行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 2026 年 02 月 01 日 汽车行业周报（20260126-20260201） 有色波动影响中上游短期议价，继续看好新产 推荐（维持） 业方向 1 月下旬行业折扣环比下降（油车为主）。折扣率 9.5%，同比+0.6PP（1/25），环比-0.1PP （1/10）。折扣金额 21,541 元，同比+1,294 元（1/25），环比-718 元（1/10）。折扣率变 动环比较大的主流品牌：WEY+1.6PP、北京奔驰-1.5PP、上汽通用别克-1.3PP、长安启源 +1.2PP、长安马自达-0.8PP。 12 月乘用车批发、零售销量同比下滑。12 月乘用车批发 285 万辆，同比-8.7%，环比- 6.3%，狭义乘用车批发 283 万辆，同比-8.4%，环比-6.1%；国产乘用车零售 228 万辆， 同比-16.8%，环比+13.7%；乘用车出口销量 64 万辆，同比+50.5%，环比+2.8%；估算库 存变动-7.4 万辆，同比-4 万辆，环比-48 万辆。 截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日， 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）121 ...

核心观点： [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|汽车 证券研究报告 | [Table_Title] 汽车行业周报 | | --- | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-02-01 "5326"SUV 市场空间持续扩容 | 14% | 6% | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | -2% | 02/25 | 04/25 | 06/25 | 09/25 | 11/25 | 01/26 | -10% | | 汽车 | 沪深300 | | | | | | | | [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 | SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 | | | | | | | | 021-38003727 | zhangliyue@gf.com.cn | | | | | | | | 分析师： | 闫俊刚 | SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 | | | | | | | 021-38003682 | yanjungang@gf.com.cn | | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating an expected outperformance of the industry index relative to the benchmark by more than 5% over the next six months [51]. Core Insights - The automotive parts sector saw a weekly decline of 5.74%, ranking 4th within the SW automotive sector, while the robot sector declined by 6.16%, with a year-to-date performance of +0.48% [2][24]. - Key developments include Tesla's transition of the Model S/X production line to Optimus manufacturing and Li Auto's entry into the humanoid robot market [34]. - Investment recommendations focus on identifying structural opportunities in the automotive parts sector and certainty opportunities in the robotics sector, particularly with the anticipated release of Optimus V3 [2][46]. Summary by Sections Automotive Parts Sector Weekly Review - The SW automotive parts index is down 5.74% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 2.85%, ranking 4th among automotive sectors [2][11]. - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for the SW automotive parts sector is at 82.67% historical percentile, while the PB (LF) is at 77.62% [22]. - Notable stock movements include significant gains for Xingyu Co. (+11.19%) and Beite Technology (+3.75%) [2][40]. Humanoid Robot Sector Weekly Review - The humanoid robot index decreased by 6.16% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 0.48% [24]. - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for the humanoid robot sector is at 66.92% historical percentile, and the PB (LF) is at 77.19% [33]. - Key events include the announcement of Tesla's production shift and Li Auto's entry into humanoid robotics [34]. Core Coverage Stock Tracking - Key stocks in the automotive parts sector include Fuyao Glass, Top Group, and Xingyu Co., with notable performance and strategic developments [40][44]. - New strategic partnerships and performance forecasts indicate potential growth for companies like New Spring Co. and Blue Dai Technology [44]. Investment Recommendations - For the automotive parts sector, focus on companies with strong product offerings and those expanding into high-value markets, particularly in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [46]. - In the robotics sector, prioritize companies benefiting from advancements in technology and manufacturing synergies, with recommendations for Top Group and Junsheng Electronics [46].

