LI NING(LNNGY)
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李宁(02331.HK):2025H1营收稳健增长 全渠道库存处于健康可控水平
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-26 20:07
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a steady revenue growth in H1 2025, but a decline in net profit due to various financial challenges, including impairment losses and increased tax rates [1][3]. Revenue and Profit Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.817 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.737 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.0% [1]. - The company's EBITDA for H1 2025 was 3.513 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.0% year-on-year growth [1]. Product Performance - Revenue from footwear, apparel, accessories, and equipment in H1 2025 was 8.231 billion, 5.193 billion, 1.393 billion, and 0.139 billion yuan respectively, with footwear showing a growth of 4.9% [2]. - The sales volume of core running shoes exceeded 5.26 million pairs in H1 2025, indicating strong performance in the running category [2]. Channel Performance - Direct sales revenue in H1 2025 decreased by 3.4% to 3.383 billion yuan, while e-commerce revenue grew by 7.4% to 4.300 billion yuan [2]. - The company closed 33 direct stores, ending H1 2025 with 1,278 stores, while the wholesale channel saw a revenue increase of 4.4% to 6.883 billion yuan [2]. Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 50.0%, down 0.4 percentage points, primarily due to a decrease in the proportion of high-margin direct sales [3]. - The operating profit margin declined by 0.3 percentage points to 16.5%, and the net profit margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 11.7% [3]. Inventory and Cash Flow - As of the end of H1 2025, the company's inventory amounted to 2.428 billion yuan, a 5.0% increase year-on-year, with inventory turnover days at 61 days, a decrease of 1 day [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 2.411 billion yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue and operating profit growth, with strong performance in the running category and healthy inventory levels [4]. - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.02, 1.14, and 1.21 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 17.5, 15.8, and 14.9 times [4].
李宁(02331):1H25业绩基本符合预期,区间交易逻辑不变
Huajing Securities· 2025-08-26 14:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning with a target price of HK$23.30, indicating a potential upside of 15% from the current price of HK$20.28 [2][3]. Core Views - The report highlights that Li Ning's 1H25 performance met expectations, with revenue of RMB 14.817 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%. The gross margin was 50%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points due to intensified promotional competition in direct sales channels [5][6]. - The report notes that while direct sales did not meet expectations, e-commerce revenue increased, leading to a rise in related expenses. The net profit for 1H25 was RMB 1.737 billion, down 11% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 11.7% [5][6]. - The report emphasizes that all product categories and channels are performing well, with footwear revenue up 5% and accessories revenue up 24%, while apparel revenue declined by 3% [6][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Li Ning's revenue for 1H25 was RMB 14.817 billion, with a gross margin of 50%. The net profit was RMB 1.737 billion, reflecting an 11% decline year-on-year [5][6]. - The report projects revenue for 2025 to be RMB 28.686 billion, with a net profit of RMB 2.403 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 20.2% [9][12]. Operational Insights - The report indicates a balanced development between online and offline channels, with e-commerce revenue accounting for 31% of total revenue, up 1 percentage point year-on-year. Direct sales revenue decreased due to a reduction in store numbers [6][8]. - The report mentions that Li Ning plans to enhance its outdoor product lines and expects to introduce approximately 5,000 stores for outdoor categories by the end of the year [7][8]. Valuation and Forecast - The report maintains the earnings forecast for Li Ning for 2025-2027, expecting revenue growth of 0.0% in 2025, 2.0% in 2026, and 1.8% in 2027. The net profit is projected to decline by 20.2% in 2025 but recover slightly in the following years [8][9]. - The report assigns a P/E ratio of 22 times for 2026, raising the target price by 21% to HK$23.30, which still offers a 15% upside from the current price [8][9].
