Group 1 - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose over 0.5% in early trading [1] - Baidu increased by 5.75% [1] - NIO rose by 3.88% [1] - Xpeng Motors gained 3.51% [1] - NetEase saw an increase of 2.36% [1] - Century Internet rose by 1.28% [1]

消息面上，国家发改委、财政部发布《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策的通 知》，其中提到，支持汽车报废更新。个人消费者报废登记在本人名下的乘用车，并购买纳入《减免车 辆购置税的新能源汽车车型目录》的新能源乘用车或2.0升及以下排量燃油乘用车的，给予汽车报废更 新补贴支持，购买新能源乘用车补贴车价的12%(最高不超过2万元)、购买2.0升及以下排量燃油乘用车 补贴车价的10%(最高不超过1.5万元)。 上述通知还提到，支持汽车置换更新。个人消费者转让登记在本人名下的乘用车，并购买纳入《减免车 辆购置税的新能源汽车车型目录》的新能源乘用车或2.0升及以下排量燃油乘用车的，给予汽车置换更 新补贴支持，购买新能源乘用车补贴车价的8%(最高不超过1.5万元)、购买2.0升及以下排量燃油乘用车 补贴车价的6%(最高不超过1.3万元)。 智通财经APP获悉，周二，新能源车中概股普涨，蔚来(NIO.US)涨5%，小鹏汽车(XPEV.US)涨逾3%， 理想汽车(LI.US)涨逾1%。 ...

Summary of the Conference Call on China's Auto Industry Outlook for 2026 Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **China auto industry** and its outlook for **2026**, highlighting cyclical and policy challenges that may lead to both risks and opportunities for technological advancements and market growth [1][2]. Key Forecasts and Trends - **Sales Decline**: Anticipated **7% year-over-year (YoY)** decline in auto sales for 2026, ending a three-year growth streak. This decline is attributed to market pessimism, which may lead to a relief rally if marginal improvements occur [2][3]. - **Subsidy Expectations**: Continued nationwide and local subsidies are expected to mitigate the impact of a **5% purchase tax hike**. The average subsidy per car is projected to decrease due to updated stimulus measures [3]. - **Quarterly Sales Projections**: - **1Q26**: Sales expected to fall **5-7% YoY** (or down **30%+ quarter-over-quarter (QoQ)**). - **2Q26**: Anticipated **3% YoY** decline. - **2H26**: Expected to see a **0-1% YoY** decline, with March/April potentially marking the fundamental trough for investors [3]. Volume and Market Share - **Wholesale Volume**: Forecasted **3% YoY** decline in **2026** for passenger vehicle (PV) wholesale volume, with a **7% YoY** decline in domestic sales [4][11]. - **New Energy Vehicles (NEV)**: NEV sales growth is expected to decelerate to **11%**, achieving **59% sales penetration**. Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) are projected to grow **14%**, outpacing battery electric vehicles (BEVs) at **9%** growth [4][15]. - **Export Growth**: Exports are expected to grow by **16% YoY**, with significant growth in sales to Europe, ASEAN, and Latin America, each projected to grow **20-25% YoY** [4][12]. Investment Recommendations - **Preferred Stocks**: - For OEMs: **XPeng**, **Geely**, and **SAIC** are recommended for their resilient domestic and growing overseas sales, along with potential re-rating opportunities from non-auto initiatives. - Investors are advised to monitor **Li Auto**, **NIO**, and **BYD** for new launches in **2Q26** that may generate alpha against reduced expectations [6]. - **Auto Parts**: Preferred stocks include **Hesai**, **Minth**, and **Xingyu**. Among dealers, **Zhongsheng** is favored due to profit resurgence from stricter scrutiny on unfair auto price competition [6]. Additional Insights - **Technological Development**: The need for progressive development of non-auto initiatives, such as AI and humanoids, is emphasized for a potential re-rating of multiples in the capital market [5]. - **Market Sentiment**: The current market sentiment is characterized by a pessimistic bias, which may create opportunities for recovery if conditions improve [2]. Conclusion - The China auto industry is poised for a challenging year in **2026**, with expected declines in sales and volume. However, strategic investments in resilient companies and emerging technologies may provide opportunities for recovery and growth in the long term [1][2][6].

We recently published 10 Stocks Quietly Climbing Toward 2026. NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) is one of the best performers on Monday. NIO Inc. extended its winning streak to a third consecutive day on Monday, jumping 4.71 percent to close at $5.34 apiece as investors cheered the company’s preliminary sales guidance for the fourth quarter of the year. According to Chinese media 36kr, quoting NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) founder and Chief Executive Officer William Li as telling Chinese customers that the company is looking t ...

