Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks opened higher, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 2.53% to 27,081.91 points, driven by a rebound in the technology sector[13] - European markets showed mixed results, with the Euro Stoxx 600 index down 0.5%, while the UK FTSE 100 index remained relatively stable, closing at 10,684.74 points[11] - US markets faced significant declines, with the Dow Jones dropping 1.7% to 48,804.1 points, marking its largest single-day drop since January 20[11] Economic Indicators - China's GDP is projected to grow by 4.7% year-on-year in Q1 2026, benefiting from a high base effect and increased consumer spending during the extended Spring Festival holiday[6] - The average daily cross-regional flow of people during the Spring Festival increased by nearly 9% compared to the previous year, boosting hotel and flight prices[6] Commodity and Currency Trends - Gold prices surged by 2.87%, closing at $5,204.7 per ounce, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and tariff uncertainties[32] - The US dollar index fell by 0.1%, with the euro and yen appreciating against the dollar[32] Fixed Income Market - US Treasury yields declined, with the 2-year yield down 4 basis points to 3.44%, reflecting heightened risk aversion in the market[35] - Asian credit markets remained stable, with spreads narrowing by 1 basis point, as investors cautiously monitored US tariff developments[35] Sector Performance - In the US, technology and software stocks were heavily sold off, with IBM experiencing a drop of over 13%, while major tech stocks like Microsoft and Meta fell by approximately 3%[11] - In Hong Kong, the materials sector led gains with a 4.3% increase, while the energy sector saw minimal growth of 0.2%[14]

A股马年首个交易日迎来开门红！三大指数集体上涨，沪指涨1.17%报4129.78点，深证成指涨1.82%， 创业板指涨1.76%。沪深京三市半日成交额15210亿元，较上日放量3074亿元，全市场超4200只个股上 涨。盘面上，地缘冲突、美国关税政策不确定性再度引发市场担忧，黄金概念股走强，其中，晓程科技 涨超14%，白银有色、湖南白银涨停，四川黄金、中国黄金涨超8%。 瑞银预计，在更强劲的投资流动和各国央行持续购买的推动下，金价将进一步上涨。供应方面，增长似 乎受限。虽然金价高企可能激励勘探活动，但咨询公司伍德麦肯兹估计，到2028年，约有80座矿山将耗 尽当前的生产计划，这表明短期内供应弹性有限。 整个春节假期贵金属遭遇美国经济数据、全球地缘风险以及美国政局、三重冲击。首先，美国经济数据 喜忧参半：1月份CPI同比上涨2.4%，虽然较2025年底略有回落，但核心CPI仍维持在2.5%。2月份的数 据显示，由于关税政策开始实施，耐用品价格出现了明显的脉冲式上涨。受到关税预期的影响，消费者 在1月份出现了一波"抢购潮"，导致12月和1月的数据波动剧烈。但2月初的数据显示，零售销售增长开 始放缓，反映出高物价对 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Nonferrous Metals ETF Fund (516650), which opened with a gain of 3.12% at 2.212 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Nonferrous Metals ETF Fund include Zijin Mining, which rose by 4.53%, and other companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium, all showing significant increases in their stock prices [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Sub-Industry Nonferrous Metals Theme Index, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 114.05% since its inception on June 9, 2021, and a 1.50% return over the past month [1]