李宁-下半年展望悲观,第三季度业绩逊于预期;维持 2025 年全年业绩指引
2025-08-26 13:23
Summary of Li Ning (2331.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Li Ning Company Limited - **Industry**: Sportswear Key Points 1. Downbeat 2H Outlook - Management expressed a pessimistic outlook for the second half of 2025, citing worse-than-expected retail performance in July and August, including a year-over-year increase in retail discounts and declining offline traffic compared to the second quarter [1][2][3] 2. Financial Guidance - The company maintained its full-year guidance for 2025, expecting flat sales growth year-over-year with a high single-digit net profit margin (NPM). This implies a wider year-over-year decline in net profit in the second half compared to the first half of 2025 [1][3] 3. Selling Expenses - Management anticipates a substantial rise in selling expenses both year-over-year and half-over-half due to back-end loaded advertising and promotional (A&P) expenses and increased staff costs in the second half [1][3] 4. Gross Profit Margin (GPM) Pressure - The company expects GPM to decline year-over-year in 2025 due to weaker retail sales and higher-than-expected retail discounts, with a worsening trend observed from the second to the third quarter [2][3] 5. Sales Performance by Category - In the first half of 2025, footwear sales (56% of group sales) grew by 5% year-over-year, while equipment/accessories (9% of group sales) rose by 24%. However, apparel sales fell by 3% year-over-year. Notably, basketball retail sales declined by 20% year-over-year [7] 6. Margins by Channels - In the first half of 2025, gross profit margins for direct retail, e-commerce, and wholesale channels were in the low-60s, mid-50s, and mid-40s respectively, reflecting a decline due to increased retail discounts [4][6] 7. Long-term Strategy - Despite the financial pressures in the second half, the company's long-term strategy to invest in branding and focus on professional categories remains unchanged [3] 8. Risks - Key upside risks include improved consumer confidence in China and lower-than-expected industry discounting. Downside risks involve volatile sales growth, competition with foreign brands, and execution risks in the mass market segment [9] 9. Valuation - The target price for Li Ning shares is set at HK$18.10, based on a 17x 2025E P/E, reflecting a 40% discount to Nike's historical trading P/E due to lower earnings visibility [8] 10. Market Position - The sector ranking remains: Anta (Buy) > Topsports (Buy) > Li Ning (Buy), indicating a competitive landscape within the sportswear industry [1] Additional Insights - The company is facing significant challenges in the current retail environment, with management's cautious tone reflecting broader industry trends in China. The focus on professional products and branding may provide a buffer against short-term volatility, but execution will be critical in navigating the competitive landscape.
安踏、李宁回应收购彪马(蓝鲸新闻)
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 12:28
安踏、李宁回应收购彪马(蓝鲸新闻) 【 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点旗下短视频产品 】 特别声明:以上文章内容仅代表作者本人观点,不代表新浪网观点或立场。如有关于作品内容、版权或其它问 题请于作品发表后的30日内与新浪网联系。 ...
安踏李宁被传收购Puma股权,回应来了
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-26 10:25
Core Viewpoint - Puma is facing significant challenges as its largest shareholder, Artemis SAS, is exploring the possibility of selling its 29.3% stake amid a downturn in the global luxury goods market, which has severely impacted Kering Group, the parent company of Artemis SAS [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Puma reported a 2.0% decline in sales to €1.942 billion, marking the first quarterly sales drop in nearly two years [2]. - Key financial metrics across regions, channels, and product categories showed declines, with EMEA down 3.1%, Americas down 0.5%, and APAC down 2.9% [3]. - The company has lowered its fiscal 2025 performance expectations, anticipating a "low double-digit percentage decline" in annual sales, a shift from previous expectations of "low to mid-single-digit growth" [4]. Profitability Outlook - Puma's operating profit forecast has shifted from an expected profit of €445 million to €525 million to a potential operating loss due to factors such as slower sales growth and the impact of new tariffs in the U.S. [4]. - The company estimates a reduction of approximately €80 million in gross profit due to U.S. tariffs, which is a critical variable affecting profitability [4]. Cost-Cutting Measures - In March, Puma announced a layoff plan aimed at cost reduction and efficiency improvement, but these measures have proven insufficient in light of the tariff impacts [5]. - Despite collaborations with influencers and cultural icons, such as partnerships with fitness influencer Pamela and K-pop star Rosé, Puma has struggled to achieve sustainable brand growth [5]. Market Position and Future Uncertainty - The ongoing discussions regarding the potential sale of Puma's shares by Artemis SAS indicate a lack of confidence in the brand's future performance [1]. - The overall outlook for Puma remains uncertain amid a challenging market environment and disappointing financial results [7].
彪马出售,安踏、李宁或不想接盘
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-26 09:39
Core Viewpoint - The Pinault family, a major shareholder of Puma, is exploring strategic options, including the potential sale of its 29% stake in the company, with initial contacts made with potential buyers including Chinese sports brands Anta and Li Ning, as well as American companies and Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds [1][4][10]. Financial Performance - In 2023, Puma's sales increased by 6.6% year-on-year to €8.6017 billion, but net profit fell by 13.7% to €304.9 million. In 2024, sales are projected to grow by 4.4% to €8.82 billion, while net profit is expected to decline by 7.6% to €282 million [4][6]. - For Q2 of the 2025 fiscal year, Puma's sales decreased by 2.0% year-on-year to €1.9422 billion, with declines in the EMEA region (down 3.1% to €771.7 million) and the Americas (down 0.5% to €779.9 million), while Latin America saw double-digit growth [6]. Market Environment - The domestic market is experiencing volatility, with Nike reporting a 21% decline in sales in Greater China for the latest fiscal quarter [7]. - Li Ning's revenue for the first half of the year grew by 3.3% to ¥14.82 billion, but net profit fell by 11.0% to ¥1.74 billion, indicating challenges in offline customer traffic and increased competition in the sports brand sector [8][9]. Strategic Responses - Li Ning's strategy involves targeted investments and strict cost control, focusing on managing inventory and ensuring alignment between sales and stock levels [9]. - Anta's acquisition strategy appears more favorable for pursuing Puma, given its history of successful acquisitions and a focus on a multi-brand strategy [11][12]. Competitive Landscape - Anta has successfully integrated various brands, including FILA and Amer Sports, contributing to a revenue increase of 13.6% to ¥70.826 billion in 2024 [12]. - FILA's performance has been fluctuating, with a revenue increase of 6.1% to ¥26.6 billion in 2024, but facing challenges from price competition affecting profit margins [16].
