Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the analysis and forecast of the Chinese power lithium battery market for 2025, highlighting significant growth in shipment volumes and market size due to increasing penetration of new energy vehicles [2] - In 2025, the shipment volume of power lithium batteries in China is expected to reach 936 GWh, representing an 18% year-on-year increase [2] - By 2030, the shipment volume is projected to grow to 2550 GWh, indicating a continuous upward trend in the automotive power battery market [2] Group 2 - The price trend for lithium batteries in 2025 indicates that the average price for lithium iron phosphate batteries will be 0.38 yuan/wh, while the average price for ternary lithium batteries will be 0.65 yuan/wh [3] - Future price fluctuations will depend on market demand, with ternary lithium batteries expected to oscillate between 0.5-0.7 yuan/wh and lithium iron phosphate batteries between 0.35-0.5 yuan/wh [3] - The price difference between ternary lithium batteries and lithium iron phosphate batteries is anticipated to remain between 0.1-0.2 yuan/wh [3] Group 3 - The top 10 power lithium battery companies in China for 2025 include CATL, BYD, Zhongchuang Xinhang, Guoxuan High-Tech, Yiwei Lithium Energy, Hive Energy, Ruipu Lanjun, Xinwanda, Inpai Battery, and Funeng Technology [5]

——2025年港股IPO市场回顾暨2026年展望 | 证券分析师：彭文玉 | | A0230517080001 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 朱敏 | A0230524050004 | | | 任奕璇 | A0230525050002 | | 研究支持: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | | 联系人: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | | 2026.01.09 | | | 摘要 证券研究报告 风起潮未落 www.swsresearch.com 2 ◼ 2025年港股IPO融资规模领跑全球，新股上市表现强劲，破发率降至历史低位。供给端，港股上市制度持续优化，叠加外地公司赴港进程加 速，使港股成为企业融资及二次上市的重要选择；定价端，二级市场估值上行拓宽了新股上涨空间，一二级价差走阔为新股首日表现创造了 条件。在此背景下，2025年港股打新收益显著回暖，稳获一手（500-2000万港元）对应的表观收益率回升至0.57%～1.04%，明显高于 2021-2024年水平，基石投资者平均解禁收益率64%，约89%项目录得正收益。展望2026年，预期港股IPO投融资两 ...

Group 1 - The core focus of the meeting held on January 7 was to further regulate the competitive order in the power and energy storage battery industry [1] - The meeting was attended by 16 companies, including 13 power and energy storage battery manufacturers such as CATL, BYD, and others [1] - Additionally, 3 system integrators participated in the meeting, indicating a collaborative effort across different sectors within the industry [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth in the energy storage market in 2025, with a total bidding scale of 447.5 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 113.2% [1]. Bidding Market - The bidding market saw a total scale of 447.5 GWh, with non-collective bidding projects reaching 371.7 GWh (up 179.9%) and collective bidding projects at 75.8 GWh (down 1.7%) [1]. - The growth in bidding demand is driven by two key nodes: the 531 grid connection deadline and the 1231 grid connection deadline, with significant project launches concentrated around these dates [3][4]. - Policies have accelerated bidding demand, particularly in regions like Inner Mongolia, which introduced incentives for projects to start before the June deadline [6]. Winning Market - The total winning scale in 2025 was 382.6 GWh, with independent storage projects accounting for 65% of the market demand [10]. - The average internal rate of return (IRR) for projects across provinces is above 8%, with some regions like Gansu and Guangdong seeing IRR as high as 10-15% due to high frequency regulation demand [10]. - Major players in the winning market include CRRC Zhuzhou, Haibo Shichuang, and Ningde Times, with a concentration of market participation among system manufacturers and a few leading battery manufacturers [12][14]. Price Trends - The average price for 2-hour storage systems was stable at 0.5485 yuan/Wh, while the EPC price was 1.0268 yuan/Wh, reflecting a 12.6% decrease from the previous year [17]. - Battery cell prices experienced three rounds of increases in the second half of the year, driven by overseas orders and high domestic bidding demand, leading to a tight supply-demand balance [17].

