美东时间周五，美股三大指数集体收涨，其中道指创下历史新高。美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会讲话中暗示9月份将会降息，投资者闻讯大举加 仓，推动美股全线走强。 在他发表讲话后，市场对9月降息的押注显著升温。交易员目前认为降息的概率接近90%，高于讲话前的约75%。 大型科技股上涨，中概股普涨 土耳其竞争管理局称，为确定谷歌是否违反了竞争保护法，对谷歌启动了调查。谷歌通过谷歌商店迫使应用开发者使用谷歌自有支付系统，并阻止应用开 发者告知用户其他支付渠道，涉嫌违反相关规定。 热门中概股普涨，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收涨2.73%。名创优品涨逾20%，蔚来涨超14%，向上融科涨逾13%，金山云涨逾9%，阿里巴巴、爱奇艺、小鹏 汽车涨超4%，京东、百度、理想汽车涨逾2%。 截至收盘，道指涨1.89%报45631.74点，创历史新高，标普500指数涨1.52%报6466.91点，纳指涨1.88%报21496.53点。 大型科技股全线上涨，特斯拉涨超6%，谷歌涨逾3%，亚马逊涨超3%，脸书涨逾2%，英伟达涨超1%，苹果涨逾1%，微软涨0.59%。 | TAMAMA科技指数 | 18799.46 | 2.05% | | --- ...

【导读】美股全线收涨，道指创历史新高；中概股普遍上涨；费城金银指数创历史新高 美东时间8月22日周五，美国三大股指全线收涨，道指创历史新高。鲍威尔讲话推动大型科技股上涨，特斯拉涨超6%，Meta、Alphabet、亚马逊涨超2%。 原油小幅收涨，费城金银指数继续创历史新高。 道指创历史新高 截至收盘，道指大涨846.24点，涨幅为1.89%，报45631.74点，创历史新高，标普500指数涨1.52%，报6466.91点，纳指涨1.88%，报21496.53点。 本周，道指涨1.53%，标普500指数涨0.27%，纳指跌0.58%。 美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔央行年会上发表重磅讲话，称风险平衡似乎正在发生变化，当前的形势意味着，就业面临的下行风险上升。随着政策处于 紧缩区域，这种风险平衡的转变可能意味着需要调整政策立场。 大型科技股全线上涨，特斯拉涨超6%，谷歌涨逾3%，亚马逊涨超3%，脸书涨逾2%，英伟达涨超1%，苹果涨逾1%，微软涨0.59%。 | TAMAMA科技指数 | 18799.46 | 2.05% | | --- | --- | --- | | 8884057 | | | | 苹果(APPLE ...

Core Viewpoint - TSMC remains the leader in the foundry market, with recent news suggesting a potential alliance between Samsung and Intel, but it is unlikely to disrupt TSMC's position in the short term [1] Group 1: Samsung and Intel Alliance - If Samsung invests in Intel, it may lead to a partnership where Intel outsources some chip production to Samsung, creating a mutually beneficial relationship [1] - Despite this potential alliance, Intel continues to expand its foundry business, indicating ongoing competition with Samsung [1] Group 2: TSMC's Competitive Advantage - TSMC's competitive edge lies in its strategy of not competing with its customers, ensuring that the success of its clients translates to TSMC's success [1] - In the context of the AI era, TSMC is well-positioned to capture high-performance computing (HPC) and AI orders, particularly in brand chips and application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) [1] - As competitors lag in establishing their foundations in these areas, it will become increasingly difficult for them to catch up with TSMC [1]