招银国际:升李宁目标价至23.02港元 仍保持正面看法
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 09:09
Core Viewpoint - The report from CMB International indicates that Li Ning (02331) has experienced a resurgence in core operating profit in the first half of this year, reflecting the company's transformation efforts and inherent brand value [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **Company Performance** - Li Ning's core operating profit has started to grow again in the first half of the year [1] - **Investment Rating and Target Price** - CMB International maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning and raises the target price from HKD 18.95 to HKD 23.02 [1] - **Market Outlook** - The firm expresses optimism about a potential recovery in the coming years, especially as extraordinary China begins to repurchase more Li Ning shares and the government's willingness to promote consumption increases [1] - **Management Guidance** - The management's decision to maintain the guidance for the fiscal year 2025 is deemed reasonable by CMB International [1]
招银国际:升李宁(02331)目标价至23.02港元 仍保持正面看法
智通财经网· 2025-08-26 09:07
智通财经APP获悉,招银国际发布研报称,李宁(02331)今年上半年核心经营溢利开始再次增长。考虑到 公司的转型努力及品牌内在价值,予该股维持"买入"评级。该行将李宁目标价从18.95港元上调至23.02 港元,随着非凡中国开始回购更多李宁股份,以及政府促进消费的意愿日益增强,该行对未来几年或出 现的复苏更加乐观,认为李宁管理层维持2025财年指引不变合理。 ...
李宁称未与彪马谈判,安踏不予置评
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-26 08:48
Core Viewpoint - Recent market rumors suggest that the Pino family is seeking potential buyers for Puma SE, which has seen its market value decline by approximately 50% over the past year, with Anta and Li Ning being mentioned as potential bidders [1] Group 1: Company Responses - Li Ning stated that it has not engaged in any substantial negotiations or evaluations regarding the rumored acquisition of Puma, emphasizing its focus on the growth and development of the Li Ning brand under its core strategy of "single brand, multiple categories, and multiple channels" [1] - Anta declined to comment on the market rumors regarding the potential bid for Puma [1] Group 2: Market Impact - Following the rumors of a potential acquisition, Puma's stock price surged by 20% in the German stock market, marking its largest single-day increase since October 2001 [1]
彪马出售:李宁“没谈”,安踏暧昧
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-26 07:37
Core Viewpoint - The potential sale of Puma shares by the Pinault family is being evaluated, with interest from Chinese sports brands like Anta and Li Ning, as well as American companies and Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds [1][2] Group 1: Puma's Financial Performance - In 2023, Puma's sales increased by 6.6% year-on-year to €8.6017 billion, but net profit fell by 13.7% to €304.9 million [5] - For 2024, sales are projected to grow by 4.4% to €8.82 billion, while net profit is expected to decline by 7.6% to €282 million [5] - In Q2 2025, Puma's sales dropped by 2.0% year-on-year to €1.9422 billion, with declines in the EMEA and Americas regions [5][6] Group 2: Li Ning's Position - Li Ning reported a 3.3% increase in revenue to ¥14.82 billion in the first half of the year, but net profit decreased by 11.0% to ¥1.74 billion [8] - The company acknowledges challenges in offline customer traffic and competitive pressures in the sports brand sector [8][9] - Li Ning's strategy focuses on targeted investments and strict cost control, with an emphasis on managing inventory effectively [9] Group 3: Anta's Acquisition Strategy - Anta has a history of successful acquisitions, including FILA and Amer Sports, and continues to pursue a multi-brand strategy [11][12] - In 2024, Anta's revenue grew by 13.6% to ¥70.826 billion, with Amer Sports contributing significantly to this growth [12] - Anta's systematic advantages in retail and supply chain management have led to successful brand performance, particularly for the Arc'teryx brand [14][15] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment for sports brands is intensifying, with both Anta and Li Ning facing challenges in maintaining market share [8][18] - Anta's FILA brand is experiencing fluctuations in performance, with sales declining in certain segments [18] - The potential acquisition of Puma may not align with Anta's strategic interests due to competition with the FILA brand [17][18]