（原标题：蔚来能源｜写入《2025 汽车行业影响力年鉴》） 在"十四五"规划收官之际，中国汽车产业正在进入新的发展阶段。经济观察报第十九届中国汽车年会暨 《2025汽车行业影响力年鉴》，基于公开数据、市场表现与行业共识，对年度内在技术路径与市场格局 层面产生实际影响的"明亮因子"进行系统梳理。 在汽车产业迈向全面电动化转型的关键阶段，能源服务的创新与布局，已成为衡量企业长期竞争力与用 户体验的重要标尺。蔚来能源 以前瞻的战略眼光、扎实的网络建设、开放的生态合作以及持续演进的 商业模式，重塑电动汽车用户的补能体验，开辟出一条兼具成长性、行业引领性与社会价值的新赛道， 成为2025年备受关注的投资价值标杆。 秉持"让加电比加油更方便"的愿景，蔚来能源累计投入约180亿元，系统构建起"可充、可换、可升 级"的全场景能源服务体系。截至2025年12月，其已在全国布局超过8500座充换电站，形成覆盖"9纵11 横16大城市群"的高速换电网络，1000余座高速换电站联通全国550座城市。在部分基础设施相对薄弱、 但出行需求旺盛的区域，蔚来布局了80余条加电风景线，并向全行业电动车用户开放，助力低碳出行。 2025年，蔚来 ...

（编辑 张昕） 本报讯 （记者袁传玺）天眼查App显示，近日，海宁蔚乐萤汽车销售服务有限公司成立，注册资本500万元，经营范围包 括新能源汽车整车销售、机械设备销售、五金产品零售等，由蔚来汽车销售服务有限公司全资持股。 ...

Core Insights - In 2025, the Chinese smart driving industry is experiencing an unprecedented shift in computing power, driven by the evolution of software algorithms and the emergence of competing technical paradigms [1][2] - The differentiation in high-level intelligent driving commercial applications is evident, with a K-shaped market split between affordable and high-end models, leading to fragmentation in the industry [2] - The demand for computing power is increasingly recognized as a core element in the development of smart driving technologies, both at the vehicle and cloud levels [2] Group 1: Technological Evolution - The transition to an end-to-end framework in smart driving is marked by significant advancements, as seen in Tesla's FSD Beta V12 software, which utilizes a computing power standard of 144 TOPS [3][4] - Tesla's shift from HW3 to HW4 signifies a major milestone in its autonomous driving evolution, with the latter becoming the preferred platform for future software updates [5][6] - The upcoming FSD V14 version is expected to have ten times the parameters of its predecessor, indicating a substantial leap in the vehicle's ability to process complex environmental information [6] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Chinese smart driving players, including Xpeng, Li Auto, and NIO, are adopting end-to-end strategies but are initially relying on existing computing platforms, primarily NVIDIA's Orin-X [7][12] - By 2025, a clear division among smart driving companies has emerged, categorized into three main factions based on their computing power strategies: self-developed chips, NVIDIA-based solutions, and Huawei's offerings [12][13] - The self-developed chip faction includes NIO's NX9031 and Xpeng's Turing AI chip, while the NVIDIA faction is represented by the latest Thor platform, which is gaining traction in various models [13][14] Group 3: Cloud Computing and Future Prospects - The industry is witnessing a race for cloud computing power, which is essential for the evolution of smart driving algorithms and the transition from L2 to L4 capabilities [19][20] - The reliance on cloud computing is becoming increasingly critical, as it supports data processing, model training, and simulation necessary for addressing complex driving scenarios [23][24] - The ongoing competition for cloud resources is expected to intensify, with companies recognizing that enhanced cloud capabilities are vital for future advancements in autonomous driving technology [20][21]

