在经历了数月的单边上扬与狂热追逐后，全球金属市场似乎撞上了"天花板"。 面对近期价格的剧烈波动，华尔街顶级投行摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）在新近发布的技术策略报告中发出明确信号： 金、银、铜等主要金属品种在未来几周都 将进入"盘整期"。 然而， 这并非牛市的终结 。在摩根大通全球市场策略团队分析师Jason Hunter看来， 当前的调整是长期上涨趋势中的必要休整。 他表示，对于精明的交易者而言，关键的博弈点在于"分化"： 相比于黄金典型的"冲高回落"形态，基本金属（尤其是铜）得益于全球制造业周期的支撑，其基 本面逻辑更为坚实，预计将在二季度先于黄金开启反弹。 铜的"预期差"：PMI数据背后的真相 黄金：从"抛物线"到"宽幅震荡" "我们认为近期金价的走势，是典型的短期冲高回落反转，而非长期涨势的终结阶段。"摩根大通技术策略师Jason Hunter在报告中写道。 Hunter表示，技术图表显示，黄金价格在经历了抛物线式的上涨后，动能已出现明显的衰竭迹象。他预测，金价将在未来数周甚至数月内形成一个宽幅震荡 的"持有模式"（Holding pattern）。在此期间，5000美元关口及5100-5150美 ...

金属狂欢暂停，但舞曲未终。在这个"中场休息"阶段，盲目追高黄金可能面临数月的震荡折磨。相反，盯着制造业周期的复苏信号，在技术支撑位布局 基本金属，或许是捕捉下一轮上涨浪潮的最佳策略。 在经历了数月的单边上扬与狂热追逐后，全球金属市场似乎撞上了"天花板"。面对近期价格的剧烈波动，华尔街顶级投行摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）在2 月5日发布的技术策略报告中发出明确信号：金、银、铜等主要金属品种在未来几周都将进入"盘整期"。 然而，这并非牛市的终结。在摩根大通全球市场策略团队分析师Jason Hunter看来，当前的调整是长期上涨趋势中的必要休整。 Hunter表示，技术图表显示，黄金价格在经历了抛物线式的上涨后，动能已出现明显的衰竭迹象。他预测，金价将在未来数周甚至数月内形成一个宽幅 震荡的"持有模式"（Holding pattern）。在此期间，5000美元关口及5100-5150美元区域将构成沉重的阻力，限制金价的短期反弹空间。 尽管短期面临技术性回调，但支撑黄金牛市的核心逻辑——"货币贬值"（Debasement）主题依然完好。报告特别指出，美元指数（DXY）持续在100关 口下方运行，这是一个关键的长 ...

JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) is one of the best affordable long term stocks to buy according to hedge funds. On February 3, Baird analyst David George upgraded JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) to Neutral from Underperform while maintaining his price target at $280. The analyst cited JPMorgan’s “enviable capital position” as a key factor supporting the revised rating. Baird Upgrades JPMorgan (JPM) to Neutral After Q4 Earnings Beat The upgrade followed JPMorgan’s Q4 2025 earnings report, in which the ban ...

在经历了数月的单边上扬与狂热追逐后，全球金属市场似乎撞上了"天花板"。面对近期价格的剧烈波动，华尔街顶级投行摩根大通（J.P. Morgan）在2月5日发布的技术策略报告中发出明确信号：金、银、铜等主要金属品种在未来几周都将进入"盘整期"。 然而，这并非牛市的终结。在摩根大通全球市场策略团队分析师Jason Hunter看来，当前的调整是长期上涨趋势中的必要休整。 他表示，对于精明的交易者而言，关键的博弈点在于"分化"：相比于黄金典型的"冲高回落"形态，基本金属（尤其是铜）得益于全球制造业周期 的支撑，其基本面逻辑更为坚实，预计将在二季度先于黄金开启反弹。 黄金：从"抛物线"到"宽幅震荡" "我们认为近期金价的走势，是典型的短期冲高回落反转，而非长期涨势的终结阶段。"摩根大通技术策略师Jason Hunter在报告中写道。 Hunter表示，技术图表显示，黄金价格在经历了抛物线式的上涨后，动能已出现明显的衰竭迹象。他预测，金价将在未来数周甚至数月内形成一 个宽幅震荡的"持有模式"（Holding pattern）。在此期间，5000美元关口及5100-5150美元区域将构成沉重的阻力，限制金价的短期反弹空间。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. market experienced unprecedented volatility across asset classes due to a massive short-selling action by hedge funds, culminating in a brutal short squeeze on Friday [1] - Hedge funds recorded the highest single-day short-selling volume of U.S. stocks since 2016, with a short-to-long ratio reaching 2.5 to 1, affecting not only the stock market but also precious metals and cryptocurrencies [1][2] - The software sector ETF (IGV) saw a significant increase in shares, rising 12% on Wednesday, indicating a potential bottoming out of the sell-off [1][4] Group 2 - The information technology sector was the worst performer, with a short-to-long ratio of 5.4 to 1, and software industry accounted for 75% of the net selling in this sector [3] - Eight out of eleven sectors faced net selling, with the largest dollar-denominated declines in information technology, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, industrials, and real estate [2] - On Friday, the most shorted stocks surged by 8.8%, marking the second-largest single-day increase since 2022, indicating a significant short-covering rally [5] Group 3 - Despite the short-covering on Friday, it only addressed about 20% of the recent short positions, suggesting the potential for further market rebounds unless short-sellers increase their positions [6] - JPMorgan reported that hedge fund returns were negatively impacted by the recent stock declines, with an average drop of 1.8% across all strategies [3]