美国官员透露，特朗普政府并未寻求把对英特尔的"芯片补助换股权"模式，比照办理于台积电（2330） 和美光等其他也获得美国补助建厂的芯片制造商。据传台积电曾经初步讨论，若美国政府要求入股，就 返还补贴。 商务部负责监督527亿美元的芯片法补助，卢特尼克持续要求获得芯片法补贴的企业，提高对美国总投 资额，希望为美国纳税人协商更好的条件。 芯片法初始构想为吸引台积电等制造商到美国建厂制造产品，但该补贴计划执行进度缓慢、政权更迭造 成的不确定性及关税紧张，都对其效益造成阻碍。 卢特尼克要说服英特尔把补贴转换成股权，也可能招来英特尔股东以先前协议内容提起诉讼挑战。芯片 法要求，获得补助者要把高于特定水准的获利，分享给政府。 台积电先前已宣布拟加码美国投资，总投资额1,650亿美元，其中亚利桑那州第一座晶圆厂已于去年第4 季量产，第二座厂也完成建设，预计将量产进度加速数个季度，以支持客户需求。当地第三座晶圆厂已 开始动工，台积电正考虑加快生产进度，后续还有四、五、六座晶圆厂，以及二座先进封装厂、一间研 发中心的建设计划。 针对相关传闻，台积电昨（22）日没有回应。不过，台积电董事长魏哲家今年初曾表示，台积电的美国 投资是 ...

商务部长霍华德·勒特尼克（Howard Lutnick）周二在接受CNBC采访时确认，政府正在与陷入困境的半 导体公司英特尔(INTC.O)谈判，计划持有其10%的股权，并表示政府也可能考虑在其他公司中持股。 此番言论引发业界担忧，担心政府可能会要求对台积电(TSM.N)、美光科技(MU.O)和三星（Samsung） 等大型芯片制造商持股。上月，政府刚刚收购了一家稀土材料生产商15%的股份。 这位官员说："商务部无意从台积电和美光手中获取股权。" 勒特尼克一直要求获得《芯片法案》资助的企业进一步加大在美国的总投资，以便为纳税人争取更有利 的条件。该法律授权提供数百亿美元的补助、贷款和其他形式的补贴，旨在推动包括英特尔、台积电在 内的公司在美国建设半导体制造产能。 这一做法延续了特朗普政府根据企业在美投资力度来"奖惩"科技公司的路线。特朗普总统最近表示，在 美国投资更多的企业可获豁免于约100%的芯片进口关税。 特朗普在私营部门的干预，引发企业高管的焦虑，担心自己会成为下一个目标。政府目前正在对英伟达 (NVDA.O)和AMD(AMD.O)对华销售额抽取15%的分成。在最近加快与英特尔的谈判、讨论将部分芯片 法 ...

Core Insights - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang praised TSMC, stating that any investor looking to buy shares in the company is "very wise" as TSMC's stock has risen over 15% this year [2] - Huang's visit to Taiwan was to express gratitude to TSMC for completing the design finalization of six new chips for NVIDIA, including a new GPU and a silicon photonics processor for the next-generation "Rubin" architecture supercomputer [2] - Huang emphasized that this is the first time in the company's history that all chips are entirely new and revolutionary, indicating a significant milestone for NVIDIA [2] Company Developments - NVIDIA is eager to launch the "NVIDIA Constellation" project, a new office in Taiwan to accommodate its growing workforce [3] - The company is collaborating with local chip companies, system suppliers, and manufacturers, necessitating a large number of engineers to work alongside them [3] Industry Context - The U.S. government is planning to invest in semiconductor companies through the CHIPS and Science Act, which aims to revitalize U.S. leadership in semiconductor manufacturing [3] - TSMC has been promised $6.6 billion in funding under this act for the construction of three advanced fabs in Arizona, with the P1 fab already in production and P2 expected to start mass production in 2027 [3] - TSMC's Arizona factory reported its first profit after four years of losses, earning NT$6.447 billion, which accounted for 1.62% of TSMC's net profit in Q2 2025 [3]

