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安克创新(300866):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:多品类协同促增长,盈利韧性凸显
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-07 06:45
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, upgraded from a previous "Hold" rating [5][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 24.71 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.11 billion yuan, up 30.9% year-on-year [2]. - The energy storage business experienced explosive growth, with revenue reaching 3.02 billion yuan in 2024, a staggering increase of 184% year-on-year, contributing to 12.2% of total revenue [3]. - The company optimized its traditional business structure, maintaining stable revenue contributions from charging products while expanding its global reach, covering 146 countries and regions [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 43.3%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 8.8%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027 at 33.6%, 27.7%, and 23.6% respectively, with net profit growth projected at 28.9%, 23.8%, and 22.8% [5]. - The financial summary indicates a total revenue of 33.01 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit of 2.73 billion yuan [6][12]. Business Development - The company’s charging product revenue remains stable, with new product iterations like GaN fast charging and wireless car charging maintaining higher average selling prices [4]. - The online sales channel accounted for 71% of total revenue in 2024, with significant contributions from platforms like Amazon [4]. - The company is leveraging its supply chain flexibility in emerging markets to mitigate trade policy risks, indicating potential for growth in regions like Southeast Asia and Australia [4].
中大力德(002896):点评报告:主业稳健增长,人形机器人业务未来可期
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 11:08
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a potential stock price increase of 5% to 15% over the next six months [4]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in its core business, particularly in the intelligent transmission sector, with a comprehensive product lineup including harmonic reducers, RV reducers, and planetary reducers. This positions the company well to meet diverse customer needs and enhance integration efficiency [9]. - The humanoid robot business is progressing well, with plans to invest 200 million in a new precision component production line, aiming to capitalize on the expected growth in the humanoid robot market [9]. - Financial forecasts predict the company's net profit attributable to shareholders will reach 0.85 billion, 1.09 billion, and 1.33 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 161.75, 126.41, and 103.30 [9]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company reported revenue of 1,086 million, with a year-on-year growth of 20.99%. However, a decline of 10.10% is expected in 2024, followed by a recovery with projected growth rates of 13.01%, 12.88%, and 12.96% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 73 million, with a slight increase of 10.22%. The forecast for 2024 shows a minor decline of 0.82%, but significant growth is expected in the following years [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 was 0.48, projected to increase to 0.56 in 2025, 0.72 in 2026, and 0.88 in 2027 [2]. Product Performance - The company reported a revenue of 3.45 billion from deceleration motors, a slight increase of 0.78%, while precision reducers generated 2.43 billion, up by 1.07%. However, the intelligent execution units saw a significant decline in revenue by 23.65% [3]. - The gross margin improved to 29.21%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.24 percentage points, indicating effective cost management despite a slight revenue decline [3]. Market Position - The company is well-positioned in the rapidly growing humanoid robot market, with expectations of reaching one million units by 2027. The current global production capacity for harmonic reducers is insufficient to meet demand, suggesting a strategic advantage for the company as it expands production [9].
上市银行2025Q1业绩综述:投资支撑营收,息差降幅收窄
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 09:49
[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 行业动态报告 投资支撑营收,息差降幅收窄 ---上市银行 2025Q1 业绩综述 报告摘要: [Table_Summary] 2025Q1 营业收入与归母净利润小幅下滑。2025 年一季度,42 家上市银 行共实现营业收入 1.45 万亿元,同比下降 1.72%。实现归母净利润 5639.79 亿元,同比下降 1.20%。 投资收益快速增长,占比营收提升明显。2025 年一季度,42 家上市银行 共实现利息净收入、手续费及佣金净收入、投资收益分别为 1.02 万亿元 (yoy-1.65%)、0.23 万亿元(yoy-0.72%)、0.17 万亿元(yoy+26.10%), 占营收比例分别为 70.80%、15.67%、11.62%,较上年末分别提升 0.05、 0.16、2.56 个百分点。拨备计提减少释放利润,但降幅收窄。2025 年一 季度,上市银行资产减值损失为 3471.34 亿元,同比下降 2.37%,补偿了 利润,但降幅较上年全年收窄 3.61 个百分点。 信贷规模稳步增长,增速企稳。截至 2025 年一季度末,42 家上市银行 贷款及垫款总规模为 1 ...
