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FSD神话褪色:当“老司机”遇上中国马路
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 03:50
炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:杰哥科技眼 2026年2月,特斯拉FSD自动辅助驾驶套件在中国已推送近一年,舆论却两极撕裂:一边是"遥遥领 先"的拥趸,称其"像真人开车";另一边是车主晒出的罚单合集——压线、闯红灯、误入非机动车 道,"驾照分不够扣"。 FSD到底被神化了吗?它是中国路况的最佳解吗? 一、FSD的"人味",是优势也是软肋 必须承认,FSD有其惊艳之处。 纯视觉方案下,它能在无车道线的路口靠右行驶,能丝滑变道、预判加塞,红灯前缓缓刹停如老司机 ——这种"拟人感",远超多数依赖高精地图+激光雷达的国产智驾。 其底层逻辑也足够先进:端到端神经网络+世界模型,让AI通过观看数百万小时人类驾驶视频"自学成 才",而非执行预设规则。这使其在开放道路具备强泛化能力,甚至能模仿大货车路线试探前行,展现 出某种"思考感"。 但问题恰恰出在这里:太像人,也会犯人的错。 在美国空旷高速上,FSD可零接管穿越4397公里;但在中国,它会在实线前"效率优先"强行变道,在左 转专用车道直行,在斑马线前因行人犹豫而长时间停滞。更危险的是,它对"中国特有元素"几近失明: 外卖骑 ...
国新证券每日晨报-20260209
Guoxin Securities Co., Ltd· 2026-02-09 03:09
Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a volatile consolidation with a slight decrease in trading volume. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4065.58 points, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13906.73 points, down 0.33%. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.73% and the STAR Market 50 Index decreased by 0.71%. The total trading volume of the A-share market was 216.35 billion yuan, showing a slight decline compared to the previous day [1][4][9] - Among the 30 sectors tracked by CITIC, 9 sectors saw gains, with notable increases in the oil and petrochemical, basic chemicals, and electric equipment and new energy sectors. Conversely, the food and beverage, defense and military, and telecommunications sectors experienced significant declines. Additionally, indices related to lithium battery electrolyte, lithium battery anodes, and power batteries showed active performance [1][4][9] Overseas Market Overview - The three major U.S. stock indices all closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 2.47%, the S&P 500 increasing by 1.97%, and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 2.18%. Nvidia's stock surged nearly 8%, adding approximately 325 billion dollars to its market capitalization. Caterpillar also saw a rise of over 7%, leading the Dow [2][4] News Highlights - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, held a meeting to discuss policies aimed at promoting effective investment. The meeting emphasized the importance of innovative and effective policy measures to enhance the use of central budget investments, long-term special bonds, and local government special bonds in key areas such as infrastructure and emerging industries [3][11][12] - Eight departments, including the People's Bank of China and the China Securities Regulatory Commission, have strengthened regulations to curb risks associated with virtual currencies. The notice clarifies that virtual currencies do not hold the same legal status as fiat currencies and outlines strict prohibitions on various illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies [14][15][16] - China's foreign exchange reserves have increased for six consecutive months, reaching 3399.1 billion dollars by the end of January 2026, with a month-on-month increase of 41.2 billion dollars, reflecting a growth rate of 1.23%. Additionally, gold reserves have increased for 15 consecutive months, totaling 7.419 million ounces [17][18]
俞浩评马斯克“百万亿美元市值”言论:老马,你好像信心不太足,荷尔蒙分泌不太够了
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 02:49
新浪科技讯 2月9日上午消息,追觅科技创始人俞浩于微博转发马斯克"特斯拉市值达到百万亿美元并非 不可能"言论并调侃道:"哎呀,老马呀,你好像信心不太足啊,怎么显得这么勉强,荷尔蒙分泌不太够 了啊。"并激励道:"快点快点,再加把劲,加油老马!五十几岁也还是奋斗的年纪!起来,老马! " 近日,有网友写道:特斯拉的市值目前已达1.5万亿美元。要达到100万亿美元,就意味着要增长65倍。 马斯克对此回应称:"显然,要实现这样的结果,需要付出极其巨大的努力并且要有十足的运气!我只 是想说,这并非完全不可能。" 此前,俞浩曾多次扬言"打造百万亿美元公司"是自己的目标,并称将"用接下来二十年去奋斗"。 今日早间,追觅科技登陆全美一年一度重磅体育赛事"超级碗",宣布以近千万美元投放赛事黄金时段, 成为中国首个霸屏全美的高端智能生态品牌,全方位展示了其智能出行、智能厨电、智能个护、智能清 洁等的全场景智能生态矩阵。对此俞浩转发并配文称,"我们说到一定会做到,上个月我说追觅会登上 全球最顶级的赛场'超级碗',那就一定会"。 责任编辑:杨赐 新浪科技讯 2月9日上午消息,追觅科技创始人俞浩于微博转发马斯克"特斯拉市值达到百万亿美元 ...
