中国银行(601988):2025 年一季报点评:营收增速环比改善,非息收入占比提升
光大证券· 2025-05-01 11:32
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 164.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 54.4 billion, a decrease of 2.9% [4] - The weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 9.09%, down 0.77 percentage points year-on-year [4] - Non-interest income accounted for 34.7% of total revenue, an increase of 5.9 percentage points compared to the previous year [5] Revenue Performance - In Q1 2025, the revenue growth rate improved by 1.4 percentage points compared to the previous year, with non-interest income contributing positively [5] - The year-on-year growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income were -4.4% and 18.9%, respectively [5] - The main contributors to revenue growth were scale expansion and non-interest income, contributing 13.8 and 14.6 percentage points to performance growth [5] Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q1 2025, interest-earning assets and loans grew by 7.3% and 8.3% year-on-year, respectively [6] - The loan-to-interest-earning asset ratio increased by 1.1 percentage points to 65% [6] - The company focused on key areas for credit support, with significant growth in loans for technology finance, small and micro enterprises, and green credit [6] Liability and Deposit Growth - Interest-bearing liabilities and deposits grew by 6.9% and 6.1% year-on-year, respectively [7] - The proportion of deposits in interest-bearing liabilities increased by 1.9 percentage points to 79.9% [7] Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.29%, down 11 basis points from 2024, but the decline was less than the previous year [8] - The yield on interest-earning assets decreased to 2.96%, primarily due to LPR adjustments and the rolling repricing of existing loans [8] Non-Interest Income - Non-interest income grew by 18.9% year-on-year, with net fee and commission income increasing by 2.1% to 25.65 billion [9] - The significant growth in foreign exchange net income and other business income contributed to the overall increase in non-interest income [9] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.25% as of the end of Q1 2025 [10] - The provision coverage ratio was 198%, indicating a reasonable and sufficient risk buffer [10] Capital Adequacy - The capital adequacy ratio decreased to 17.98% as of the end of Q1 2025, with core tier 1 capital ratio at 11.82% [10] - The company is expected to enhance its capital base following a planned 165 billion capital increase [10] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 0.76, 0.79, and 0.81 yuan, respectively [11] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68, 0.63, and 0.59 for the respective years [11]
亿华通(688339):2024年年报、2025年一季报点评:燃料电池系统销量阶段性承压,旭阳集团有望助力公司迎来新发展
光大证券· 2025-05-01 11:30
2025 年 5 月 1 日 燃料电池系统销量阶段性承压,持续重视技术研发。 公司研究 在行业整体销量不及预期叠加公司在资金周转压力下采取审慎拓展的市场策略 因素影响下,2024 年公司燃料电池系统销量同比减少 60.95%至 742 套,营业 收入同比减少 61.94%至 2.73 亿元,毛利率则在燃料电池系统价格下降和成本 降幅趋缓的背景下同比减少 21.19 个 pct 至 11.70%。2024 年公司零部件收入 同比增长 14.60%至 0.35 亿元,毛利率同比增长 4.06 个 pct 至 16.67%,技术 开发及服务营业收入同比增长 15.34%至 0.25 亿元,毛利率同比增长 15.51 个 pct 至 21.33%。经营承压背景下公司持续重视技术研发,2024 年公司研发投入 同比减少 18.37%至 1.39 亿元,占营业收入的比例提升 16.68 个 pct 至 37.99%。 燃料电池系统销量阶段性承压,旭阳集团有望助力公司迎来新发展 2025Q1 公司营业收入和毛利率环比均有一定程度下滑,我们认为主要系行业季 节性波动带来的交付和收入确认因素影响。根据中汽协公布的数据,燃料电池 ...
农业银行(601288):规模稳步扩张,非息表现亮眼
天风证券· 2025-05-01 11:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Agricultural Bank is "Buy" with a 6-month outlook maintained [7]. Core Insights - Agricultural Bank reported Q1 2025 revenue of approximately 186.7 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 0.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 71.9 billion RMB, up 2.20% year-over-year [1][2]. - Non-interest income showed significant growth, with a 24.7% year-over-year increase, contributing 46.1 billion RMB to total revenue [2]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio stood at 1.28%, with a provision coverage ratio of 298% [3]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, net interest income was 140.6 billion RMB, down 2.74% year-over-year, accounting for 75.3% of total revenue [2]. - The bank's total interest-earning assets reached 43.92 trillion RMB, growing 6.3% year-over-year, driven by a 10.0% increase in loans and a 12.7% increase in financial investments [3]. - The bank's total liabilities were 40.96 trillion RMB, reflecting an 8.0% year-over-year increase, with deposits growing by 3.0% [3]. Capital Adequacy - As of Q1 2025, the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 11.23%, down 19 basis points from the previous quarter [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted growth rates for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 2.25%, 4.12%, and 5.08%, respectively [5]. - The projected book value per share (BPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 7.95, 8.50, and 8.99 RMB, respectively [5].