（3）新能源及小金属板块：新能源及小金属受假期效应影响交投平淡。锂板块矿端点价相对活跃，下 游已完成部分节前补库，后续方向有赖于电动车及储能终端增速的验证；镍板块受印尼产业政策落地及 矿端紧缺预期影响，成本重心上移形成底部支撑。稀土市场因节假日询报价热度降低，下游磁材需求偏 弱致成交受限，但随着金融属性对该板块的渗透加深，后续价格波动的弹性或将有所放大。 截至2026年2月24日 10:44，有色金属ETF(512400)上涨3.69%，盘中换手2.13%，成交8.02亿元。跟踪指 数中证申万有色金属指数成分股白银有色上涨10.03%，铂科新材上涨8.23%，铜陵有色上涨7.80%，永 兴材料，兴业银锡等个股跟涨。 有色金属ETF(512400)紧密跟踪中证申万有色金属指数，中证申万有色金属指数从沪深市场申万有色金 属及非金属材料行业中选取50只上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映沪深市场有色金属行业上市公司证 券的整体表现。指数前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、北方稀土、中国铝业、华友钴业、中金 黄金、山东黄金、兴业银锡、赣锋锂业、赤峰黄金。 春节期间海外有色金属市场整体呈现偏强震荡格局，三方面因素共同重塑 ...

昨日，港股三大指数集体走高。截至收盘，恒生指数涨 2.53%，国企指数涨 2.65%， 恒生科技指数涨 3.34%。 板块方面，光通信板块涨幅显著。其中，长飞光纤光缆 6869.HK 涨 14.43%，剑 桥科技 6166.HK 涨 6.25%，汇聚科技 1729.HK 涨 5.28%。 国际金价格持续上行，全球避险情绪升温，因此黄金股、有色金属、铜矿等板 块也有不错表现。潼关黄金 340.HK 大涨 12.58%，赤峰黄金 6693.HK 涨 7.96%， 五矿资源 1208.HK 涨 6.63%，紫金黄金国际 2259.HK 涨 6.82%，中国黄金国际 2099.HK 涨 6.14%，灵宝黄金 3330.HK 涨 6.23%，紫金矿业 2899.HK 涨 5.35%， 山东黄金 1787.HK 涨 4.6%。 汽车产业链表现优异，浙江世宝 1057.HK 涨 19.97%，知行科技 1274.HK 涨 13.3%， 赣锋锂业 1772.HK 涨 8.48%，中创新航 3931.HK 涨 7.35%，蔚来-SW 9866.HK 涨 5.55%，比亚迪股份 1211.HK 涨 4.87%，耐世特 1316. ...

铝：截至2月12日，电解铝库存89.2万吨，周度累库5.6万吨，较2025年同期增加36万吨，社库规模为近三年同期高 位，供需错配的压力逐步凸显。供应端，国内及印尼电解铝项目稳步爬产。需求端，春节来临，下游对原料需求 边际转弱，叠加铝价较高，企业铸锭意愿大幅增强，2月铝水比例走低，成为驱动国内铝库存上行的核心因素。展 望后市，当前电解铝锭累库驱动逻辑未发生实质改变，铝水比例下滑进一步加剧铝锭供给压力，叠加春节假期临 近市场交投氛围逐步进入停滞状态，国内铝锭累库节奏将明显加快，预计节后首周国内铝锭库存将攀升至120万吨 附近。重点关注：中国宏桥、天山铝业、神火股份、云铝股份、中国铝业、创新实业、百通能源。 # 领导开工大吉，祝您# 2026年投资马到成功！ 有色观点更新120260223 铜：宏观层面，国内因春节前资金偏谨慎，海外方面，上周五美国最高法院裁决废除特朗普部分全球关税成为最 大催化剂，显著缓解贸易不确定性，风险偏好回升推动铜价反弹，但特朗普迅速援引1974年《 # 领导开工大吉，祝您# 2026年投资马到成功！ 有色观点更新120260223 铜：宏观层面，国内因春节前资金偏谨慎，海外方面，上周五美 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals sector has experienced a significant surge, driven by geopolitical risks and favorable macroeconomic conditions, leading to increased demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Precious metals stocks saw substantial gains, with notable increases such as Xiaocheng Technology rising over 13%, Hunan Silver hitting the daily limit, and Sichuan Gold increasing by over 9% [1]. - Spot gold prices broke above $5200 per ounce for the first time since January 30, marking a nearly 2% increase within the day [1]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's main silver contract rose by 13%, reaching 22,366 yuan per kilogram [1]. Group 2: Price Forecasts - UBS has raised its gold price target to $6200 per ounce, citing ongoing geopolitical risks and a favorable macro environment as key drivers for rising gold prices [2]. - Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish mid-term outlook on gold, predicting prices will gradually rise to $5400 per ounce by the end of 2026, despite a temporary slowdown in central bank gold purchases [2]. Group 3: Economic and Geopolitical Factors - U.S. economic and employment data have shown positive performance, but concerns about inflation have delayed interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3]. - Geopolitical tensions, including military threats against Iran and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Russia, have heightened demand for safe-haven assets [3]. - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies, particularly following a Supreme Court ruling against certain tariffs, has contributed to market volatility and increased interest in precious metals [3]. Group 4: Market Trends During Holidays - During the Spring Festival, the precious metals market experienced two phases: initial declines due to expectations of delayed interest rate cuts, followed by a recovery driven by geopolitical tensions [4]. - The U.S. military's deployment in the Middle East and disappointing economic data have combined to create a renewed demand for gold and silver, pushing prices higher towards the end of the holiday period [4].

