需求恢复不及预期的风险；AIGC 进展不及预期的风险；外部制裁进一步升级的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 继续看好 AI-PCB 及核心算力硬件、苹果产业链及自主可控受益产业链。Meta 2026 年全年资本开支指引超预 期，闪迪 2026 第三财季业绩指引超预期。我们继续看好覆铜板及存储芯片涨价趋势，具有较强的持续性，从产 业链公司陆续公布的营收及利润来看，业绩在持续兑现，继续看好核心受益公司。继续看好 AI-PCB 及核心算力 硬件、苹果产业链及自主可控受益产业链。 细分行业景气指标：消费电子（稳健向上）、PCB（加速向上）、半导体芯片（稳健向上）、半导体代工/设备/材料 /零部件（稳健向上）、显示（底部企稳）、被动元件（稳健向上）、封测（稳健向上）。 北美大厂 AI 开支超预期，存储业绩持续爆发。Meta 预计 2026 年全年资本支出在 1150 亿至 1350 亿美元之间， 主要用于数据中心、服务器和网络基础设施，较 25 年的约 700 亿美元 CAPEX 实现显著增长。我们看到 AI 对 meta 自身业务实现了积极帮助，AI 改进了推荐算法，直接导致用户在平台上的停留时间增加，新的序列学 ...

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - Key sectors showing gains include telecommunications (+9.0%) and technology hardware (+4.6%) while software and services fell by 6.9%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, a significant drop from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media and entertainment (+$39.5 million) while software and services experienced outflows of -$106.0 million[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - Notable upward revisions were in technology hardware (+5.6%) and automotive (+3.2%) sectors, while energy saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risk Factors - Economic fundamentals, international political uncertainties, U.S. fiscal policy, and Federal Reserve monetary policy present significant risks[3]

Market Performance - S&P 500 increased by 0.3% while Nasdaq decreased by 0.2% this week[1] - Small-cap stocks led the decline with Russell 2000 value down by 1.0% and Russell 2000 growth down by 3.1%[1] - 13 sectors saw gains, while 10 sectors experienced losses, with telecommunications leading at +9.0%[1] Fund Flows - Estimated fund flow for S&P 500 components was -$84.1 million this week, down from +$5.6 million last week[2] - Major inflows were seen in technology hardware (+$40.3 million) and media & entertainment (+$39.5 million)[2] - Significant outflows occurred in software & services (-$106.0 million) and healthcare equipment & services (-$57.7 million)[2] Earnings Forecast - S&P 500's forward 12-month EPS expectation increased by 0.8% this week, up from 0.2% last week[3] - 21 sectors had upward revisions, with technology hardware & equipment seeing the largest increase at +5.6%[3] - Energy sector saw a downward revision of -2.7%[3] Risks - Economic fundamentals, international political situations, U.S. fiscal policies, and Federal Reserve monetary policies present uncertainties[3]

2026年开年，智能手机行业风云突变，各大厂商的出货量预期集体踩下"刹车"。 据悉，小米、OPPO、vivo、传音纷纷下调了2026年出货量预期。其中，小米、OPPO下调幅度超20%， vivo下调幅度接近15%，而传音更是下调至7000万台以下，各大厂商下调机型主要集中在中低端产品和 海外产品。 尽管小米等厂商尚未对该消息作出回应，但供应链方面流出的数据却为这一情况提供了佐证。 市场研究机构Omdia发布的《智能手机显示市场洞察》显示，2026年全球智能手机AMOLED面板出货量 预计降至8.1亿片，低于2025年的8.17亿片。这是AMOLED面板出货量连续三年增长后的首次下跌。下 跌原因主要是存储芯片供应短缺及价格疯狂上涨，厂商纷纷下调2026年的采购计划所致。 无独有偶，根据市场研究机构Counterpoint Research的报告，受存储芯片价格上涨及供应受限影响， 2026年全球智能手机SoC（系统级芯片）出货量预计将同比下降7%，其中150美元以下的低端机型受冲 击最为严重。 出货量是衡量市场表现的核心指标及直接体现，而出货量修正幅度超过20%，往往预示着厂商在战略层 面的重大调整。在智能手机 ...

来源：环球网 【环球网科技综合报道】2月1日消息，苹果对其线上商店进行了重要更新，针对全系列Mac电脑推出了 全新的订购流程，此次变革涉及MacBook Air、MacBook Pro、iMac、Mac mini、Mac Studio以及Mac Pro等所有在售Mac机型。 此前，用户在订购Mac电脑时，每款产品都有几种标准配置可供直接选择。但更新后，这一模式被彻底 改变，用户必须从零开始，逐项对整机进行自定义配置，这一全新的订购方式与iPad的订购流程高度相 似。 以MacBook Pro的订购页面为例，用户在进入页面后，首先需要确定屏幕尺寸，可在14英寸和16英寸之 间做出选择，同时选定机身配色。之后，用户有机会升级选配纳米纹理显示屏，以获得更优质的视觉体 验。接下来，用户要从对应尺寸机型所支持的M系列芯片及核心数选项中挑选适合自己需求的配置。在 完成芯片选择后，还需自定义内存容量、固态硬盘存储空间，并根据实际情况选配电源适配器，最后确 定键盘语言版本。（青山） ...