Industry Information - The 2025 Globalization and Sustainable Development Forum for the automotive industry released three key industry consensus points, emphasizing the integration of electric intelligence with ESG responsibilities, the importance of safety and user value in smart vehicles, and the necessity of sustainable development as a core requirement for the automotive industry [7] - Wuhan's 14th Five-Year Plan suggests accelerating the development of emerging industries such as embodied intelligence, high-end chips, quantum technology, and brain-computer interfaces [8] - As of November 2025, the total number of electric vehicle charging infrastructure in China reached 19.322 million, a year-on-year increase of 52.0%, with public charging facilities accounting for 4.625 million [9][10] - The total investment for the EVE Energy headquarters and Jin Yuan Robot AI Center project is approximately 1 billion yuan, focusing on sodium battery products and AI robotics [12] - Guangzhou aims to create a trillion-level smart connected new energy vehicle industry cluster as part of its 14th Five-Year Plan [13] - The "Shenzhen-Hong Kong Automotive Fast Pass Plan" has been officially implemented, streamlining the import process for electric vehicles [14] - The National Energy Administration is promoting the construction of charging piles in rural areas to support the growth of electric vehicles [15] - Huawei's ADS MAX 4.1 upgrade significantly enhances the experience in urban congestion scenarios [16] - The first batch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicle special license plates has been issued in Beijing, marking a milestone in the commercialization of autonomous vehicles [16] - By 2026, over 10,000 charging guns will be built in highway service areas across the country [16] - The National Energy Administration reported a 60.2% year-on-year increase in electricity consumption for charging and swapping services in November 2025 [18] - The first automotive intelligent chassis testing report was released, with BYD's Yangwang U7, NIO ES8, and Zhijie R7 recognized as benchmark models [20] - Hunan's electric vehicle exports exceeded 10 billion yuan for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of 105.3% [22] - Guangzhou's new energy vehicle production increased by 22.6% in the first 11 months of 2025 [22] - A total investment of 7.47 billion yuan was signed at the Ningde lithium battery new energy industry promotion conference, with an expected annual output value of 12.14 billion yuan [27] - The annual export of new energy vehicles from the Xiangyang Comprehensive Bonded Zone exceeded 10,000 units for the first time, marking a 350% year-on-year increase [27] - Inner Mongolia's Chifeng City has built 3,453 charging piles during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [29] Policy Information - The Guizhou Qiannan Prefecture government issued a plan for high-quality energy industry development from 2025 to 2027, focusing on expanding charging infrastructure [30] - The Henan Sanmenxia government released a plan for the construction of charging facilities in residential areas [31] - The Jiangsu province is adjusting its electric vehicle charging fee subsidy policy for 2026 [32] - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need to regulate competition in the new energy vehicle, lithium battery, and photovoltaic industries to avoid "involution" [23][24]

Domestic News - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) emphasizes accelerating the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, focusing on intelligent, green, and integrated development to enhance the competitiveness of traditional industries globally [6] - The National Energy Administration calls for the construction of a high-quality charging infrastructure system, aiming for a "three-year doubling" action plan to improve service capabilities and safety in electric vehicle charging [7] - In November, China's electric vehicle exports surged by 87% year-on-year, reaching 199,836 units, with significant growth in Asia (71%) and Latin America (283%) [8] - Changan Automobile plans to raise no more than 6 billion RMB through stock issuance to enhance its R&D and market competitiveness in the new energy vehicle sector [9] - NIO has announced the launch of a battery swap station in Deqin, completing a battery swap route over 2,700 kilometers with 19 stations [12] - CATL has established a new energy technology company in Xishuangbanna, focusing on new energy technology research and sales [13] International News - The market share of imported cars in South Korea is expected to exceed 20% in 2025, driven by the surge in Tesla sales and high demand for premium brands [15] - TIERIV has received support from the Japanese government to build a large-scale autonomous driving data set, enhancing industry competitiveness through AI data collection [16] - Waymo is conducting autonomous taxi tests in London, showcasing its electric vehicles on the streets [17] - General Motors plans to launch its sixth-generation V8 engine in 2027, offering two displacement options of 5.7L and 6.7L [18] Commercial Vehicles - The first fully vehicle-compliant unmanned logistics vehicle is set to launch in early 2026, with several domestic manufacturers focusing on unmanned logistics solutions [21] - Dongfeng Motor has completed dual national standard certification for vehicle information security and software upgrades, positioning itself at the forefront of compliance in the industry [23] - Iveco's electric vehicle has been awarded the title of "Green and Efficient City Distribution Recommended VAN" at a recent industry event [24] - The Fei Die Qitu MX (air brake version) light truck has been launched in Shaanxi, expanding the product lineup to meet diverse transportation needs [26]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing with a 10-day winning streak, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.49% and 0.63% respectively [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the third consecutive trading day, increasing by 3.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [2] Sector Performance - The robotics sector saw significant gains, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit, including Fenglong Co. with five consecutive limit-ups and Tianqi Co. with four consecutive limit-ups [3] - The AI glasses concept also showed strong performance, with stocks like New Xiang Micro rising nearly 10% and Yingpais rising over 7% [3] - AI-related stocks collectively surged, with over ten stocks in the AI, AI agents, and AIGC sectors hitting the daily limit, including Kute Intelligent and Baijia Qiancheng [3] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market also showed strength, with the Hang Seng Index rising over 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by more than 2% [5] International Markets - The Japanese and South Korean stock markets closed early due to the New Year's holiday, with the Nikkei 225 Index down 0.37% but showing a strong annual performance, gaining over 10,000 points and up 26.18% for the year [7]