Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund ICBC New Materials New Energy Stock (001158) reported a profit of 117 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a net value growth rate of 8.96% during the reporting period, and a total fund size of 1.342 billion yuan by the end of Q4 2025 [2][12]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 2.07 yuan, with a one-year cumulative net value growth rate of 63.38%, ranking it 10th out of 57 comparable funds [2][3]. - Over the past three months, the fund achieved a net value growth rate of 23.29%, ranking 1st out of 58 comparable funds, and over the past six months, it recorded a growth rate of 53.45%, ranking 3rd out of 58 [3]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years is 0.8509, placing it 17th out of 56 comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years is 28.76%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q1 2021 at 25.09% [8]. Investment Strategy - The fund maintains a high stock position, with an average stock position of 88.03% over the past three years, slightly below the industry average of 88.64% [11]. - The fund's top ten holdings include Zijin Mining, CATL, and Jerry Holdings, indicating a concentrated investment strategy [16]. Market Outlook - The fund manager highlights increasing market attention on resources, particularly non-ferrous metals like copper, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and rising electricity demand from AI computing investments [2].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhonghang Securities indicates a strong recovery in the sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in nine European countries, projecting sales of 2.885 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 32.6%, with a penetration rate of 29.0%, up by 6.7 percentage points [1][2]. Summary by Sections Overall Market Outlook - In 2025, NEV sales in nine European countries are expected to reach 2.885 million units, representing a 32.6% increase year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 29.0%, up 6.7 percentage points [2]. - The sales of Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) are projected at 1.892 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30.6%, while Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) are expected to reach 992,000 units, up 36.6% year-on-year [2]. Country-Specific Insights - **Germany**: The BEV sales are projected at 545,000 units, a 43.2% increase year-on-year, and PHEV sales at 311,000 units, up 62.3%. Germany will restart EV subsidies in January 2026, including Chinese brands [2][3]. - **United Kingdom**: BEV sales are expected to be 473,000 units, a 23.9% increase, and PHEV sales at 225,000 units, up 34.7%. EV subsidies will resume from July 2025 [2][3]. - **France**: BEV sales are projected at 326,000 units, a 12.1% increase, with December sales reaching 42,000 units, up 37.7%. Subsidies will continue into 2026 with increased standards [3]. - **Italy**: BEV sales are expected to be 95,000 units, a 44.2% increase, and PHEV sales at 99,000 units, up 89.4%. EV subsidies will be effective from October 22, 2025 [3]. - **Spain**: BEV sales are projected at 102,000 units, a 77.2% increase, and PHEV sales at 124,000 units, up 111.7%. The MOVES III subsidy plan will drive sales [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the EU's proposal to adjust the 2035 emission reduction targets will not hinder the long-term trend of electrification in Europe. Instead, it will promote sales of small electric vehicles [4]. - Investment recommendations include: - **Lithium Batteries**: Recommended companies include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda [4]. - **Lithium Materials**: Recommended companies include Hunan Youneng and Tianci Materials [4]. - **Lithium Battery Structural Components**: Recommended companies include Minglida and Minth Group [4]. - **Power/Drive Systems**: Recommended companies include Weimaisi and Fute Technology [4]. - **Automotive Safety Components**: Beneficiary companies include Zhongrong Electric and Zhejiang Rongtai [4]. - **Charging Stations and Modules**: Recommended companies include Youyou Green Energy and Tonghe Technology [4].

Group 1 - The general aviation sector in A-shares has strengthened again, with multiple aviation-themed ETFs rising nearly 4%, while military and satellite-related ETFs have generally increased over 3% [1] - In contrast, previously popular sectors such as semiconductor equipment, power grids, and gold stocks have collectively cooled down, with several semiconductor equipment-themed ETFs dropping over 2% [1] Group 2 - The latest top ten heavy stocks from public funds have been disclosed, including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, CATL, Tencent Holdings, Zijin Mining, Alibaba-W, Cambricon, Luxshare Precision, Kweichow Moutai, and Dongshan Precision [1] Group 3 - To maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, the People's Bank of China will conduct a 900 billion yuan MLF operation with a one-year term on January 23, using a fixed quantity, interest rate bidding, and multiple price level bidding methods [1]

