Group 1 - The company is continuously enhancing its recycling R&D innovations, developing new lithium processing technologies and achieving industry-leading recovery rates for nickel, cobalt, and lithium [1] - The self-sufficiency rate for nickel from laterite ore exceeds 80%, while the self-sufficiency ratio for cobalt is relatively low [1] - An increase in cobalt prices in 2025 is expected to positively impact the company's annual profits [1] Group 2 - The company is projected to process over 50,000 tons of retired batteries in 2024, with inquiries about the expected processing volume for the first half of 2025 [3] - The company has maintained the number one global market share for ternary precursors and cobalt tetroxide for five consecutive years, with questions regarding the current self-production ratios for nickel and cobalt [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Zhongwei Co., Ltd. clarified that Hunan Zhongwei Jinneng New Materials Co., Ltd. is an affiliate rather than a subsidiary of the company [2] - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. indicated that specific business details of Hunan Zhongwei Jinneng should be referenced from public information [2]

Core Insights - The lithium battery materials industry has shown significant improvement in the third quarter of 2025, with many companies turning losses into profits and a clear trend of recovery in the sector [1][3] Group 1: Performance of Positive Electrode Material Companies - Tianqi Lithium's revenue for the first three quarters was 7.397 billion yuan, down 26.5%, but it achieved a net profit of 180 million yuan, marking a turnaround [2] - Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion yuan, a growth of 5.02%, with a net profit of 2.552 billion yuan, also a turnaround [2] - Huaneng Technology and other companies have seen significant profit increases, with Huaneng's revenue reaching 23.226 billion yuan, up 46.27%, and a net profit of 645 million yuan, up 31.51% [2][3] Group 2: Trends in Positive Electrode Materials - High-pressure compact lithium iron phosphate has become a focal point for companies, driven by strong demand in the energy storage sector and advancements in technology [3][4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has rebounded, maintaining a range of 80,300 to 81,700 yuan per ton, contributing to the positive performance of many positive electrode material companies [4] - Major companies like Longpan Technology have secured large orders from leading firms, enhancing their market position [4] Group 3: Performance of Negative Electrode Material Companies - The negative electrode materials sector has also seen a recovery, with a total shipment of 201.1 million tons in the first nine months of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.1% [7] - Shanshan Co. achieved a net profit of 33.14 million yuan in Q1, marking a successful turnaround, and its stock price has rebounded significantly [7][8] - Companies like BTR and Putailai are expanding their overseas business and solid-state battery technology, contributing to their recovery and growth [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Gold: Short - term bearish, pay attention to decline risks [12][13] - Foreign exchange futures (US dollar index): Short - term volatile [16][17][18] - US stock index futures: Short - term high - level volatile, bullish in the long - term with profit support [20] - Stock index futures: Long - position balanced allocation [24] - Treasury bond futures: Short - term slightly bullish with limited upside, pay attention to rhythm and odds [27] - Palm oil: Short - term expected to open lower, pay attention to long - position opportunities around 8500 yuan [31] - International soybean oil: Short - term bottom - supported, expected to be volatile [31] - Domestic soybean oil: Short - term expected to be volatile [31] - Power coal: Price supported in the fourth quarter, pay attention to weather and policy [32] - Iron ore: Short - term volatile, pay attention to policy changes [34] - Bean粕: Follow import cost, pay attention to US soybean purchase and Brazilian output [36] - Sugar: Short - term expected to be volatile [41] - Cotton: Short - term expected to be volatile, long - term cautiously bullish [46] - Rebar/Hot - rolled coil: Short - term volatile [50][51] - Red dates: Wait - and - see, pay attention to price game and purchase progress [52] - Corn starch: 11 - contract CS - C expected to strengthen further, 01 - contract may have price - difference repair [54][55] - Corn: If government - stored wheat is used for feed, there may be short - selling opportunities [56] - Alumina: Wait - and - see [59] - Copper: Short - term expected to be volatile after reaching a high, recommend buying on dips [63] - Lead: Low - inventory, short - term bullish with high uncertainty, positive spread arbitrage possible [65] - Zinc: Short - term wait - and - see, pay attention to mid - line positive spread arbitrage [70][71] - Polysilicon: Policy and fundamentals in game, long - position holders can hold, consider call options [74] - Industrial silicon: Buying on dips is cost - effective [76] - Lithium carbonate: Short - term range - bound, mid - line short - selling after demand