Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 was ¥2,056,110,346.08, a decrease of 2.79% compared to ¥2,115,099,456.05 in the same period last year[5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was ¥361,237,832.16, down 28.29% from ¥503,718,461.70 year-on-year[5] - Basic earnings per share decreased by 48.53% to ¥0.35 from ¥0.68 in the same period last year[5] - Total operating revenue decreased to ¥2,056,110,346.08 from ¥2,115,099,456.05, representing a decline of approximately 2.8% year-over-year[17] - Net profit for the period was ¥361,237,832.16, down from ¥503,718,461.70, reflecting a decrease of approximately 28.2% year-over-year[18] - The total comprehensive income attributable to the parent company was CNY 349,849,003.60, a decrease from CNY 545,588,040.19 in the previous period, representing a decline of approximately 36%[19] Cash Flow - The net cash flow from operating activities was ¥11,126,032.07, a significant decline of 97.21% compared to ¥398,948,251.34 in the previous year[5] - Cash inflow from operating activities totaled CNY 2,050,636,437.89, slightly down from CNY 2,077,412,535.24, indicating a decrease of about 1.3%[19] - Cash outflow from operating activities increased to CNY 2,039,510,405.82 from CNY 1,678,464,283.90, marking an increase of approximately 21.5%[19] - Net cash flow from investing activities was negative at CNY -530,550,423.46, compared to CNY -1,549,855,708.99 in the previous period, showing an improvement[20] - Cash inflow from financing activities was CNY 308,984,800.00, with a net cash flow of CNY 308,246,153.77, compared to a negative cash flow in the previous period[20] - The ending cash and cash equivalents balance was CNY 1,545,857,123.50, down from CNY 2,598,702,169.21, a decrease of approximately 40.5%[20] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased by 2.92% to ¥17,926,131,978.60 from ¥17,417,770,107.38 at the end of the previous year[5] - Total liabilities increased to ¥4,080,635,489.53 from ¥3,924,690,719.73, which is an increase of approximately 4.0% year-over-year[16] - Net assets as of March 31, 2025, reached 13,845.50 million RMB, up 2.61% from the end of the previous year[13] - The company's cash and cash equivalents at the end of the reporting period were 1,640.55 million RMB, down from 1,822.11 million RMB at the beginning of the period[14] - Inventory as of March 31, 2025, was 2,148.98 million RMB, compared to 1,762.91 million RMB at the beginning of the period[14] - The company reported accounts receivable of 1,334.73 million RMB, an increase from 1,234.17 million RMB at the beginning of the period[14] - The company’s total current assets amounted to 8,755.34 million RMB, an increase from 8,230.90 million RMB at the beginning of the period[14] Expenses - Total operating costs increased to ¥1,677,633,828.43 from ¥1,588,115,068.22, marking an increase of about 5.6% year-over-year[17] - Research and development expenses decreased to ¥44,081,673.03 from ¥50,813,068.18, a reduction of about 13.3% year-over-year[17] - The company experienced a 35.20% reduction in selling expenses, amounting to ¥23,464,330.67, due to decreased market support costs[9] Shareholder Information - The total number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 45,190[10] - The company's equity attributable to shareholders increased to ¥13,845,496,489.07 from ¥13,493,079,387.65, reflecting an increase of approximately 2.6% year-over-year[16]

| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-015 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 关于为全资子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 1 月 10 日召开第 四届董事会第二次会议，于 2025 年 2 月 6 日召开 2025 年第一次临时股东大会，审议 通过了《关于 2025 年度为子公司提供担保的议案》，同意公司 2025 年度为下属子公 司提供连带责任担保，担保额度合计 250,000 万元人民币，授权有效期自公司股东大 会审议通过之日起 12 个月内有效。担保范围包括但不限于申请综合授信、借款、承 兑汇票等融资或开展其他日常经营业务等。担保方式包括但不限于连带责任担保、抵 押担保等方式。以上担保额度包括新增担保及原有担保展期或续保，实际担保金额及 担保期限以最终实际发生的担保事项为准。具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 1 月 1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry, focusing on domestic autonomous industry chains and key companies such as BYD, Geely, and Xpeng [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of recent U.S. tariffs on the automotive sector, noting that the tariffs have a limited effect on automotive parts, particularly for companies with overseas operations [2][3]. - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring tariff developments and suggests a focus on domestic autonomous vehicle manufacturers that are less affected by U.S. tariffs [3][24]. - The report recommends a selection of companies in the automotive sector, particularly those involved in smart and electric vehicles, as well as automotive parts suppliers [3][4]. Summary by Sections Weekly Data - In the first week of April 2025, passenger car sales reached 337,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 25.6% but a month-on-month decrease of 30.2%. New energy vehicle sales were 168,000 units, up 37.8% year-on-year but down 30.4% month-on-month, with a penetration rate of 50.0% [1][3]. Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the market, with the A-share automotive sector declining by 5.26% from April 7 to April 11, ranking 24th among sub-industries [1][3]. Key Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on a core portfolio that includes companies like BYD, Geely, Xpeng, Xiaomi, Berteli, Top Group, and others [1][3]. - It also highlights the potential of companies involved in the new energy vehicle supply chain and those focusing on smart driving technologies [3][4]. Tariff Impact - The U.S. tariffs, particularly the reciprocal tariffs, are expected to have a significant impact on exports and the economy, with a potential drag on GDP growth [10][19]. - The report notes that the automotive parts sector is less affected by the tariffs, especially for companies with production facilities in Mexico and Southeast Asia [2][24]. Company Focus - The report identifies key companies in the automotive parts sector that are well-positioned to benefit from the current market dynamics, including those involved in smart and electric vehicle technologies [3][4][25].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies including China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and others [9]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights significant price increases in sulfur and urea, suggesting continued attention on the crude oil, titanium dioxide, and tire sectors [1][6]. - The impact of U.S. tariff policies has led to a rapid decline in crude oil prices, with WTI and Brent crude prices dropping by 10.63% and 10.93% respectively [6][22]. - The chemical sector is experiencing mixed performance, with some sub-sectors like tires and upstream mining showing strong results, while others are under pressure due to capacity expansions and weak demand [7][21]. Summary by Sections Chemical Industry Investment Suggestions - The report discusses the influence of U.S. tariffs on crude oil prices and recommends focusing on undervalued, high-dividend companies like Sinopec and CNOOC [6][22]. - It notes that the chemical product prices are rebounding as downstream demand improves, with significant increases in sulfur (9.17%) and urea (7.53%) [19][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying leading companies in sub-sectors that are likely to see valuation recovery, such as Wanhua Chemical and Longbai Group [8][21]. Price Movements - The report details the price movements of various chemical products, highlighting both increases and decreases in prices across different categories [19][21]. - It notes that while some products like sulfur and urea have seen price increases, others like methyl isocyanate and domestic naphtha have experienced declines [5][19]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, indicating expected EPS growth and PE ratios for 2023 to 2025, with a consistent "Buy" rating across the board [9]. - Companies highlighted include Senqcia, Sinopec, and Yanguang Chemical, all of which are expected to show positive earnings growth in the coming years [9].

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Senqilin Tire Co., Ltd. has announced the adjustment of the conversion price for its convertible bonds, reflecting changes in its stock and financial activities, including share repurchases and dividend distributions [1][5][7]. Convertible Bond Issuance Overview - The total amount of the convertible bonds issued by the company is RMB 2,198.9391 million [1]. - The bonds were listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on December 6, 2021, under the name "Qilin Convertible Bonds" with the code "127050" [1]. Conversion Price Adjustment - The initial conversion price was set at RMB 34.85 per share, which was adjusted to RMB 28.52 per share on November 15, 2022, due to stock price conditions [2][3]. - Following a new issuance of shares at RMB 29.69 per share on August 30, 2023, the conversion price was further adjusted to RMB 28.67 per share [5]. - The conversion price was subsequently adjusted to RMB 28.66 per share on January 16, 2024, and then to RMB 19.95 per share on October 21, 2024, after the annual dividend distribution [6][7]. Share Capital Changes - As of March 31, 2025, the remaining balance of the convertible bonds is RMB 2,086,119,500, equivalent to 20,861,195 bonds [8]. - The total share capital of the company is 1,035,461,001 shares, with a slight increase of 55,359 shares during the reporting period [9]. Other Information - The company has provided contact information for investor inquiries and has made available additional documents related to the convertible bonds for further reference [10].

| 证券代码：002984 | 证券简称：森麒麟 | 公告编号：2025-014 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | 青岛森麒麟轮胎股份有限公司 经中国证券监督管理委员会"证监许可〔2021〕2293 号"文件核准，公司于 2021 年 11 月 11 日公开发行了 21,989,391 张可转换公司债券，每张面值 100 元， 发行总额 219,893.91 万元。 （二）可转换公司债券上市情况 经深圳证券交易所"深证上〔2021〕1217 号"文同意，公司 219,893.91 万 关于2025年第一季度可转换公司债券转股情况的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： | 证券代码：002984 | | | | 证券简称：森麒麟 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127050 | | | | 债券简称：麒麟转债 | | | ...