Market Updates - The U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.63% at 49,384.01 points, the S&P 500 up 0.55% at 6,913.35 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.91% at 23,436.02 points. 3M and Seagate led the Dow with gains of over 3% each [2] - International precious metals futures saw a general increase, with COMEX gold futures rising 2.09% to $4,938.40 per ounce and COMEX silver futures up 3.86% to $96.22 per ounce [3] - U.S. oil prices fell, with the main contract down 1.57% to $59.67 per barrel, while Brent crude dropped 1.39% to $63.63 per barrel [4] Macro Policy - Major banks in China announced the implementation of a personal consumption loan subsidy policy, extending the deadline to December 31, 2026, and expanding the support scope to include credit card installment payments [5] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 9,000 billion yuan MLF operation on January 23, 2026, to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system [6] - The PBOC's governor indicated that there is still room for further interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions in 2026 [7] Industry Developments - The State Council's food safety office is seeking public opinion on national standards for prepared dishes, aiming to enhance consumer rights and promote high-quality industry development [13] - A breakthrough in refrigeration technology was reported by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which could provide low-carbon cooling solutions for high-energy data centers [14] - The first flexible intelligent spraying system for marine oil and gas equipment has been put into trial production, marking significant progress in anti-corrosion technology [15] Company News - Zhongji Xuchuang has become the largest holding stock for public funds, focusing on core sectors like electronics and power equipment [25] - Xiaomi Group announced a share buyback plan of up to 2.5 billion Hong Kong dollars [26] - JD.com launched a gold phone case priced between 11,299 and 112,299 yuan [27] - Apple is offering limited-time promotions on various products, with discounts of up to 1,000 yuan [28] - Nvidia has overtaken Apple to become TSMC's largest customer, accounting for approximately 13% of TSMC's total revenue [36]

Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report indicates a strong recovery in the European electric vehicle (EV) market, with 2025 sales in nine European countries reaching 2.885 million units, a year-on-year increase of 32.6%. The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 29.0%, up 6.7 percentage points year-on-year [13][16] - The report highlights that various countries, including Spain, the UK, France, and Italy, have implemented or will continue to implement subsidies, which are expected to drive further growth in EV sales in 2026 [7][14][19] - The European Commission's proposal to adjust the 2035 emission reduction targets is not expected to hinder the long-term trend of electrification in Europe. Instead, it introduces incentives for small electric vehicles and imposes requirements on zero-emission vehicles in corporate fleets, which will further promote EV sales [49][51] Summary by Sections 1. European EV Sales - In 2025, Germany's BEV sales reached 545,000 units, up 43.2% year-on-year, while PHEV sales were 311,000 units, up 62.3% [18] - The UK saw BEV sales of 473,000 units, a 23.9% increase, and PHEV sales of 225,000 units, up 34.7% [24] - France's BEV sales reached 326,000 units, up 12.1%, with PHEV sales declining by 25.9% [30] - Italy's BEV sales were 95,000 units, up 44.2%, and PHEV sales were 99,000 units, up 89.4% [41] - Spain's BEV sales reached 102,000 units, up 77.2%, and PHEV sales were 124,000 units, up 111.7% [44] 2. EU Dynamics - The European Commission's adjustment of the 2035 emission reduction targets does not affect the long-term electrification trend in Europe. The proposal allows for greater flexibility for automakers while maintaining the goal of climate neutrality by 2050 [49][50] - The Commission plans to establish a social climate fund to support member states in achieving clean transitions, with a budget of €86.7 billion from 2026 to 2032 [52] 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and Xinwangda, with beneficiaries including Zhongxin Innovation and Guoxuan High-Tech [55][57] - In lithium materials, recommended companies are Hunan Youneng and Tianci Materials, with beneficiaries including Fulian Precision and Wanrun New Energy [55][57] - For charging stations and modules, recommended companies include Youyou Green Energy and Tonghe Technology, with beneficiaries such as Shenghong Co. [55][57]