Group 1 - Precious metals prices have been rising during the Spring Festival, with spot gold reaching $5,200 per ounce, marking a nearly 2% increase since January 30 [1] - The main silver contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged by 13%, reaching 22,366 yuan per kilogram [1] - The U.S. macroeconomic data, including resilient employment figures and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, have weakened market expectations for interest rate cuts, pushing the anticipated first rate cut from June to July [1] Group 2 - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Index (399395) has risen by 3.44%, with component stocks such as silver and copper showing significant gains, including a 9.40% increase in silver and a 6.59% rise in Xinyi Silver [2] - The Nonferrous Metals Industry Index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the nonferrous metals sector, based on a selection of 50 securities with strong scale and liquidity [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 49.87% of the total, including major companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum [2]

Market Overview - On the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, A-shares opened higher with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 1.15%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.52%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.70% [1] - Precious metals, oil and gas, and computing power sectors showed significant gains [1] Precious Metals Sector - The precious metals concept saw a rapid increase, with notable stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology rising over 13% and Hunan Silver approaching the daily limit [6] - Other companies in the sector, including Sichuan Gold, Hunan Gold, and Zhaojin Mining, also experienced upward movement [6] - Spot gold prices reached $5,200 per ounce, marking a nearly 2% increase, the first time since January 30 [6] - The main contract for silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged by 13%, reaching 22,366 yuan per kilogram [6] Key Stocks Performance - Xiaocheng Technology: 64.19, up 12.46%, market cap 14.999 billion [4] - Hunan Silver: 15.05, up 10.01%, market cap 34.989 billion [4] - Sichuan Gold: 49.10, up 6.65%, market cap 14.163 billion [4] - Hunan Gold: 34.52, up 6.22%, market cap 53.938 billion [4] - Zhaojin Mining: 20.39, up 6.14%, market cap 18.936 billion [4] - Other notable stocks include Chifeng Jilong Gold and Western Gold, with respective increases of 5.50% and 5.37% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of the Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880), which opened with a gain of 3.44% on February 24, 2023, indicating a positive trend in the nonferrous metals sector [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Penghua Nonferrous ETF (159880) opened at 2.314 yuan, reflecting a 3.44% increase [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the National Index of Nonferrous Metals Industry, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] - Since its inception on March 8, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 123.33%, with a monthly return of 2.73% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the Penghua Nonferrous ETF include: - Zijin Mining, which rose by 4.53% [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum, which increased by 4.41% [1] - Northern Rare Earth, up by 2.30% [1] - Huayou Cobalt, gaining 1.79% [1] - China Aluminum, which rose by 2.52% [1] - Ganfeng Lithium, increasing by 4.36% [1] - Yun Aluminum, up by 1.92% [1] - Shandong Gold, which rose by 4.07% [1] - Zhongjin Gold, gaining 4.98% [1] - Tianqi Lithium, which increased by 2.65% [1]