今日（1.22），芯片板块继昨日大涨后回调，全市场费率最低档的芯片50ETF（516920）收跌0.81%，全天成交额近1亿元！资金面上，芯片 50ETF（516920）近5日有2日获资金青睐！ 消息面上，机构KeyBanc数据显示，由于超大规模云服务商"扫货"，英特尔与AMD在2026全年的服务器CPU产能已基本售完。为了应对供需极端 失衡并确保后续供应稳定，两家公司均计划将服务器CPU价格上调10—15%。 芯片50ETF（516920）标的指数权重股多数收绿：长电科技跌超6%，中微公司跌超3%，兆易创新跌超2%，北方华创跌超1%，。值得关注的 是，芯片50ETF（516920）标的指数成分股中，不仅包含科创板芯片龙头，也囊括了北方华创、兆易创新、豪威集团、长电科技、江波龙、通富 微电等非科创板上市企业，更全面把握芯片历史性机遇！ | 序号 | 代码 | 名称 | 估算权重 ▼ | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 688256 | 寒武纪-U | 8.78% | -0.06% | 80.31亿 | | 2 | 688041 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The "arms race" in the AI sector has led to a divergence among the "Seven Giants" of the tech industry, with a growing focus on how these companies can monetize their substantial investments in AI technology [1][2]. Group 1: AI Investment and Financial Performance - Major tech companies like Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft are planning to significantly increase their investments in AI data center infrastructure, with Amazon projecting $125 billion by 2025 and Google raising its capital expenditure forecast for 2025 to between $91 billion and $93 billion [4]. - Meta's CFO updated the company's 2025 capital expenditure expectations to a minimum of $70 billion, indicating that spending growth in 2026 will be driven by AI infrastructure costs and talent acquisition [4]. - Microsoft anticipates its capital expenditures will exceed $88.2 billion in 2026, with a record $34.9 billion spent in the first quarter of 2026, primarily on data centers and AI tool development [5]. Group 2: Market Expectations and Stock Performance - The market expects strong revenue growth for these companies, with projections of 21% growth for Amazon AWS, 25% for Microsoft's commercial cloud, 35% for Google's cloud business, and 30% for Meta's overall revenue [5]. - The divergence in stock performance among the "Seven Giants" has become evident, with only Alphabet and Nvidia outperforming the S&P 500 index in the past year, while Apple and Tesla have underperformed due to insufficient AI investments and slowing electric vehicle sales, respectively [8][9]. Group 3: Future Trends and Investment Focus - Analysts suggest that the market is beginning to differentiate between companies that can successfully leverage AI investments and those that may struggle, indicating a shift towards identifying "AI beneficiaries" in various sectors such as healthcare, industrial, and finance [10][11]. - The ongoing AI investment trend is expected to enhance productivity and efficiency across industries, with some companies experiencing significant reductions in technology update cycles due to AI advancements [11].

Group 1 - Oil stocks generally rose, with CNOOC (02883) up 4.32%, PetroChina (00857) up 3.33%, CNOOC (00883) up 2.98%, and Sinopec (00386) up 3.01%. International oil prices saw a slight increase, with WTI crude oil futures for February closing at $60.62 per barrel, up 0.43%, and Brent crude oil futures for March at $65.24 per barrel, up 0.49% [1] - CATL (03750) fell over 4%, down 4.4% as of the report. A report from Citi raised concerns about CATL's growth prospects due to slowing EV sales in China, rising lithium prices, and reduced export VAT rebates [1] - Kintor Pharmaceutical (02171) rose nearly 4% after announcing a clinical collaboration with Dispatch Bio to initiate a Phase I clinical trial in China by 2026 for a treatment method targeting solid tumors [1] Group 2 - Guoxia Technology (02655) surged over 7% following a strategic cooperation agreement with Shuneng Electric to enhance collaboration in the energy storage sector [2] - Kingsoft Biotech (01548) dropped over 6% after its affiliate Legend Biotech's stock fell more than 11%. Kingsoft reported that Legend's CARVYKTI had a net sales of approximately $555 million for Q4 [2] - Hong Kong real estate stocks saw a general rise, with Hysan Development (00014) up 5.17%, Sun Hung Kai Properties (00016) up 3.36%, and Wharf Real Estate (01997) up 4.02%. A report from Citi indicated a recovery in Hong Kong property prices, predicting a continued upward trend, albeit at a moderate pace due to tempered interest rate cut expectations [2] Group 3 - Baidu Group (09888) rose nearly 5%, with a cumulative increase of over 40% in the past two months. The company launched the official version of its Wenxin large model 5.0, featuring 2.4 trillion parameters [3] - Pacific Basin Shipping (02343) increased over 9%, reaching a new high of HKD 2.96, benefiting from a rise in the Baltic Dry Index, which increased by 74 points or 4.3% to 1803 points [3] - GDS Holdings (09698) rose nearly 3% after announcing the sale of shares in DayOne for $385 million, recovering approximately 95% of its investment principal with a return rate close to 6.5 times [4] Group 4 - The US stock market saw an expansion in gains, with the Nasdaq up 1%. Notable tech stocks like Intel (INTC.US) rose 11.72%, reaching a market cap of over $250 billion, the highest in four years [5] - The storage sector continued to strengthen, with Micron Technology (MU.US) up 6.61% and Western Digital (WDC.US) up 8.49%. Counterpoint Research indicated that the storage market has entered a "super bull market" phase, surpassing previous highs due to increased demand from AI and server capacity [5] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surged 2%, with popular Chinese stocks like Bilibili (BILI.US) up 5.65% and Baidu (BIDU.US) up 8.17% [6]

