行业日报 | 北交所 放量大涨 5.15% 新能源领涨结构性行情 北交所市场点评——20250905 核心结论 行情回顾：1）指数层面：9 月 5 日北证 A 股成交金额达 440.6 亿元，较上一 交易日增加61.0亿元，北证50指数收盘价为1618.18，上涨5.15%，PE_TTM 为 79.12 倍。北证专精特新指数收盘价为 2774.44，上涨 4.04%。2）个股 层面：当日北交所 274 家公司中 252 家上涨，2 家平盘，20 家下跌。其中 涨幅前五的个股分别为：泓禧科技（30.0%）、派特尔（30.0%）、华洋赛 车（30.0%）、天宏锂电（30.0%）、科创新材（30.0%）；跌幅前五的个 股分别为：鸿智科技（-15.5%）、恒进感应（-6.8%）、太湖雪（-4.3%）、 宏裕包材（-4.2%）、中科美菱（-3.9%）。 新闻汇总：1）公募销售费用新规来了！降费"三步走"落地，累计每年向 投资者让利 500 亿：证监会发布新规降低公募基金认购费、申购费和销售服 务费率，优化赎回费安排，鼓励长期持有，设置差异化尾随佣金比例，规范 销售费用，建立直销服务平台。预计每年为投资者节省约 300 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 4.102 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.54%, and a net profit of 331 million yuan, up 44.34% year-on-year [1][5]. - The company is focusing on product innovation and channel optimization, with significant momentum in franchise channel expansion [1][3]. - The product mix has been optimized, with revenues from fashion jewelry and traditional gold products reaching 1.990 billion yuan and 1.831 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.33% and 23.95% [1][2]. Financial Performance - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 23.81%, a slight decrease of 0.34 percentage points year-on-year, but improved to 24.88% in Q2 2025, an increase of 1.57 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 8.11%, an increase of 1.38 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a steady enhancement in profitability [2]. Strategic Focus - The company is advancing its strategy of focusing on the main brand, extending its product lines, enhancing multi-channel marketing, and pursuing internationalization [3]. - The introduction of IP series and national trend designs is expected to continue attracting younger consumers, thereby increasing average transaction value and repurchase rates [3]. - The company has made progress in overseas markets, with sales in Cambodia and Thailand exceeding expectations, and plans to further localize products to tap into market potential [3]. Future Projections - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.57 yuan, 0.70 yuan, and 0.83 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][2]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 3.047 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 451 million yuan, up 21.34% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.673 billion yuan, marking a 26.22% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 245 million yuan, which is a 60.66% increase year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is expanding its core product matrix and optimizing its product structure, having developed new products such as smart distribution boxes and chassis controllers, with a focus on promoting these products to European and American clients [1][2]. - The company has secured new projects with an estimated lifecycle sales exceeding 7 billion yuan, including a central domain control product for a well-known international automotive manufacturer [2]. - The company is advancing its globalization strategy through the acquisition of a Czech company, enhancing its service capabilities for European and global clients [2]. - The company has completed the first phase of its production base in Anhui, which is now operational, improving its production capacity and supply chain management [2]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.213 billion yuan, 8.916 billion yuan, and 11.143 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 970 million yuan, 1.241 billion yuan, and 1.528 billion yuan [2][4]. - The projected growth rates for revenue are 20.9% in 2025, 23.6% in 2026, and 25.0% in 2027 [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NIO-SW (09866.HK) [5] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 19.01 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, and a gross profit of 1.90 billion yuan, up 12.4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 10% [1][5] - The net loss narrowed to 4.99 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.0% year-on-year [1] - The gross margin is steadily recovering, with Q2 gross margin at 10.0%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company expects Q3 2025 vehicle deliveries to be between 87,000 and 91,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 40.7% to 47.1% [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the automotive sales revenue was 16.