peaks, pay attention to positive spread arbitrage [80][81] - Nickel: Q4 nickel ore price expected to rise, recommend long - position on dips or option strategies [84] - Carbon emissions: Short - term volatile [87] - Crude oil: Volatile [89] - Bottle chips: Short - term supply - demand conflict not prominent, marginal weakening expected [91] - Container freight rates: Volatile, consider long - position on dips [93] 2. Report's Core View The report analyzes multiple financial and commodity markets. In the financial market, factors such as gold tax policy, Fed officials' attitudes towards interest rates, and economic data impact market trends. In the commodity market, supply and demand, policy, and seasonal factors affect prices. Overall, most markets are expected to be volatile in the short - term, and investors need to pay attention to various influencing factors and risks [12][16][30]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Reviews 3.1.1 Macro Strategy (Gold) - New gold tax policy: VAT on standard gold for investment is refunded immediately, and related taxes are exempted. Physical gold demand may be suppressed, and short - term price is bearish [12]. 3.1.2 Macro Strategy (Foreign exchange futures (US dollar index)) - Fed officials oppose December rate cuts due to high inflation, and the US dollar is expected to be volatile [15][16][17]. 3.1.3 Macro Strategy (US stock index futures) - Market expectations for rate cuts are adjusted, and short - term risk appetite declines. The market is volatile at a high level [19][20]. 3.1.4 Macro Strategy (Stock index futures) - October PMI shows production slowdown, and the stock index is expected to be volatile at a high level. Long - position balanced allocation is recommended [22][23][24]. 3.1.5 Macro Strategy (Treasury bond futures) - October manufacturing PMI declines, and November is a policy window period. The bond market is expected to be slightly bullish, but the upside is limited [25][26][27]. 3.2 Commodity News and Reviews 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean oil/Rapeseed oil/Palm oil) - Indonesian palm oil reference price rises slightly, and Malaysia's October palm oil exports increase. Palm oil price is under pressure in the short - term but may be supported later. Soybean oil is expected to be volatile [29][30][31]. 3.2.2 Black Metals (Power coal) - Indonesian low - calorie power coal price is stable. Coal price is expected to be stable in the short - term and strong in the fourth quarter [32]. 3.2.3 Black Metals (Iron ore) - Third - quarter iron ore sales increase. Demand is affected by environmental protection, and price is expected to be volatile [34]. 3.2.4 Agricultural Products (Bean粕) - Oil mill operation rate is high, and bean粕 price follows import cost. Pay attention to US soybean purchase and Brazilian output [35][36] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - Brazilian sugar production increases, and Indian sugar industry requests export policy. Zheng sugar is expected to be volatile [40][41] 3.2.6 Agricultural Products (Cotton) - US cotton inspection progress is slow, and drought area decreases. Cotton price is expected to be volatile [42][44][46] 3.2.7 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - rolled coil) - Iron water output declines, and steel price is affected by Sino - US relations. Price is expected to be volatile [47][50][51] 3.2.8 Agricultural Products (Red dates) - Xinjiang red dates are in the drying period, and inventory increases. Price is expected to be volatile, wait - and - see [51][52] 3.2.9 Agricultural Products (Corn starch) - September starch export declines, and October export may increase. 11 - contract CS - C and 01 - contract may strengthen [53][54][55] 3.2.10 Agricultural Products (Corn) - Domestic corn price is stable with narrow fluctuations. Pay attention to government - stored wheat auction [55][56] 3.2.11 Non - ferrous Metals (Alumina) - Inventory increases, and the market is in oversupply. Wait - and - see [57][58][59] 3.2.12 Non - ferrous Metals (Copper) - Multiple copper projects have new progress. Price is affected by the US dollar and inventory, expected to be volatile [60][63] 3.2.13 Non - ferrous Metals (Lead) - LME lead is in contango. Low - inventory supports price, pay attention to delivery risk [64][65] 3.2.14 Non - ferrous Metals (Zinc) - Some zinc mines' output changes. Price is affected by market sentiment and inventory, expected to be volatile [66][69][70] 3.2.15 Non - ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - Polysilicon futures rise, and price is in a policy - fundamentals game. Pay attention to policy progress [72][73][74] 3.2.16 Non - ferrous Metals (Industrial silicon) - Southwest production is expected to decrease. Price is expected to be supported, recommend long - position on dips [75][76] 3.2.17 Non - ferrous Metals (Lithium carbonate) - Company negotiates to sell lithium project stake. Price is affected by supply - demand and inventory, expected to be volatile [77][78][81] 3.2.18 Non - ferrous Metals (Nickel) - Company's nickel self - supply increases. Price is affected by inventory, season, and demand, expected to be volatile [82][83][84] 3.2.19 Energy Chemicals (Carbon emissions) - EUA price is volatile. Market trading activity decreases, and signal is neutral [85][86][87] 3.2.20 Energy Chemicals (Crude oil) - OPEC decides to increase production in December and pause in Q1 2026. Price is expected to be volatile [87][88][89] 3.2.21 Energy Chemicals (Bottle chips) - Bottle chip factory price is adjusted, and supply - demand is expected to weaken marginally [90][91] 3.2.22 Shipping Index (Container freight rates) - Shipping company adjusts surcharge. Freight rate is expected to be volatile, consider long - position on dips [92][93]

