Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the positive trend in pig prices driven by the consumption peak season, with the average price of lean pigs reaching 12.49 CNY/kg, a 2.6% increase month-on-month [1] - The stock performance of the livestock breeding index shows mixed results, with leading stocks like Ruisheng Biological rising by 9.91% and the Livestock ETF priced at 0.68 CNY [1] - The overall pig farming sector is experiencing a "tug-of-war" state, where companies with cost advantages are more resilient in competition [1] Group 2 - According to Huaxi Securities, the average price of external three yuan pigs reached 12.7 CNY/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.26%, indicating a steady rise in pig prices [2] - As of the end of October, the number of breeding sows in China was 39.9 million, a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month, reflecting ongoing adjustments in pig production capacity [2] - The self-breeding and external purchasing pig farming models have turned profitable, with profits of 7.39 CNY/head and 2.31 CNY/head respectively [2] Group 3 - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index (930707) includes companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the livestock sector [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Livestock Breeding Index account for 67.66% of the index, with major companies including Muyuan Foods, Haida Group, and Wens Foodstuffs [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Leading the Market - A" [6] Core Insights - The report highlights that the consumption peak for pork has not yet arrived, and attention should be paid to the rhythm of hog slaughtering by producers, which impacts pork prices [22][23] - The white feather broiler market is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with chick prices significantly lower due to insufficient parent stock and market pressures [34] - The aquaculture sector shows stable prices, with potential investment opportunities identified [41] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The agricultural sector experienced a decline of 3.27% this week, ranking 29th among the primary industries [14] - The animal health sector saw a notable increase, with a rise of 1.19% [17] 2. Industry Data Tracking 2.1. Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.69 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.60% and a two-week increase of 1.57% [21] - The average price of piglets is 425 CNY/head, with a week-on-week increase of 17.08% [21] - Daily average slaughter volume is 223,400 pigs, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.27% [22] 2.2. Poultry Farming - The average price of white feather broilers is 7.59 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.65% [34] - Chick prices have dropped to 2.74 CNY/bird, reflecting a significant week-on-week decrease of 23.68% [34] 2.3. Planting Sector - The average price of corn is 2359.57 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.26% [38] - The average price of domestic wheat is 2513.57 CNY/ton, remaining unchanged [38] 2.4. Aquaculture Sector - Prices for various aquatic products remain stable, with carp at 20.00 CNY/kg and crab at 260.00 CNY/kg, both showing no week-on-week change [41]

Group 1: Market Performance - A-shares experienced a slight increase with the consumer sector performing well, as evidenced by the leading consumer ETF (159928) rising by 0.39% and achieving a trading volume exceeding 360 million yuan [1] - The consumer ETF has seen a net subscription of 28 million units today, accumulating over 1.6 billion yuan in the past five days [1] Group 2: Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's GDP for the year reached 14,018.79 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% growth year-on-year at constant prices [3] - In December 2025, the retail sales of consumer goods grew by 0.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points compared to November [3] - The per capita disposable income for residents in 2025 was 43,377 yuan, marking a nominal increase of 5% year-on-year, with a real growth of 5% after adjusting for price factors [3] Group 3: Consumer Trends and Policies - The focus on enhancing service consumption is evident, with a CAGR of approximately 9.6% in per capita service consumption from 2020 to 2024, expected to reach 46.1% of total consumption by 2024 [7] - The government aims to boost domestic demand and has outlined key tasks for 2026, emphasizing the importance of "domestic demand as the main driver" [3][7] - Policies are expected to support sectors such as elderly care, cultural tourism, and sports, with a focus on new consumption scenarios and enhancing service quality [4][8] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The consumer ETF (159928) is noted for its resilience across economic cycles, with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 18.91, which is lower than 99% of the historical data over the past decade [4][9] - The top ten holdings in the consumer ETF account for over 68.55% of its weight, with significant representation from leading liquor brands and agricultural companies [9][10] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer 50 ETF (159268) is highlighted as an efficient investment vehicle for the consumer sector, particularly appealing to the younger generation [10]