盛达资源(000603):2024年报及2025年一季报点评:金属价格上涨拉动业绩,技改完成产量提升在即
银河证券· 2025-05-01 11:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company Shengda Resources [1]. Core Views - The company's performance is driven by rising metal prices and the completion of technical upgrades, which are expected to enhance production capacity [1]. - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 2.01 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.66%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 360 million yuan, an increase of 163.56% [4]. - The company is expected to see significant increases in silver and gold production in 2025 due to the completion of upgrades at its Jinshan Mining and the commencement of production at the Caiyuanzi Copper Gold Mine [5]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 350 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.92%, and a net profit of 8.28 million yuan, compared to a loss of 8.78 million yuan in the same period last year [4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1 yuan per 10 shares to all shareholders [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 3.02 billion yuan, 4.23 billion yuan, and 4.56 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 50.10%, 39.97%, and 7.73% [6]. Production and Market Outlook - The company anticipates a significant increase in metal production, with silver output expected to rise to 177 tons in 2025 and 236 tons in 2026, representing year-on-year growth of 28.3% and 33.1% respectively [5]. - Gold production is projected to increase dramatically, reaching 707 kg in 2025 and 1,358 kg in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 461.0% and 92.1% [5]. - The completion of technical upgrades at Jinshan Mining is expected to enhance the company's production capabilities significantly [4][5]. Valuation Metrics - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to shareholders to be 625 million yuan in 2025, 983 million yuan in 2026, and 1.10 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.91, 1.30, and 1.45 [6]. - The projected P/E ratios for the same years are 15.53, 10.80, and 9.67, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6].
济川药业(600566):业绩阶段性调整,现金分红比例亮眼
国投证券· 2025-05-01 11:24
2025 年 05 月 01 日 济川药业(600566.SH) 业绩阶段性调整,现金分红比例亮眼 事件:公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报。2024 年,公司实 现营业收入 80.17 亿元,同比下降 16.96%;归母净利润 25.32 亿元, 同比下降 10.32%;扣非归母净利润 22.66 亿元,同比下降 15.84%。 Q4 单季度,公司实现营业收入 22.12 亿元,同比下降 29.06%;归母 净利润 6.29 亿元,同比下降 28.44%;扣非归母净利润 5.67 亿元, 同比下降 34.41%。2025Q1,公司实现营业收入 15.25 亿元,同比下 降 36.51%;归母净利润 4.40 亿元,同比下降 47.91%;扣非归母净利 润 3.92 亿元,同比下降 46.01%。 2024 年净利率有所提高,主要得益于销售费用控制良好。从收入 端来看,2024 年公司清热解毒类实现销售收入 26.88 亿元,同比下 降 20.45%,主要系蒲地蓝消炎口服液 2023 年基数较高影响;儿科 类实现销售收入 22.54 亿元,同比下降 17.78%,主要系小儿豉翘清 热颗粒 202 ...
长江电力(600900):2024年报、2025一季报点评:发电量稳增,财务费用持续改善
东吴证券· 2025-05-01 11:22
证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 长江电力(600900) 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评:发电量稳增, 财务费用持续改善 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 78,144 | 84,492 | 86,519 | 87,067 | 87,633 | | 同比(%) | 13.48 | 8.12 | 2.40 | 0.63 | 0.65 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 27,245 | 32,496 | 35,028 | 36,715 | 37,087 | | 同比(%) | 14.83 | 19.28 | 7.79 | 4.81 | 1.01 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 1.11 | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.52 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 26.49 | 22.21 | 20.61 | 19.66 | 19.46 | [Table_Tag] [投资 ...
