Group 1 - Investment Rating: Maintain 'Outperform' rating with a target price of RMB 42.15 [1][43] - Core Viewpoint: The company's data-cloud integration strategy is effective, with high growth expected in proprietary brand and export businesses [1][44] - Revenue and Profit Forecast: For 2024, revenue is projected at RMB 128.17 billion, up 7.14% YoY, with net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 753 million, down 35.77% YoY [3][44] Group 2 - Financial Summary: Revenue is expected to grow from RMB 136.36 billion in 2025 to RMB 147.25 billion in 2027, with net profit increasing from RMB 1.20 billion to RMB 1.62 billion during the same period [3][5] - Business Segmentation: IT distribution and value-added services dominate, with revenue from IT distribution expected to reach RMB 130.67 billion in 2025, while proprietary brand revenue is forecasted at RMB 5.96 billion [17][19] - Cloud Services Growth: Revenue from cloud services is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of 20% in 2025 [19][20] Group 3 - Core Business Strategy: The company focuses on a "data-cloud integration" strategy, enhancing digital capabilities across various industries [23][30] - Competitive Advantage: The company has a comprehensive cloud and digital technology capability, providing a full range of AI services and cloud professional services [26][29] - International Expansion: The company is pursuing an overseas strategy, leveraging its proprietary products and services to enhance its global presence [30][39]

上 市 公 司 2025 年 07 月 09 日 第一创业 (002797) ——固收资管特色明显，北交所投行业务发力可期 报告原因：首次覆盖 非银金融 中性（首次评级） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 07 月 09 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 7.28 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 11.38/4.84 | | 市净率 | 1.8 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 1.46 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 30,593 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,493.05/10,581.80 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 3.97 | | 资产负债率% | 68.18 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 4,202/4,202 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 07-09 08-09 09-09 10-09 11-09 12-09 01-09 02-09 03-09 04- ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 中原传媒（000719）深度研究报告 强推（首次） 优质地方教育出版，高分红强安全边际，新 业务未来可期 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 联系人：吴婧 邮箱：wujing6@hcyjs.com 公司基本数据 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 9,857 | 10,290 | 10,724 | 11,189 | | 同比增速(%) | 0.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,030 | 1,262 | 1,322 | 1,397 | | 同比增速(%) | -25.8% | 22.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | | 每股盈利(元) | 1.01 | 1.23 | 1.29 | 1.37 | | 市盈率(倍) | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 39.00, representing a 7% upside from the current price of RMB 31.92 [4][10]. Core Insights - The company has established a cross-border payment subsidiary, NovaPay, and obtained a USA MSB license, which lays the foundation for its cross-border payment operations [5][11]. - The MSB license allows the company to legally operate in various currency-related services, including currency exchange, remittance, and digital currency transactions [12]. - The report highlights the promising cross-border payment market driven by RMB internationalization and the increasing demand for localized payment solutions as Chinese enterprises expand overseas [13]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials indicate a revenue increase from RMB 8,250 million in 2023 to RMB 11,705 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.3% [3]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow significantly from RMB 1,004 million in 2023 to RMB 1,916 million in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 22.0% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is set at RMB 1.30 for 2025, RMB 1.52 for 2026, and RMB 1.86 for 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 30x for 2025 [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][36]. Core Viewpoints - The company is entering a new growth phase driven by the completion of the Dukuda expansion project and improved profitability [3][35]. - The Dukuda base has significant tariff advantages, with profitability positively correlated to palm oil prices [1][15]. - Stable supply combined with growing demand is expected to push palm oil prices higher, benefiting the company's profitability [2][33]. Summary by Sections 1. Tariff Advantages and Profitability - The Dukuda base in Indonesia benefits from high export tariffs on crude palm oil while facing no tariffs on refined products, leading to a competitive cost advantage [1][15]. - Historical performance shows a clear positive correlation between the company's earnings and palm oil prices, with higher prices leading to increased profitability [16]. 2. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Indonesia's palm oil production is stabilizing due to slowed planting area growth and aging trees, which is expected to maintain overall production levels [2][28]. - Demand for palm oil is supported by food consumption and industrial uses, particularly in biodiesel, with significant growth expected in regions like India and Southeast Asia [30][33]. 3. Dukuda Expansion Project - The Dukuda expansion project, with an investment of 248 million yuan, is progressing towards full production, which is anticipated to significantly enhance the company's performance [3][35]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 399 million, 540 million, and 662 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.85, 1.15, and 1.41 yuan [4][36]. - The current price corresponds to P/E ratios of 11.99, 8.85, and 7.22 for the same years, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][36].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. (京东方 A) [5][7] Core Viewpoints - The company emphasizes that LCD will remain the mainstream display technology in the medium to long term, while the flexible OLED market is rapidly growing. The industry is transitioning from competition based on scale and market share to high-value-driven competition [2] - BOE is advancing its "N Curve" growth strategy, focusing on new business growth areas such as perovskite photovoltaic devices and glass-based packaging, which are expected to support future growth [3] - The company's profitability is expected to improve as it transitions its capital strategy towards value creation, with significant capital expenditures and depreciation peaks anticipated in 2025, leading to a more favorable environment for shareholder returns [4] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at CNY 215.996 billion, CNY 239.566 billion, and CNY 264.058 billion, respectively. Corresponding net profits are projected to be CNY 9.415 billion, CNY 13.410 billion, and CNY 15.513 billion [5][6] - The report indicates a significant recovery in net profit growth rates, with expected year-on-year increases of 76.9% in 2025 and 42.4% in 2026 [6] Financial Metrics - The report provides key financial metrics, including a projected P/E ratio of 15.9 for 2025 and a P/B ratio of 1.0, indicating a favorable valuation relative to earnings and book value [6][7] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 6.6% in 2025 to 9.6% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home [12] Core Viewpoints - Profit margin improvement is a continuous evolution direction for Haier, with a steady upward trend in profit margins observed in recent years. The report aims to systematically assess the potential and space for Haier's long-term profit margin enhancement by addressing three core questions: what factors have historically led to Haier's relatively low profit margins, what driving forces exist for profit improvement during the transformation process, and how much room for profit margin enhancement is there in the future [4][20] Summary by Relevant Sections Current Profit Margin Structure - Haier's overall gross margin has shown a year-on-year improvement since 2020, with a projected gross margin of 27.8% in 2024. The gross margins for various business segments in 2024 are expected to be 30.8% for refrigerators, 31.4% for washing machines, 23.9% for air conditioners, 29.3% for kitchen appliances, 41.6% for water appliances, and 8.6% for channel services, all reflecting year-on-year increases [23][25] Factors Leading to Low Profit Margins - The company's long-standing profit structure features "high gross margin + high expense ratio + low net profit margin." This is primarily due to differences in sales models compared to competitors, with air conditioning business still in the optimization phase and a significant investment in overseas acquisitions since 2015 impacting overall profitability [7][49][71] Drivers of Profit Margin Optimization - Since 2019, Haier's profitability has entered a phase of continuous improvement, with gross and expense sides contributing approximately 50% each to the incremental growth. The company is leveraging AI tools for digital transformation, which has already shown significant efficiency improvements. The domestic high-end brand Casarte has established a leading position, while overseas operations are undergoing organizational changes and production facility optimizations [8][10] Future Profit Margin Elasticity - Through digital transformation, product premiumization, and supply chain optimization, Haier aims to enhance profitability. Projections for 2024 suggest a long-term steady-state gross margin could rise to between 29.97% and 32.30%, with the expense ratio potentially optimizing to between 17.34% and 20.07%, leading to a net profit margin increase to between 10.85% and 14.08%, corresponding to an additional performance release of 56%-106% [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests seizing opportunities with this