Core Insights - JPMorgan Chase has been selected as the new issuer of the Apple Card, taking over from Goldman Sachs, marking a significant transition in Apple's consumer finance strategy [1][5] - Goldman Sachs' decision to step down is aimed at narrowing its business focus, while the implications for JPMorgan Chase remain uncertain [2][5] - JPMorgan Chase is the largest card issuer in the U.S. by total credit card purchase volume, indicating its capability to manage the Apple Card [6][9] Company Analysis - Goldman Sachs has historically functioned as an investment bank and struggled to establish itself in consumer banking, leading to its retreat from the Apple Card [4][5] - The Apple Card has over 12 million users, which, while not a significant addition to Chase's existing customer base of approximately 150 million cards, still presents opportunities for cross-selling [7][9] - The typical Apple Card user is aged 20 to 40, a demographic that represents about 70% of the user base, making them prime candidates for Chase's higher-end products [9] Financial Implications - The financial specifics of the deal between JPMorgan Chase and Apple regarding the Apple Card are not yet disclosed, making it difficult to assess the potential impact on Chase's financial performance [10] - The addition of new customers from the Apple Card is expected to provide numerous cross-selling opportunities, which could positively influence Chase's stock performance [10]

Group 1 - The financial institution JPMorgan is considered one of the best managed banks in the US, despite the author having sold their common shares last year [1] - The Investment Doctor emphasizes a portfolio should include a mix of dividend and growth stocks, focusing on high-quality small-cap ideas in Europe for capital gains and dividend income [1] - The investment group European Small Cap Ideas provides exclusive access to actionable research on European investment opportunities, featuring two model portfolios and weekly updates [1] Group 2 - There is a beneficial long position in the shares of JPM.PR.C, indicating ongoing interest in preferred shares [2] - The possibility of adding to the preferred share position or buying back common shares exists, but these actions are unlikely to occur within the next 72 hours [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent rally in precious metals has temporarily paused, entering a consolidation phase despite the long-term bullish trend remaining intact [2][5] - The report indicates that the dollar index's fluctuation below the 100 mark and the S&P 500/gold ratio suggest that the long-term "currency devaluation trade" is not over, with the current consolidation being a rest period within a bull market rather than a bear market reversal [2][5][14] - Short-term price action in gold shows characteristics of a "spike" reversal, which typically signals the onset of a consolidation phase, but this does not indicate the end of the long-term rebound [2][5] Group 2 - From a tactical perspective, gold prices are expected to undergo a necessary consolidation period before attempting to breach the 5100-point mark, with investors advised to monitor key technical levels to define the trading range [3] - The report emphasizes that the long-term price patterns and comparisons to the late 1970s currency devaluation cycle suggest that the long-term currency devaluation cycle is not yet complete, indicating that the foundation for a bull market remains [5] - The macro drivers supporting the long-term bullish outlook for commodities are primarily rooted in the foreign exchange market, with the dollar index experiencing significant fluctuations and remaining trapped within a defined range [8][14] Group 3 - The report highlights that the recent surge in copper prices is partly driven by "currency devaluation funds," with implied global manufacturing PMI expectations significantly higher than actual readings, suggesting that while copper may be slightly overvalued, the cyclical trend remains intact [6][7] - The weak dollar environment is expected to continue supporting the long-term bullish logic for precious metals and commodities, as the dollar index has primarily operated below the critical long-term pivot point of 100 over the past eight months [14]

Core Viewpoint - The one-sided upward trend in precious metals has temporarily come to a halt, entering a consolidation phase despite the underlying long-term bullish trend remaining intact [2][3]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Morgan Stanley forecasts that gold will form a wide trading range between support levels of $4264-$4381 and resistance levels of $5100-$5150, potentially lasting for several months [3][4]. - The recent price action of gold shows characteristics of a short-term "explosive" reversal, indicating the arrival of a consolidation phase rather than the end of a long-term rebound [3][6]. - Key technical points to monitor include a mid-term support level around $4500, the 50-day moving average, and the breakout area of $4264-$4381 from Q4 2025 [4][5]. Group 2: Copper Market Insights - Morgan Stanley believes that base metals, particularly copper, will exhibit stronger resilience compared to precious metals, with a first support level expected around 12074-12105 [7]. - The report highlights that copper prices have been partially driven by "currency devaluation capital flows," with implied global manufacturing PMI expectations significantly higher than actual readings [8]. - The long-term bullish trend for copper remains intact as long as prices stay above the critical mid-term support level of 11100-11200 [7][8]. Group 3: Macro Drivers - The long-term bullish logic for commodities is primarily supported by the foreign exchange market, with the dollar index struggling below the key level of 100 for the past eight months [11][12]. - A sustained price level below 100 could lead to a resumption of the downward trend that began in early 2025, which would continue to support the long-term bullish outlook for precious metals and commodities [13].

Group 1 - JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money [1] - The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase [1] - The Motley Fool recommends Palo Alto Networks [1]