Group 1 - The lithium battery materials industry showed mixed results in Q3 2025, with over 80% of listed companies reporting quarter-on-quarter revenue growth, while 60% experienced a decline in net profit, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability [1][2] - The average year-on-year growth rates for revenue and net profit among 41 companies were 19.78% and 20.08%, respectively, a significant improvement from the previous year's declines of -15.96% and -168.07% [2] - The performance of the positive electrode material segment remains under pressure, while the negative electrode segment shows signs of stabilization and recovery [3][4] Group 2 - Major companies like Minmetals New Energy and Keda Technology reported significant quarter-on-quarter revenue increases of 43.72% and 54.21%, respectively, reflecting a recovery in industry demand and material prices [2] - Despite revenue growth, 24 out of 41 companies reported a decline in net profit, with notable drops from Rongbai Technology (-155.35%) and Minmetals New Energy (-81.84%) [2][3] - The negative electrode material segment saw strong performance, with companies like Shanshan Co. and Puli Technology reporting substantial profit increases, indicating a positive trend in this area [4] Group 3 - The capital market remains optimistic about the lithium battery materials sector, with an average price increase of 66.95% for the battery materials sector from the beginning of 2025 to the latest closing date [7] - Prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate and hexafluorophosphate have rebounded sharply, with hexafluorophosphate prices exceeding 110,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a significant increase from earlier in the year [7] - The anticipated growth in demand for energy storage solutions is expected to drive further increases in lithium battery demand, with projections of over 2,700 GWh in total lithium battery demand next year, a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 30% [8]

Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance showed a slight decline due to foreign exchange losses, aligning with expectations [1] - Q3 sales volume growth is robust, with a significant increase anticipated in Q4 due to seasonal demand [2] - The company is expected to turn around losses in iron phosphate and increase nickel self-supply, contributing to profit elasticity [3] - Capital expenditures are accelerating, with a downward revision in profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1-3 of 2025, the company reported revenue of 33.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.11 billion, down 16% year-on-year [1] - Q3 revenue reached 11.2 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 19% and a net profit of 380 million, reflecting a decrease of 17% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company experienced a foreign exchange loss of 130 million in Q3, which increased by nearly 80 million compared to Q2; excluding this impact, Q3 net profit grew by 7% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Sales Volume and Production - The company expects Q3 sales volume of ternary precursors and four-cobalt to reach 64,000 tons, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22% [2] - The anticipated total sales volume for 2025 is approximately 250,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 23% [2] - For 2026, the company forecasts a sales volume growth of around 15%, reaching 280,000 to 290,000 tons, with four-cobalt contributing 35,000 to 40,000 tons [2] Group 3: Product Segments - Q3 sales volume of iron phosphate is expected to be 43,000 tons, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5%, and the company anticipates turning profitable in Q4 [3] - Nickel production in Q3 is projected at 40,000 tons, with an equity contribution of 24,000 tons, remaining stable quarter-on-quarter [3] - The company aims to achieve a self-supply of 30,000 tons of nickel metal in 2026, increasing the self-supply ratio to over 25% [3] Group 4: Capital Expenditures and Forecasts - Q3 operating expenses amounted to 940 million, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9% [4] - Capital expenditures for Q1-3 of 2025 totaled 3.2 billion, down 17% year-on-year, with Q3 capital expenditures at 1.5 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2% [4] - The company revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.54 billion, 2 billion, and 2.61 billion respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 27x, 21x, and 16x [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The Q3 performance of the company met expectations, with a notable increase in the demand