行业研究丨深度报告丨电子元件 [Table_Title] 液态金属行业五问五答 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 苹果作为全球消费电子硬件创新的引领者，其自身的高端机存量用户 10 亿以上，安卓品牌在 前几年已经给消费者完成折叠屏市场教育阶段，大量 IOS 用户期待苹果的折叠屏手机问世，我 们预期其首代产品将大卖，若后续采用液态金属转轴也会对当下安卓品牌形成很好的示范作 用，液态金属行业或将迎来新一轮高成长。针对市场普遍关注的几个问题，本篇报告以五问五 答的形式行文论述。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 杨洋 蔡少东 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490522090001 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 21 液态金属，即非晶合金，是指与通常情况下金属材料的原子排列呈现的周期性和对称性所不同 的非结晶状态的金属，其内部原子排列为短程有序、长程无序的玻璃态结构，因此又被称为"金 属玻璃"。 产业液态金属应用场景 %% %% %% %% research.955 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cost of parts for iPhones is expected to rise due to increased demand from AI companies [1] Group 1: Industry Impact - The surge in demand from AI companies is driving up the prices of components used in iPhones [1] - This trend may lead to higher production costs for smartphone manufacturers, potentially affecting pricing strategies [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increased demand from the AI sector is creating a competitive environment for sourcing electronic components [1] - Companies may need to adapt their supply chain strategies to accommodate the rising costs and ensure availability of parts [1]

Core Viewpoint - Peloton's stock price has plummeted 97% from its peak during the COVID-19 pandemic due to significantly weaker demand for its products [1] Company Overview - Peloton's current market cap is approximately $2.3 billion, with shares trading at $5.58 [8] - The company has 2.7 million connected fitness subscribers and over 500,000 digital app memberships, both of which are declining [9] Potential Acquisition - Peloton could be considered a buyout target, with a hypothetical acquisition cost of about $3 billion assuming a 25% premium [2] - Apple, with a market cap of $3.8 trillion, could find financial sense in acquiring Peloton, as the purchase price is negligible compared to its net income of $42 billion in Q1 2026 [4] Strategic Fit - The integration of Peloton's digital app into Apple's Fitness+ and the potential for Peloton equipment to be sold in Apple stores could enhance Apple's product portfolio [5] - The acquisition aligns with Apple's vision of health being a significant contribution to mankind, as stated by CEO Tim Cook [6] Market Considerations - Despite the strategic advantages, the limited total addressable market for high-priced exercise equipment and workout content may not significantly impact Apple's broader business [9] - Apple's existing offerings, such as the Apple Watch and Fitness+, indicate a focus on a wide target market, which may overshadow Peloton's niche [8]

Core Viewpoint - Apple Inc. reported strong financial results but saw minimal stock movement due to investor skepticism regarding the impact of artificial intelligence on future growth [1][4]. Financial Performance - Apple reported fiscal first-quarter revenue of $143.76 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $138.42 billion, with earnings of $2.84 per share, surpassing estimates of $2.66 [2]. - Revenue increased by 16% year over year, while earnings rose by 19% [2]. Guidance and Market Reaction - The company provided stronger-than-expected guidance, forecasting March-quarter revenue growth of 13% to 16% and gross margins of 48% to 49% [3]. - Despite these positive indicators, Apple shares gained less than 1% in after-hours trading [3]. Investor Sentiment - Investor skepticism is attributed to a lack of clear evidence on how AI will significantly impact Apple's business, rather than dissatisfaction with financial performance [4]. - Customers are reportedly satisfied and continue to upgrade devices, but investors are looking for clearer AI milestones [5][8]. AI Strategy and Expectations - The muted stock reaction is linked to the credibility gap created by Apple's previous AI announcements, which raised expectations that were not met [6]. - CEO Tim Cook provided limited updates on AI during the earnings call, mentioning a revamped Siri powered by Apple Intelligence would arrive "this year" without further details [7]. Regional Performance - A notable rebound in China revenue was reported, increasing by 38% year over year, alongside growth in Apple's installed base, which now exceeds 2.5 billion active devices [8].

Core Viewpoint - The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF (FTEC) provide different investment strategies within the technology sector, with SOXX focusing solely on semiconductor companies and FTEC covering a broader range of tech stocks [1] Cost & Size - SOXX has an expense ratio of 0.34% and AUM of $18 billion, while FTEC has a lower expense ratio of 0.08% and AUM of $17 billion [2] - The 1-year return for SOXX is 52.84%, significantly higher than FTEC's 20.80% [2] - SOXX offers a dividend yield of 0.57%, compared to FTEC's 0.43% [3] Performance & Risk Comparison - SOXX has a maximum drawdown of -45.75% over 5 years, while FTEC's maximum drawdown is -34.95% [4] - An investment of $1,000 in SOXX would grow to $2,573 over 5 years, compared to $2,133 for FTEC [4] Composition of Funds - FTEC holds 289 stocks, with 98% in technology, 1% in communication services, and a small portion in industrials, featuring top positions like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple [5] - SOXX is concentrated with only 30 holdings, all in the semiconductor sector, with top stocks including Nvidia, Micron Technology, and Advanced Micro Devices [6] Implications for Investors - FTEC's broader approach with nearly 10 times as many holdings as SOXX offers greater diversification, potentially reducing risk and volatility during market downturns [7] - SOXX's focused strategy on semiconductor stocks can yield high returns during industry booms, as evidenced by its performance over the last 12 months, which has more than doubled that of FTEC [8]