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace - The Chinese commercial aerospace sector is entering a new phase aimed at large-scale launches and commercial closed-loop systems, with significant breakthroughs expected in rocket capacity over the next 3 to 5 years [1] - By 2025, China's commercial aerospace is projected to complete 50 launches, accounting for 54% of total space launches, with 25 commercial rockets launched and 311 commercial satellites in orbit, representing 84% of total satellites [1] - The capital market for commercial aerospace companies is accelerating, with several leading firms preparing for IPOs, including Blue Arrow Aerospace and Zhongke Aerospace [1] Group 2: Public Fund Performance - The latest public fund reports reveal that the top ten holdings include companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, Ningde Times, and Tencent, with notable increases in holdings for companies like Zhongji Xuchuang, which saw an increase of 22.602 billion yuan [2] - The automotive industry is facing cost pressures due to rising prices of memory chips and metals, impacting supply chain dynamics and competition [2] Group 3: Biopharmaceutical Industry - Over 50 biopharmaceutical companies have disclosed their 2025 performance forecasts, with nearly 50% showing positive expectations, particularly in the CXO sector, where WuXi AppTec anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 15.84% [3] - The biopharmaceutical industry is expected to enter a new phase of high-quality development as structural reforms and supportive policies continue to evolve [3] Group 4: Fundraising and Market Trends - The public fund market has seen a resurgence, with several equity funds raising over 7 billion yuan, indicating a positive trend in active equity fund performance [4] - The Shanghai Suiruan Technology Co., Ltd. has received approval for its IPO, aiming to raise 6 billion yuan for product development and business expansion [5] Group 5: Aluminum Market - The aluminum market has shown strong performance, with prices rising over 12% since mid-December 2025, supported by favorable macroeconomic conditions and demand for aluminum in various applications [6] - The copper-aluminum price ratio exceeding 4 suggests a potential shift towards aluminum in sectors like air conditioning, indicating new demand growth [6] Group 6: Banking Sector - Five listed banks have reported a year-on-year increase in net profit for 2025, with improvements in non-performing loan ratios for three banks [9] - The banking sector is expected to maintain stable performance, supported by improved funding costs and a potential stabilization of net interest margins [9] Group 7: Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is experiencing positive performance, with over 60% of companies reporting improved earnings, driven by rising prices of certain chemical products [10] - The DOP market is expected to maintain upward momentum due to strong raw material prices and limited supply, indicating a stable support for pricing [10]

Monetary Policy and Economic Measures - The central bank governor Pan Gongsheng stated that a moderately loose monetary policy will continue in 2026, with room for further cuts in reserve requirement ratios and interest rates to maintain ample liquidity [3] - The first batch of 936 billion yuan of ultra-long special government bonds has been allocated to support approximately 4,500 projects in various sectors, expected to drive total investment exceeding 460 billion yuan [4] - The People's Bank of China will conduct a 900 billion yuan MLF operation on January 23, net injecting 700 billion yuan into the market, marking the 11th consecutive month of increased operations [4] Consumer and Investment Trends - State-owned banks collectively announced the implementation of personal consumption loan interest subsidy policies, allowing some high-quality clients to enjoy effective interest rates in the "2%" range, lower than current housing loan rates [3] - Public funds have focused their fourth-quarter 2025 positions on core sectors such as electronics and power equipment, with Zhongji Xuchuang becoming the largest holding stock [3] Market Performance - The A-share market saw a slight increase, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.14% to 4122.58 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.5% [6] - The Hong Kong stock market also experienced minor fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index rising 0.17% to 26629.96 points, and net inflows from southbound funds amounting to 5.166 billion HKD [6] Corporate Developments - Alibaba Group has decided to support its chip company "Pingtouge" for independent listing, with plans for restructuring to a mixed-ownership enterprise [7] - Xiaomi Group has initiated a stock repurchase plan of up to 2.5 billion HKD [9] - Nanjing Bank reported a net profit growth of 8.08% year-on-year for 2025 [9] Regulatory and Policy Updates - The State Administration for Market Regulation has issued a red card for the first time in the public utility sector, prohibiting a merger between two gas companies [10] - Nine departments jointly issued opinions to promote high-quality development in the pharmaceutical retail industry, encouraging mergers and acquisitions among retail pharmacies [10] Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate for urban labor aged 16-24 was reported at 16.5% in December 2025, while the rate for those aged 25-29 was 6.9% [5] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 28.1% year-on-year increase in sales revenue for the smart device manufacturing industry in 2025 [10]

