格隆汇1月19日｜国海证券研报指出，比亚迪海外出口表现亮眼，高端化+新车型蓄势待发。2025年12 月公司销售42.0万辆，同比-18.3%。2025年1-12月累计销量460.24万辆，同比+7.73%。虽然月度销量承 压，但累计销量仍保持增长。方程豹、腾势环比增幅显著，高端品牌占比提升，钛7成为2025年家用 SUV爆款，是比亚迪高端化战略的重要突破点。海外业务是比亚迪重要增长引擎，公司在2026年海外市 场，销量有望继续实现高增。并凭借规模优势强化零部件采购能力，进一步提升价格竞争力，巩固全球 市场地位。开年后推动插混大电池革新，引领新能源技术高质量发展。基于公司最新销量情况，将公司 2025~2027年营收预测调整为8,549、9,959、11,117亿元，同比增速为10%、16%、12%；考虑2026年新 一轮产品周期，以及出海继续高增，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to outperform the benchmark index by more than 10% [6]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is entering a phase of low growth, with a focus on high-quality development opportunities. Key areas of interest include high-growth automotive companies and structural opportunities within the supply chain, particularly in commercial vehicles and automotive technology [4][34]. - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) forecasts that total vehicle sales in China will reach 34.75 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 1%. Passenger vehicle sales are expected to grow by 0.5%, while commercial vehicle sales are projected to increase by 4.7% [3][35]. - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are anticipated to play a crucial role in driving industry growth, with expected sales of 19 million units in 2026, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 15.2% [3][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review (January 10-16, 2026) - The automotive sector index increased by 0.49%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 1.06 percentage points. The automotive services sector saw the highest growth at 4.51% [12][15]. 2. Weekly Data Tracking (January 10-16, 2026) - From January 1-11, 2026, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China totaled 328,000 units, a 32% decrease year-on-year. Wholesale figures were 381,000 units, down 40% year-on-year [20][21]. 3. Industry News (January 10-16, 2026) - Significant developments include partnerships for advanced driving technologies and the introduction of new vehicle models by major manufacturers, indicating ongoing innovation in the sector [25][29][31]. 4. Key Manufacturer Sales Rankings (2025) - BYD led the passenger vehicle market with sales of 4.55 million units, followed by Geely and Chery. In the NEV segment, BYD also dominated with a market share of 29.7% [23][24]. 5. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic policies and industry governance in sustaining growth. The focus will be on maintaining competitive advantages in electric and intelligent vehicle technologies [34][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry, indicating a positive outlook for certain segments within the sector [6]. Core Insights - The automotive industry is expected to experience low growth in 2026, with total vehicle sales projected to reach 34.75 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1%. Passenger vehicle sales are anticipated to grow by 0.5%, while commercial vehicle sales are expected to rise by 4.7%. The new energy vehicle (NEV) segment is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 19 million units, a 15.2% increase year-on-year, highlighting its role as a key growth driver [3][35]. - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic policies and GDP growth targets in influencing vehicle sales, particularly in the passenger vehicle segment. The report suggests that sustained policy support is crucial for maintaining sales momentum [3][35]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review (January 10-16, 2026) - The automotive sector index increased by 0.49%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.06 percentage points. The automotive services sector saw the highest gains, with a 4.51% increase [12][15]. 2. Weekly Data Tracking (January 10-16, 2026) - Retail sales of passenger vehicles from January 1-11 totaled 328,000 units, a 32% decrease year-on-year. Wholesale figures showed a similar trend, with 381,000 units sold, down 40% year-on-year. The NEV market also faced declines, with retail sales of 117,000 units, down 38% year-on-year [20][21]. 3. Industry News (January 10-16, 2026) - Key developments include partnerships for advanced driving technologies and initiatives to promote autonomous vehicle testing in regions like Hong Kong. Additionally, the report highlights the ongoing negotiations between China and the EU regarding electric vehicle trade, which could stabilize market conditions [25][28][30]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on structural opportunities within the automotive sector, particularly high-growth companies and regions, as well as the recovery of commercial vehicles and advancements in automotive technology [4].