汽车与零部件行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 行业调整下建议关注出海及布局 AI 应用领 域的强α汽零公司 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 从投资策略上看，预计部分强α汽零公司有望抵御行业风险，实现营收及盈利增长；高 级别自动驾驶产业链、数据中心液冷产业链及能确定进入特斯拉、Figure、智元、宇树等 机器人配套产业链的汽零将持续迎来催化，具备竞争力的自主品牌及在智驾技术方面领 先的企业将继续扩大市场份额。建议持续关注液冷产业链、人形机器人链、出海链、智 驾产业链公司。 机器人相关标的：新泉股份、拓普集团、银轮股份、岱美股份、三花智控、浙江荣泰、 旭升集团、嵘泰股份、斯菱智驱、爱柯迪、精锻科技、博俊科技、沪光股份；液冷相关 标的：英维克、银轮股份、拓普集团、飞龙股份、川环科技等；智驾相关标的：经纬恒 润、伯特利、德赛西威等。 风险提示 宏观经济下行影响汽车需求、上游原材料价格波动影响、车企价格战压力。 国家/地区 中国 行业 汽车与零部件行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 中性（维持） | 姜雪晴 | 执业证书编号：S0860512060001 | | --- | --- | | | jiangx ...

2025 年中國新能源汽車銷量達到1649 萬輛，同比增長28%，滲透率突破50%。新能源汽車熱管理單車 價值量達傳統燃油車的3-4 倍（PTC 體系5850-6050 元（人民幣，下同）、CO?熱泵體系9550-9950 元），帶動熱管理市場規模快速擴容。2025 年全球新能源車熱管理市場規模預測將達2265 億元，2022- 2026 年CAGR 為32.95%；中國市場規模達964 億元，CAGR 為20.33%。技術層面，集成熱管理系統 （ITMS）成為主流，通過多通閥、換熱器集成設計提升能效，AI 算法動態優化熱策略，相變材料、石 墨烯導熱膜等新材料推動輕量化。競爭格局呈現"國際Tier1 主導+國內企業突圍"，銀輪股份等國內領先 企業憑藉油冷器、水冷板等單品優勢切入全球供應鏈，2024 年公司的新能源熱管理產品收入占比達 42%，銷量2549 萬台。 AI 算力需求推動數據中心液冷爆發增長 AI 大模型迭代推動數據中心功率密度提升，英偉達下一代Rubin GPU 功耗達2300W，傳統風冷難以滿 足散熱需求。液冷技術憑藉散熱效率高（為風冷數千倍）、PUE 低（可控制在1.15 以下）成為剛需。 2 ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|汽车 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 汽车行业 25 年四季度末公募基金超配汽车行业 0.62pct [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-29 [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 021-38003727 zhangliyue@gf.com.cn 分析师： 闫俊刚 SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 021-38003682 yanjungang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈飞彤 SAC 执证号：S0260524040002 SFC CE No. BWZ819 021-38003726 gfchenfeitong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 周伟 SAC 执证号：S0260522090001 021-38003684 gfzhwei@gf.com.cn 分析师： 罗英 SAC 执证号：S0260525110001 0755-82557403 shluoying@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [6] Core Views - The automotive sector experienced a weekly increase of 2.20%, with the best-performing sub-sector being automotive services, which rose by 6.87% [3] - The average daily wholesale volume of domestic passenger car manufacturers was 51,200 units, a year-on-year decrease of 28.00%, while the average daily retail volume was 50,200 units, down 22.00% year-on-year [3] - In January, the narrow passenger car retail market is expected to reach approximately 1.8 million units, with new energy vehicles accounting for around 800,000 units, resulting in a penetration rate of 44.4% [4] - CATL launched a light commercial vehicle solution featuring the industry's first mass-produced sodium battery, which can operate effectively in extreme temperatures [4][11] - Tesla plans to sell the Optimus robot to the public by the end of next year, indicating a significant future business line for the company [5] Summary by Sections Automotive Sector Performance - The automotive sector's weekly performance was +2.20%, ranking 15th among 31 first-level industries [3] - The top five companies in terms of stock performance included New Coordinates (+36.30%) and Iron Flow Co. (+32.97%) [3] Sales and Market Trends - The expected retail sales for January are 1.8 million units, with a month-on-month decrease of 20.4% but a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [4] - The penetration rate for new energy vehicles in January is projected at 44.4% [4] Technological Developments - CATL's sodium battery solution for light commercial vehicles is designed for various vehicle types and can function in extreme cold [4][11] - The first prototype of the Hongqi all-solid-state battery has successfully passed critical testing, marking a significant technological advancement for the company [11] Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies involved in intelligent vehicle technology and those with potential overseas sales [12] - Recommended companies include Beiqi Blue Valley and several component manufacturers [14]