quality growth leader, as Haier's profitability has gradually improved since 2019. The domestic high-end market position of Casarte is expected to drive product structure optimization, while overseas business restructuring and efficiency improvements are anticipated to support continued growth. The company is expected to achieve net profits of 21.034 billion, 23.807 billion, and 26.207 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.4, 10.1, and 9.2 [10][18]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company offers a range of products that support various forms of AI devices, addressing customer demands in the AI product market. Key products include high-performance audio solutions, mature AI lighting products, comprehensive haptic feedback solutions, high-performance mixed-signal chips, power management, and signal chain IC products. Notably, the audio component of Xiaomi's latest AI smart glasses utilizes the company's high-performance DSP digital SmartK audio amplifier, which enhances sound quality significantly [4] - The company has launched a new piezoelectric micro-pump liquid cooling driver, which is expected to open new growth opportunities in industrial interconnection and consumer electronics. This product boasts a cooling efficiency that is over three times better than passive solutions and is anticipated to enter mass production in the fourth quarter of this year [5] Financial Projections - The projected revenues for the company are as follows: 3.54 billion yuan in 2025, 4.27 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.12 billion yuan in 2027. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 410 million yuan in 2025, 579 million yuan in 2026, and 748 million yuan in 2027, maintaining a "Buy" rating [6] - The company's revenue growth rates are projected at 15.88% for 2024, 20.77% for 2025, 20.53% for 2026, and 20.02% for 2027. The net profit growth rates are forecasted at 399.68% for 2024, 60.93% for 2025, 41.04% for 2026, and 29.34% for 2027 [8][10]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the automotive lighting control sector, with a solid foundation and strong product expansion capabilities. It has diversified into four major business areas: lighting control, motor control, energy management, and automotive electronics [1][14]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a 29% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 770 million yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [1][3]. - The company is expanding its client base, which includes major global automotive manufacturers such as Volkswagen, Daimler, BMW, and Ford, enhancing its market position [1][2]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has established itself as a global leader in automotive lighting control, continuously expanding its business boundaries since its inception in 2003 [14]. - It has developed a range of products including LED lighting controllers, atmosphere lights, and motor control systems, integrating into the global high-end automotive electronic supply chain [14][18]. 2. Lighting Control Business - The lighting control segment is robust, with the company supplying major automotive manufacturers and maintaining strong customer loyalty [2][18]. - The company is actively developing new products, including next-generation headlight controllers for Volkswagen and BMW, which are expected to ramp up production in 2025-2026 [2]. 3. New Product Development - The company is expanding into domain controllers and Efuse products, which are expected to drive a second growth curve as the automotive E/E architecture shifts from distributed to centralized systems [3][4]. - The domain control products are projected to account for 86% of the energy management system revenue by 2024 [3][18]. 4. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 1 billion yuan in 2025, 1.3 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.5 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30%, 26%, and 22% [3][5]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 22x, 18x, and 15x respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3][5]. 5. Market Position and Client Base - The company has a strong client base that includes both domestic and international automotive manufacturers, positioning it well for future growth [18][19]. - It has become a tier-one supplier for several major automotive brands, enhancing its competitive advantage in the market [18][19].

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 燕京啤酒（000729）2025 年中报预告点评 强推（维持） U8 放量驱动，业绩再超预期 目标价：15.5 元 事项： ❖ 公司发布2025年半年度业绩预告，预计上半年实现归母净利润10.6~11.4亿元， 同增约 40%~50%；扣非净利润 9.3~10.0 亿元，同增约 25%~35%。测算单 Q2 预计实现归母净利润 9.0~9.7 亿元，同增约 36.7%-48.3%；扣非归母净利润 7.7~8.5 亿元，同增约 21.1%~32.7%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 14,667 | 15,472 | 16,114 | 16,608 | | 同比增速(%) | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,056 | 1,552 | 1,864 | 2,137 | | 同比增速(%) | 63.7% | 47.0% | 2 ...