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, driven by an increase in delivery volume [2] - The company delivered 72,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 71.2% [2] - The report forecasts revenues of 99.01 billion yuan, 133.00 billion yuan, and 148.68 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 34%, and 12% [3][4] Key Data - The projected net profit for 2025 is -16.17 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28.62% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at -7.14 yuan [4] - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.00, 0.75, and 0.67 respectively [3][4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company based on its stable growth in traditional businesses and accelerated new business development [4][9]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.25 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.13%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 299 million yuan, a decrease of 31.29%. The non-recurring net profit improved significantly to 321 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 23.92% [1][4]. - The operating cash flow showed a substantial improvement, reaching 1.211 billion yuan, an increase of 54.98%. The gross margin was 43.94%, up by 4.57 percentage points, while the net margin decreased to 5.81%, down by 2.47 percentage points [1][4]. - The company has optimized its sales system, with a significant increase in its formulation business, achieving over 30% growth in sales revenue in the first half of 2025. The core product, Haibomai Tablets, also saw a sales growth exceeding 30% [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 11.728 billion yuan, 13.039 billion yuan, and 14.383 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.4%, 11.2%, and 10.3% respectively [2][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 707 million yuan, 842 million yuan, and 994 million yuan for the same period, with growth rates of 17.6%, 19.0%, and 18.1% respectively [2][8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.59 yuan in 2025 to 0.83 yuan in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 18.0 to 12.8 [2][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 3.83 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decline of 9.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 354 million yuan, down 31.5% [1][5] - Excluding the impact of reduced bank wealth management and interest income, as well as increased exchange losses, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.8% year-on-year [1] - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation towards becoming a "product-oriented, platform-oriented, and industrial AI company," with new business segments showing rapid growth [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue from control systems was 1.498 billion yuan, industrial software revenue was 1.032 billion yuan, instrument revenue was 677 million yuan, and S2B platform revenue was 414 million yuan, with S2B revenue declining by 52.8% year-on-year [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 9.172 billion yuan, 9.981 billion yuan, and 10.933 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits projected at 1.109 billion yuan, 1.237 billion yuan, and 1.4 billion yuan for the same years [3][4] Strategic Initiatives - The company launched the TPT 2.0 time series hybrid expert model, which aims to provide solutions for industrial problems and enhance the reliability of industrial AI applications [3] - The industrial AI business generated 117 million yuan in revenue, with over 110 successful projects in industries such as petrochemicals and coal chemical [2] - The robot business achieved revenue of 110 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with new orders totaling 200 million yuan, surpassing the total revenue for 2024 [2]

公司点评 | 神州数码 经营保持稳健，自有品牌业务持续增长 神州数码（000034.SZ）2025 年半年报点评 业绩摘要：2025 年上半年，公司实现营业收入 715.86 亿元（YoY+14%）， 实现归母净利润 4.26 亿元（YoY-16%）。其中，公司 2025Q2 单季度实现营 业收入 398.07 亿元（YoY+20%），实现归母净利润 2.09 亿元（YoY-24%）。 截至 2025 年二季度末，公司经营活动产生的现金流净额为 5.04 亿元，整体 经营情况稳健。 公司自有品牌业务在 2025 年上半年持续增长，实现营业收入 31.0 亿元，同 比增长 16.6%，实现毛利率 10.3%，同比下降 0.2 pct。自有品牌业务税后 净利润总额为 5957 万元，同比增长 90.5%。公司已在神州鲲泰合肥生产基 地落地首条 PC 生产线，全力推动商用电脑、服务器等产品的本地化制造。 公司数云服务及软件业务稳健发展，在 2025 年上半年实现营业收入 16.4 亿 元，同比增长 14.1%，实现毛利率 21.4%，同比提升 2.3 pct，税后净利润 3537 万元，同比增长 30.6%。公司的 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the mid-term market performance of the Beijing Stock Exchange, indicating a "structural opportunity" in the market [3][4]. Core Insights - The market showed resilience with a trading volume of 37.96 billion yuan on September 4, 2025, an increase of 5.94 billion yuan from the previous trading day. The North Exchange 50 Index closed at 1538.98, down 0.80%, with a PE_TTM of 75.35 times [1][7]. - Among the 274 companies listed on the North Exchange, 191 saw an increase in stock prices, while 82 experienced declines. The top five gainers included Hongyu Packaging, Tianhong Lithium, Lijia Technology, Runpu Food, and Hongzhi Technology, each rising by 30% or more [1][16]. - The report highlights the strong performance of specialized and innovative companies in the new energy materials sector, as well as the resilience of consumer service companies [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - On September 4, 2025, the North Exchange A-share trading volume reached 37.96 billion yuan, up 5.94 billion yuan from the previous day. The North Exchange 50 Index closed at 1538.98, down 0.80%, with a PE_TTM of 75.35 times. The