CPU 涨价了吗？ 有新需求逻辑吗？20260121 摘要 英特尔部分 CPU 产品提价，美国地区提价 10%，美国以外地区提价 20%，主要受 ABF 载板紧缺和产能限制影响，同时 Windows 11 停止 更新导致 PC 市场温和复苏，加剧供需紧张。 服务器端 CPU 涨价受整体供应链价格上涨、渠道炒货及需求侧因素驱动。 AMD 毛利率提升主要归功于产品结构优化，高价值量产品占比增加。 英伟达选择将 ARM 架构的 CPU 与 GPU 集成，旨在优化大模型训练和推 理过程中的 KV 缓存操作，降低 PCIE 传输延迟，提高 GPU 效率。 AMD Q3 财报显示，AI 任务特别是 agent 类任务对 CPU 性能有高度依 赖，推动了对高端服务器及多核处理器服务器的需求增长，预计四季度 高端服务器市场将环比增长。 CPU、GPU 涨价主要由于窄板供应紧张和需求增加。景硕、南电、新兴 等窄板企业受益最大，上游原材料价格上涨也加剧成本压力。 窄板行业供需趋于平衡，价格大幅上涨。BT 载板已开始涨价，ABF 载 板价格攀升。上游玻璃布供应紧张进一步推升成本，下游客户面临较大 压力。 国内深南电路、新森科技等 ...

【金属】现货黄金收涨1.38%，报4828.94美元，日内一度抹去全部涨幅，因特朗普发帖表示与北约就格 陵兰问题达成协议。 【原油】国际油价21日微涨。截至当天收盘，纽约商品交易所3月交货的轻质原油期货价格上涨26美 分，收于每桶60.62美元，涨幅为0.43%；3月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格上涨32美分，收于每桶 65.24美元，涨幅为0.49%。 【宏观消息】 特朗普：美国将参与格陵兰矿产权益；心中选定的美联储主席可能只剩一位，希望能像上世纪90年代的 格林斯潘那样。美国总统特朗普表示：我们似乎已达成协议框架。格陵兰岛相关协议草案的内容完全符 合我方预期。格陵兰框架是一项长期协议，格陵兰框架让所有人都处于有利地位。将涉及矿产权益，美 国将"永久"参与格陵兰矿产权益。我们稍后会解释这项协议。此外，特朗普还谈到：我想说美联储主席 候选人已经缩减到三位，不对，是两位。而且我或许可以告诉你，在我心里可能已经只剩下一位了。贝 莱德全球固定收益首席投资官里克·里德尔、美联储前理事凯文·沃什，都适合担任下一任美联储主席。 关于凯文·哈塞特，实际上我更想让他留在目前的位置上。如果鲍威尔不离开美联储（即卸任主席后继 续担 ...

1月22日，港股半导体股多数上涨，港股科技30ETF（513160）盘初涨超1%，成分股中，英诺赛科涨近 6%，华虹半导体、中芯国际等涨幅靠前。 消息面上，据智通财经，机构KeyBanc数据显示，由于超大规模云服务商"扫货"，英特尔与AMD在2026 全年的服务器CPU产能已基本售完。为了应对供需极端失衡并确保后续供应稳定，两家公司均计划将服 务器CPU价格上调10—15%。 海通国际表示，在短期震荡阶段，建议保持耐心，但中期多头思维不改，把握住这个震荡调整的时间窗 口，积极挖掘更具中长期性价比的中国资产。A股和港股长期而言是相辅相成、共同促进中国资产在全 球财富配置中的崛起；中短期的行情节奏则是你追我赶、交替领跑，短期考虑到情绪"降温"，而港股科 技权重股后续将受益于进入AI产品密集发布窗口，所以，"北水"或有望更积极掘金港股的优势资产，短 期港股或有望强于A股。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 港股科技30ETF（513160）紧密跟踪恒生港股通中国科技指数，该指数跟踪可经港股通买卖，从事科技 业务并于香港上市的内地公司之表现。前十大重仓股包括中芯国际、美团-W、腾讯控股、阿里巴巴- W、小米集团-W等多 ...