中国回顾 12月国内动力和其他电池产量201.7GWh，同比+62.1%，环比+14.4%。其中三元/磷酸铁锂产量为 40.6/160.5GWh，占比为20.1%/79.5%。 12月国内动力电池装机量98.1GWh，同比+35.1%，环比+4.9%。其中三元/磷酸铁锂装机量为 18.2/79.8GWh，占比为18.6%/81.3%。 12月国内动力电池装机量TOP3为：宁德时代45.71GWh，占比46.6%；比亚迪17.63GWh，占比18.0%； 中创新航7GWh，占比7.1%。 1-12月国内动力和其他电池累计产量1755.6GWh，同比+60.1%。其中三元/磷酸铁锂累计产量为 347.6/1405.1GWh，占比为19.8%/80.0%。 1-12月国内动力电池累计装机量769.7Wh，同比+40.4%。其中三元/磷酸铁锂累计装机量为 144.1/625.3GWh，占比为18.7%/81.2%。 1-12月国内动力电池累计装机量TOP3为：宁德时代333.57GWh，占比 43.3%；比亚迪165.77GWh，占比21.5%；中创新航53.61GWh，占比7.0%。 1-11月全球动力电池累计装机 ...

Core Viewpoint - Canada has agreed to reduce tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) from 100% to approximately 6%, allowing 49,000 Chinese EVs to enter the market, which is expected to boost market sentiment towards Chinese EV manufacturers [1] Group 1: Impact on Chinese EV Manufacturers - The tariff reduction is beneficial for Chinese EV manufacturers, particularly BYD, which has a diverse range of affordable EV products and holds a leading position in many markets, positioning it well to capitalize on this opportunity [1] Group 2: Challenges for Established Brands - The move poses a challenge to established brands in the Canadian market, including Tesla, Hyundai, Kia, Ford, and Toyota, which have already built market share [1]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·电力设备 电力设备行业跟踪周报 固态电池加速产业化，太空光伏潜力可期 2026 年 01 月 19 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 曾朵红 执业证书：S0600516080001 021-60199793 zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 阮巧燕 执业证书：S0600517120002 ruanqy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -13% -6% 1% 8% 15% 22% 29% 36% 43% 50% 2025/1/20 2025/5/20 2025/9/17 2026/1/15 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究 《出口退税产业有预期，太空光伏远 期空间大》 2026-01-12 《锂电价格快速联动，太空光伏远期 空间大》 2026-01-05 东吴证券研究所 1 / 47 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 电气设备 10679 上涨 0.79%，表现强于大盘。（本周，1 月 12 日-1 月 16 日，下同），锂电池涨 1.5%，新 能源汽车涨 1.29%，光伏涨 0.87%，电气设备涨 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the power equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating its industrialization, and the potential for space photovoltaic technology is promising [1] - The energy storage sector is expected to see significant growth, with a projected increase of over 60% in 2026 due to rising demand and government support [3][6] - The report highlights the strong performance of electric vehicle sales and the increasing demand for lithium batteries, with a notable rise in lithium carbonate prices [3][6] Industry Trends - The power equipment sector has shown a strong performance, with electric vehicle sales reaching 1.71 million units in December, a year-on-year increase of 28% [3] - The global energy storage system shipments are expected to reach 498 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year growth of 99% [3] - The report notes that the domestic energy storage market is expected to experience a compound annual growth rate of 30-50% over the next three years [3] Company Performance - Companies like Ningde Times and BYD are highlighted for their strong growth potential, with Ningde Times expected to maintain a low valuation despite being a global leader in power and energy storage batteries [5] - The report mentions that companies such as Keda and Ganfeng Lithium are well-positioned to benefit from the rising prices of lithium and other battery materials [4][5] - Specific companies like Sunpower and Longi Green Energy are noted for their strong market positions in the inverter and solar panel sectors, respectively [5] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a focus on energy storage and lithium battery sectors, with recommendations for companies that are expected to benefit from the ongoing demand surge [3][4] - It emphasizes the importance of solid-state battery technology and the potential for significant returns in the robotics sector, particularly with Tesla's upcoming Gen3 robot [6] - The report advocates for investments in companies with strong supply chain capabilities and those that are positioned to capitalize on emerging market trends in energy and automation [6]