Summary of Conference Call on Gas Engines (Medium-Speed Engines) Industry Overview - The medium-speed gas engine generation is expected to become a trend due to power shortages in North America and long delivery cycles for gas turbines, making it difficult to alleviate the power shortage in the short term [1] - The U.S. plans to adopt natural gas engines to replace gas turbines starting in 2025, with a total procurement of 1,600 units at an approximate price of $9 million each, totaling around $15 billion [1] - Demand for natural gas engines is expected to double in 2026, with an estimated need for 3,000 to 4,000 units, corresponding to a market size of $30 billion to $40 billion [1] - Diesel generators are transitioning from backup power sources to primary power sources, further exacerbating the shortage of diesel generation [1] Competitive Landscape - Current market share for medium-speed gas engines is as follows: Caterpillar 48%, Cummins 19%, MTU 12%, and others 12% [2] - China currently does not supply medium-speed gas power generation units to North America, only providing related components; for instance, GKN, a subsidiary of Zhongyuan Neipei, holds a 70% share of the cylinder sleeve market for Caterpillar [2] Delivery Cycles - The delivery cycle for gas engine generator sets is approximately 12 months, significantly shorter than the 36 months required for gas turbine generator sets [3] - Weichai Power has not yet obtained certification but is expected to have a delivery cycle of 4 to 5 months [3] Case Study - Wärtsilä secured an order for a 507 MW gas generator set for a large-scale data center in North America, which will provide 27 Wärtsilä 50SG natural gas engines as the primary power source, with equipment planned for delivery in 2027 [3]

Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index increased by 3.85% this week, ranking second in the SW auto sector, with a year-to-date increase of 9.12% [3][14] - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for SW auto parts is at the 90.08% historical percentile, while PB (LF) is at the 83.70% historical percentile [3][38] Robotics Sector Review - The Wande Robotics Index rose by 1.38% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 7.07%, underperforming the SW auto parts sector by 2.47% [4][40] - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for Wande Robotics is at the 94.65% historical percentile, and PB (LF) is at the 96.30% historical percentile [4][45] Core Coverage Stocks Weekly Performance - Notable weekly gains include: New Coordinates +36.30%, Minshi Group +25.33%, Daimai Co. +12.57%, Top Group +11.30%, and Xusheng Group +9.87% [6][52] Major Events This Week - Elon Musk announced plans to sell Tesla's humanoid robot to the public by the end of 2027 [7][46] - Yushu announced its humanoid robot sales for 2025, exceeding 5,500 units [8][46] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, with a priority on establishing capacities in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [9][57] - In robotics, seek certainty in opportunities, particularly with the anticipated release of Optimus V3 in Q1 2026, and monitor order timelines and application developments from domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [9][57]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the automotive industry [6] Core Insights - The automotive market is experiencing significant negative growth, with retail sales of passenger vehicles dropping by 28% year-on-year in the first half of January 2026, and wholesale sales declining by 35% [1][19] - The report emphasizes the need for supportive policies to stimulate market recovery and highlights the potential for growth in the overseas electric vehicle market due to favorable policies in countries like Canada and Germany [3][4] - The report suggests that the domestic market may rebound following the implementation of supportive policies, which could positively impact leading brands [4] Summary by Sections Market Overview - As of January 1-18, 2026, retail sales of passenger vehicles in China reached 679,000 units, a decrease of 28% compared to the same period last year, while wholesale sales totaled 740,000 units, down 35% year-on-year [1][19] - In the same period, retail sales of new energy vehicles were 312,000 units, reflecting a 16% decline year-on-year, and wholesale sales were 348,000 units, down 23% [1][19] Policy Developments - Canada announced plans to import 49,000 electric vehicles from China, significantly reducing tariffs from 100% to 6.1% [3] - Germany introduced a new subsidy program for electric vehicles, offering up to 6,000 euros to families purchasing new electric cars, effective from January 1, 2026 [3][44] - The UK government has launched a substantial subsidy program for electric trucks, with a total budget of 318 million pounds [48] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights the potential for Chinese new energy vehicles to expand into overseas markets, driven by favorable international policies [4] - It suggests that the recovery of the domestic automotive market could benefit leading brands significantly [4]