2025 年 04 月 15 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2025/4/15 分析师：卫以诺 分析师登记编码：S0890522110001 电话：021-20321297 邮箱：chengbingzhe@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话： 021-20515355 2025/4/9》2025-04-09 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/4/1》2025-04-01 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/25》2025-03-25 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/18》2025-03-18 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/11》2025-03-11 投资要点 分析师：程秉哲 ◆网格交易策略概述：简单来说，"网格交易"本质上是一种高抛低吸的交易 策略。但与依赖判断长期走势的趋势交易不同，网格交易是一种基于价格波动 的策略，它不预测市场的具体走势，而是利用价格在一定范围内的自然波动来 获取利润，适用于价格频繁波动的市场。在震荡行情中，投资者可以考虑灵活 运用网格交易，通过反复多次地赚取相对较 ...

| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/4/14 | 星期一 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/4/14 | 新股发行 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 发行价格 | | | | | | | | 732202 | 天有为 | 93.50 | 2025/4/14 | 内地市场权益提示 | | | | | | | | 类别 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 权益日期 | 最新公告链接 | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=601028&announcementId=122303 | 现金选择权 | 601028 | 玉龙股份 | 现金选择权申报期 | ：2025年4月17日至2025年4月23日 | | 1697&orgId=9900021563&announcementTime=2025 | -04-09 | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosur ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents several ETF - based strategy indices and tracks their performance and holdings on a weekly basis. These indices aim to achieve excess returns relative to the market through different quantitative models and strategies [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 1. ETF Strategy Index Tracking - **Overall Performance**: The table shows the performance of various ETF strategy indices last week. For example, the Huabao Research Small - Large Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index had a last - week index return of - 2.89%, a benchmark return of - 3.30%, and an excess return of 0.41% [12]. 1.1. Huabao Research Small - Large Cap Rotation ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index. It outputs weekly signals to determine the next - week's index strength and decides on holdings accordingly [3][13]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return since 2024 was 16.02%, the excess return in the past month was 0.72%, and the excess return in the past week was 0.41%. Last week, the index return was - 2.89%, and the benchmark (CSI 800) return was - 3.30% [3][12][15]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 100% of the CSI 300 ETF [15]. 1.2. Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses price - volume indicators to time self - built Barra factors and maps timing signals to ETFs based on their exposure to 9 major Barra factors, covering mainstream broad - based index ETFs and some style/strategy ETFs [3][15]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return since 2024 was 15.97%, the excess return in the past month was 2.40%, and the excess return in the past week was 0.09%. Last week, the index return was - 3.21%, and the benchmark (CSI 800) return was - 3.30% [3][12][15]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 58.94% of the Dividend Low - Volatility ETF, 21.11% of the CSI 300 ETF, and 19.95% of the Dividend Quality ETF [15]. 1.3. Huabao Research Quantitative Windmill ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It starts from a multi - factor perspective, including long - and medium - term fundamental analysis, short - term market trend tracking, and analysis of market participants' behavior. It uses valuation and crowding signals to indicate industry risks and multi - dimensionally digs out potential sectors [20]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return since 2024 was 0.97%, the excess return in the past month was - 1.10%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.40%. Last week, the index return was - 1.91%, and the benchmark (CSI 800) return was - 3.30% [20][23]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 21.93% of the Agriculture ETF, 20.10% of the Bank ETF, 20.06% of the Military Industry ETF, 19.15% of the Non - Ferrous Metals 60 ETF, and 18.76% of the Home Appliance ETF [24]. 1.4. Huabao Research Quantitative Balance Technique ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses a multi - factor system including economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior to build a quantitative timing system for equity market trend judgment. It also builds a prediction model for market small - large cap styles to adjust equity market positions [24]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return since 2024 was 2.46%, the excess return in the past month was 2.55%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.41%. Last week, the index return was - 1.46%, and the benchmark (CSI 300) return was - 2.87% [24][25][29]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 5.02% of the CSI 1000 ETF, 4.96% of the 500ETF Enhanced, 28.91% of the Enhanced 300 ETF, 25.60% of the Policy Financial Bond ETF, 25.24% of the Short - Term Financing ETF, and 10.26% of the 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF [29]. 1.5. Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It tracks and mines hot - spot index target products through strategies such as market sentiment analysis, industry event tracking, investor sentiment and professional views, policy and regulation changes, and historical deduction, and constructs an ETF portfolio to capture market hot - spots [30]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return in the past month was 2.69%, and the excess return in the past week was 1.47%. Last week, the index return was - 2.83%, and the benchmark (CSI All - Share Index) return was - 4.30% [30][34]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 4.34% of the Real Estate ETF, 26.06% of the Hong Kong Consumption ETF, 25.62% of the Soybean Meal ETF, 23.92% of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF, and 20.07% of the 5 - to 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF [34]. 1.6. Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - **Strategy Principle**: It uses bond market liquidity and price - volume indicators to select effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine - learning. When the expected yield is below a certain threshold, it reduces the long - duration positions in the bond investment portfolio [35]. - **Performance**: As of 2025/4/11, the excess return in the past month was 0.07%, and the excess return in the past week was - 0.16%. Last week, the index return was 0.19%, and the benchmark (ChinaBond Aggregate Index) return was 0.35% [35][39]. - **Holdings**: As of 2025/4/11, it held 49.92% of the Short - Term Financing ETF, 25.06% of the 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF, 12.53% of the 5 - to 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF, and 12.49% of the Policy Financial Bond ETF [39].

