardware-software solutions [4][5] Company Background - Founded in 2019 and headquartered in Shanghai, the company has a core team with strong academic and industry backgrounds, including experience in robotics and AI [4] - The founder and CEO, Dr. Yang Minglun, has over ten years of experience in industrial robotics, while the CTO, Cheng Yuan, has published extensively in top academic journals and achieved significant breakthroughs in chip architecture [4] Technology and Product Application - The company has developed a new paradigm of "integrated sensing and computing," which eliminates data transmission bottlenecks and enhances efficiency in processing complex multimodal data [4][9] - Xinmi Technology's products are widely used in smart manufacturing, embodied intelligent robots, automotive, new energy, smart cities, and precision instrument monitoring [5] Market Trends and Growth - The shift towards "high-efficiency specialized intelligence" marks a transition from large models to deep integration with physical devices, indicating a growing market for industrial IoT applications [7][9] - Xinmi Technology has experienced rapid revenue growth, with a reported annual doubling of revenue and a gross margin maintained at a high level [7] - The company's overseas business is expected to grow over 400% annually, with international revenue projected to account for over 40% of total income this year [7] Future Development Plans - The company aims to deepen its focus on industrial agent systems and expand into "embodied intelligence" and "precision sensing" sectors [10] - Long-term goals include integrating advanced technologies like neuromorphic computing and photonic computing to significantly enhance AI capabilities [10] Investor Perspectives - Investors highlight the importance of efficiency, energy consumption, and speed in AI applications, with Xinmi Technology's architecture seen as a key player in the future of intelligent infrastructure [12][13] - The company's unique approach to edge AI and integrated computing is expected to create significant competitive advantages and establish strong data and technology barriers [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - The performance of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in January was weak, with varying delivery numbers among major manufacturers, indicating potential challenges in the market [4]. Group 1: January NEV Performance - Li Auto's delivery volume decreased by 7.5% year-on-year and 37.5% month-on-month to 27,668 units [4] - NIO's delivery volume increased by 96.1% year-on-year but decreased by 43.5% month-on-month to 27,182 units, with the NIO brand up by 162.8% year-on-year [4] - Xpeng's delivery volume fell by 34.1% year-on-year and 46.6% month-on-month to 20,011 units [4] Group 2: New Model Launches - BYD announced new long-range versions of its models on January 7, 2026, to enhance product competitiveness [5] - Xpeng officially launched several new models on January 8, 2026, focusing on cost-effectiveness and intelligence [5] - Aito's M7 extended-range version was launched on January 13, 2026, and Leado's L60 model was launched on January 16, 2026 [5] Group 3: Purchase Incentives - Tesla is offering various financial incentives and reduced delivery times for its Model 3 and Model Y vehicles [6] - Li Auto has shortened delivery times for several models and extended purchase subsidies into February [6] - NIO and Xpeng have also adjusted delivery times and introduced low-interest financing options across their vehicle ranges [6][7] Group 4: AI Transformation and Material Cost Pressures - New energy vehicle companies are actively transitioning towards AI, with plans for humanoid robot production lines [8] - The prices of upstream materials such as copper, aluminum, and lithium carbonate have been rising since the end of 2025, which may pressure vehicle gross margins [8]

Core Insights - BYD Company Limited reported a significant decline in January 2026 sales, with 210,051 new-energy vehicles sold, representing a drop of over 30.1% compared to January 2025 [1][9] - The decline in sales marks the fifth consecutive month of year-on-year sales decreases for the company [1][6] Sales Performance - The January sales included 205,518 passenger vehicles and 4,533 commercial vehicles, indicating broad-based weakness across key segments [1][2] - Passenger vehicle sales fell sharply by 30.7% year-over-year, while commercial vehicle deliveries showed modest growth of about 10.8% [9] Production and Exports - BYD produced 29.1% fewer vehicles than the previous year, continuing a production decline that has persisted since July 2025 [3] - Exports provided some support, with nearly half of BYD's sales coming from international markets, totaling approximately 100,482 vehicles shipped overseas [3][9] - The company reduced its 2026 export target from 1.5 million vehicles to 1.3 million [3] Market Challenges - The ongoing sales decline highlights increasing challenges for BYD as competition in China's electric vehicle market intensifies [2][5] - The global volume also declined, reflecting a broader weakening trend in the electric vehicle market [5][6]

以下文章来源于泽平宏观商学 ，作者泽平宏观商学 泽平宏观商学 . 前沿科技企业实战研学 读万卷书行万里路 2025 年 12 月 用心打造最有品质的实战研学。读万卷书，行万里路。把教室搬到世界上最优秀的企业， 请最优秀的企业家和科学家讲课。顺势而为，把握机遇。正心正念，坚持做长期正确的 事！ 我们期待与更多的企业家朋友们携手同行，共赴 2026 实战研学之旅！ 泽 ZEP 平 INGM 宏 ACR 观 O RE 商 SEAR 学 CH 1-6月日程安排 · 2月27日 北京 国内头部智驾科技企业 人形机器人 年研学安 型成 11月4日-11日 洛杉矶、拉斯维加斯、旧金山 CES、英伟达、特斯拉 谷歌、罗宾汉、playground 斯坦福大学、伯克利大学 3月27日-28日 苏州 追觅科技、魔法原子、灵猴机器人 闭门投研会-2026 Al 的中国力量(一) 3月29日 上海 长三角校友会 4月20日-21日 香港 2026 香港 Web3 嘉年华 复星财富、HashKey、港交所 5月22日-23日 1151 11:47:50 深圳 华为、新凯来、江波龙、莫界科技 闭门投研会—2026 Al 的中国力量(二) ...