Group 1: Market Overview - Morgan Stanley reports that the Chinese stock market is expected to maintain upward momentum due to moderate leverage and valuation levels, estimating an additional liquidity injection of 14 trillion RMB, approximately 16% of the circulating market value, driven by asset rotation and excess liquidity [2] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a strong rebound, with companies like CloudWalk Technology, Shengmei Shanghai, and Cambrian Technologies seeing significant stock price increases, indicating robust market activity [2] Group 2: Sector Performance - The semiconductor sector shows a notable increase, with an average rise of 2.45%, while other sectors like oil and coal are experiencing declines [3] - The performance of individual semiconductor stocks includes Shengmei Shanghai at 139 RMB with a P/E ratio of 44.08, and Cambrian Technologies at 1164.45 RMB with a P/E ratio of 342.61, reflecting high investor interest and valuation [5] Group 3: Company Insights - Shengmei Shanghai is entering a new phase of platform development in 2024, focusing on differentiated international competition and original innovation, with new product launches aimed at expanding market share [6] - Haiguang Information is leading in CPU and DCU product performance and is expected to benefit from the surge in domestic computing infrastructure demand [7] - Cambrian Technologies is positioned to strengthen its market position as industry consolidation accelerates, with its "domestic" attribute becoming a key market differentiator [8] - Jiahua Technology is diversifying its product matrix in high-performance computing and is planning an H-share listing to advance its international strategy [9]

【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇8月22日｜英伟达(NVDA.O)CEO黄仁勋：台积电邀请我向他们的领导层发表演讲。我可能会谈 谈多年来行业是如何变化的。我们已完成六款全新芯片的流片生产。我将主要专注于我们共同的未来。 我将前往新竹与台积电管理人员会面。台积电将继续实现令人难以置信的增长。任何购买台积电股票的 人都非常明智。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Recommended" for the industry [1] Core Insights - Demand for AI hardware remains strong, while consumer electronics are experiencing a cooling trend [1][5] - The semiconductor sector is seeing cautious ordering behavior from customers in consumer products [15][20] - The PCB manufacturing sector is benefiting from increased demand for ASIC AI servers [22][24] - Optical components are experiencing a boost due to new iPhone launches [25] - The storage sector may face structural shortages in DDR4 and LPDDR4 in the second half of 2025, leading to rising contract prices [26][27] Summary by Sections Semiconductor - IC design companies in Taiwan are showing signs of revenue fatigue, with MediaTek's July revenue at 432 billion NTD, down 23.4% month-over-month and 5.2% year-over-year [15][16] - TSMC's July revenue reached 3,232 billion NTD, up 22.5% month-over-month and 25.8% year-over-year, with a 37.6% increase in cumulative revenue for the first seven months [16][17] PC/Server - July revenues for PC manufacturers declined after a peak in Q2, with Hon Hai's revenue at 6,139 billion NTD, up 13.6% year-over-year [20][21] - AI server demand is expected to grow significantly, with Hon Hai projecting a 170% year-over-year increase in related revenue [21] PCB - Overall revenue for PCB manufacturers in Taiwan increased by 6.6% month-over-month and 9.3% year-over-year in July [22] - Companies like Zhen Ding are seeing a significant portion of their revenue coming from AI applications, with expectations to exceed 70% in 2025 [24] Optical Components - Largan Precision's July revenue was 54 billion NTD, up 30.6% month-over-month, driven by new product launches [25] Storage - Most storage supply chain companies in Taiwan reported varying degrees of year-over-year revenue growth in July, with a potential structural shortage in DDR4 expected in the second half of 2025 [26][27]

Group 1 - The cloud computing ETF Huatai (159273) experienced a slight decline of 0.36% with a trading volume exceeding 650 million yuan, indicating increased market activity [1][2] - The fund has seen a net inflow of over 400 million yuan throughout the day, marking 10 out of 12 days with net inflows, accumulating over 3 billion yuan since its launch [1][2] - Major stocks within the cloud computing ETF, such as Alibaba and Zhongke Shuguang, saw declines of over 1%, while stocks like Xinyi and Hengsheng Electronics experienced slight gains [2][4] Group 2 - The AI boom is driving rapid development in the computing power supply chain, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 46.2% from 2023 to 2028 for intelligent computing scale in China [5] - The market for intelligent computing services is expected to exceed 26.69 billion USD by 2028, with strong growth in segments like intelligent computing integration services and GenAIIaaS [5] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing high demand due to AI, with TSMC raising its revenue growth forecast from around 25% to 30% due to sustained AI demand [6]