2025 年 04 月 13 日 证券研究报告 | 策略周报 策略周报 分析师：刘芳 分析师登记编码：S0890524100002 电话：021-20321091 邮箱：liufang@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890524080002 电话：021-20321080 邮箱：haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 关税对 A 股哪些行业影响较大？ 何配置？—策略周报》2025-03-30 2、《科技主线重燃，二次上行可期 —策 略周报》2025-03-09 3、《从关税博弈到 AI+突围—策略周 报》2025-02-23 4、《市场情绪持续回暖，春季躁动有望 延续 —策略周报》2025-02-16 5、《春节国内外大事速递—策略点评》 2025-02-05 投资要点 分析师：郝一凡 通过（对美出口 / 总出口）*（出口收入 / 总收入）这一公式来测算各行 业对美出口的依赖程度，结果显示 A 股申万一级子行业中，家电、电子、轻工 制造、机械设备、纺织服饰等行业受到美国关税影响程度较大，这些行业的出 口业务对美国市场的依赖程度较高，若美国关税政策持续，相关行业 ...

异常波动 | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=601952&announcementId=122303 | 601952 | 苏垦农发 | 0032&orgId=9900030581&announcementTime=2025 | -04-09 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=601933&announcementId=122303 | 601933 | 永辉超市 | 0028&orgId=9900016367&announcementTime=2025 | -04-09 | | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=600965&announcementId=122303 | 600965 | 福成股份 | 0022&orgId=gssh0600965&announcementTi ...

2025 年 04 月 10 日 证券研究报告 | 策略专题报告 历史重现却未重演 两轮关税周期下的美元异动之谜 分析师：刘芳 分析师登记编码：S0890524100002 电话：021-20321091 邮箱：liufang@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890524080002 电话：021-20321080 邮箱：haoyifan@cnhbstock.com 销售服务电话： 021-20515355 相关研究报告 投资要点 分析师：郝一凡 本轮美国加征关税剑指全球，覆盖中国及全球 180 多个国家，同时幅度从 10%到 50%不等，打击广度和政策烈度均远超市场预期，导致经济冲击的逻辑 发生逆转：一方面全球关税累积的负面效应直接冲击美国经济，另一方面美国 与原先各个贸易对手之间替代贸易的可能性降低，从而导致美国经济本身遭受 更大的损害。 而美国经济走弱预期也促使投资者押注美联储将提前降息，美债对欧债的利 差减小，美元指数震荡下行。当美国关税大棒无差别挥向全球时，美国货币霸 权基石率先开始自我反噬。 风险提示：经济修复不及预期的风险，政策效果不及预期的风险，地缘风 险，海外经济衰退风险，外 ...

| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/4/10 | 星期四 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/4/10 | 内地市场权益提示 | 类别 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 权益日期 | 最新公告链接 | | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=601028&announcementId=122303 | 现金选择权 | 601028 | 玉龙股份 | 现金选择权申报期 | ：2025年4月17日至2025年4月23日 | 1697&orgId=9900021563&announcementTime=2025 | -04-09 | | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=600777&announcementId=122299 | 要约收购 | 600777 | ST新潮 | 要约申报期：2025年4月8日至2025年5月7日 | 2722&orgId ...

2025 年 04 月 09 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金月报 关税扰动加剧，基金组合如何应对？ 基金配置策略报告（2025 年 4 月期） 分析师：孙书娜 分析师登记编码：S0890523070001 电话：021-20321306 邮箱：sunshuna@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890522090001 电话：021-20321067 邮箱：wanghua@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890524070001 电话：021-20321079 邮箱：fengsishi@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890524040001 电话：021-20321096 邮箱：guxin@cnhbstock.com 021-20515355 金配置策略报告（2025 年 3 月期）》 2025-03-13 （2025 年 2 月期）》2025-02-10 3、《政策真空期更为谨慎，债牛未尽 更防波动—基金配置策略报告（2025 年 1 月期）》2025-01-10 销售服务电话： 纯债型基金——尽管在目前利率已在相对低位，但在外部扰动加剧、国内基本面修复形势 ...

2025 年 04 月 09 日 证券研究报告 | 财富生态周报 ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报 2025/4/9 分析师：卫以诺 分析师登记编码：S0890518120001 电话：021-20321014 邮箱：weiyinuo@cnhbstock.com 2025/4/1》2025-04-01 2、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/25》2025-03-25 3、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/18》2025-03-18 4、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/11》2025-03-11 5、《ETF 及指数产品网格策略周报— 2025/3/4》2025-03-04 投资要点 分析师：程秉哲 ◆网格交易策略概述：简单来说，"网格交易"本质上是一种高抛低吸的交易 策略。但与依赖判断长期走势的趋势交易不同，网格交易是一种基于价格波动 的策略，它不预测市场的具体走势，而是利用价格在一定范围内的自然波动来 获取利润，适用于价格频繁波动的市场。在震荡行情中，投资者可以考虑灵活 运用网格交易，通过反复多次地赚取相对较小的差价来增强投资收益，待新的 方向或市场主线明确之 ...

| 新股发行及今日交易提示 | 2025/4/9 | 星期三 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/4/9 | 新股上市 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 发行价格 | | | | | | | | 603210 | 泰鸿万立 | 8.60 | 2025/4/9 | 内地市场权益提示 | | | | | | | | 类别 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 权益日期 | 最新公告链接 | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/detail?stockCode=601028&announcementId=122303 | 现金选择权 | 601028 | 玉龙股份 | 现金选择权申报期 | ：2025年4月17日至2025年4月23日 | | 1697&orgId=9900021563&announcementTime=2025 | -04-09 | http://www.cninfo.com.cn/new/disclosure/d ...