2025 年 03 月 16 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 李永磊 S0350521080004 liyl03@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 董伯骏 S0350521080009 dongbj@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 仲逸涵 S0350123070022 zhongyh@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 欧美 MDI 厂商发布涨价函，关注铬盐在军工领 域的应用 ——基础化工行业周报 最近一年走势 | 行业相对表现 | | | 2025/03/14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 基础化工 | 4.1% | 0.5% | 9.7% | | 沪深 300 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 12.5% | 相关报告 《基础化工行业周报：振华股份铬盐价格上涨，中 策橡胶 IPO 过会（推荐）*基础化工*李永磊，董伯 骏》——2025-02-16 《基础化工行业周报：轮胎原材料价格指数走低， 赛轮轮胎拟扩建柬埔寨工厂（推荐）*基础化工*李 永磊，董伯骏》——2025-01-12 《基 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating a predicted increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index in the next 12 months [1][10][16]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in 2024, with a forecasted net profit of 2.1 to 2.36 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.45% to 72.45% [3][5]. - The Moroccan factory is anticipated to commence full production in 2025, contributing to the company's revenue growth [4][5]. Summary by Sections Historical Performance - The company's stock has shown a performance of -11% to +24% over the past year, compared to the CSI 300 index [2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to generate total revenues of 9.39 billion, 12.23 billion, and 14.18 billion RMB for the years 2024 to 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 19.7%, 30.3%, and 16.0% respectively [5][8]. - The net profit forecast for the same period is 2.24 billion, 2.59 billion, and 3.03 billion RMB, with growth rates of 63.9%, 15.6%, and 16.8% respectively [5][8]. Business Segmentation - The semi-steel tire segment is expected to contribute significantly to revenue, with projected revenues of 8.07 billion, 10.62 billion, and 12.37 billion RMB from 2024 to 2026, accounting for 86% to 87% of total revenue [9]. - The full-steel tire segment is forecasted to generate revenues of 1.3 billion, 1.6 billion, and 1.8 billion RMB, making up 14% to 13% of total revenue [9]. Market and Industry Outlook - The demand for semi-steel tires in overseas markets remains strong, with a supply-demand imbalance expected to drive profitability [4]. - The overall tire production in China is projected to reach 1.19 billion units in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.2% [4]. Valuation Comparison - The company's projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 11, 10, and 8 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [10][11].

以下文章来源于车与轮店主联盟 ，作者Sky 车与轮店主联盟 . 《车与轮》有车与轮新媒体矩阵和《轮胎经销商》杂志，汇聚轮胎行业50万人。主导《奚仲奖评选》、《中国轮胎测试排行榜》、《车与轮选胎指南》、 《中国轮胎10大人物评选》。《年度颁奖盛典—奚仲奖》被誉为中国轮胎行业奥斯卡。 作 者 | Sky 来源 | 车与轮店主联盟 导语：这种"既要国产化红利，又要洋品牌光环"的做派，到底是谁在拖中国工业的后腿？ 近日，理想汽车产品线总裁汤靖表示："短期内不会将国产轮胎作为标配。"这一言论，无疑是对国产轮胎行业的一种"轻视"，也让我们不禁要问： 国产轮胎，真的就那么不堪吗？ 其实，国产轮胎早已不是吴下阿蒙，从超跑到国民车，从技术专利到全球销量，中国轮胎企业用实力打脸偏见。 今天，我们有必要为国产轮胎正名，也请部分国内企业收起傲慢与偏见，睁开眼看看这个早已换了剧本的行业！ 原配市场逆袭：国产轮胎 早已打入"国际大厂核心圈" 赛轮液体黄金轮胎与小米汽车联合研发，用新材料技术重新定义新能源车配套标准； 森麒麟为百万级超跑昊铂SSR定制轮胎，让国产轮胎首次站上性能鄙视链顶端。 玲珑轮胎成功为宝马2系和奥迪A3提供轮胎配套服务 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report suggests focusing on companies in rapidly developing downstream industries, particularly in electronic materials and new energy materials [1] - It emphasizes the importance of high-quality development and shareholder returns, recommending large energy state-owned enterprises and related oil service companies [1] - The report highlights the high prosperity of leading companies in the refrigerant and vitamin industries [1] - It notes an overall improvement in macroeconomic expectations, suggesting attention to undervalued leading companies and those in the light hydrocracking sub-industry [1] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - During the week of February 10-16, 2025, among 101 tracked chemical products, 43 saw price increases, 26 saw declines, and 32 remained stable [7] - The average price of WTI crude oil was $70.74 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 0.18%, while Brent crude oil was $74.74 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 0.11% [31] - The report indicates a tightening supply of potassium chloride due to reduced production and limited import availability, with prices rising to 2797 CNY/ton, up 4.19% week-on-week [32] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the rapidly developing electronic materials and new energy materials sectors [8] - It suggests that the oil and gas extraction sector will continue to see high prosperity, with energy state-owned enterprises improving quality and efficiency [8] - The report identifies specific companies to recommend, including China Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil Corporation, and several others in the new materials and chemical sectors [8] Price Changes - The average price of DMF increased to 4300 CNY/ton, up 4.24% week-on-week, despite a year-on-year decrease of 12.65% [33] - The report notes that the overall market for chemical products is experiencing a mixed trend, with some products seeing significant price increases while others decline [30]