Core Viewpoint - Technological innovation is a crucial driving force for the sustainable development of the energy storage industry, impacting various sectors such as large-scale battery cells, long-duration energy storage, and grid-connected energy storage [2]. Group 1: Technological Innovation in Energy Storage - China's investment in energy storage technology and talent has been steadily increasing, with R&D spending expected to reach nearly 100 billion yuan by 2025, nearly doubling from five years ago [2]. - The number of R&D personnel has surpassed 200,000, and the number of patents has exceeded 100,000, indicating a growing foundation and strength in technological innovation [2]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by intense price wars, which may hinder R&D investments and innovation momentum in the technology sector [2]. Group 2: Future Competitiveness of Enterprises - The 24潮产业研究院 (TTIR) emphasizes that only companies with global layout capabilities, strong market expansion, financial health, and significant brand influence will have the potential for sustainable growth [3]. - Starting in 2026, TTIR will release a ranking of the top 10 Chinese energy storage companies based on their technological innovation capabilities across seven primary dimensions and 20 secondary dimensions [3]. Group 3: Ranking of Technological Innovation - The ranking will assess companies based on R&D investment, foundational strength, innovation outcomes, commercial promotion capabilities, product competitiveness, achievements, and leading layouts [4]. - The scoring breakdown for the ranking includes 45% for R&D investment, 15% for foundational strength, 10% for innovation outcomes, and various other dimensions [4]. Group 4: Top 10 Energy Storage Companies by Innovation - The top-ranked companies for technological innovation include BYD, CATL, and Sungrow, with scores reflecting their R&D investment, innovation outcomes, and product competitiveness [7]. - BYD scored 87.49, followed by CATL with 81.90, and Sungrow with 81.00, showcasing their leadership in the energy storage sector [7]. Group 5: Detailed Scoring Metrics - The detailed scoring metrics for R&D investment show that BYD leads with a score of 95.42, while CATL and Sungrow follow with scores of 83.12 and 78.33, respectively [9]. - In terms of innovation outcomes, Sungrow leads with a score of 86.88, followed closely by BYD and CATL [11]. - The foundational strength scores indicate that Sungrow also leads in R&D personnel metrics, highlighting its commitment to innovation [13].

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Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook for the automotive industry, expecting a rebound in vehicle sales in Q1 and focusing on investments in intelligent driving, robotics, and liquid cooling technologies [3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing significant dynamics, including sales, pricing, exports, and robotics developments [2]. - The report highlights that January's early sales data shows a substantial year-on-year decline, primarily due to subsidy reductions and rising vehicle prices, leading to consumer hesitation [5]. - The report anticipates that the pressure on vehicle prices will be managed through strict enforcement of anti-competitive practices, aiming to stabilize prices and profit margins [5]. - The export market is expected to grow rapidly, supported by agreements that lower trade barriers for electric vehicles, enhancing profitability for manufacturers and dealers [5]. - The robotics sector is gaining traction, with the Optimus V3 generating market excitement and expectations for product launches [5]. Data Tracking - In early January, the average discount rate remained stable, with a 9.6% increase year-on-year, and the average discount amount reached 22,259 yuan, up by 2,192 yuan year-on-year [4]. - December's wholesale vehicle sales were reported at 2.85 million units, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.7% and a month-on-month decline of 6.3% [4]. - Notable sales performance in December included significant year-on-year growth for new energy vehicle manufacturers like NIO and Li Auto, while traditional automakers like SAIC and Changan showed mixed results [6]. Industry News - The report discusses various industry developments, including the price commitments for electric vehicles between China and Europe, which aim to facilitate trade [27]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is focusing on enhancing the competitiveness of the new energy vehicle sector and regulating market practices to prevent price wars [27]. - Recent data indicates a significant drop in retail sales of passenger vehicles in early January, with a 32% year-on-year decline [27]. Market Performance - The automotive sector saw a weekly increase of 0.71%, ranking 8th out of 29 sectors, while the overall market indices showed mixed results [10].