for ternary materials anticipated [1] - The company experienced a slight decline in Q3 net profit due to foreign exchange losses, but excluding this impact, net profit showed a 7% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in Tesla's sales and accelerated electrification in Europe, leading to a significant increase in production capacity utilization for ternary materials [1] - The company is projected to achieve a total shipment volume of approximately 250,000 tons in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 23% [1] - The company is expected to improve its profitability in Q4, with a forecasted turnaround in the iron phosphate segment [1] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 34,273 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.95% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is expected to be 1,947 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.15% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 2.08 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21.69 [1] - The company anticipates a net profit of 15.4 billion yuan for 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 27x [1] - The company’s capital expenditure for Q3 was 15 billion yuan, indicating a 2% increase quarter-on-quarter [1]

Group 1 - Zhongwei New Materials Co., Ltd. is a leading global provider of nickel and cobalt-based precursor materials for lithium-ion batteries, with a market share of 20.3% and 28.0% for nickel and cobalt precursor materials respectively in 2024 [3] - The company reported revenues of 30.34 billion yuan, 34.27 billion yuan, and 40.22 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively, with net profits of 1.55 billion yuan, 1.95 billion yuan, and 1.47 billion yuan [3][4] - For the first three quarters of the current year, Zhongwei achieved a revenue of 33.30 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.94% to 1.11 billion yuan [4][5] Group 2 - As of October 31, Zhongwei's A-shares closed at 46.04 yuan, with a total market capitalization of approximately 43.19 billion yuan [5][6] - The company has a total asset value of approximately 76.50 billion yuan, reflecting a 4.77% increase compared to the previous year [5] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for the current period is 0.42 yuan, down 14.29% year-on-year [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the recent developments of Zhongwei Co., Ltd. in the lithium battery materials sector, particularly its upcoming IPO in Hong Kong and its leading position in the market for lithium battery precursors. Company Developments - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. has recently passed the listing hearing for its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with Huatai International and Morgan Stanley serving as joint sponsors [3] - The company focuses on the research, development, production, and sales of new energy battery materials, primarily positive electrode active material precursors (pCAM), and holds a significant market share in this sector [3] Market Position - According to SPIR statistics, in the first three quarters of 2025, China's lithium battery ternary precursor shipment reached approximately 669,000 tons, with Zhongwei Co., Ltd. maintaining the top position and covering major clients such as Tesla, LG Energy, Samsung SDI, Panasonic, CATL, and BYD [4] Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of this year, Zhongwei Co., Ltd. achieved total revenue of 33.297 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.39%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 15.94% to 1.113 billion yuan [6][7] - The third quarter alone saw revenue of 11.975 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.84% year-on-year growth, with a slight decline of 0.97% in net profit attributable to shareholders [6][7] Technological Advancements - The company is focusing on solid-state batteries, sodium batteries, and high-end products, with significant developments reported during the reporting period [8] - In the solid-state battery materials sector, Zhongwei Co., Ltd. is collaborating with leading battery companies to develop high-nickel ternary precursors, currently in large-scale pilot testing [8] - In the sodium battery materials field, partnerships with top battery and precursor companies are aimed at advancing layered oxide material research [9] Global Expansion - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. has established four production bases in China, three in Indonesia, and one in Morocco, with plans for additional bases in Indonesia and South Korea, indicating a rapidly forming global manufacturing system with significant localization advantages [11]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongwei Co., Ltd. announced the convening of its 40th board meeting on October 31, 2025, to discuss matters related to the global issuance of H-shares and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] Company Summary - For the first half of 2025, Zhongwei's revenue composition was as follows: battery materials accounted for 45.17%, new energy metals for 43.49%, and others for 11.34% [1] - As of the report date, Zhongwei's market capitalization stood at 43.2 billion yuan [1]