Core Insights - The automotive industry is facing significant cost pressures due to a shortage of memory chips and rising prices of raw materials, which are impacting supply chain dynamics and competition rules [1][2][3] Group 1: Cost Pressures - The shortage of memory chips has escalated into a systemic issue affecting the entire automotive supply chain, with prices for automotive-grade DDR4 and DDR5 memory increasing by over 150% and 300% respectively since the second half of 2025 [2] - Global storage prices are expected to rise by an additional 40% to 50% in the first quarter of 2026, with a supply gap for general DRAM projected to remain between 15% and 20% [2] - The automotive sector is at a disadvantage in the competition for memory resources, as leading manufacturers prioritize supply to AI and cloud computing sectors, which offer higher profit margins [3] Group 2: Raw Material Price Increases - Prices for essential metals like copper and silver, which are critical for automotive electrical systems and batteries, have also seen significant increases since the second half of 2025 [3] - The competition for these raw materials between the automotive and AI industries has intensified, although current price increases have not yet fully reached end consumer prices [3] Group 3: Supply Chain Strategies - Automotive companies are implementing various strategies to mitigate cost pressures, including technological innovations and supply chain partnerships [5] - Companies like CATL are leveraging scale and technology to manage battery costs, while others are optimizing memory usage through software upgrades [5] - Long-term supply agreements and price locking strategies are being adopted by companies like Changan and Leap Motor to counteract rising costs of critical components [6] Group 4: Industry Dynamics and Competition - The memory crisis is leading to a differentiation in the automotive industry, with larger companies better able to absorb costs compared to smaller firms [7] - The ability to manage supply chains effectively is becoming a critical factor for competitiveness, with larger firms benefiting from established supply chain systems [7] - The crisis may result in a slowdown in the adoption of advanced driving technologies as companies may cut back on non-core storage configurations [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The automotive industry is encouraged to shift from reactive measures to building autonomous systems, including securing long-term supply agreements and accelerating the validation of domestic storage chips [8] - The ongoing price increases and the transition to electric and intelligent vehicles are expected to concentrate resources among companies with core capabilities, leading to a shift in competition from hardware to integrated software and hardware solutions [8]

据"北京亦庄"消息，1月23日至24日，第三届北京商业航天产业高质量发展推进会将在北京经开区举 办。本次大会以"聚力赋新 质向空天"为主题，将设置成果发布、主旨报告、专题座谈等多个环节，邀 请政府部门、航天院所、领军企业及金融机构等多方代表参与，共探技术变革新趋势、共绘产业发展新 图景。大会现场，北京经开区将正式发布多个创新服务平台，进一步优化北京火箭大街发展生态。 NO.2 银河证券：商业航天产业正迈入需求侧与供给侧双向发力的黄金时代 每经记者｜杨建 每经编辑｜肖芮冬 ｜2026年1月23日 星期五｜ NO.1 第三届北京商业航天产业高质量发展推进会将在北京举办 1月22日，高盛将黄金今年底目标价从每盎司4900美元上调至5400美元，理由是私人部门投资者和中央 银行对黄金的需求不断增长。高盛分析师在报告中指出，预计各国央行今年每月将购买60吨黄金，同时 随着美联储降息，黄金ETF的持有量也将增加。高盛分析师称，各国央行已开始通过传统的ETF，与私 人部门投资者争夺有限的黄金。 NO.7 我国制冷技术新突破，有望推动算力基础设施低碳运行 1月22日，从中国科学院金属研究所获悉，近日，该研究所李昺研究员团队与 ...

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is facing significant cost pressures due to a systemic crisis in the supply chain, particularly driven by shortages and price increases in memory chips and raw materials like copper and silver [1][2][3]. Group 1: Cost Pressures and Supply Chain Challenges - The shortage of memory chips has escalated into a critical issue, with prices for automotive-grade DDR4 and DDR5 memory increasing by over 150% and 300% respectively since the second half of 2025 [2]. - Global storage prices are expected to rise by an additional 40% to 50% in the first quarter of 2026, with a supply gap for general DRAM projected to remain between 15% and 20% [2]. - The automotive sector is at a disadvantage in the competition for memory resources, as leading manufacturers prioritize supply to AI and cloud computing sectors, which offer higher profit margins [3]. Group 2: Raw Material Price Increases - Prices for essential raw materials such as copper and silver have also risen significantly since the second half of 2025, impacting the costs of automotive electrical systems and power batteries [3]. - The competition for these materials between the automotive and AI industries has intensified, although current price increases have not yet fully reached end consumers [3]. Group 3: Strategies for Mitigation - Automotive companies are implementing various strategies to combat rising costs, including technological innovations and supply chain partnerships [5]. - Companies like CATL are leveraging scale and technology to manage battery costs, while others are optimizing memory usage through software improvements [5]. - Long-term supply agreements and strategic partnerships are being established to mitigate price volatility in raw materials [6][7]. Group 4: Industry Impact and Future Outlook - The ongoing memory crisis is likely to lead to increased competition and differentiation within the automotive industry, with profit margins under pressure [8]. - Companies with robust supply chain management capabilities are better positioned to withstand these challenges, while smaller firms may struggle [8]. - The crisis may accelerate a shift towards vertical integration and the development of proprietary supply chains, as companies seek to enhance their resilience against future disruptions [9].