汽车早餐 | 春节新能源车充电量预创新高;赛力斯公告剥离蓝电;极狐首款高端MPV命名将近期公布
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang· 2026-02-09 02:48
Group 1: Domestic News - During the Spring Festival holiday, the charging volume for new energy vehicles is expected to reach a historical high, with a daily peak exceeding 34 million kilowatt-hours, representing a 17% year-on-year increase [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission projects that by 2025, the ratio of total social logistics costs to GDP will decrease to 13.9%, marking the lowest level since records began [3] - Fujian province aims to enhance its manufacturing pillar industries and cultivate strategic emerging industry clusters such as new energy and optoelectronic information [4] - Shanghai plans to establish 500 advanced smart factories and aims for an industrial robot application density of 600 units per 10,000 people during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, focusing on new sectors like smart terminals and commercial aerospace [5] Group 2: International News - Germany's industrial output is projected to decline by 1.1% in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of decline, primarily due to weak automotive production [6] - The semiconductor industry is expected to reach a total sales figure of $791.7 billion in 2025, with a projected growth of 26% in 2026, indicating a rapid approach to the $1 trillion milestone [8] - Tesla is evaluating multiple sites in the U.S. to expand its solar battery manufacturing capacity, targeting an annual production capability of 100 gigawatts within three years [9] - LG Energy Solution plans to acquire a 49% stake in the joint venture NextStar Energy from Stellantis, ending their partnership [10] Group 3: Corporate News - Changan's brand leaders for the Inertia and Deep Blue brands have swapped positions, with the new leaders taking charge of brand communication strategies [11] - Xiaomi has introduced TacRefineNet, a tactile-driven robot model capable of achieving millimeter-level precision in object manipulation without relying on visual input [12] - Dong'an Power reported a 2.44% year-on-year increase in engine sales for January 2026, with a total of 47,400 units sold [13] - BAIC's Arcfox brand will soon announce the name of its first high-end MPV, following a naming campaign that received over 8,000 proposals [14] - Seres announced the divestiture of Blue Electric, forming a new company with the local government and other investors to enhance capital [15]
特斯拉推进美国本土太阳能电池制造,2028年兑现百吉瓦产能目标
Huan Qiu Wang· 2026-02-09 02:27
据知情人士透露,特斯拉目前正评估纽约州、亚利桑那州、爱达荷州等多个选址,计划通过扩产与新建 结合的方式提升产能。其中,纽约州布法罗工厂将成为核心扩产基地,未来产能有望提升至10吉瓦,这 一规模相当于10座核电站的发电能力,特斯拉还考虑在纽约州建设第二座太阳能电池工厂。该制造计划 由特斯拉副总裁Bonne Eggleston牵头推进,目前相关招聘工作已同步启动,特斯拉太阳能产品工程高级 经理Seth Winger也公开招募工程师和科学家,助力项目大规模落地。 马斯克此前在播客节目中直言,美国当前进口太阳能产品面临高额关税,这是特斯拉布局本土制造的重 要原因,同时SpaceX与特斯拉将协同推进百吉瓦产能目标。他还表示,这一产能未来将为地球及太空 中的数据中心供电,为特斯拉的太空与地面业务布局提供能源支撑。不过对于特斯拉的合作意向,爱达 荷州相关部门表示无法确认或否认相关合作,纽约州、亚利桑那州部分相关政府机构则未予回应,纽约 州州长办公室更是明确表示尚未与特斯拉就此接触。 特斯拉的入局,已对美国现有太阳能制造企业产生影响。目前美国本土太阳能制造龙头企业First Solar 预计今年将本土产能提升至14吉瓦,而特 ...