Group 1: Battery Industry - A joint meeting was held by four government departments to discuss the regulation of the power and energy storage battery industry, involving 16 companies including major players like CATL and BYD [2] Group 2: Automotive Industry - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is soliciting public opinions on seven proposed mandatory national standards for intelligent connected vehicles, including safety requirements for automatic parking systems [3] - Geely has obtained a Level 3 autonomous driving road test license for its Zeekr 9X model in Hangzhou [9] - Xpeng Motors' CEO predicts that 2026 will mark the true beginning of autonomous driving in China and the U.S., with the company's second-generation VLA achieving Level 4 autonomous driving capabilities [11] - Dongfeng Motor is in discussions to produce passenger vehicles in Turkey, with plans to start production within the year [12] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Investments - GAC International has formed a strategic partnership with Grab to collaborate on delivering 20,000 high-performance electric vehicles in Southeast Asia over the next two years [10] - Intramco, a company under Xincheng Capital, has partnered with Leap Motor to supply charging products for its future electric vehicles produced in Europe [14] - Faraday Future aims to achieve positive cash flow and a gross margin of 20% within three years, as announced during its shareholder day event [15] Group 4: Technology and Innovation - Hyundai's stock price surged following the announcement of increased investments in robotics and artificial intelligence, alongside a meeting between its chairman and NVIDIA's CEO [6] - Elon Musk's AI startup xAI completed a $20 billion funding round, exceeding its initial target of $15 billion, with investors including NVIDIA and Cisco [7] Group 5: Economic Cooperation - The Ministry of Commerce is accelerating negotiations for the second phase of the China-South Korea Free Trade Agreement, focusing on enhancing economic cooperation and exploring new areas such as high-end manufacturing and green industries [4] - Guangzhou's government has released a plan to cultivate strategic industries, including artificial intelligence and new energy storage, as part of its advanced manufacturing strategy [5]

Group 1: Lithium Battery Market Insights - As of December 26, lithium carbonate prices reached 107,000 yuan/ton, an increase of 16% from the previous month, while lithium hydroxide prices were at 89,000 yuan/ton, up 11% month-on-month [1][2] - The lithium battery sector has shown strong performance since December 2025, with most segments outperforming the CSI 300 and SSE 50 indices [2] - The lithium battery electrolyte segment led the gains with an 8% increase, followed by positive growth in cathodes, lithium mines, and lithium battery separators [2] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Sales - In November, domestic wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.57 million units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 19% and a month-on-month increase of 5% [4] - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to November totaled 12.8 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 30% [4] Group 3: Sodium Battery Development - The sodium-ion battery industry is entering a phase characterized by significant commercial growth, with applications in energy storage, two-wheeled vehicles, and passenger cars [3] - The sodium battery is evolving from a strategic supplement to lithium batteries to a competitive energy solution in its own right, particularly in energy storage and light-duty applications [3] Group 4: Energy Storage Market Trends - In November, domestic energy storage installations rebounded strongly to 11.6 GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 31% and a month-on-month increase of 213% [4] - Cumulative installations from January to November reached 83.4 GWh, with a year-on-year growth of 28% [4] Group 5: Production and Pricing Trends - In January 2026, pre-production for batteries, cathodes, anodes, separators, and electrolytes is expected to increase by 29% to 52% year-on-year, despite a slight month-on-month decrease due to the Spring Festival [5] - Prices for lithium battery materials are rising, with cathode materials and electrolytes experiencing widespread increases, while lithium hexafluorophosphate saw a 15% decline [5] Group 6: Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is anticipated to experience a significant price and volume increase in 2026, driven by breakthroughs in solid-state technology [7] - Companies recommended for investment include Ningde Times, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Keda Li, particularly in segments like lithium carbonate and solid-state technology [7]

来源：科技日报 科技日报记者 王禹涵 苏州德加能源科技有限公司日前宣布，其电池系列产品售价上调15%，理由是"受锂电池原材料价格大 幅上涨的影响"。 这并非孤例。2025年末，一场由锂电池核心原材料价格飙升引发的连锁反应，正从产业链上游向下游蔓 延，在电池行业激起千层浪。作为锂电池的重要原材料，六氟磷酸锂价格从2025年7月的每吨4.93万元 飙升至近日的每吨17万元左右，市场一度呈现"一天一价"的态势。与此同时，宁德时代新能源科技股份 有限公司（以下简称"宁德时代"）、惠州亿纬锂能股份有限公司等头部锂电池企业集体按下扩产"加速 键"。 原材料涨价与锂电池扩产并行，这看似矛盾的现象背后，实则蕴含着我国锂电池产业转型的深层逻辑 ——从"规模扩张"转向"质量突围"。 供需错配导致价格上涨 "涨得太快了，猝不及防。"多位锂电池产业链中下游从业者向科技日报记者坦言，六氟磷酸锂等核心原 材料价格的飙升，让整个行业措手不及。 中关村新型电池技术创新联盟理事长、电池百人会理事长于清教分析说，原材料涨价的根源，在于储能 与新能源汽车两大领域持续超预期的需求，特别是海外储能市场出现的"爆单"现象，加剧了这一趋势。 市场数据印证 ...