Group 1 - The aquaculture sector increased by 0.75% on January 19, with Fucheng Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4114.0, up 0.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14294.05, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the aquaculture sector showed significant price increases, with Fucheng Co. rising by 6.21% to a closing price of 6.33 [1] Group 2 - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 40.39 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 39.53 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Wens Foodstuff reported a net inflow of 73.16 million yuan from main funds, indicating strong institutional interest [3] - Retail investors showed a negative trend in several stocks, with significant outflows from companies like Jingjidu Agricultural and Fucheng Co. [3]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The pork price is rising due to the peak consumption season, and there is an expectation for accelerated destocking after the holiday [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization and the commercialization of genetically modified crops to enhance yield and self-sufficiency [1][11] - The report highlights the profitability recovery in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased piglets turning profitable, indicating a short-term challenge for capacity destocking [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is supporting Shandong Province in enhancing grain production and agricultural modernization, focusing on rural revitalization and technological innovation [1][11] - Key recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on leading seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.72 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.26%. The number of breeding sows is 39.9 million, showing a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including stocks like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2359.57 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.26% [24] - Wheat: The average price is 2513.57 CNY/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [27] - Soybeans: The average price is 4053.16 CNY/ton, with a slight increase of 0.12% [38] - Cotton: The average price is 15640.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.18% [43]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [3] Core Insights - The pork price is rising due to the peak consumption season, and there is an expectation for accelerated destocking after the holiday [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the importance of agricultural modernization and the commercialization of genetically modified crops to enhance yield and self-sufficiency [1][11] - The report highlights the profitability recovery in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased piglets turning profitable, indicating a short-term challenge for capacity destocking [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is supporting Shandong province in enhancing grain production and agricultural modernization, focusing on technology and innovation [1][11] - Key recommended stocks in the planting sector include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, with a focus on genetically modified seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of live pigs is 12.72 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 1.26% [2][12] - The number of breeding sows is 39.9 million, showing a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year, indicating a steady adjustment in production capacity [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine sector include Muyuan Foods, WH Group, and others, with a focus on companies that show significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity [2][12]

Economic Information - Several smartphone manufacturers, including Xiaomi, OPPO, vivo, and Transsion, have lowered their annual shipment forecasts, with Xiaomi and OPPO reducing by over 20%, vivo by nearly 15%, and Transsion to below 70 million units [2] - Silver prices have surged over 50% in one month and over 150% in six months, impacting the photovoltaic industry, which consumes a significant amount of silver. The cost of raw materials for solar cells has increased by nearly 20% due to rising silver prices [2] - The company Xibei is expected to incur cumulative losses exceeding 600 million yuan from September 2025 to March 2026, leading to the closure of 102 stores, accounting for 30% of its total outlets [2] Company Alerts - Shenghong Technology anticipates a net profit increase of 260%-295% year-on-year for 2025, although Q4 performance fell short of expectations [4] - Cambridge Technology expects a net profit increase of 51%-67% year-on-year for 2025, with Q4 results also below expectations [4] - Multiple companies, including Weimait and Youyan Silicon, have announced plans to reduce their shareholdings by up to 4.98% and 3% respectively [4][11] Overseas Alerts - The three major U.S. stock indices collectively declined last Friday, with the Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index dropping by 1.15%. Notable declines were seen in Chinese stocks such as Alibaba and JD.com [5] - The European Union is considering imposing tariffs on U.S. goods worth 93 billion euros in response to U.S. tariffs on eight European countries, which could take effect on February 6 if no agreement is reached [5]

Investment Rating - The report provides an "Increase" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [46]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strengthening of pig prices, with a current price of 12.69 CNY/Kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.20 CNY/Kg. Factors contributing to this trend include a decrease in sales plans for January and the anticipated impact of a nationwide cold wave starting January 19, which may further boost prices [5][10]. - In the planting sector, corn and soybean prices have shown stability, with corn prices at 2364 CNY/ton (up 0.5% week-on-week) and soybean prices at 4072 CNY/ton (up 0.6% week-on-week). The report expresses optimism for the recovery of planting sector profitability [3][10]. - The pet industry is experiencing increased attention due to major exhibitions, with significant events scheduled in March 2026, which are expected to catalyze new product launches from leading domestic brands [4]. Summary by Sections Livestock - The report notes that pig prices are on the rise, with a current price of 12.69 CNY/Kg, up 1.60% week-on-week and 10.06% month-on-month, although down 19.33% year-on-year. The report suggests that the cold wave and increased demand during the lunar month will be key factors influencing future price movements [5][10]. - Recommended stocks in the livestock sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and others, with a focus on companies that are expected to benefit from the recovery in pig prices [5][40]. Planting - The report indicates that corn and soybean prices are stable, with corn at 2364 CNY/ton and soybeans at 4072 CNY/ton. The planting sector is expected to see a recovery in profitability, particularly benefiting seed companies that focus on high-quality products [3][10]. Pet Industry - Major pet exhibitions are set to take place in March 2026, which are expected to enhance market interest and lead to new product launches from top brands. The report emphasizes the potential for growth in the pet sector due to these events [4][10]. Key Company Coverage - The report includes earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies in the industry, with all covered companies receiving an "Increase" rating. Notable companies include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and various firms in the pet and agricultural sectors [40].