未知机构:20260208复盘宏观1特朗普称提前三年完-20260209
未知机构· 2026-02-09 02:25
Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview Macro Environment - Trump claims to have achieved the Dow Jones target of 50,000 points three years ahead of schedule, projecting it to reach 100,000 points by the end of his term [1] - Iran states it will not abandon uranium enrichment and missile development [1] - Japan's election results are finalized [1] Artificial Intelligence - Jensen Huang emphasizes that market demand for AI is extremely strong, indicating that large-scale capital expenditure in AI is both appropriate and necessary [1] - Software is evolving into "agent systems" capable of directly utilizing tools [1] - Prices of second-hand GPUs sold six years ago are rising [1] - OpenAI and Anthropic are profitable, with potential for exponential revenue growth if they acquire more computing resources [1] - The largest infrastructure build in human history is in its early to mid-stages and is expected to continue for another 7-8 years [1] - Following Google, Amazon's capital expenditure also exceeded expectations, continuing aggressive investments [1] - China has explicitly outlined the cultivation of three types of data circulation service institutions to support the "AI+" initiative [1] - Musk predicts that within 30 to 36 months, space will become the preferred site for AI infrastructure [1] Satellite Industry - China successfully launched a reusable experimental spacecraft [3] - Shanghai's Economic and Information Commission aims to create a trillion-level industry in smart terminals, commercial space, and low-altitude economy [3] - NASA confirms astronauts can carry the latest iPhone on Crew-12 and Artemis 2 missions to unlock new use cases for commercial consumer electronics [3] - Amazon plans to conduct over 20 satellite launches by 2026 and initiate commercial operations for satellite internet [3] Semiconductor Industry - Major storage chip manufacturers are shifting to unprecedented contract frameworks, moving from long-term fixed-price agreements to short-term or even monthly contracts, with a clear shift in market power towards suppliers [4] - Intel and AMD have officially notified Chinese customers about a shortage of server CPUs [4] Robotics - Musk identifies three main challenges for humanoid robots: real-world intelligence, hand functionality, and scalable manufacturing [4] Autonomous Driving - Tesla's VP states that the company has invested in a local AI training center in China to enhance Tesla's AI training capabilities for local applications [4] Lithium Battery - Market sentiment is optimistic about production schedules, but actual lithium battery production has remained consistently strong [4] - Expected incremental growth in battery exports for heavy trucks and European vehicles in 2026 is projected at 700 million [4] Dye Industry - Following Runhe shares, Zhejiang Longsheng has also issued a price adjustment notice [4] Construction and Real Estate - The State Council plans to promote major projects and engineering in key areas such as infrastructure and urban renewal [4] Gold Market - The central bank has increased its gold holdings for the 15th consecutive month [5] Medical Aesthetics - The peak season for medical aesthetics has started earlier this year, with popular projects and doctor appointment cycles noticeably extended [5] Market Strategy Observations - Trading volume on Friday was 21,457 billion, with a decrease of 305 billion [5] - The index continues to experience low-volume fluctuations, with expectations for a minor rebound before the holiday, as selling pressure eases [5] - Sector performance includes rebounds in oil, petrochemicals, and power equipment (lithium batteries, photovoltaics, AI power) [5] - The focus remains on cyclical sectors such as chemicals, oil and gas, and gold, with structural rebounds in robotics [5] - The upcoming week lacks a strong continuous focus, but holding onto a single point could still yield profits, with key investment directions being AI, cyclical price increases, and gold [5]
马斯克太空光伏计划火速推进!光伏ETF(159857)标的指数飙涨近5%,盘中获申购1700万份
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-09 02:13
光伏ETF(159857)及其场外指数基金(A:011102,C:011103)跟踪的是光伏产业指数,该指数从 市场中选取涉及硅料、硅片、电池片、组件等制造环节以及光伏发电站运营等相关成份股,以全面反映 中国光伏行业上下游企业的整体表现。光伏产业指数具有显著的成长性和波动性特征,能够较好地体现 光伏产业链的发展动态。 格隆汇2月9日|今日光伏概念股持续走强,协鑫集成4连板,杭电股份、杉杉股份2连板,TCL中环、拓 日新能、爱旭股份、双良节能等近20股涨停,带动光伏ETF(159857)标的指数大涨4.88%,该ETF盘 中获资金申购1700万份,近10日流入超2亿元。 马斯克在最新访谈中认为,随着地球上的电力增长受阻,太空将成为AI部署的最佳场所,太空光伏将 会最佳载体,特斯拉将会制造太阳能电池,SpaceX和特斯拉都在朝着每年100吉瓦的太阳能电池产量努 力。据知情人士透露,特斯拉正评估美国多个选址,计划扩大太阳能电池制造业务。 中信证券研报称,太空光伏需求有望迎来指数级增长。马斯克下注光伏制造,为轨道算力和AI供电铺 路。中国头部光伏设备厂商具备极强的高效迭代和快速响应能力,有望跻身特斯拉和SpaceX等 ...