specialized and innovative index closed at 2666.79, down 1.16% [1][7]. Important News - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the State Administration for Market Regulation announced an action plan to boost the electronic information manufacturing industry, aiming for a revenue growth rate exceeding 5% by 2026 and a server industry scale exceeding 400 billion yuan [2][19]. - The State Council aims for the sports industry to exceed 7 trillion yuan by 2030, fostering world-class sports enterprises and events [2][20]. Key Company Announcements - Haomiao Technology announced the acquisition of a patent for a high-flow multifunctional smoke exhaust device, enhancing its competitive edge [2][21]. - Biyang Technology announced the lifting of restrictions on 45,000 shares, accounting for 0.0261% of its total share capital [2][22]. - Boshun Biological reported using 16 million yuan of idle funds to purchase structured deposit products with an expected annual yield of 1.64% [2][23].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 5.164 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 522 million yuan, up 14.19% year-on-year [1][6] - The main business revenue reached 5.048 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 31.58%, driven by strong sales growth in smart electronic control products and disc brakes, which grew by 43.10% and 28.7% respectively [1][2] - The company is focusing on the development of an integrated automotive chassis domain control system and is advancing new technologies and products [2] - The company has established 17 manufacturing bases and 7 R&D centers globally, enhancing its international business layout [2] - Future revenue projections are optimistic, with expected revenues of 12.67 billion yuan, 16.08 billion yuan, and 20.11 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [2][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the second quarter of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.526 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.66%, with a net profit of 252 million yuan, up 1.80% year-on-year [1][6] - The company has a total of 486 ongoing research projects, with 282 new projects added, marking a 43.88% increase compared to the same period last year, with a significant portion focused on new energy vehicle projects [1][2] Product Development - The company holds a total of 418 valid patents, including 108 invention patents, and has successfully launched several new products into mass production [2] - New products such as lightweight aluminum fixed calipers and advanced braking systems have been successfully supplied in multiple projects [2] Capacity Expansion - The company is accelerating capacity construction and has added multiple production lines for calipers, electric power steering, and lightweight casting based on future market predictions [2] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of the new energy vehicle market through its expanded production capabilities [2]

Market Performance - In August, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 7.97%, while the ChiNext Index increased by 24.13%[1] - Despite a weakening macroeconomic backdrop in July, liquidity and risk premiums were the primary drivers of the recent market rally[2] Liquidity and Economic Outlook - Liquidity is identified as the main driver of the recent market uptrend, with expectations for continued liquidity-driven performance in the stock market[3] - Since 2020, residents have accumulated 24 trillion yuan in excess savings, which could flow into the stock market if market conditions remain favorable[4] Domestic Policy Developments - The "anti-involution" policy continues to be implemented, with a focus on improving livelihoods and consumption policies[5] - Recent policies aim to expand consumer demand while ensuring high-quality economic development, with a strong emphasis on fiscal investment in human capital[6] Overseas Policy Impact - The U.S. "America First" investment policy is accelerating geopolitical fragmentation and localization, affecting global investment flows[7] - Trade fragmentation is encouraging companies to adjust supply chains, benefiting strategic and emerging technology sectors in allied countries[8] Fixed Income Market Dynamics - The current trend of deposit migration is linked to declining deposit rates and rising stock markets, which may slow down as equity market volatility increases[9] - The yield spread between 10-year government bonds and policy rates has returned to a "normal" range, potentially reducing the selling pressure on bonds[10] Investment Strategy - September is characterized as a "bullish option" period for A-shares, with limited downside risks and potential for significant upward movement driven by new capital inflows[11] - The correlation between A-share performance and the renminbi exchange rate is strong, with expectations for continued support from foreign capital allocation[12]