Market Overview - On January 8, 2026, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3888.60 points, up 0.34%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12984.08 points, up 0.85% [1] - The Hong Kong stock market declined, with the Hang Seng Index falling 1.17% to 26149.31 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.05% to 5678.34 points [1] - In the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 270.03 points, or 0.55%, closing at 49266.11 points, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 104.26 points, or 0.44% [1] Corporate News - On January 8, 2026, the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission announced the restructuring of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) and China National Aviation Fuel Group [2] - China Aviation Fuel is recognized as Asia's largest provider of aviation fuel services, while Sinopec is the world's largest refining company and China's top aviation fuel producer [2] Industry Developments - On January 8, 2026, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) led a meeting to address irrational competition in the lithium battery industry, involving 16 major companies including CATL and BYD [3] - The meeting aimed to promote self-regulation within the industry, with participation from industry associations [3] Regional Initiatives - Guangzhou has issued a plan to accelerate the construction of advanced manufacturing, supporting market-driven intelligent computing infrastructure and telecom companies in building smart computing centers [4] - The plan aims to integrate artificial intelligence across various sectors by 2035, fostering over 1000 AI industry models and creating numerous application scenarios in fields such as manufacturing and healthcare [4]

Core Insights - The "Zero Carbon Science Popularization Campus Tour" initiated by CATL has reached a significant milestone by covering 500 schools nationwide, marking its commitment to public welfare and zero-carbon education [1][4]. Group 1: Project Overview - The project, launched in October 2024, has already reached 30 provinces, benefiting nearly 100,000 students and training 400 "zero-carbon science seed teachers" within just three months [2][5]. - The initiative aims to expand to over 1,000 schools by 2026 and achieve coverage of 5,000 schools within three years, emphasizing a model of "industry-education integration" [1][5]. Group 2: Educational Impact - The project has successfully broken geographical and resource barriers, providing quality science resources to both urban and remote schools, ensuring equal access to zero-carbon knowledge [2][3]. - A systematic zero-carbon science textbook for grades 3-6 has been developed in collaboration with Beijing Normal University, addressing the challenges faced by teachers in preparing lessons [2][3]. Group 3: Innovative Teaching Methods - The project incorporates diverse educational scenarios, including field visits to renewable energy industry bases, interactive activities, and competitions to engage students in understanding zero-carbon concepts [3][4]. - Schools have adopted various innovative practices, such as the "all-staff popularization + key cultivation" model at Bole Eight Primary School, which covers over 2,500 students [3][4]. Group 4: Local Resource Utilization - The project leverages local resources in Bole, a region rich in wind and solar energy, to create a comprehensive zero-carbon science education environment, including a zero-carbon science laboratory and interactive spaces [4][5]. - Local education authorities recognize the initiative as a bridge connecting remote areas with global cutting-edge renewable energy resources, enhancing the educational framework [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The National Energy Administration has announced the first batch of pilot projects for enhancing the construction capacity of a new power system, supporting 43 projects across 10 cities to explore new technologies and models in the energy sector [2][11]. Group 1: Pilot Project Directions - The 43 pilot projects cover seven directions: - 4 system-friendly new energy power station projects - 8 grid-structured technology application projects - 7 smart microgrid projects - 2 computing power and electricity collaboration projects - 13 virtual power plant projects - 1 large-scale high-proportion renewable energy delivery project - 8 new-generation coal power projects [2][11]. Group 2: Pilot Project Details - **Grid-Structured Technology Application Projects**: - Includes 8 projects such as the grid-structured energy storage project in Baotou, Inner Mongolia, and the flexible DC transmission project in Zhoushan, Zhejiang [3][13]. - **Smart Microgrid Projects**: - Comprises 7 projects including the smart microgrid project in Jilin Oilfield, Jilin, and the integrated charging and swapping smart microgrid project in Yichang, Hubei [4][14]. - **Computing Power and Electricity Collaboration Projects**: - Features 2 projects, namely the computing power center project in Haidian District, Beijing, and the data center project in Wuhu, Anhui [5][6]. - **Virtual Power Plant Projects**: - Encompasses 13 projects such as the controllable resource adjustment project in Hebei and the virtual power plant project in Suzhou, Jiangsu [7][15]. - **System-Friendly New Energy Power Station Projects**: - Includes 4 projects like the wind-solar-thermal storage integrated system-friendly new energy power station in Huainan, Anhui [8][12]. - **Large-Scale High-Proportion Renewable Energy Delivery Project**: - Involves the ±800 kV UHV DC transmission project from southeastern Tibet to the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [9][16]. - **New-Generation Coal Power Projects**: - Comprises 8 projects including the coal power unit projects in Shanxi, Jiangsu, and Hubei [9][15].