特斯拉下注光伏电池制造,光伏ETF嘉实(159123)一键布局光伏全产业链投资机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 02:13
消息方面,特斯拉正评估美国多个选址,计划扩大太阳能电池制造业务,目标在未来三年内实现每年 100吉瓦的太阳能制造能力。中信证券研报称,太空光伏需求有望迎来指数级增长。马斯克下注光伏制 造,为轨道算力和AI供电铺路。中国头部光伏设备厂商具备极强的高效迭代和快速响应能力,有望跻 身特斯拉和SpaceX等相关设备供应链,并收获高额订单,打开全新成长空间。此外,太空光伏设备或 具备明显通胀效应,价值量或将实现跃迁式提升。重点推荐具备技术、产品和份额优势的光伏各环节设 备龙头厂商。 光伏ETF嘉实(159123)跟踪中证光伏产业指数,是布局光伏全产业链的便捷工具。 场外投资者还可以通过光伏ETF场外联接(014605)布局光伏产业链投资机遇。 2026年2月9日早盘,光伏、太空光伏板块拉涨,截至09:50,中证光伏产业指数强势上涨3.85%,成分股 聚和材料上涨20CM涨停,晶科能源上涨12.36%,协鑫集成上涨10.04%,爱旭股份,晶科科技等个股跟 涨。 从全球光伏产业链来看,中国处于绝对优势地位,如果马斯克要推动大规模、低成本的太空光伏路线, 无论是否在美国本地化部署,都将不可避免地依赖中国。中国银河证券认为,随 ...
太空光伏概念股全线走高 特斯拉正加速推进太阳能制造 太空光伏需求有望迎来指数级增长
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 02:08
Core Viewpoint - The space photovoltaic concept stocks have seen a significant rise, driven by Tesla's acceleration in solar manufacturing and the anticipated exponential growth in space photovoltaic demand [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - JunDa Co., Ltd. (002865) surged by 167.14%, reaching HKD 43.5 [1] - GCL-Poly Energy (03800) increased by 9.01%, trading at HKD 1.21 [1] - Xinte Energy (01799) rose by 6.81%, priced at HKD 7.69 [1] - Flat Glass Group (601865) gained 6.15%, with a price of HKD 11.56 [1] Group 2: Tesla's Solar Manufacturing Plans - Tesla is evaluating multiple options to expand solar production capacity, including increasing the capacity of its Buffalo, New York factory to 10 GW [1] - Additional factories are being considered in New York, Arizona, or Idaho [1] - Elon Musk stated that Tesla aims to produce 100 GW of solar cells annually to power data centers on Earth and in space [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - CITIC Securities reports that the demand for space photovoltaics is expected to experience exponential growth [1] - Musk's investment in photovoltaic manufacturing is paving the way for powering orbital computing and AI [1] - Leading Chinese photovoltaic equipment manufacturers possess strong capabilities for efficient iteration and rapid response, positioning them to enter the supply chains of Tesla and SpaceX, potentially leading to high-value orders and new growth opportunities [1] - Space photovoltaic equipment may exhibit significant inflation effects, with a potential leap in value [1]
马斯克称特斯拉市值或超百万亿美元:需要付出巨大努力
Feng Huang Wang· 2026-02-09 02:04
据《福布斯》2月3日报道,随着SpaceX收购xAI,埃隆.马斯克以8520亿美元(现汇率约合5.92万亿元人民 币)个人净资产刷新人类财富纪录。 凤凰网科技讯2月9日,马斯克周末表示,特斯拉市值有朝一日可能达到100万亿美元,但需要付出巨大 的努力。一位网友写道:特斯拉的市值目前已达1.5万亿美元。要达到100万亿美元,就意味着要增长65 倍。马斯克回应称:"显然,要实现这样的结果,需要付出极其巨大的努力并且要有十足的运气。我只 是想说,这并非完全不可能。" ...