黄金:情绪缓和,现实恶化,继续看多金价
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 09:19
[Table_Info1] 有色金属 [Table_Date] 发布时间:2025-05-06 $$i k\neq\pm i k$$ 黄金:情绪缓和,现实恶化,继续看多金价 核心观点: [Table_Summary] 金:情绪缓和,现实恶化,继续看多。1)关税相关信息仍导致金价持续 波动:一方面是贸易紧张情绪继续缓和,4/28 贝森特继续向市场传递出 "将与多国达成协议以及有望与中国开启贸易谈判"的讯号,5/2 中国商 务部则表示"美方近期通过相关方面主动向中方传递信息希望谈判,对 此中方正在进行评估",贸易紧张情绪缓和,使得金价承压。但另一方面, 关税的不确定性远未结束:首先,日美第二轮谈判仍然缺乏实质进展, 5/2 日本首相石破茂表示绝对不会接受对汽车加征关税(日美谈判核心议 题);日本经济再生担当大臣赤泽亮正在谈判中表示对美方关税政策感到 遗憾并强烈要求美方重新考虑;日本财务大臣加藤胜信则暗示日本持有 美债或可作为谈判筹码;其次,5/5 特朗普宣布对电影行业加征 100%关 税再度引发市场担忧,同时特朗普 NBC 专访报道也显示其仍然维持对 中国较为强硬的关税立场。2)近期美国部分经济数据也开始令市场有 ...
百润股份(002568):预调酒短期承压,烈酒业务有望突破
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 06:56
[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 预调酒短期承压,烈酒业务有望突破 事件: [Table_Summary] 公司于 2025 年 4 月 28 日发布 2024 年年度报告与 2025 年一季度报告。 2024 年实现营业收入 30.48 亿元,同比下降 6.61%;归母净利润 7.19 亿 元,同比下降 11.15%。2025 年一季度实现营业收入 7.37 亿元,同比下 降 8.11%;归母净利润 1.81 亿元,同比增长 7.03%,2025Q1 利润增长好 于收入增长。 点评: 2024 年经营承压。分产品来看,预调鸡尾酒业务 2024 全年实现营业收 入 26.77 亿元,同比下降 7.17%,产品结构上移叠加原材料成本下降,毛 利率同比提升 2.42%。食用香精业务全年实现营收 3.37 亿元,同比增长 6.30%,增长较为稳定,毛利率同比提升 1.48%。分区域来看,华东/华南 /华北/华西地区营收分别为 10.15/9.3/5.56/5.13 亿元,分别同比- 6.84%/0.41%/-7.29%/-12.37%,华西地区下滑较为明显。受产品生命周期 影响,鸡尾酒产品 ...
鼎龙股份(300054):半导体材料领航,业绩双创新高
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 06:00
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating, indicating a positive outlook for the company's performance in the semiconductor materials sector [4]. Core Insights - The company achieved record highs in both revenue and profit, with FY24 revenue reaching 3.338 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.14%, and a net profit of 521 million yuan, up 134.54% [2][3]. - In Q1 2025, the company continued its growth trajectory, reporting revenue of 824 million yuan, a 16.37% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 141 million yuan, up 72.84% [2][3]. - The semiconductor business has become the core growth engine, with FY24 revenue from this segment reaching 1.52 billion yuan, a significant increase of 77.40% [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24 revenue: 3.338 billion yuan, +25.14% YoY; net profit: 521 million yuan, +134.54% YoY [6]. - Q1 2025 revenue: 824 million yuan, +16.37% YoY; net profit: 141 million yuan, +72.84% YoY [2][3]. - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 4.007 billion yuan, 4.728 billion yuan, and 5.486 billion yuan, respectively [4]. Segment Analysis - The semiconductor materials segment showed remarkable growth, with CMP polishing pads, CMP polishing liquids, and semiconductor display materials experiencing revenue growth rates of 71.51%, 178.89%, and 131.12%, respectively [2][3]. - The printing and copying consumables business remained resilient, with FY24 sales stable at 1.79 billion yuan [2][3]. Research and Development - The company invested 462 million yuan in R&D in FY24, representing a 21.01% increase and accounting for 13.86% of revenue [3]. - Key advancements include the self-supply of core raw materials for polishing pads and leading domestic performance in semiconductor display materials [3]. Production Capacity and Upgrades - The company optimized production lines across its three bases, significantly increasing capacity for display materials and polishing pads [3]. - The annual production capacity for polishing pads exceeded 500,000 pieces, more than tripling previous levels [3]. Valuation Metrics - Projected EPS for 2025-2027 are 0.75 yuan, 0.95 yuan, and 1.14 yuan, respectively [4]. - The company’s P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 46.46 in 2024 to 26.11 by 2027 [6].