伯恩斯坦分析师Stacy Rasgon将AMD的目标价从200美元上调至225美元，维持"与大市同步"评级。分析 师调升AMD第四季营收预估，部分原因是他对公司服务器业务动能的看法转趋乐观。分析师提到， AMD已与OpenAI达成协议，预计今年下半年起开始导入Helios 机柜系统，但目前OpenAI仍是唯一的大 型客户。不过，由于OpenAI的量产增加要到今年稍晚才开始，短期内AI业务的压力可能相对有限。他 认为，AMD更有可能先在核心业务上受惠于服务器需求强劲与市占提升，而投资人也可望在观察其AI 芯片发展结果的同时，维持乐观态度。 ...

申明：除了阐述事实！什么观点都没有！继前一篇台积电涨价cpu之后的事实补充！没有观点，没意 见，什么观点都没有。几研究gpu的时候，看过amd的，这几年它市场份额扩张的很快。 2025年Q3 AMD x86 CPU总份额达25.6%（环比+1.4pct，同比+1.6pct），首次突破25%；台式机份额 33.6%（环比+1.4pct，同比+5.2pct），首次超1/3；服务器27.8%（环比微增）；移动21.9%（环比 +1.3pct）。 中国区30%，美国30%，剩下中东+欧洲。 去年中国区数据中心业务翻倍了。 份额速览（Mercury Research 2025Q3） 增长趋势 2025Q1-Q3 x86从24%→24.2%→25.6%，台式机从30%→32.2%→33.6%，攀升。 若计入嵌入式/IoT/主机SoC，AMD x86整体份额30.9%（同比+5.9pct）。 • 总x86：AMD 25.6%，Intel 74.4% • 台式机：AMD 33.6%，Intel 66.4% • 服务器：AMD 27.8%，Intel 72.2% • 移动：AMD 21.9%，Intel 78.1% 数据中心， ...

Group 1: Company Announcements - On January 21, Aotai Bio disclosed its shareholding increase [1][4] - A total of 21 A-share listed companies, including Chen Zhan Optoelectronics, Deepwater Haina, Hengshuai Co., Ltd., and others, announced shareholding reductions [1][4] Group 2: Market Performance - The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 1.21%, Nasdaq up 1.18%, and S&P 500 up 1.16% [2][5] - Major technology stocks saw significant gains, with Intel rising over 11%, AMD over 7%, and Nvidia and Tesla both up over 2% [2][5] - Storage concept stocks performed well, with SanDisk increasing over 10% and Western Digital up over 8% [2][5] - The U.S. regional bank index rose 4.7%, marking the largest single-day increase since August [2][5] Group 3: Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 2.22%, with notable gains from companies such as New Oxygen up 14.93%, Baidu up 8.20%, and Century Internet up 7.17% [3][6]

International News - US natural gas futures prices saw a significant increase, with intraday gains reaching up to 30%, currently reported at $5.083 per million British thermal units, after previously recording increases of 29%, 28%, and 27% [1][7] - Precious metals market showed a downward trend, with spot gold prices dropping below $4820, $4810, $4800, and $4790 per ounce, with daily declines of 0.25%, 0.44%, 0.64%, and 0.86% respectively [1][7] - Spot silver also faced pressure, falling below $93, $92, and $91 per ounce, with daily declines of 1.68%, 2.93%, and 3.74% respectively [1][7] - US stock market performed strongly, with all three major indices closing up over 1%, the Dow Jones up 1.21%, Nasdaq up 1.18%, and S&P 500 up 1.16% [1][7] Individual Stocks - Intel shares rose over 11%, reaching a four-year high; AMD increased by 8.3%, SanDisk by over 10%, Western Digital by over 8%, and Micron Technology by over 6% [2][8] - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose by 2.22%, with notable gains from individual stocks such as New Oxygen up 14.93%, Baidu up 8.20%, and Century Internet up 7.17% [2][8] - OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman is meeting with top investors in the Middle East to pursue a new round of financing of at least $50 billion, with a post-funding valuation expected between $750 billion and $830 billion [2][8] - Apple plans a major overhaul of Siri, transforming it into a built-in chatbot with new features expected to launch later this year [2][8] Company Dynamics - French dairy company Lactalis announced a recall of multiple batches of infant formula in 18 countries, including China, due to potential contamination with Bacillus cereus toxin [3][9] - Ubisoft canceled the development of six games, including the remake of "Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time" and four unannounced titles [3][10] - The American Petroleum Institute (API) reported an increase of 3 million barrels in US API crude oil inventories last week, compared to a previous increase of 5.278 million barrels [3][10] - President Trump expressed hope for the retention of Kevin Hassett in his current position, with the shortlist for the Federal Reserve chair narrowing to two or three candidates [3][10]