中信证券(600030):2025 年一季报点评:收费类收入同比高增,自营收益环比反弹
民生证券· 2025-05-01 10:55
中信证券(600030.SH)2025 年一季报点评 收费类收入同比高增,自营收益环比反弹 2025 年 05 月 01 日 ➢ 事件:4/29 晚间中信证券发布 2025 年一季报。2025 年一季度,公司营业 收入 178 亿元,环比+0.6%,同比+29.1%,同比增速较 24Q4 增加 5.39pct; 归母净利润 65 亿元,环比+33.4%,同比+32.0%,同比增速较 24Q4 减少 16.34pct。单季营收继续小幅提速,净利润同比增速保持高位。 ➢ 从收入结构来看,收费类业务同比高增,资金类业务表现分化,单季自营收 入环比反弹且同比转增,但利息净收入转负。2025 年一季度公司自营/经纪/资 管/投行/信用业务收入分别为 89/ 33/ 26/ 10/ -2 亿元,收入同比+62%/ +36%/ +9%/ +12%/ -162%,收入占营收比例 50%/ 19%/ 14%/ 5%/ -1%。收费类业 务方面,2025 年一季度三大收费业务经纪、资管与投行收入同比增速均保持高 位,增速较 24Q4 单季同比有所放缓。资金类业务方面,自营收入单季环比大幅 反弹,同比转为增长,但信用业务收入转负。 ...
通富微电(002156):产能多地布局,与大客户共成长
华安证券· 2025-05-01 10:54
通富微电( [Table_StockNameRptType] 002156) 公司点评 产能多地布局,与大客户共成长 | | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价(元) | 25.62 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低(元) | 37.80/17.88 | | 总股本(百万股) | 1,518 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 1,517 | | 流通股比例(%) | 99.99 | | 总市值(亿元) | 389 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 389 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -23% 4% 32% 59% 86% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 通富微电 沪深300 主要观点: ⚫[Table_Summary] 事件 2025 年 4 月 30 日,通富微电公告 2025 年一季度报告,公司 1Q25 实 现营业收入 60.9 亿元,同比增长 15.3%,归母净利润 1.0 亿元,同比 增长 2.9%,扣非归母净利润 1.0 亿元,同比增长 10.2%。 ⚫ 产能多地布局,与大客户共成长 公司 1Q25 实现营业收入 ...
陕建股份(600248):减值损失拖累业绩,省外、海外业务保持较高增长
天风证券· 2025-05-01 10:52
陕建股份(600248) 证券研究报告 减值损失拖累业绩,省外&海外业务保持较高增长 业绩仍有所承压,维持"买入"评级 25Q1 公司实现收入 232.42 亿,同比-16.3%,归母净利润为 4.17 亿,同比 -24.5%,扣非净利润为 4.01 亿,同比-23.64%,Q1 盈利下滑主要系收入下 滑、期间费用率上升、信用减值损失上升。 24 年公司实现收入 1511.39 亿,同比-16.29%,归母净利润为 29.6 亿,同 比-25.3%,扣非净利润为 22.55 亿,同比-41.2%,非经常性损益为 7.05 亿, 同比增加 5.8 亿,主要为非金融企业收取的资金占用费大幅增加。24Q4 单 季实现收入 493.15 亿,同比-12.19%,归母净利润-0.1 亿,同比-101.47%, 主要系 Q4 资产及信用减值同比大增。2024 年度拟派发现金分红 5.25 亿, 分红比例 17.74%,对应 4 月 30 日收盘价股息率为 3.56%。考虑到下游需求 仍有压力,我们预计公司 25-27 年归母净利润为 32.6、36.2、40.6 亿(25、 26 年预测前值为 44.5、51.1 亿), ...
老板电器:国补拉动行业增长,分红比例创新高-20250501
西南证券· 2025-05-01 10:23
| [Table_MainProfit] 指标/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 11212.65 | 11821.85 | 12476.16 | 13204.77 | | 增长率 | 0.10% | 5.43% | 5.53% | 5.84% | | 归属母公司净利润(百万元) | 1577.40 | 1637.52 | 1732.72 | 1850.45 | | 增长率 | -8.97% | 3.81% | 5.81% | 6.79% | | 每股收益 EPS(元) | 1.67 | 1.73 | 1.83 | 1.96 | | 净资产收益率 ROE | 13.81% | 13.32%13.21% | | 13.21% | | PE | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | | PB | 1.65 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.34 | [ T able_StockInfo] 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券研究报告•2024年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 老 ...