东北固收转债分析:2025年5月十大转债
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 01:14
[Table_Info1] 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 债券研究报告 2025 年 5 月十大转债 报告摘要: [Table_Summary] 5 月十大转债如下: 中证转债指数 [Table_Report] 相关报告 《2025 年 4 月转债新券点评合集》 --20250430 《特朗普还有哪些牌?》 --20250428 《转债市场一周回顾(2025/04/21-2025/04/25)》 --20250427 《关税冲击逐步显现,"四稳"兜牢民生底线— —政策及基本面周度观察(20250426)》 --20250427 《【东北资产配置】政策博弈期,大类资产怎么 看?——东北证券大类资产配置报告(第 5 期)》 --20250425 首席分析师:刘哲铭 执业证书编号:S0550524040002 18801785199 liuzm1@nesc.cn 证券分析师:薛进 [Table_Invest] [Table_Author] ① 中特转债(AAA,4 月末收盘价 107.723 元,转股溢价率 111.03%, 正股 PE-TTM 11.5) ② 山路转债(AAA,4 月 ...
八亿时空(688181):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩同环比显著改善,光刻胶树脂放量在即
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-06 01:14
[Table_Info1] 八亿时空(688181) 电子 [Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 Q1 业绩同环比显著改善,光刻胶树脂放量在即 --- 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报点评 [Table_Summary] 事件:据公司公告,2024 年公司实现营收 7.37 亿元,同比-7.77%,归母 净利润 0.77 亿元,同比-28.27%,扣非归母净利润 0.62 亿元,同比-32.29%。 2025Q1,公司实现营收 2.14 亿元,同比+19.21%,环比+13.39%,归母净 利润 0.24 亿元,同比+25.25%,环比+60.59%,扣非归母净利润 0.23 亿 元,同比+26.69%,环比+728.97%。 点评 2025 年全球面板行业有望稳步增长,公司 Q1 业绩同环比显著改善 2024 年全球面板行业呈现复苏回暖态势,在新产能释放与技术创新的双 重驱动下,预计 2025 年将延续稳步增长。出货方面,根据 CINNO Research 数据,2024 年全球面板出货面积同比增长 7.6%,预计 2025 年全球面板 出货面积将同比增长 4.2%。产能方面,根据 ...
永辉超市(601933):门店调改稳步推进,步入品质零售新阶段
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-03 05:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock's performance in the near term [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a revenue decline of 14.07% in 2024, with total revenue reaching 67.574 billion yuan. The decline is attributed to intense competition in the retail sector and the strategic closure of 232 underperforming stores [2][12]. - The company is actively transforming its retail strategy by learning from successful models like "胖东来" and is focusing on upgrading the quality of its stores and products to enhance customer appeal [3][15]. - The company plans to continue its store renovation efforts, with a target of 200 renovated stores by the end of 2025, which is expected to improve overall performance in the long run [3][15]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -1.465 billion yuan, with a significant drop in earnings per share to -0.16 yuan. The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are estimated at 62.864 billion yuan, 74.025 billion yuan, and 84.537 billion yuan respectively [5][16]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.46%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.78 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the net profit margin was -2.17% [14][19]. - The company’s financial metrics indicate a projected recovery in profitability, with expected net profits of -0.405 billion yuan in 2025, followed by positive net profits of 0.567 billion yuan and 1.176 billion yuan in 2026 and 2027 respectively [4][16].
周大生(002867):金价高企致业绩承压,期待多品牌矩阵协同发力
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-05-03 04:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [2][6]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on strengthening its main brand, Zhou Dasheng, while building a diverse sub-brand matrix to capture market share. Despite the pressure on the gold consumption market, the revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 15.106 billion, 16.698 billion, and 18.421 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.108 billion, 1.237 billion, and 1.377 billion, leading to a projected PE ratio of 13x, 12x, and 10x [2][15]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 138.91 billion, a decrease of 14.73%, and a net profit of 10.10 billion, down 23.25%. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 30.83 billion, down 18.79%, and a net profit of 1.55 billion, down 29.69% [4][11]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that the main product, gold jewelry, generated 114.39 billion, accounting for 82.35% of total revenue, while other segments like embedded jewelry and brand usage fees also contributed [5][12]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 20.80% in 2024, up 2.66 percentage points, attributed to a higher proportion of self-operated business and a decrease in low-margin gold products [14]. Business Strategy - The company is enhancing its multi-brand strategy, with a total of 5,008 stores by the end of 2024, including 4,655 franchise stores and 353 self-operated stores. The focus is on integrating channel resources and optimizing store layouts to strengthen the main brand while promoting sub-brands [15][12]. - The sub-brands include "Zhou Dasheng X National Treasure," which targets high-end channels, "Zhou Dasheng Classic," focusing on cultural heritage, and "Zhuanzhuge," which will launch in the second half of 2024, emphasizing low investment and high returns [15].