Core Insights - The report highlights a rebound in pork prices during the consumption peak season, with the average price of lean pigs at 12.49 CNY/kg, up 2.6% week-on-week but down 22.7% year-on-year [6][14]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential of leading feed companies expanding overseas, suggesting a focus on their international business growth [6][16]. Livestock Farming - The average price of 6.5 kg piglets has risen to 330 CNY/head, reflecting a 7.5% week-on-week increase, indicating a positive outlook among farmers for pork prices in the second half of the year [6][14]. - Major recommended companies in the livestock sector include Wen's Food Group and Muyuan Foods, with attention also on Dekang Agriculture and New Hope [6][14]. - The report notes that the industry is in a "tug-of-war" state, with companies possessing cost advantages having a significant competitive edge [6][14]. Dairy Industry - The current price of fresh milk in major production areas is 3.02 CNY/kg, down 0.3% week-on-week and 3.2% year-on-year, while some regions see prices rebounding to 3.3-3.4 CNY/kg [15]. - The report anticipates a continued upward trend in beef prices due to supply constraints, recommending companies like Yuran Dairy and Modern Dairy [15]. Feed and Animal Health - Prices for common and specialty fish and shrimp have continued to rise, driven by tight supply and increased demand as the Spring Festival approaches [16]. - The report suggests that leading feed companies are likely to see market share growth due to their comprehensive advantages, with a focus on international expansion [16]. - In the animal health sector, companies are expanding into pet healthcare, with recommendations for companies like Keqian Biological and Princely Biological [16]. Agricultural Sector - The report indicates that the domestic corn price is 2364 CNY/ton, up 0.5% week-on-week, while soybean meal prices are at 3196 CNY/ton, down 0.9% [18][44]. - The report highlights the importance of biotechnology advancements and industry consolidation in the seed sector, recommending companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [18]. Market Performance - The agricultural sector underperformed the market by 2.7 percentage points, with the animal health sector showing a 1.2% increase [22]. - The report notes that the livestock sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with self-bred pigs showing a profit of 7.39 CNY/head [24].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recovery in pig prices is driven by inventory replenishment, with prices expected to reach a turning point in Q2 2026 [2][12] - The report emphasizes the structural growth trends in the post-cycle sector, indicating that if the current round of pig production capacity reduction proceeds smoothly, profits in the industry chain are likely to gradually transmit downstream [3][35] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - The report forecasts a significant recovery in pig prices, with the national average price reaching 13 CNY/kg by January 18, 2026, following a structural supply shortage [12] - The report notes that the market's pessimistic expectations regarding pig prices are likely to be corrected, as the supply side shows structural shortages and the average weight of pigs remains at historical lows [9][12] Poultry Sector - White feather broiler prices have shown a slight decline, with the average price at 7.59 CNY/kg as of January 16, 2026, reflecting limited increases in slaughter volumes and rising inventory levels among processing enterprises [16] - Yellow feather broiler prices are expected to remain strong, with price differentials among different types of chickens widening [21] Feed Sector - The report indicates that raw material prices for feed are stabilizing at the bottom, with corn prices rising to 2363.92 CNY/ton and wheat prices at 2515.89 CNY/ton as of January 16, 2026 [25][43] - The demand side shows strong pricing from traders, with some deep processing enterprises increasing purchase prices [25] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, with specific stocks such as Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) being highlighted for potential investment [3][35] - It also suggests opportunities in the planting chain and pet food sectors, with companies like Suqian Agricultural Development (601952) and Pet Food Company (301498) being noted [3][35]